If we are only considering the result, when the other team scores 14 runs... you likely lose 99.99% of the times...
But, according that we know the result at least 3h after placing our money, the only thing that really matters is the line.
Lester vs Taillon was -156 and it closed -179
Lester vs Kuhl was -210 and the line was on for 10 minutes.
Lester vs Taillon -156? I do bet
Lester vs Taillon -179? I don't bet
Lester vs Kuhl -156? I do bet
Lester vs Kuhl -210? I don't bet
Have I been lucky this time? Yes
Have I been unlucky two days ago losing after leading 6-0 with a couple of bad and painful errors? Yes
I've had a similar play back in May when they changed pitcher last minute and my team won by many and I took the void... here it happened the same thing the other way...
Luck and bad luck match at the end of the season.
To be able to analyze correctly the line of the games and be disciplined on the money management is what makes the difference.
You gotta be the dumbest ass on the betting planet, really. Do you read what horseshit you post at times, other than these "gift from God, oh sorry, real deal, posts. You'd lost that game if I was pitching numbnuts, and I played college ball. Go ahead pipers, you haven't seen this before, you need a bath to come back to reality.
~T~