The Prop King - been hitting 65% on these...

Search

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Yep bad, for me I didn't have enough for the Georgia plays which all look like winners

Yeah, it can be tough with the overlapping starts. I missed the Mich St plays, which look pretty good too.
Murphy's Law says that the plays today will end up down since I decided to post them, lol. It's been worth the trouble overall, however. You know how I feel about props in general. This guy has taken it to the extreme with CFB because of the sheer # of available plays.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
13-15 so far today, with one Ohio St play pending from the afternoon games. With the juice we're obviously down, although I'm using Sportsbook where I'm not getting juiced quite as bad as the guy posting these wagers. Lots of work to calculate the actual unit gain/loss, but there are still 17 late game plays pending, so hopefully there's nice run in there.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 29, 2008
Messages
2,913
Tokens
13-15 so far today, with one Ohio St play pending from the afternoon games. With the juice we're obviously down, although I'm using Sportsbook where I'm not getting juiced quite as bad as the guy posting these wagers. Lots of work to calculate the actual unit gain/loss, but there are still 17 late game plays pending, so hopefully there's nice run in there.
Yeah I got killed almost need a sweep in the late games to break even, missed those georgia plays plus I think one other that hit, since it wasnt listed for me. Missed about 10 of the other late plays too. Right now down probably 6 of my normal units
 

Sports Nut
Joined
Aug 29, 2011
Messages
2,987
Tokens
Yes, obviously this isn't the same as hitting 65% at -110, but it has still been profitable. The juice today is a little higher than usual, but even at -55 you would profitable at 65%. This is the record and units since week 1 of CFB:

Overall (314-171) 65% +82.55 Units

Much more profitable than I thought it would be ... Thanks
 

New member
Joined
Dec 29, 2008
Messages
2,913
Tokens
Late games I did half already lost. I may take a peek at weekday games or something, but I don't like the volume of the college plays I'm going to lose 8-9 units tonight so will stay away.

Good luck with your future plays Cutler
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Late games I did half already lost. I may take a peek at weekday games or something, but I don't like the volume of the college plays I'm going to lose 8-9 units tonight so will stay away.

Good luck with your future plays Cutler

Damn, that sucks dude. Really bad luck on missing a handful of the winners. I was 5-2 on that Georgia/Florida and 13-4 on the late games. I might have been gun shy a little on the late games too, had I been in your position. I haven't seen this guy really get gouged yet, once a day is tallied up, so I thankfully just rode it out. My Sportsbook account will be up about 30% by the end of the night. Missing the a group of plays that went 18-6 hurts. Sorry dude. Keep tabs and I think you'll see this is fairly normal; it's just a matter of being able scale the units so we can play everything as a flat bet.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
OK, so here's the day's results. My units were considerably better (+6.5) because the favorable lines I got at Sportsbook.

29-17 (+3.25)

TOTAL u225½-140 (J VANDENBERG (IOW) PASS YDS Win
TOTAL u72½-125 (K DAVIS (IOW) RECV YDS Win
TOTAL o1½-150 (D ASH (TEX) TD PASSES Lost
TOTAL u20½-135 (T BRAY (TEN) CMPS Lost
TOTAL u75½-115 (J BERGERON (TEX) RSH YDS Win
TOTAL u74½-145 (J HUNTER (TEN) RECV YDS Lost
TOTAL u252½-155 (T BRAY (TEN) PASS YDS Lost
TOTAL o243½-155 (D ASH (TEX) PASS YDS Lost
TOTAL u96½-125 (V MARK (NOW) RSH YDS
Lost
TOTAL u22½-145 (B HUNDLEY (UCL) CMPS Win
TOTAL u55½-135 (S EVANS (UCL) RECV YDS Lost
TOTAL o4½-155 (C COYLE (ASU) RECS vrs C COYLE Lost
TOTAL o1½-220 (EJ MANUEL (FLS) TD PASSES Win
TOTAL u83½-135 (J WILDER JR (FLS) RSH YDS Win
TOTAL u105½-135 (M LEE (USC) RECV YDS Lost
TOTAL u22-135 (T BOYKIN (TCU) CMPS Win
TOTAL u65½-135 (BJ CATALON (TCU) Win
TOTAL u104½-135 (J RANDLE (OKS) RSH YDS Lost
TOTAL u19½-175 (A MAXWELL (MIS) CMPS Lost
TOTAL u227½-155 (A MAXWELL (MIS) PASS YDS Win
TOTAL u40½-155 (K MUMPHERY (MIS) RECV YDS Lost
TOTAL o12½-175 (J DRISKEL (FLO) CMPS Win
TOTAL u47½-155 (J DRISKEL (FLO) RSH YDS Win
TOTAL o1½-165 (F HAMMOND (FLO) RECS Lost
TOTAL u20½-175 (A MURRAY (GEO) CMPS Win
TOTAL u263½-155 (A MURRAY (GEO) PASS YDS Win
TOTAL u67½-155 (T KING (GEO) RECV YDS Win
TOTAL u3½-175 (M MITCHELL (GEO) RECS Lost
TOTAL u56½-125 (D SMITH (OHS) RECV YDS Win
TOTAL u70½-135 (JJ WORTON (UCF) RECV YDS Win

TOTAL u345½-135 (R CATO (MRS) PASS YDS Win
TOTAL u53½-135 (S BUTLER (MRS) RSH YDS Win
TOTAL u90½-135 (T SHULER (MRS) RECV YDS Win
TOTAL u6½-140 (A DOBSON (MRS) RECS Win
TOTAL u17-155 (T RUSSELL (MST) Win
TOTAL u42½-135 (C BUMPHIS (MST) RECV YDS Win
TOTAL o16½-170 (AJ MCCARRON (ALA) CMPS Lost
TOTAL u127½-155 (T WILLIAMS (BAY) RECV YDS Lost
TOTAL o54½-155 (S JOHNSON (IOS) RSH YDS Win
TOTAL u48½-155 (T RIDDICK (NOD) RSH YDS Lost
TOTAL u86½-155 (K STILLS (OKL) RECV YDS Win
TOTAL u13½-165 (D ROBINSON (MIC) CMPS Win
TOTAL u190½-135 (D ROBINSON (MIC) PASS YDS Win
TOTAL u17-120 (T MARTINEZ (NEB) CMPS Win
TOTAL o75½-135 (A ABDULLAH (NEB) RSH YDS Win
TOTAL u64½-155 (K BELL (NEB) RECV YDS
Win
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
On a 20-4 RUN This Week!!! (this is for NFL, NBA, and CFB; check the other I started in the NFL forum)


12pm & 3 & 3:30 Games

u13-145 (C COYER (TEM) CMPS
S.Carden pass completions over 21½ -155
F.Hammond pass receptions over 1½ -130 FOR HALF A UNITJ.Manziel pass completions over 21½ -135
TOTAL u53½-135 (C BUMPHIS (MSS) RECV YDS
K.Stills receiving yards under 87½ -115
S .Johnson rushing yards over 42½ -115
TOTAL o2½-150 (N SPRUCE (COL) RECS
TOTAL u68½-115 (BJ CATALON (TCU) RSH YDS
TOTAL u30½-135 (G SMITH (WVU) CMPS
TOTAL u46½-115 (R LANKFORD (ILL) RECV YDS
TOTAL o11½-115 (B MILLER (OHS) CMPS
TOTAL u122½-115 (B MILLER (OHS) RSH YDS
TOTAL u92½-115 (C HYDE (OHS) RSH YDS
TOTAL u77½-115 (D STREET (PIT) RECV YDS
TOTAL u83½-115 (C WOOD (NOD) RSH YDS FOR HALF A UNIT
TOTAL u66½-115 (D MONCRIEF (MIS) RCV YDS
TOTAL u70½-115 (J SALUBI (BAY) RSH YDS
TOTAL u142½-115 (T WILLIAMS (BAY) RECV YDS FOR HALF A UNIT
TOTAL u16-135 (T MARTINEZ (NEB) CMPS
TOTAL u205½-115 (T MARTINEZ (NEB) PASS YDS FOR HALF A UNIT
TOTAL u76½-115 (A ABDULLAH (NEB) RSH YDS
TOTAL u57½-115 (K BELL (NEB) RECV YDS
TOTAL u20½-135 (A MAXWELL (MIS) CMPS FOR HALF A UNIT
TOTAL u226½-115 (A MAXWELL (MIS) PASS YDS
TOTAL u46½-115 (D SIMS (MIS) RECV YDS
TOTAL o19½-115 (D ASH (TEX) CMPS FOR HALF A UNIT
TOTAL o29½-135 (S DOEGE (TET) CMPS
TOTAL o328½-115 (S DOEGE (TET) PASS YDS
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Anyone tailing: I wouldn't recommend trying to pick and chose plays. Just reduce your unit to an appropriate size and play all. I've done this and almost doubled my "prop" bankroll in 3 weeks.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 29, 2008
Messages
2,913
Tokens
I got at least 4-2 with the other 2 pending.

Had to play on 5dimes for like $5 a piece and got worse juice on some than he listed. I think at 4-2 I would about break even

Didn't have enough in sportsbook to make the plays after my NFL plays.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Yeah, I'm waiting until tonight to put your NFL plays in so my account stays flexible.

I didn't get the K.Stills (Oklahoma) play in, as it wasn't on Sportsbook. I also played F. Hammond for a full unit instead of 1/2. Both these have broken my way. Now we just hope C Bumphis doesn't catch another ball in the last 4:30 and he'll probably be 5-2 on the early games (5-1 for me).

I'm not getting the Braxton Miller u122.5 rushing, but all the other plays are locked in.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 29, 2008
Messages
2,913
Tokens
Yeah, I'm waiting until tonight to put your NFL plays in so my account stays flexible.

I didn't get the K.Stills (Oklahoma) play in, as it wasn't on Sportsbook. I also played F. Hammond for a full unit instead of 1/2. Both these have broken my way. Now we just hope C Bumphis doesn't catch another ball in the last 4:30 and he'll probably be 5-2 on the early games (5-1 for me).

I'm not getting the Braxton Miller u122.5 rushing, but all the other plays are locked in.

Yep same no Stills, and no Miller under, only played the Hammond one for 1/2 since last week that dood didnt catch a ball
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Plays for tonight's games:

TOTAL u98½-115 (A ELLINGTON (CLM) RSH YDS
TOTAL u269½-115 (G GILBERT (SMU) PASS YDS
TOTAL u232½-115 (B BORTLES (UCF) PASS YDS
TOTAL u73½-115 (JJ WORTON (UCF) RECV YDS
TOTAL u125½-115 (K BARNER (ORE) RSH YDS
TOTAL u10½-120 (M LEE (USC) RECS
TOTAL u122½-115 (M LEE (USC) RECV YDS Half a Unit
TOTAL u219½-115 (AJ MCCARRON (ALA) PASS YDS
TOTAL u56½-135 A COOPER (ALA) RECV YDS
TOTAL u14½-150 (Z METTENBERGER (LSU) CMPS
TOTAL u168½-135 (Z METTENBERGER (LSU) PASS YDS
TOTAL u3½-120 (O BECKHAM (LSU) RECS
TOTAL u43½-115 (O BECKHAM (LSU) RECV YDS
TOTAL u105½-115 (J RANDLE (OKS) RSH YDS

 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Early games results: 5-2

u13-145 (C COYER (TEM) CMPS WIN
S.Carden pass completions over 21½ -155 WIN
F.Hammond pass receptions over 1½ -130 FOR HALF A UNIT WIN
J.Manziel pass completions over 21½ -135
WIN
TOTAL u53½-135 (C BUMPHIS (MSS) RECV YDS WIN
K.Stills receiving yards under 87½ -115 LOSS
S .Johnson rushing yards over 42½ -115 LOSS
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
I was out and about so not able to post these, but for tracking purposes here are the two late plays he posted.

TOTAL u90½-115
(B COOKS (ORS) RECV YDS
o19½-125
(J SOUTHWICK (BOI) CMPS

I'll update the record later, but today's looking good at a glance.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
On a 20-4 RUN This Week!!! (this is for NFL, NBA, and CFB; check the other I started in the NFL forum)


12pm & 3 & 3:30 Games

u13-145 (C COYER (TEM) CMPS WIN
S.Carden pass completions over 21½ -155 WIN
F.Hammond pass receptions over 1½ -130 FOR HALF A UNIT WIN
J.Manziel pass completions over 21½ -135
WIN
TOTAL u53½-135 (C BUMPHIS (MSS) RECV YDS WIN
K.Stills receiving yards under 87½ -115 LOSS
S .Johnson rushing yards over 42½ -115 LOSS
TOTAL o2½-150 (N SPRUCE (COL) RECS LOSS
TOTAL u68½-115 (BJ CATALON (TCU) RSH YDS WIN
TOTAL u30½-135 (G SMITH (WVU) CMPS LOSS
TOTAL u46½-115 (R LANKFORD (ILL) RECV YDS WIN
TOTAL o11½-115 (B MILLER (OHS) CMPS WIN
TOTAL u122½-115 (B MILLER (OHS) RSH YDS WIN
TOTAL u92½-115 (C HYDE (OHS) RSH YDS LOSS
TOTAL u77½-115 (D STREET (PIT) RECV YDS WIN
TOTAL u83½-115 (C WOOD (NOD) RSH YDS FOR HALF A UNIT WIN
TOTAL u66½-115 (D MONCRIEF (MIS) RCV YDS WIN
TOTAL u70½-115 (J SALUBI (BAY) RSH YDS WIN
TOTAL u142½-115 (T WILLIAMS (BAY) RECV YDS FOR HALF A UNIT WIN
TOTAL u16-135 (T MARTINEZ (NEB) CMPS PUSH
TOTAL u205½-115 (T MARTINEZ (NEB) PASS YDS FOR HALF A UNIT WIN
TOTAL u76½-115 (A ABDULLAH (NEB) RSH YDS LOSS
TOTAL u57½-115 (K BELL (NEB) RECV YDS WIN
TOTAL u20½-135 (A MAXWELL (MIS) CMPS FOR HALF A UNIT WIN
TOTAL u226½-115 (A MAXWELL (MIS) PASS YDS WIN
TOTAL u46½-115 (D SIMS (MIS) RECV YDS WIN
TOTAL o19½-115 (D ASH (TEX) CMPS FOR HALF A UNIT LOSS
TOTAL o29½-135 (S DOEGE (TET) CMPS LOSS
TOTAL o328½-115 (S DOEGE (TET) PASS YDS WIN

Plays for tonight's games:

TOTAL u98½-115 (A ELLINGTON (CLM) RSH YDS WIN
TOTAL u269½-115 (G GILBERT (SMU) PASS YDS WIN
TOTAL u232½-115 (B BORTLES (UCF) PASS YDS WIN
TOTAL u73½-115 (JJ WORTON (UCF) RECV YDS WIN
TOTAL u125½-115 (K BARNER (ORE) RSH YDS LOSS
TOTAL u10½-120 (M LEE (USC) RECS L OSS
TOTAL u122½-115 (M LEE (USC) RECV YDS Half a Unit LOSS
TOTAL u219½-115 (AJ MCCARRON (ALA) PASS YDS WIN
TOTAL u56½-135 A COOPER (ALA) RECV YDS WIN
TOTAL u14½-150 (Z METTENBERGER (LSU) CMPS LOSS
TOTAL u168½-135 (Z METTENBERGER (LSU) PASS YDS LOSS
TOTAL u3½-120 (O BECKHAM (LSU) RECS LOSS
TOTAL u43½-115 (O BECKHAM (LSU) RECV YDS LOSS
TOTAL u105½-115 (J RANDLE (OKS) RSH YDS WIN


I was out and about so not able to post these, but for tracking purposes here are the two late plays he posted.

TOTAL u90½-115
(B COOKS (ORS) RECV YDS LOSS
o19½-125
(J SOUTHWICK (BOI) CMPS LOSS

I'll update the record later, but today's looking good at a glance.


Closed the night on a sour note (7-9), but still ended up 27-17-1. He went 5-2 on the 1/2 unit plays. I haven't figured out the units yet, but it's somewhere around +4 units, I think.

I can't wait for the NFL tomorrow; check the NFL thread tomorrow somewhere around 10:00 CST.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
Correction from yesterday. I graded the Boise St play as a loss (too used to looking for unders, lol).
Correct record yesterday: 28-16-1 +7.36 units

I was out and about so not able to post these, but for tracking purposes here are the two late plays he posted.

TOTAL u90½-115
(B COOKS (ORS) RECV YDS LOSS
o19½-125
(J SOUTHWICK (BOI) CMPS WIN

I'll update the record later, but today's looking good at a glance.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 10, 2011
Messages
1,160
Tokens
I was out an about today so not able to post today PK's plays. You guys know where to find him if you like, as I'm pretty occupied with the NBA systems I'm involved with now. I'll keep trying to post when I can, as I'll keep playing PK's plays, as they have made me a killing and I don't see any reason it won't continue.

K.Wenning pass completions under 25½ -115 LOSS
K.Lowry points under 20 -140 WIN *This was a NBA play. He seems pretty spot on with these so far.
W.Snead receiving yards under 88½ -115 ​WIN
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,116,697
Messages
13,536,130
Members
100,387
Latest member
entegra
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com