https://electoral-vote.com/
It is interesting that right before I retired for the evening last night ,a lot of which is contained at beginning of today's edition ran through my mind.
In short, my thought was that even if the 15% that Trump trails by according to some sources is a bit too high, the others,
most of which have Trump losing by 8-10 points are not, and are an accurate reflection of how the American Publican feels
about the Trump and Biden at the moment.
If we use a simply 54-46 lead for Biden, which translates to an 8 point lead and that 140,000,000 vote(which based on the last Election seems
a respectable estimate), we see that in popular vote Biden would get 75,600 votes and Trump 64,400 votes, which translates into an 11,200,00
lead for Biden.
This is right in the margin of error of my gut feeling that at the moment that Biden has about a 10 million vote lead.
Sure there is always the chance that if this margin holds up(or even more), that Trump could still win the EC Votes but highly unlikely.
In short Hillary won the popular vote by almost three million votes in 2012, and imo the deficit is certainly a bit higher now so far in 2020 for very
obvious reasons.