The Patriots could shut out the Titans

[JonT95]

When I say "morons" earlier that was not directed toward anyone in this forum...mostly at people that don't give the Pats credit. I would assume because they don't have huge superstars such as Holmes, Owens, Lewis, etc. Morons pretty much are my friends surrounding me (I'm in Texas, they are all bitter because the Boys couldn't come through last week). GL this weekend!!!

JT

 

[brendanjack]

HEY KMAN your right tenn did have more yds last time in ne did you forget tht the pats rushed for 161 yds tht day and samari rolle went out in the 2nd quarter and vinateri missed 2 field goals. I think its safe to say you can throw the stats out from that game due to number of injured personnel on both sides of the ball. I think Ne will win cover i dont no.I rember about 15 years ago choppin off part of my finger drunk off my ass on a mountainside and not realizeing it until i got home so maybe tenn can play through there pain as well goodluck

 

[spinman2]

THIS IS GREAT!!!! I personally can not wait for this game --

GO TITANS!!!!!!!!

 

[OutlawTitan]

Both defenses are a lot healthier and better than they were in week 5. The Pats defense has been remarkable down the stretch but anyone that thinks the Pats are going to run the ball against the Titans this time around is not paying attention.

Both teams are well coached and know how to win close games.

The Titans have been practicing this week at night when the temperature was in the teens. The bottom line is that injuries and weather don't matter during a war and that is what this game will be. Damn I can't wait!

IMHO, special teams and turnovers will probably be the deciding factor. Whoever takes care of the rock will win. If McNair plays well (and I don't think there is a chance in hell he has two bad games in a row) my prediction is Titans 13-10. If McNair struggles then I like the Pats 21-10. My homer money is on Big Mac.

 

[olddog]

bblight - good to see your post. I hope you'll be posting again during the upcoming AFL season.

I've got to believe the extra week of rest, the weather, defensive coaching genius of Bellichek(sp?) and the injury situation all favor the Pats in this spot, but.... that can't be right as the 'King of the NFL PLayoffs' (very-EX-king of NFL system plays) says Tenne is going to win the SB.

 

[Dante]

7 degrees tommorrow at game time....I think titans with all there injuries won't cover the 6...IMHO pats should be fired up and rested at home

 

[BigLou+]

IMHO pats should be fired up and rested at home.

I absloutely love it when someone tosses out the old "fired up" reasoning for winning a ballgame!

Big Lou

 

[bblight]

Thanks olddog - the Patriots do look good.

Dante - you screwed up by saying that the Pats are all "fired" up - you gave Big Lou a bullet to shoot at you with. I'm sure that you meant that they're "peaking" at the right time - "Peaking" is obviously an acceptable concept in Big Lou's lexicon - but being "fired" up apparently isn't - so please watch what words you use!!!!

Good luck!

 

[blueedwards]

good point lou. i mean, who isn't fired up? well, maybe mike martz isn't fired up but, i'm pretty sure everyone else is.

 

[BigLou+]

Exactly.

 

[DENIRO]

bellicheck vs mcnair

NOBODY IN THE HISTORY OF NFL can gameplan better than bellicheck

with his schemes, mcnair will have his worst game of the year
he will think there is 12 players playing def

mcnair 2 ints

his status as genius will grow even higher

no, im not gay

 

[BigLou+]

I haven't had this many people against me since I picked the Patriots to beat the Steelers in the conference finals and the Rams in the Super Bowl.

Big Lou

 

[BigLou+]

Home teams who have allowed more than 20 points over their last two games are 35-13-1 72.9% (7-14-1 if not (11-18-2 from the 46-31-3)). That would rule out NE this week and leave KC, St. Louis and Philadelphia. By the way, teams allowing 20 or less points over the last two games went 0-3 last week - playing against Green Bay, Dallas and Baltimore.

In other words, if they allowed 20 points or less over their last two games they were in a play against situation because they peaked too early.

Big Lou

 

[chonce]

Lou,

The forum is picking Tenn at a 55% clip.

Wow, you love to tell yourself how brave and insightful you are, when compared to the rest of us mortals.

 

[PanchoSanza]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Big Lou:
Home teams who have allowed more than 20 points over their last two games are 35-13-1 72.9% (7-14-1 if not (11-18-2 from the 46-31-3)). That would rule out NE this week and leave KC, St. Louis and Philadelphia. By the way, teams allowing 20 or less points over the last two games went 0-3 last week - playing against Green Bay, Dallas and Baltimore.

In other words, if they allowed 20 points or less over their last two games they were in a play against situation because they peaked too early.

Big Lou<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Why is 20 the "magic" number?

I'll tell you why, because backtesting determined that it would spit out the best ATS data.

It doesn't make sense that teams allowing more points would do better than teams allowing less, leaving one to conclude that this is the result of randomness.

How far back does it go?

I will get the data for you for the 20 years prior to that and I bet you dollars to doughnuts it's around 50/50 if not worse.

 

[PatPatriot]

I wonder what the bullshit trend system says about a team that has given up 22 points over its last 6 home games???
By the way the Pats have been hitting all week while wearing new T-Shirts that say "Homeland Defense".
And there are some that say "Eskimo up!"

 

[boist]

"Homeland Defense"????? They should know better than to wear shirts like that. I know they want to get pumped up, but it's disrespectful to the men and women serving in Iraq and elsewhere to wear that shirt. I doubt most of the NE Pats could survive basic training, let alone a tour in Iraq. They have some balls wearing those shirts.

 

[bblight]

Systems - Hmmmmm!
Here are a few

1. Take the home team in the conf. semi finals.

2. Go against a team that scored 20 ore less points in last weeks playoff game.

3. After the wildcard round, play the team with the better su record+

All from Northcoast

4. Play against a road playoff team off of a road win (nellysports.com)

5. Play on the home team that went undefeated at home for the season and is favored by 3.5 or more (thesportspage.com)

Both gleaned from "the Max".

I have about 5 more that favor the Pats as well as 4 that favor the Titans - not counting at least 4 that indicate both teams.

There are lies, damned lies, and statistics - I'm adding a new category - let's call it biglou-istics.

Good luck!

[This message was edited by bblight on January 10, 2004 at 08:20 AM.]

 

[captain#5]

BB light, good to see somebody like yourself post unlike these morons that follow the big Lou cult.You are dead on with possibly NE pitching a shutout in their playpen.If NE is pitching a shutout at halftime, then we can criuse in the 2nd half and play NE again.What is Tennennesee? Just a average football team.

this is the worse final 8 teams in years.They are all average other than NE who has the coach,crowd,defense,cold,and the much better coach by far.

Some teaparty tonight in foxboro!

 

[panther]

bb

let me bump you up

your leave bet with lou

pats 14

tenn 7

panther