Now:
Nova 55%
Michigan 45%
at 21-18
Pulling the numbers from here:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/
I can see that the live betting markets will have faster response time to in-game data:
538 Live win probabilities
While games are being played, our interactive graphic displays a box for each one that shows updating win probabilities for both teams, as well as the score and the time remaining. These probabilities are derived using logistic regression analysis, which lets us plug the current state of a game into a model to produce the probability that either team will win the game. Specifically, we used play-by-play data from the past five seasons of Division I NCAA basketball to fit a model that incorporates:
- Time remaining in the game
- Score difference
- Pregame win probabilities
- Which team has possession, with a special adjustment if the team is shooting free throws
Also displayed in the box for each game is our “excitement index” (check out the lower-right corner) — that number also updates throughout a game and can give you a sense of when it’ll be most fun to tune in. Loosely based on Brian Burke’s NFL work, the index is a measure of how much each team’s chances of winning have changed over the course of the game.
The calculation behind this feature is the average change in win probability per basket scored, weighted by the amount of time remaining in the game. This means that a basket made late in the game has more influence on a game’s excitement index than a basket made near the start of the game. We give additional weight to changes in win probability in overtime. Values range from 0 to 10, although they can exceed 10 in extreme cases.
I found a funeral home in Knightstown,Indiana......Todd Funeral home.....You might want to give them a call.....Do it now son!
Nobody on that side has to beat Villanova or Duke.....LMAO.....Hellooooooooooo Retard?
Start giving hugs and kisses.....Adios!
You`ll be looking like this when you come back.
Bye Greenbacks
