the linesmaker june 29

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Hey YES: a thought here. Why not start one thread? The Linesmaker with wagering parameters. and keep it going and run the tally from there. would be interesting to see how you fare long term. In my thread max wager is $20 a race that may be too constrictive for you but maybe make the max wager $50 a race if you so chose. think it over. thx.
 

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I know YES you are a big fan of transparency. One thread with a running tally would go a long way to reach that goal. IMO.
 

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Hey YES: a thought here. Why not start one thread? The Linesmaker with wagering parameters. and keep it going and run the tally from there. would be interesting to see how you fare long term. In my thread max wager is $20 a race that may be too constrictive for you but maybe make the max wager $50 a race if you so chose. think it over. thx.


I do set up money management parameters (its in all my threads look back)but max wager parameters are only good for contests or tournaments.
They don’t reflect real life wagering and what I try and do is mimic real life wagering.
when going is good you have to alter your wagering and when it’s bad maybe resort to the Kelly criterion or fabannucci or whatever
your simplified version may be. If you look back at all my threads jack there is always a moment in the base wagers where I step it up
between 30 percent and 80 percent of wagering depending on the cycle. But that is because I know exactly what my parameters are. Like I said many times before
if u are a regular long shot player but the randomness is high you will be dead in the water and your banks will disappear consistently.
Eg /. If u hit between 4-6 percent of your shots. A regular player can go 3 for 585 races it will not work period. The reason we get it to work is because
we know exactly what we are dealing with daily and the primers are there always. Knowing this still doesn’t get you away from losing 80 in a row but what it does not do is not make u go 0 for 160. While obviously catching a substantial overlay to put u ahead.
The most important is 160 x you bank . I can’t repeat that enough. Then and only then can u start seeing what your numbers are, streaks are, and median prices are according to how you wager.

So if a 20 bettor. You need 3200 and only start with win betting , forget everything else.

Today I didn’t go above 350 per race but if I would have gone 0 for 89 my base wagers would have increased
by 30 percent automatic.

im out now but I will get into more depth later
 

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I know YES you are a big fan of transparency. One thread with a running tally would go a long way to reach that goal. IMO.

This is why set up the banks daily now . You will not be able to refute it
 

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allright YES a bit over my head but will take your word. Think it over one thread and a running tally. set up whatever wagering parameters you like. That's my 2 cents. thx.
 

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I make it $20 max a race so it's uniform. so I can not be down and throw a $100 on one horse when I have been betting $10 a horse. I hope you see my point. It's a grind but more realistic overall imo.
 

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Ok jack I’ll make it real easy for you . I’ll begin a brand new thread like yours and do the running tally every day and when I get busy due to the big meets coming up , you add up the daily numbers for me and keep the tally sweetly clean . Can I count on you??
 

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Ok jack I’ll make it real easy for you . I’ll begin a brand new thread like yours and do the running tally every day and when I get busy due to the big meets coming up , you add up the daily numbers for me and keep the tally sweetly clean . Can I count on you??
no worries I can help out. you do the grading and if you need help running the tally I can step in. sounds good.
 

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I make it $20 max a race so it's uniform. so I can not be down and throw a $100 on one horse when I have been betting $10 a horse. I hope you see my point. It's a grind but more realistic overall imo.

Yes I totally see your point. But jack if u knew exactly what your numbers were long term there would be no need for that. Also I’m the reverse , I press on all my primers so the bets go up and when the horses are falling I put the petal to the medal.
But in your case if course it makes sense , that’s why I want u so desperately to get to a point where u know where u stand .

makes life easier. No
??
 

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Yes I totally see your point. But jack if u knew exactly what your numbers were long term there would be no need for that. Also I’m the reverse , I press on all my primers so the bets go up and when the horses are falling I put the petal to the medal.
But in your case if course it makes sense , that’s why I want u so desperately to get to a point where u know where u stand .

makes life easier. No

Yeah YES I see your point but make no mistake I am a losing player trying to improve. It does not help that I live in a state where I can not play Pari-mutuel legally. the forum gives me the opportunity to play in REAL TIME and track the action.
 

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