Understandably, more often than not, teams aren't going to be laying -300 in these Norway 1 games... but looking at it in perspective, Bryne, the best team in Division 1 is 9-3-0. Surely there will be times that you have to lay -700 on them if you are to bet on them on every game, but there will also probably be times where they are +100 on the road... but assuming you never get much better than 2-1 on these teams, laying the chalk with them at home is insane. On the road is a much better proposition, but even then, teams have a lot of trouble winning games away from home.
Best general example I can think of this is Manchester United this past season. Man U went 22-11-5, and in MANY cases were laying -300 and higher juice... But take those teams that they were such dogs to...
Against the 3 relegated teams, Man U successfully racked up 3 wins and 3 "other" results, including one of their 5 losses at Norwich City. Even still, a draw against West Brom in Old Trafford at the end of the season to keep the Baggies up left Man U with a terrible mark against these teams that they "should" beat. Same could be said about Arsenal, who finished 25-8-5. Against Southampton at home this season they were -400... I remember laying the chalk thinking they couldn't not win this game in Highbury after getting the unbeaten streak snapped @ Old Trafford. Southampton actually led in that game 2-1 until the 90th minute when I believe it was Reyes that levelled the game where it ended 2-2. Just that being said, it took Arsenal winning their games against the other three crappy sides in the Premiership to get that cash back if you were laying those types of odds each time.
I know I'm comparing apples and oranges here between English Premiership and Norway Division 1, but my point remains the same about laying such juice.
And remember... when you parlay, you're not just multiplying the odds, you're multiplying the juice number as well. Once again, don't take me to be someone who really knows a ton about soccer, but I do know enough about math to know that -300 in a soccer game isn't often a very good adventure.
Best general example I can think of this is Manchester United this past season. Man U went 22-11-5, and in MANY cases were laying -300 and higher juice... But take those teams that they were such dogs to...
Against the 3 relegated teams, Man U successfully racked up 3 wins and 3 "other" results, including one of their 5 losses at Norwich City. Even still, a draw against West Brom in Old Trafford at the end of the season to keep the Baggies up left Man U with a terrible mark against these teams that they "should" beat. Same could be said about Arsenal, who finished 25-8-5. Against Southampton at home this season they were -400... I remember laying the chalk thinking they couldn't not win this game in Highbury after getting the unbeaten streak snapped @ Old Trafford. Southampton actually led in that game 2-1 until the 90th minute when I believe it was Reyes that levelled the game where it ended 2-2. Just that being said, it took Arsenal winning their games against the other three crappy sides in the Premiership to get that cash back if you were laying those types of odds each time.
I know I'm comparing apples and oranges here between English Premiership and Norway Division 1, but my point remains the same about laying such juice.
And remember... when you parlay, you're not just multiplying the odds, you're multiplying the juice number as well. Once again, don't take me to be someone who really knows a ton about soccer, but I do know enough about math to know that -300 in a soccer game isn't often a very good adventure.