you're the best falcie baby..keep working' hard; keep 'em coming...ty, tyvm..gl..
Wednesday 13 April 2016
SIDES
No Sides played today.
Overall YTD Sides = 6-3 ATS (+8.25 units +$825) at 66.67%
TOTALS
Boston OVER 8.5 -110 LOSS -3.30 units
Today's Totals = 0-1 ATS (-3.30 units -$330) at 0%
Overall YTD Totals = 3-5 ATS (-7.35 units -$735) at 37.50%
RUNLINES
No Runlines played today.
Overall YTD Runlines = 3-4 ATS (-4.20 units -$420) at 42.86%
Note: calculator to create hybrid -1 RL can be found at: http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/
OVERALL WEDNESDAY 13 APRIL 2016 SESSION = 0-1 ATS (-3.30 units -$330) at 0%
OVERALL YTD SIDES & TOTALS & RUNLINES = 12-13 ATS (-6.40 units -$640) at 48%
Note: 1 unit = $100
!/
2016 Top Program Plays
146-110 (+67.45 units)
57.03% Winners
(-110) avg juice on losses
April 14 (day games)
Minnesota Under 8 (+100)
Cardinals Over 8 (-105)
Listed pitchers
3 units each
I guess its time for me to simply go with this for 2016, I'm at a minimum amount of data to work with but I'm going with it. Things will be a little volatile for me, in my work, for the next week or so and the play volume that I release may be a tick high, due to this volatility but the plays that I post now are program plays.
Good luck and I will release a night card this afternoon.. So yes, there will be plays for tonight and it will include the NHL and with a seasons worth of data to work with, I expect a good playoff run in both the NHL and NBA.
Falcon
146-110 (+67.45 units)
57.03% Winners
(-110) avg juice on losses
April 14 (day games)
Minnesota Under 8 (+100)
Cardinals Over 8 (-105)
Listed pitchers
3 units each
I guess its time for me to simply go with this for 2016, I'm at a minimum amount of data to work with but I'm going with it. Things will be a little volatile for me, in my work, for the next week or so and the play volume that I release may be a tick high, due to this volatility but the plays that I post now are program plays.
Good luck and I will release a night card this afternoon.. So yes, there will be plays for tonight and it will include the NHL and with a seasons worth of data to work with, I expect a good playoff run in both the NHL and NBA.
Falcon
Dirt, you first select either decimal or american odds depending on your book. For example, -130 = American and 1.7 = Decimal.
Then select "To Win Amount" and select the number of units you are hoping to win in dollar value, e.g., $10 a unit and 3 units = $30. You put this value in the "Amount" box under "Input Data".
Then enter the lines from your book, again under "Input Data". First you put in the ML Wager Odd, which is the moneyline. Let's take today's Cubs for example. They are -156 today (American odds). You put -156 in this field.
Then put in the -1.5 runline odd. They are +140 today, so just put 140 (no need for plus sign here). The website recognizes this as plus money.
Your Wager #1 will be the moneyline play. Bet that amount.
Your Wager #2 will be the -1.5 runline play. Bet that amount.
Do you notice that the amount to win for Wager #1 and the amount to risk for Wager #2 are the same? That is how you get a push at -1, i.e., if the Cubs win by 1 run.
Then the summary statistics tell you what odds you are getting with your -1 play and the total amount risked.
Feel free to PM with any other questions. Cheers!
Then select "To Win Amount" and select the number of units you are hoping to win in dollar value, e.g., $10 a unit and 3 units = $30. You put this value in the "Amount" box under "Input Data".
Then enter the lines from your book, again under "Input Data". First you put in the ML Wager Odd, which is the moneyline. Let's take today's Cubs for example. They are -156 today (American odds). You put -156 in this field.
Then put in the -1.5 runline odd. They are +140 today, so just put 140 (no need for plus sign here). The website recognizes this as plus money.
Your Wager #1 will be the moneyline play. Bet that amount.
Your Wager #2 will be the -1.5 runline play. Bet that amount.
Do you notice that the amount to win for Wager #1 and the amount to risk for Wager #2 are the same? That is how you get a push at -1, i.e., if the Cubs win by 1 run.
Then the summary statistics tell you what odds you are getting with your -1 play and the total amount risked.
Feel free to PM with any other questions. Cheers!
You'll rarely if ever see the Falcon post a play where the ML is a prohibitive favorite (usually anything -150 or above).
Instead, he'll reduce his risk by making the play a RL -1.
For example, say you want to win $100 on a favorite but the ML is -175. You'd have to risk $175 to do so.
Most people automatically will look to use the conventional RL -1.5 to get better odds.
In this example, say the RL -1.5 is +130. You'd risk $100 to win $130.
What if the team only wins by 1 run? Yup. You lose your $100 on your RL -1.5 bet.
What you do is you split up your bet to create a hybrid RL -1.
If your book doesn't offer it RL -1 options on MLB, use this RL -1 calculater:
http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/
What if your team only wins by 1 run? The ML (win) and RL -1.5 (loss) bets will cancel each other other.
You significantly reduce your risk this way.
Here's an image from the calculator illustrating this example. Hopefully, this will help you and others
understand the RL -1 concept better.
....................................................................................................................................................................
