Alot of losses, not alot of wins.... especially with the fact that he is about 50/50 on his big plays...
In short, his large plays are NO STRONGER than his free picks. Slice it anyway you want.... If they were, he wouldn't be down over 500 dimes in 8-9 months
He's had wayyyy more losing sweeps than winnings sweeps, thats certain!
Long term record not necessary... each new day is a new bullet in the chamber... Just because he loses three days in a row DOES NOT mean he will bounce back! Anyone who believes that is a dousche, or needs help understand logic....
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy
Most of his large plays are based on the premise that he had a shitty few days prior; don't let him fool you with his--- I've had this marked on my calendar bullshit (or any capper for that matter that has been doing poorly leading up to that game)