The Economist puts Trumps chances of re-election at 4percent

[MAGAking1]

Guess he should just pack up his bags and stop campaigningface)(*^%

The info looks legit and the presenter seems like a generally fair guy using "facts" to back up his arguments.

The main thing I hear about how bad Trump's chances are is that last time polls only showed Hillary with a 3-4 pt lead vs
the 8 to 9pt lead they show for Biden now. So they say even if the polls are wrong then it doesnt matter because Biden is SO far ahead.

But here is one thing they havent even considered. The polling methods combined with the strong anti conservative political climate has made these POLLS even MORE unreliable. They might think they are working with a say a 2 to 4 percent margin of error when in fact that error might be closer to double digits:think2:.

We will find out in a week. I am very confident that the polls are much further off than some think. If Biden were REALLY ahead by that much it is hard to imagine that he markets would only have him as roughly a -200 or so favorite.

 

[Railbird]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vclElMA5SA&t=410s these guys answer the BS of nate silver

 

[MAGAking1]

This is a solid video that explains how preposterous some of these polls numbers are by placing them in context with historical results.
Even if you think Biden is gonna win, you will still have some doubts about polling accuracy.

 

[MAGAking1]

For those that dont get the Imperial College reference
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/professor-lockdown-modeler-resigns-in-disgrace/

 

[MAGAking1]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vclElMA5SA&t=410s these guys answer the BS of nate silver

Whoa, i thought I was gonna click and listen for a couple minutes but these guys got me hooked. Very deep insight into polling.

Id rather buy sports predictions from Stu Feiner than poll predictions from Nate Silver.

 

[Coldweather]

Trump 296 electoral votes #2020! Take it to the house! WH! cheersgifcheersgifcheersgif

 

[MrBetitall]

4% seems high.

 

[roadreeler57]

Oops 90% now

 

[JackStraw77]

Nate Silver says Pennsylvania is the key and the race is close though Biden can still win without Pennsylvania.

 

[Louie12]

a better question would be whether or not trump hits 200 electoral votes. that should be the line imo

hope i'm wrong. dont think i am

 

[MAGAking1]

Nate Silver says Pennsylvania is the key and the race is close though Biden can still win without Pennsylvania.

Nate Silver is a con man.

 

[MAGAking1]

a better question would be whether or not trump hits 200 electoral votes. that should be the line imo

hope i'm wrong. dont think i am

Dude you are so wrong, stop with the Lou Holtz we cant win routine.
Who gives a fuck if he can hit 200 because that is a loser number may as well get 0.

But He's gonna get 295-305

 

[michael777]

4% is high, it is 0% No chance Don wins WI, MN ,or MI , which makes it ZERO .C'mon guys, some of you need to wise up , have you ever looked at an Electoral map? This Country is finished when the Dem's take over and they will! I feel sorry for you young guy's , I lived my life

 

[Louie12]

Dude you are so wrong, stop with the Lou Holtz we cant win routine.
Who gives a fuck if he can hit 200 because that is a loser number may as well get 0.

But He's gonna get 295-305

your letting your political views overshadow your judgment. the 4% chance isnt far fetched.

and nate silver is one of the few who gave him a chance. had trump leading at several points throughout the campaign and had the race as competitive throughout

 

[MAGAking1]

your letting your political views overshadow your judgment. the 4% chance isnt far fetched.

and nate silver is one of the few who gave him a chance. had trump leading at several points throughout the campaign and had the race as competitive throughout

No you dont get it and I understand because you are not a guy who can think for himself.

You read these fake polls and fake stories from the MSM and think it is true without searching deeper. You seem like a nice guy and
you dont even realize how ignorant you have become from the media sources that you select.

I was like that at one time myself so I know how being in that bubble feels .Everything you are reading keeps saying the same thing so its hard to imagine that so many of them or maybe even ALL of them are wrong. You will see and maybe that is what it takes for you to realize the crock of shit that you are eating daily from the MSM.

 

[MAGAking1]

4% is high, it is 0% No chance Don wins WI, MN ,or MI , which makes it ZERO .C'mon guys, some of you need to wise up , have you ever looked at an Electoral map? This Country is finished when the Dem's take over and they will! I feel sorry for you young guy's , I lived my life

So you dont think that he can win even 1 of these states?

 

[Louie12]

No you dont get it and I understand because you are not a guy who can think for himself.

You read these fake polls and fake stories from the MSM and think it is true without searching deeper. You seem like a nice guy and
you dont even realize how ignorant you have become from the media sources that you select.

I was like that at one time myself so I know how being in that bubble feels .Everything you are reading keeps saying the same thing so its hard to imagine that so many of them or maybe even ALL of them are wrong. You will see and maybe that is what it takes for you to realize the crock of shit that you are eating daily from the MSM.

i dont watch the MSM. i think it's gross. but there is overwhelming evidence out there to show that biden should be a heavy favorite in thie election. that's not debatble.

i do think for myself, and i think biden is ahead.

 

[MAGAking1]

i dont watch the MSM. i think it's gross. but there is overwhelming evidence out there to show that biden should be a heavy favorite in thie election. that's not debatble.

i do think for myself, and i think biden is ahead.

Based on fake polls and you cant see beyond the numbers that is why you keep saying its not debatable. You claim to be able to think for yourself yet you wont even seek out an alternate view. Did you watch that video from post #3, its not that long?

Maybe he is ahead but it is miniscule at best. The polls are lying to you.

 

[REDEYE]

I'm hearing that we could have at least 20 million more people vote this year... Maybe that's what we should be looking at. Who are the new voters voting for ? I'm hearing Republicans are doing a better job with new voters .. But 20 million ?

 

[CHOPTALK]

Hey mag.

Why are the polls fake ?
What is the motivation for these pollsters to put their name and reputation on the line only to be wrong ?
Do you think Nate Silver wanted to be wrong with his predictions 4 years ago ?

He was almost god like 8 years ago predicting the election correctly in all 50 states .

Then his rep took a huge hit when trump lost even though he did give trump a 30% chance on Election Day which is not a low number .


If you think these polls are rigged what’s the point ?

Why would they be rigged ?

I would think Trump being down In the polls would only make trump supporters show up in larger numbers