The cnotes college football 2020-2021 season news,trends, picks !

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 5


Friday, October 2

Campbell @ Wake Forest


Game 161-162
October 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Campbell
49.222
Wake Forest
86.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 37
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 34 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-34 1/2); N/A


Louisiana Tech @ Brigham Young


Game 103-104
October 2, 2020 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
79.422
Brigham Young
106.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 27 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 23 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-23 1/2); Under




Saturday, October 3


Missouri @ Tennessee


Game 115-116
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
85.634
Tennessee
99.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 13 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 11 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-11 1/2); Over


Baylor @ West Virginia


Game 117-118
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
104.776
West Virginia
92.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 12 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 3
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-3); Under


TCU @ Texas


Game 141-142
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
TCU
91.303
Texas
102.496
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 11
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 13
63
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(+13); Under


South Carolina @ Florida


Game 107-108
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
87.768
Florida
109.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 21 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 17 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-17 1/2); Over


East Carolina @ Georgia State


Game 109-110
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
72.765
Georgia State
71.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Carolina
by 1 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 1
70
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+1); Under


NC State @ Pittsburgh


Game 121-122
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
NC State
76.474
Pittsburgh
88.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 12
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 14
47
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(+14); Under


Arkansas St @ Coastal Carolina


Game 129-130
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
85.463
Coastal Carolina
77.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 8
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 3
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-3); Under


TX-San Antonio @ UAB


Game 139-140
October 3, 2020 @ 12:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
60.196
UAB
89.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 29
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 20 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-20 1/2); Over


North Alabama @ Liberty


Game 163-164
October 3, 2020 @ 1:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
North Alabama
52.550
Liberty
74.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 22
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 30 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
North Alabama
(+30 1/2); N/A


Abilene Christian @ Army


Game 165-166
October 3, 2020 @ 1:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Abilene Christian
53.006
Army
87.778
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 35
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 31
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-31); N/A


Houston Baptist @ Eastern Kentucky


Game 915-916
October 3, 2020 @ 3:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Houston Baptist
57.410
Eastern Kentucky
58.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Kentucky
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Kentucky
by 3
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Baptist
(+3); N/A


North Carolina @ Boston College


Game 111-112
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
97.147
Boston College
86.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 11
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 14
55
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+14); Under


Texas Tech @ Kansas State


Game 135-136
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
90.448
Kansas State
89.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 1
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+2); Under

Memphis @ SMU


Game 125-126
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
96.793
SMU
87.130
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 9 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
74 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2 1/2); Under


Texas A&M @ Alabama


Game 143-144
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M
93.438
Alabama
114.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 20 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 17
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-17); Under


South Florida @ Cincinnati


Game 105-106
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
75.963
Cincinnati
91.901`
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 16
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 23
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+23); Under


Oklahoma State @ Kansas


Game 137-138
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
98.818
Kansas
71.152
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 27 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 21
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-21); Over


Central Arkansas @ North Dakota St


Game 917-918
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
65.162
North Dakota St
95.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 30 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 23
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-23); N/A


Mississippi @ Kentucky


Game 145-146
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
87.172
Kentucky
102.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 15
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-6 1/2); Over


Virginia Tech @ Duke


Game 113-114
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
90.218
Duke
83.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 6 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 10 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(+10 1/2); Over


Jacksonville St @ Florida State


Game 167-168
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
55.755
Florida State
75.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 19 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 26 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(+26 1/2); N/A


Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic


Game 149-150
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
75.241
Florida Atlantic
94.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 19 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 5 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-5 1/2); Over


Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee St


Game 147-148
October 3, 2020 @ 5:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
71.682
Middle Tennessee
67.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 4 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+7); Under


Navy @ Air Force


Game 131-132
October 3, 2020 @ 6:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Navy
90.923
Air Force
81.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 10
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 6 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-6 1/2); Over


Georgia Southern @ LA-Monroe


Game 151-152
October 3, 2020 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
71.363
LA-Monroe
57.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 20
49
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+20); Over


Arkansas @ Mississippi St


Game 157-158
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
81.580
Mississippi St
97.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 16
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 18
69
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+18); Over


LSU @ Vanderbilt


Game 155-156
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LSU
111.837
Vanderbilt
77.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 24
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 20 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-20 1/2); Under


Southern Miss @ North Texas


Game 159-160
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
66.117
North Texas
65.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 1 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+1 1/2); Under

Tulsa @ Central Florida


Game 127-128
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
78.448
Central Florida
103.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 25
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 21 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-21 1/2); Over


Oklahoma @ Iowa State


Game 123-124
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
93.304
Iowa State
95.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 7
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(+7); Over


Auburn @ Georgia


Game 153-154
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
107.925
Georgia
108.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 7
45
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(+7); Under


Virginia @ Clemson


Game 119-120
October 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
90.202
Clemson
122.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 32 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 28
55
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-28); Over


Troy @ South Alabama


Game 133-134
October 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Troy
77.085
South Alabama
61.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 15
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 5 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-5 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Tech Trends - Week 5
Bruce Marshall


Week 5 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 1 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.


We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.


Friday, Oct. 2


LA TECH at BYU (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m.)


Skip Holtz wins again as dog in opener, now 20-8-1 in role with La Tech since arriving in 2014.
Skip 17-6-1 as dog away from Ruston that span.
Cougars just 2-4 as Provo chalk in 2019.


Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.




Saturday, Oct. 3


SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)

USF covers last five in series, though no SU wins vs. Cincy since 2017.
Bulls only 1-4 last five as dog away Raymond James Stadium (0-1 for Jeff Scott).
Bearcats 8-5 as Nippert chalk since 2018.


Tech Edge: Slight to USF, based on series trends.


SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)


SC 1-5-1 vs. line since mid 2019, also failed to cover last 3 as dog in 2019.
Muschamp covered vs. Gators in 2017-18 but lost 38-27 LY.
Dan Mullen has covered seven in a row at the Swamp.


Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.


EAST CAROLINA at GEORGIA STATE (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)


GSU has now covered 5 of last 6 at home after ULL game, after 3-8-1 spread mark previous 12 as host.
Panthers 3-2 as chalk in 2019.
ECU was 7-20-1 as dog 2016-18 but improved slightly to 5-4 in role for Mike Houston LY.


Tech Edge: Slight to GSU, based on team trends.


NORTH CAROLINA at BOSTON COLLEGE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)


Hafley now 1-0 as dog for BC, following recent Addazio success in role (14-3-1 in role during regular season past three years).
Mack Brown however has won and covered last four since late 2019, and Heels actually 18-10-1 vs. line going back to mid 2018 during late Fedora days.
Teams have not met since 2013.


Tech Edge: BC, based on team trends.


VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)


Cutcliffe 0-3 SU this season but 1-0 as dog in 2020, and remember was 25-12-1 in dog role from 2013-18 before slipping a bit a year ago (2-4-1).
Note underdog team has covered (sometimes emphatically) 6 of last 7 meetings.


Tech Edge: Duke, based on team and series trends.


MISSOURI at TENNESSEE (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)


Note Mizzou won games vs. UT in 2017 & ‘18 by identical 50-17 scores!
Though Tigers 0-7 vs. line down stretch in 2019 before backdoor cover vs. Bama in opener.
From mid 2019, Vols 6-2 last 8 vs. line and 6-0 SU last six. Note Pruitt has only covered 2 of last 8 as chalk.


Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends.


BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)


Baylor has covered last seven Big 12 games away from Waco (Rhule numbers).
WVU has covered last two in series, though Mounties were only 1-4-1 vs. spread s host in 2019.


Tech Edge: Baylor, based on team trends.


VIRGINIA at CLEMSON (ACC, 8:00 p.m.)


Rematch of 2019 ACC title game won and covered by Clemson 62-17.
Bronco Mendenhall still 8-3 as dog the past two seasons.
But Dabo has now covered last seven as ACC host.


Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Dabo trends.


NC STATE at PITTSBURGH (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)


After loss at Virginia Tech, Wolfpack has now sagged to 2-11 vs. line its last 13 games on the board since early 2019.
Includes six straight spread Ls away from Raleigh.


Tech Edge: Pitt, based on recent NCS woes.


OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)


Note Lincoln Riley has not covered in three tries vs. ISU since taking over Sooners in 2017.
Matt Campbell has covered last 4 vs. OU including rousing 38-31 upset in 2017.
Cyclones were on 0-5 spread skid into TCU game, though Campbell 18-9-1 as dog since arriving at ISU.


Tech Edge: ISU, based on series and team trends.


MEMPHIS at SMU (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)


Memphis has won last 6 SU in series and had covered five in a row (margin 35 ppg!) before narrow non-cover in 2019.
SMU covered all three chances as dog for Sonny Dykes LY.


Tech Edge: Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.


TULSA at UCF (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)


Tulsa now 7-3 last ten as dog after cover at Ok State.
Included was 34-31 upset win over UCF in 2019.
Golden Hurricane also 7-1 last eight vs. line away.
Golden Knights 9-5 vs. spread at Orlando since 2018 (3-3 LY), haven’t had many revenge chances past couple of years.


Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on recent trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)


Red Wolves only 4-5 vs. number last nine as Sun Belt road chalk.
Chants 6-4 as dog for Chadwell since 2019, including cover in near-upset of Ark State last year.


Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal, based on team trends.


NAVY at AIR FORCE (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)


Navy recovered at Tulane, Niumatalolo dog mark now 22-12-1 since 2013.
Though Mids have failed to win or cover last three trips to Force as host team is 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line since 2013 in this Commander-in-Chief’s rivalry.


Tech Edge: Air Force, based on series trends.


TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)


Troy has won and covered last two meetings though just 5-9 vs. spread for Chip Lindsey since 2019.
USA spread mark now 8-3 last 11 after UAB loss.


Tech Edge: Slight to USA, based on recent trends.


TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)


Tech has lost last 4 SU in series and failed to cover last three vs. K-State.
Red Raiders 2-7 vs. number last nine away from Lubbock.
Cats failed in 2020 home opener vs. Ark State but were 5-2 vs. spread in Manhattan for Klieman in 2019.


Tech Edge: K-State, based on series and team trends.


OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)


Note Gundy has covered 7 of last 8 away from Stillwater.
OSU also 3-0-2 vs. spread last five in this series.
Les Miles only 2-7 vs. spread as host for KU.


Tech Edge: Ok State, based on series and team trends.


UTSA at UAB (Stadium, 12:30 p.m.)


Bill Clark’s UAB has won and covered all three vs. UTSA since returning to gridiron in 2017.
Blazers 9-2-1 vs. line since 2017 as C-USA host, 18-7-1 in C-USA play that span.
Though note UTSA has covered five in a row away (1-0 for Traylor, also 3-0 SU)!


Tech Edge: UAB, based on team and series trends.


TCU at TEXAS (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)


Revenge for Horns after 37-27 Fort Worth loss LY.
Frogs have won and covered five of last six in series.
Tom Herman 3-3 as Austin chalk since LY but just 6-10 in that role for Horns.
Patterson, however, just 3-7 last 10 vs. points as visitor.


Tech Edge: Slight to TCU, based on extended trends.


TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)


Jimbo 5-3 as dog with Ags, has split vs. line against Saban past two years.
A&M 6-3 vs. spread as visitor for Jimbo.
Tide just 1-3 as SEC home chalk last season.


Tech Edge: Slight to A&M, based on team trends.


OLE MISS at KENTUCKY (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)


Rebs were 5-1-1 as dog in 2019 for Matt Luke, though Kiffin just 5-4-1 as dog for FAU the past three years and dropped Reb opener vs. Gators.
After 0-9 home chalk mark 2017-18, Cats were 6-2 vs. spread as host in 2019 (4-2 as Lexington chalk).


Tech Edge: Ole Miss, based on team trends.


WESTERN KENTUCKY at MTSU (ESPN3, 5:00 p.m.)


Dog team has covered last four in series.
WKU has dropped first two vs. line TY and on 4-game spread winless streak (0-3-1) since late 2019.
Blue Raiders did get cover at UTSA after slow 2020 start. Stockstill is 8-3 vs. points last 11 as C-USA host.


Tech Edge: Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.


CHARLOTTE at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)


FAU hopes to get going after pair of postpones.
This now will be Taggart FAU debut! Owls were 10-4 vs. line for Kiffin last year.
But Taggart just 8-13-1 vs. spread with SU past two seasons before getting the boot.
Charlotte just 2-5 vs. line away from home LY.


Tech Edge: FAU, based on team trends.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ULM (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)


Warhawks just 2-12 last 14 vs. line at Malone Stadium.


Tech Edge: Georgia Southern, based on ULM home woes.


AUBURN at GEORGIA (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)


A bit early for this traditional early November tilt.
Malzahn off best spread year since 2013 title game season when 9-4 vs. line in 2019, now 1-0 in 2020.
But Kirby Smart has had his number lately, winning and covering last 3.
Still, Bulldogs only 2-5 as Athens chalk in 2019. Malzahn 3-1 as dog LY.


Tech Edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.


LSU at VANDERBILT (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)


Note Derek Mason entered 2020 on 3-10 spread skid before solid cover at A&M.
Tigers won 66-38 at Nashville LY.
Orgeron 9-1 vs. spread last ten away from Baton Rouge, spanning to before 2019 magic.


Tech Edge: LSU, based on team trends.


ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)


Hogs actually 3-2 vs. line away from home LY but have been destroyed last two years by MSU in the Joe Moorhead days.
Bulldogs entered 2020 on 4-10 spread skid and Leach was just 3-8 his last 11 as chalk with WSU.
However, Miss State won in style in Leach debut last week at LSU.


Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.


SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS (Stadium, 7:30 p.m.)


USM now 0-6 SU and vs. line last six since late 2019.
Golden Eagles had lost and failed to cover three straight vs. UNT prior to 45-27 win LY.
Mean Green on 5-18 spread skid since early 2018.


Tech Edge: Slight to UNT, based on current trends.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Six interesting spreads for Week 4 college games:
— Memphis (-2.5) @ SMU
— Navy (-7) @ Air Force
— Texas Tech @ Kansas State (-2.5)
— TCU @ Texas (-11.5)
— Ole Miss @ Kentucky (-6.5)
— Auburn @ Georgia (-6.5)


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 205,268
Please wear a mask when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“We obviously take responsibility for this.You don’t like seeing this. I don’t know that it’s actually been built into our memories that you have to wear a mask. Our organization takes it very seriously.”
Las Vegas Raiders owner Mark Davis, after multiple members of the Raiders were spotted at a charity event this week not wearing a mask.


Thursday’s quiz
Which AFL team was the first team to beat an NFL team in the Super Bowl?


Wednesday’s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the LA Coliseum.


Tuesday’s quiz
There are two starting QB’s in the NFL whose fathers played major league baseball; Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff.




************************************


Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……


13) Sunday’s Steeler-Titans game was postponed from Sunday to either Monday or Tuesday; another Tennessee player tested positive.


Minnesota Vikings will be back in their facility Thursday; their game with Houston Sunday still appears to be a go.


12) Braves 1, Reds 0 (14) (Atlanta leads, 1-0):
— They’re not using the gimmicky man-on-2nd rule in extra innings in the playoffs.
— This was the first 0-0, extra inning playoff game since Game 6 of the 1997 ALCS between Cleveland-Baltimore.
— Freddie Freeman walked it off with a 14th-inning single.
— Cincinnati left 13 men on base, was 1-12 with RISP.


11) Pardon me for this rant, but I despise it when ESPN mikes players and talks to them while they’re in the field, 1,000 times moreso during a playoff game. Players need to concentrate; lot of the questions that are asked are mindless/inane, anyway.


If you want to talk to players, talk to them when they’re in the dugout, not on the field.


10) Astros 3, Twins 1 (Houston wins 2-0):
— Astros went 29-31 in regular season, but they advance here.
— Minnesota got only three hits; they’ve now lost 18 playoff games in a row.
— Rookie Cristian Javier tossed three scoreless innings in relief.


9) A’s 5, White Sox 3 (series 1-1):
— Oakland scored twice in first inning; Dallas Keuchel was one of only two MLB starters this season that didn’t allow a first-inning run (Dinelson Lamet was the other)
— A’s led 5-0 in 8th, then hung on for dear life. Closer Hendriks got five outs, but left with bases loaded in 9th inning- Jake Diekman retired Jose Abreu to end the game.
— Deciding Game 3 is this afternoon in Oakland.


8) One thing about social media, in this case I mean Twitter; lot of fickle people. Everyone who loses should be fired, everyone who wins is the greatest, at least until they lose again.


7) Lakers 116, Miami 98 (LA leads 1-0):
— Game was 64-48 at halftime, and got worse from there.
— LA was +18 on boards (54-36)
— Anthony Davis scored 34 points in 38:00.


6) Dodgers 4, Milwaukee 2 (LA leads 1-0)
— Milwaukee starter Suter walked five batters in 31.2 IP this year; he walked five batters in 1.2 IP here in a dismal performance. His first five batters? A double and four walks.
— In their 60 regular season games, Dodgers used 56 different lineups.


5) Tampa Bay 8, Toronto 2:
— Rays scored six runs in 2nd inning, chasing Jays’ ace Hyun-Jin Ryu
— Hunter Renfroe hit a grand slam for Tampa Bay.
— Rays advance to play division rival New York in next round.


4) St Louis 7, San Diego 4 (Cardinals lead 1-0)
— Padres are in a tough spot, with their #1-2 starters both injured.
— Cardinals scored four runs in 1st, led 6-3 after three innings.
— Rookie Dylan Carlson batted cleanup, got on base four times, scored twice.


3) Congrats to the Tampa Bay Lightning, who earlier this week won the Stanley Cup for the second time. Congrats to the NHL for executing their playoffs in two bubbles (Toronto/Edmonton) and doing it safely.


2) I really dislike the NFL’s 10:00 overtime rule: the team that kicks off is only going to get the ball once. Why not let teams play a full quarter? If you’re only going to play a 10:00 OT, why have overtime at all and have more tie games?


1) New York 10, Cleveland 9 (New York wins series 2-0)
— Indians scored four runs in 1st, then trailed 6-4/8-6, led 9-8.
— New York scored twice in ninth inning for the win.
— Cleveland pitchers issued 12 walks; hard to win that way.
— New York advances to face Tampa Bay in the next round.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 5


Friday’s game


Louisiana Tech @ BYU
— LA Tech snuck past Southern Miss 31-30 in its opener, then routed a I-AA team 66-38 last week- they gave up 406 passing yards last week.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB who started 3 years at I-AA Abilene Christian.
— Since 2014, Bulldogs are 14-6-2 ATS as a road underdog.


— BYU beat Navy/Troy by a combined score of 103-10; they’ve gained 1,244 yards in two games.
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cougars have 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU’s junior QB has started 18 games.
— Since 2016, Cougars are 7-10 ATS as a home favorite.


— These teams haven’t met the last five years.


13 of Saturday’s best games


South Carolina @ Florida
— South Carolina lost its opener 31-27 at home to Tennessee LW; they were outgained 394-350, ran ball for only 89 yards.
— Gamecocks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Carolina has 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gamecocks have a senior QB who played under OC Bobo while he was the head coach at Colorado State- he was 20-32/261 vs Tennessee LW.
— Since 2017, Carolina is 7-2 ATS as a road underdog.


— Florida threw for 446 yards in its 51-35 win at Ole Miss LW; Ole Miss threw for 443 yards, so not lot of defense on either side there.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators’ senior QB has started 11 games.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.


— Florida won four of last five series games; Gamecocks lost three of last five games in the Swamp, with losses by 4-13-33 points.


North Carolina @ Boston College
— North Carolina beat Syracuse 31-6 in its opener, but that was three weeks ago. Tar Heels gained 463 yards in that game, threw for 303.
— UNC has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tar Heels have 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB who has started 14 games
— Since 2013, Carolina is 8-4 ATS as a road favorite.


— Boston College snuck by Texas State 24-21 LW, after beating Duke 26-6; they’ve run ball for total of only 171 yards in their two games.
— Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— BC has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Eagles’ soph QB is a Notre Dame transfer who is 43-61 for 510 yards in two games.
— Last 3+ years, Boston College is 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.


— North Carolina won last four series games, last three by 18+ points; underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five series games. This is UNC’s first visit to Chestnut Hill since 2009.


Virginia Tech @ Duke
— Va Tech beat NC State 45-24 in its opener, two weeks ago.
— Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Hokies have 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a new QB; they threw only 11 passes in their opener.
— Since 2016, Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS as a road favorite.


— Duke is already 0-3, giving up 30.3 ppg; they’ve lost by 14-20-18 points.
— Blue Devils have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Duke has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Duke’s junior QB was a backup at Clemson for two years.
— Blue Devils are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.


— Home side lost six of last seven series games; Duke is 3-4 in last seven games with Va Tech.
— Hokies won their last seven visits to Durham, with three of last four wins by 4 or fewer points.


Missouri @ Tennessee
— Missouri lost its opener 38-19 at home to Alabama; they ran for only 69 yards.
— Tigers have 4 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Mizzou has 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers has a junior QB with nine career starts.
— Since 2015, Missouri is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.


— Tennessee racked up 394 TY, was +2 in turnovers in its 31-17 win at South Carolina LW.
— Vols have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vols’ senior QB has started 26 games.
— Since 2017, Tennessee is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite.


— Tennessee won 24-20 at Missouri LY, just their third win in last eight series games. Tigers won three of last four visits to Knoxville.


Baylor @ West Virginia
— Baylor hammered Kansas 47-14 in its opener, running for 203 yards.
— Bears have 7 starters back on offense, only 2 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB who has started 31 games.
— Since 2017, Baylor is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.


— West Virginia lost 27-13 at Oklahoma State LW, after whacking a I-AA team in its opener. Mountaineers were out rushed 203-68.
— WVU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Cougars have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
— West Virginia’s junior QB has started 39 games.
— Mountaineers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite.


— West Virginia is 5-3 in last eight series games; they lost 17-14 in Waco LY.
— Baylor lost its last four visits to Morgantown, giving up 48.3 ppg.


NC State @ Pittsburgh
— NC State lost 45-24 at Va Tech last week, after nipping Wake Forest 45-42 the week before.
— State has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Wolfpack has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— State has a soph QB with seven career starts.
— Since 2015, Wolfpack is 3-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.


— Pittsburgh beat Syracuse 21-10, Louisville 23-20, both at home; they outgained those two opponents, 718-394.
— Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Pitt’s senior QB has started 30 games.
— Since 2014, Panthers are 10-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.


— NC State won 35-17 at Pitt in their last meeting, three years ago.


Oklahoma @ Iowa State
— Oklahoma gained 517 yards LW, but was -4 in turnovers, got upset 38-35 at home by Kansas State.
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sooners have a freshman QB with two starts; he threw 3 INT’s last week.
— Since 2017, Oklahoma is 4-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2014, Sooners are 4-6 ATS coming off a SU loss.


— Iowa State snuck past TCU 37-34 LW, after getting upset at home by Louisiana.
— Horned Frogs threw for 400 yards against Iowa State last week.
— ISU has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cyclones have 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Iowa State’s junior QB has started 23 games.
— Cyclones are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.


— Oklahoma won 15 of last 16 series games, but Cyclones covered last four.
— Sooners won their last seven visits to Ames (4-3 ATS).


Navy @ Air Force
— Navy rallied from down 24-0 at half to beat Tulane 27-24 in their last game two weeks ago; they lost their opener 55-3 at home to BYU.
— Middies have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Navy has 29 returning starts on the offensive line.
— New quarterback for Navy this season; he is 8-15 passing in two games.
— Since 2015, Middies are 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.


— This is Air Force’s season opener.
— Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Air Force has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Falcons’ senior QB has started 16 games.
— Since 2014, Air Force is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.


— Home side won last seven Navy-Air Force games; Middies lost their last three visits to Air Force, by 28-14-9 points.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games played here.


Texas Tech @ Kansas State
— Texas Tech lost 63-56 in OT at home to Texas LW, after they nipped a I-AA team 35-33 in their opener.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Red Raiders have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Since 2015, Red Raiders are 11-7 ATS as a road underdog.


— K-State upset Oklahoma 38-35 at home LW, after losing at home to Arkansas State the week before- they’re +6 in turnovers this season.
— Wildcats have givne up 717 passing yards in two games.
— Wildcats have 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— K-State has 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
— K-State’s senior QB has started 29 games.
— Since 2015, Wildcats are 6-13 ATS as a home favorite.


— K-State won eight of last nine series games; underdogs covered last four series games.
— Tech lost its last four visits to Manhattan, three of them by 15+ points.


Oklahoma State @ Kansas
— Oklahoma State beat Tulsa 16-7, West Virginia 27-13 in their first two games, both at home.
— OSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Cowboys have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— State has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Since 2017, OSU is 8-6 ATS as a road favorite.


— Kansas lost its first two games, 38-23 at home to Coastal Carolina, 47-14 at Baylor.
— Jayhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Kansas has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Jayhawks are using multiple quarterbacks.
— Since 2017, Kansas is 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.


— Oklahoma State won last ten series games; they’re 15-3-2 ATS in last 20.
— Cowboys are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Lawrence.


Ole Miss @ Kentucky
— Ole Miss gained 613 TY, still lost their opener 51-35 at home to Florida.
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Ole Miss has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Rebels have a soph QB with ten career starts.
— Ole Miss is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 games as a road underdog.


— Kentucky lost 29-13 at home to Auburn; they outgained the Tigers by 60 yards, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats’ senior QB has started 16 games.
— Since 2016, Kentucky is 6-14 ATS as a home favorite.


— Ole Miss (+3.5) won 37-34 at Kentucky in last series game, in 2017.


Auburn @ Georgia
— Auburn won its opener 29-13 at Kentucky, despite being outgained by 60 yards.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a soph QB who started 9 games.
— Since 2012, Bulldogs are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.


— Georgia won its opener 37-10 at Arkansas, using its #4 QB, a former walk-on.
— Unclear if 4th-stringer Bennett or USC transfer Daniels will get nod to start here.
— Georgia has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Dawgs have 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Either QB would be making his first start for Georgia; Daniels threw 34 passes for USC last year.
— Since 2015, Cougars are 9-19 ATS as a home favorite.


— Georgia won eight of last ten series games.
— Auburn lost its last six visits between the hedges (0-6 ATS).


LSU @ Vanderbilt
— LSU lost its opener 44-34 at home to Miss State, giving up 623 PY.
— LSU has only 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
— LSU has a junior QB who has started one game.
— Since 2016, Tigers are 7-5 ATS as a road favorite.


— Vanderbilt lost its opener 17-12 at Texas A&M; they gained only 255 yards.
— Vandy has 5 starters back on offense, 11 starters back on defense.
— Commodores have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vandy’s true frosh QB was 20-29/159 with two INT’s last week.
— Since 2017, Commodores are 2-8 ATS as a home underdog.


— LSU won its last six games with Vanderilbt- they hammered Vandy 66-38 LY.
— Tigers won last three visits to Nashville, by an average score of 23-5.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


LT at BYU 09:00 PM


BYU -24.0


U 60.0

 

[CNOTES]

COMPLETED PICKS


Past Completed Picks


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/02/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/26/2020 19-25-2 43.48% -4250 Detail
09/25/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/19/2020 9-21-0 30.00% -7050 Detail
09/12/2020 17-9-0 65.38% +3550 Detail
09/10/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/07/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/05/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail


TOTALS.....54-60-2.......47.36%.....-60.00

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 3


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


ECU at GSU 12:00 PM
ECU -2.0
O 70.0
+500 +500


TCU at TEX 12:00 PM
TCU +10.0
O 62.0
+500 +500


MIZZ at TENN 12:00 PM
MIZZ +11.0
U 49.0
+500 +500


BAY at WVU 12:00 PM
WVU +1.0
O 54.0
+500 +500


NCST at PITT 12:00 PM
NCST +13.5
O 45.5
+500 +500


ARST at CC 12:00 PM
CC +3.5
O 64.5
+500 +500


SOCAR at FLA 12:00 PM
FLA -14.5
O 56.0
+500 +500


UTSA at UAB 12:30 PM
UAB -21.5
O 55.0
+500 +50

 

[CNOTES]

LATE AFTERNOON GAMES;


USF at CIN 03:30 PM
CIN -21.0
U 45.0
+500 +500


UNC at BC 03:30 PM
UNC -14.5
U 52.5
+500 +500


TAM at ALA 03:30 PM
ALA -17.5
U 53.5
+500 +500


OKST at KU 03:30 PM
OKST -23.0
O 53.5
+500 +500


MEM at SMU 03:30 PM
MEM +2.5
O 74.5
+500 +500


TTU at KSU 03:30 PM
TTU +1.0
O 62.0
+500 +500


VT at DUKE 04:00 PM
DUKE +13.0
O 54.0
+500 +500


CHAR at FAU 04:00 PM
CHAR +4.5
O 61.5
+500 +500


MISS at UK 04:00 PM
UK -6.5
U 63.5
+500 +500


WKU at MTU 05:00 PM
WKU -7.0
O 52.5
+500 +500


NAVY at AFA 06:00 PM
AFA +7.0
U 47.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

UNDER THE LIGHTS:


GASO at ULM 07:00 PM
ULM +18.5
O 50.5
+500 +500


TLSA at UCF 07:30 PM
TLSA +20.5
U 70.0
+500 +500


USM at UNT 07:30 PM
UNT -1.5
O 74.0
+500 +500


LSU at VAN 07:30 PM
LSU -21.0
U 50.0
+500 +500


AUB at UGA 07:30 PM
UGA -7.5
O 43.0
+500 +500


ARK at MSST 07:30 PM
MSST -16.5
U 69.0
+500 +500


OKLA at ISU 07:30 PM
OKLA -7.5
U 62.5
+500 +500


UVA at CLEM 08:00 PM
UVA +28.0
O 55.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

RECORD THRU THE WORLS SERIES:




DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/03/2020 30-23-1 56.48% +2350 Detail


10/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -725 Detail


10/01/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2100 Detail


09/30/2020 9-7-0 56.25% +900 Detail


09/29/2020 2-6-0 25.00% -2525 Detail


TOTALS.....43-44-2.....49.42.....-21.00

 

[CNOTES]

College Football Odds This Week: Opening Lines & Odds Movement
Patrick Everson


The Red River Rivalry resumes Saturday when Sam Ehlinger and Texas take on Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl. FanDuel opened Oklahoma -2.5 and moved to -1.5 by Monday afternoon.


College football odds for Week 6 are on the betting board and already getting action, with a few key games dotting the schedule. No. 1 Clemson plays host to No.7 Miami under the Saturday night lights, and No. 12 Tennessee travels to No. 3 Georgia.


FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 6 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.


College football Week 6 odds


These are the current College football Week 6 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 28.

(7) Miami at (1) Clemson odds


Opening line
Clemson -16, Over/Under 65.5


Why the line moved
Clemson is already down to -14.5 on Monday night at FanDuel, where early bettors are jumping on the underdog. Miami is taking 73 percent of tickets and money on the spread, and the Hurricanes have even greater support on the moneyline, at 77 percent of bets/97 percent of dollars. And the total plunged from 65.5 to 60.5 Monday, despite a large majority of tickets and money on the Over.




(18) Virginia Tech at (9) North Carolina odds


Opening line
North Carolina -3.5, Over/Under 60.5


Why the line moved
This line was volatile early, jumping from Tar Heels -3.5 to -6.5 in a matter of minutes Sunday, then receding to -4.5 by lunch hour Monday. Through Monday night, Carolina is taking 62 percent of tickets and 54 percent of money on the spread. The total went from 60.5 to 61.5, then fell to 57.5 Monday afternoon, and it looks like there's some sharp play here: 75 percent of tickets are on the Over, but 63 percent of money is on the Under.




(12) Tennessee at (3) Georgia odds


Opening line
Georgia -14, Over/Under 44.5


Why the line moved
By Monday afternoon, Georgia had already dialed down to -12.5 at FanDuel on two-way action. Through Monday night, Tennessee is taking 57 percent of bets, while Georgia is getting 58 percent of dollars.




(22) Texas vs Oklahoma Odds


Opening line
Oklahoma -2.5, Over/Under 70.5


Why the line moved
The eye-popping total stands out most for the neutral-site rekindling of the Red River Rivalry, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. The total is already up to 72.5 at FanDuel, with 89 percent of bets and 97 percent of money on the Over. On the spread, Oklahoma is down to -1.5 Monday night, although early tickets and money are both running about 2/1 on the Sooners.




Texas Tech at (24) Iowa State Odds


Opening line
Iowa State -13.5, Over/Under 62.5


Why the line moved
Iowa State is down a point to -12.5 at FanDuel, and betting splits through Monday night indicate why: 62 percent of tickets and 53 percent of dollars are on Texas Tech. And early moneyline bettors apparently expect a letdown from the Cyclones, who as 7-point home underdogs upended Oklahoma 37-30 on Saturday. Texas Tech is attracting 54 percent of moneyline bets and 98 percent of moneyline cash.




(2) Alabama at Ole Miss odds


Opening line
Mississippi +23.5, Over/Under 73.5


Why the line moved
Big favorite Alabama is up a point Monday to -24.5 at FanDuel, with ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 in favor of the Crimson Tide. And, like Oklahoma-Texas, a huge total already has heavily tilted action to the Over, at 87 percent of tickets and 98 percent of money through Monday.




Arkansas at (13) Auburn odds


Opening line
Auburn -15.5, Over/Under 51.5


Why the line moved
Auburn is up to -16.5 Monday night at FanDuel, taking 58 percent of early tickets and 66 percent of early money on the spread. The total is already down to 48.5, thanks to 83 percent of tickets/92 percent of money showing on the Under.




Missouri at (16) LSU odds


Opening line
LSU -18.5, Over/Under 53.5


Why the line moved
Louisiana State is already up 2 points at FanDuel, sitting at -20.5 Monday night. Sixty-three percent of bets are on the Tigers, but money is closer to two-way, with LSU garnering 54 percent of early cash.




(3) Florida at (20) Texas A&M odds


Opening line
Texas A&M +5.5, Over/Under 57.5


Why the line moved
Early bettors don't think much of A&M's home field, with Florida taking more than 90 percent of early point-spread tickets and money. That prompted FanDuel to move the Gators to -7.5 early Monday, before moving back to -6.5.




Florida State at (5) Notre Dame odds


Opening line
Notre Dame -21.5, Over/Under 53.5


Why the line moved
Notre Dame is down a point Monday night to -20.5 at FanDuel, but the Fighting Irish are taking 87 percent of early tickets and 94 percent of early dollars. Similarly, the total is down 2 points to 51.5, despite the Over attracting 83 percent of bets and 85 percent of cash.

 

[CNOTES]

4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
Joe Nelson


Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games.


Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football.


Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.


Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24


This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception.


A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.


West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21


Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play.


Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.


TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62)


The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62.


Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard.


TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.


SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27


SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third.


SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts.


Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.


Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21

Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark.


The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away.


Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.


Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17


The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone.


Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.


Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30


Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20.


The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game.


Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied.


The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.


Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17


This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort.


A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining.


Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.


LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7


LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20.


Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.


Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30


Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns.


Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short.


Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.

 

[CNOTES]

303TULANE -304 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.


303TULANE -304 HOUSTON
Dana Holgorsen is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry (All games)


305LOUISVILLE -306 GEORGIA TECH
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.


307MISSISSIPPI ST -308 KENTUCKY
MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.


309DUKE -310 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog since 1992.


311PITTSBURGH -312 BOSTON COLLEGE
PITTSBURGH is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.


313NC STATE -314 VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.


315E CAROLINA -316 S FLORIDA
E CAROLINA is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.


317MIAMI -318 CLEMSON
MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.


319VIRGINIA TECH -320 N CAROLINA
N CAROLINA is 47-26 ATS (18.4 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.


321TENNESSEE -322 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games after an ATS win since 1992.


323OKLAHOMA -324 TEXAS
TEXAS are 44-25 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.


325TEXAS TECH -326 IOWA ST
TEXAS TECH is 29-13 ATS (14.7 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.


327ALABAMA -328 OLE MISS
OLE MISS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.


329ARKANSAS -330 AUBURN
ARKANSAS are 26-13 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game since 1992.


331MISSOURI -332 LSU
LSU is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.


333FLORIDA -334 TEXAS A&M
FLORIDA is 57-33 ATS (20.7 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.


337S CAROLINA -338 VANDERBILT
VANDERBILT is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.


339TEXAS ST -340 TROY
TROY is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after going under the total since 1992.


341LA MONROE -342 LIBERTY
LA MONROE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.


343UTSA -344 BYU
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.


347TEMPLE -348 NAVY
TEMPLE is 23-7 ATS (15.3 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. since 1992.


349MIDDLE TENN ST -350 FLA INTERNATIONAL
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.


351UTEP -352 LOUISIANA TECH
UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) on the road when the total is 52.5-56 since 1992.


353FLORIDA ST -354 NOTRE DAME
FLORIDA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 in the last 3 seasons.


355CHARLOTTE -356 NORTH TEXAS
NORTH TEXAS are 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.


357MARSHALL -358 W KENTUCKY
MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 6


Thursday, October 8

Tulane @ Houston


Game 303-304
October 8, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
80.192
Houston
90.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
58
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5); Over




Friday, October 9


Louisville @ Georgia Tech


Game 305-306
October 9, 2020 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
85.465
Georgia Tech
74.164
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 11 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 5 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-5 1/2); Under




Saturday, October 10


LA-Monroe @ Liberty


Game 341-342
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
54.452
Liberty
78.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 24
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 19
60
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(-19); Under


South Carolina @ Vanderbilt


Game 337-338
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
94.910
Vanderbilt
73.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 21 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 12
49
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-12); Under


Virginia Tech @ North Carolina


Game 319-320
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
88.648
North Carolina
101.684
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 13
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 5 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-5 1/2); Over


Florida @ Texas A&M


Game 333-334
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Florida
101.337
Texas A&M
98.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 6 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(+6 1/2); Over


Coastal Carolina @ LA-Lafayette


Game 363-364
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
00.000
LA-Lafayette
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina


Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina


Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
N/A


Texas @ Oklahoma


Game 323-324
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Texas
99.432
Oklahoma
93.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 6
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 2 1/2
70
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+2 1/2); Over


NC State @ Virginia


Game 313-314
October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
NC State
79.524
Virginia
97.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 17 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 9 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-9 1/2); Under


Duke @ Syracuse


Game 309-310
October 10, 2020 @ 12:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Duke
79.365
Syracuse
84.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 5
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 1 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+1 1/2); Over


The Citadel @ Army


Game 359-360
October 10, 2020 @ 1:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
49.826
Army
87.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 38
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 31 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-31 1/2); Over


Mercer @ Jacksonville St


Game 000-000
October 10, 2020 @ 3:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
47.228
Jacksonville St
55.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville St
by 8 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville St
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
N/A


TX-San Antonio @ Brigham Young


Game 343-344
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
66.373
Brigham Young
107.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 41 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 33
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-33); Under


Texas Tech @ Iowa State


Game 325-326
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
79.603
Iowa State
99.062
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 19 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 13
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-13); Under


Tennessee @ Georgia


Game 321-322
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
96.346
Georgia
113.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 17
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 14
45
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-14); Under

Central Arkansas @ Arkansas St


Game 361-362
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
62.097
Arkansas St
83.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 21
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 17
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-17); Under


Texas State @ Troy


Game 339-340
October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
71.425
Troy
81.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 9 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 7
61
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-7); Over


Middle Tennessee St @ FIU


Game 349-350
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
61.776
FIU
74.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 12 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 5
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(-5); Under


Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss


Game 345-346
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
79.693
Southern Miss
80.913
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 3 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+3 1/2); Over


Arkansas @ Auburn


Game 329-330
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
91.839
Auburn
98.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 7
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 16 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+16 1/2); Under


Pittsburgh @ Boston College


Game 311-312
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
89.605
Boston College
81.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-4 1/2); Over


Kansas State @ TCU


Game 335-336
October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
96.067
TCU
94.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 1 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 10
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+10); Under


Temple @ Navy


Game 347-348
October 10, 2020 @


Dunkel Rating:
Temple
77.700
Navy
80.122
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 2 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+3); Over


Alabama @ Mississippi


Game 327-328
October 10, 2020 @ 6:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
113.583
Mississippi
95.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 18 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 24
71
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(+24); Over


East Carolina @ South Florida


Game 315-316
October 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
68.879
South Florida
70.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 4
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+4); Over


Mississippi St @ Kentucky


Game 307-308
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
93.098
Kentucky
94.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 3
57
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(+3); Under


Florida State @ Notre Dame


Game 353-354
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
83.212
Notre Dame
100.285
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 17
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 21
54
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+21); Over


Marshall @ Western Kentucky


Game 357-358
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
90.637
Western Kentucky
75.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 15 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 5
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-5); Under


UTEP @ Louisiana Tech


Game 351-352
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
67.591
Louisiana Tech
78.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 11
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 15
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+15); Under


Miami-FL @ Clemson


Game 317-318
October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
94.486
Clemson
117.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 23
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 15
64
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-15); Under

Charlotte @ North Texas


Game 355-356
October 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
70.354
North Texas
70.708
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
Even
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 2 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+2 1/2); Over


Missouri @ LSU


Game 331-332
October 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
86.736
LSU
112.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 25 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 20
54
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-20); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Long Sheet


Thursday, October 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TULANE (2 - 1) at HOUSTON (0 - 0) - 10/8/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, October 9


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (1 - 2) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 2) - 10/9/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, October 10


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 1) at KENTUCKY (0 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (0 - 4) at SYRACUSE (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (0 - 2) at S FLORIDA (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (3 - 0) at CLEMSON (3 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) at N CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 0) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
GEORGIA is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
GEORGIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (1 - 2) vs. TEXAS (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (1 - 2) at IOWA ST (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
ALABAMA is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ALABAMA is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (1 - 1) at AUBURN (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (0 - 2) at LSU (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA (2 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (2 - 1) at TCU (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 135-95 ATS (+30.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 168-125 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 132-93 ATS (+29.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA (0 - 2) at VANDERBILT (0 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (1 - 3) at TROY (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (0 - 4) at LIBERTY (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 3) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (0 - 0) at NAVY (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 184-136 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 184-136 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 102-63 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 166-121 ATS (+32.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 116-77 ATS (+31.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEMPLE is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 4) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (3 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTEP is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
UTEP is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (1 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (0 - 2) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (2 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MARSHALL is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, October 8


Tulane @ Houston
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 7 games
Houston
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tulane
Houston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Tulane




Friday, October 9


Louisville @ Georgia Tech
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games on the road
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games at home




Saturday, October 10


South Carolina @ Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing at home against South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games at home


Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas
Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas


Virginia Tech @ North Carolina
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
Virginia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech


Louisiana-Monroe @ Liberty
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Texas State @ Troy
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Troy
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas State


North Carolina State @ Virginia
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games on the road
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games


Duke @ Syracuse
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duke's last 15 games
Syracuse
Syracuse is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games


The Citadel @ Army
The Citadel
The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
Army
Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Texas Tech @ Iowa State
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
Iowa State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech


Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games at home


Texas-San Antonio @ Brigham Young
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brigham Young is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games


Tennessee @ Georgia
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia's last 11 games


Florida @ Texas A&M
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games


Arkansas @ Auburn
Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing Auburn
Auburn
Auburn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas
Auburn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas


Kansas State @ Texas Christian
Kansas State
Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games when playing Kansas State


Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Miss's last 10 games
Southern Miss is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home


Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Florida International
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida International
Florida International
Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing Middle Tennessee


Pittsburgh @ Boston College
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh


Alabama @ Mississippi
Alabama
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Mississippi is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Alabama


Temple @ Navy
Temple
Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Navy
Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Navy
Navy
Navy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


East Carolina @ South Florida
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Florida
South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
South Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina


Mississippi State @ Kentucky
Mississippi State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games on the road
Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home


Texas El Paso @ Louisiana Tech
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Marshall @ Western Kentucky
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Marshall


Miami-FL @ Clemson
Miami-FL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami-FL's last 5 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami-FL's last 21 games on the road
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games


Florida State @ Notre Dame
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Charlotte @ North Texas
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Texas
North Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games at home


Missouri @ Louisiana State
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
Louisiana State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

Tech Trends - Week 6
Bruce Marshall


Week 6 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 8 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.


We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.


Thursday, Oct. 8


TULANE at HOUSTON (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)


Houston hopes to play after three postponements!
Cougars were 0-2 as chalk LY for Holgorsen.
Tulane has covered 3 of 4 meetings since head coach Willie Fritz arrived in 2016.
Fritz on 11-6 spread uptick.


Tech Edge: Tulane, based on team trends.




Friday, Oct. 9


LOUISVILLE at GEORGIA TECH (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)


Louisville is 4-1 as chalk for Satterfield since mid 2019.
Also 14-4-1 as chalk since late 2017 at previous gig - App State.
After recent spread losses, head coach Geoff Collins struggling
Jackets just 4-10-1 vs. number since arriving at GT in 2019.

Tech Edge: Louisville, based on team trends.




Saturday, Oct. 10


MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)


Rebels coach Mike Leach made bright debut at Miss State.
Remember he was only 4-11 ATS his previous 15 vs. line at Wazzu.
Also, he lost last week vs. Arkansas.
Leach though is 15-8 as an underdog last 23 in role with WSU & MSU.
Home team has won and covered last five meetings.
Mark Stoops was 6-2 vs. points at Lexington in 2019 before last week’s loss to Ole Miss.


Tech Edge: Slight to Kentucky, based on series home trends.




DUKE at SYRACUSE (ACC, 12:30 p.m.)


Head coach David Cutcliffe lost this game 49-6 to ‘Cuse LY.
One of his worst efforts with Duke.
Cutcliffe now on 9-15-2 ATS skid.


Tech Edge: Syracuse, based on recent Duke woes.




PITT at BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)


Panthers were 4-1 vs. line as visitor in 2019.
BC 2-0 as dog for Hafley, 16-5-1 as short since 2017.
Last year’s meeting was first since 2004 when both still in Big East!


Tech Edge: Slight to Boston College, if underdog, based on extended trends.




NC STATE at VIRGINIA (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)


Even after win at Pitt, NCS 3-11 spread skid since early 2019.
Wolfpack also no covers eight of last nine away from home.


Tech Edge: Virginia, based on NCS woes.




EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH FLORIDA (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)


USF has won last five outright in series and 4-1-1 last six vs. line against ECU.
But Bulls only 4-8 vs. spread last 12 at Tampa.
Note Pirates on 6-2 uptick as underdog since mid 2019 for coach Mike Houston.


Tech Edge: Slight to East Carolina, based on recent team trends.




MIAMI-FL. at CLEMSON (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)


Canes hot 3-0 SU and vs. line to begin 2020.
Note Dabo has won last two vs. Miami by combined 96-3 score (2015 & 2017 ACC title game).
Though Clemson has failed to cover mountainous numbers first three this season, Dabo was 11-4 vs. line laying mostly big points last year.
And was 19-5-1 vs. spread last 25 entering this season.
Dabo had also covered seven straight as ACC host before non-cover vs. Virginia.


Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Dabo trends.




VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)


UNC coach Mack Brown 5-0 SU, 4-1 vs. line last five since late 2019.
Tar Heels have lost last four SU in series though it took 6 OTs last season.
V-Tech head coach Justin Fuente 4-0 as dog with Hokies in 2019.


Tech Edge: Slight to Virginia Tech, based on team and series trends.




TENNESSEE at GEORGIA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)


Vols on an 8-game SU win streak (and 8-2 last ten vs. line).
UT has lost last 3 SU vs. Georgia and not closer than 26 in any of those games.
Jeremy Pruitt has covered five straight as 'dog for Vols.
Dawgs just 1-5 as Athens chalk in 2019 before win over Auburn last week.


Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends.




OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS at Dallas (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)


UT coach Tom Herman 3-0 vs. line in reg season vs. Oklahoma.
He’s 16-4 as a dog since 2015 at Houston.
Longhorns have covered six straight in reg season vs. Sooners.
OU just 10-18-1 last 29 on board.


Tech Edge: Texas, based on team and series trends.




TEXAS TECH at IOWA STATE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)


Matt Campbell’s ISU 4-11 last 15 as chalk.
Campbell 1-3 vs. line last four after facing OU, but is 4-0 SU and vs. line against Texas Tech.
Coach Matt Wells just 3-5 as dog with Red Raiders.


Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series trends.




ALABAMA at OLE MISS (ESPN, 6:00 p.m.)


Nick Saban is 20-0 SU against former assistants.
Lane Kiffin 1-1 vs. line with Rebs after 10-4 mark last year vs. spread at FAU.
Saban 62 PPG last 3 vs. Ole Miss, though only 2-1 vs. line those games.
'Bams just 5-7 last 12 as SEC visiting chalk.
Rebs were 5-1-1 as 'dog last year for Matt Luke and 1-1 in role thus far with Kiffin.


Tech Edge: Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.




ARKANSAS at AUBURN (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)


Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has won and covered last four in this special rivalry (for him).
All of those wins by 31 or more.
Malzahn 8-3 last 11 as reg season chalk.


Tech Edge: Auburn, based on series trends.




MISSOURI at LSU (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)


Even in championship 2019 season, LSU only 2-2 as Baton Rouge SEC chalk, now 2-4 last six in role.
Tigers coach Eli Drinkwitz now 4-1 as dog (3-0 App, 1-0 Mizzou) since last year at App State, and 10-6 overall vs. spread.
This is the first meeting since 2016.


Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.




FLORIDA at TEXAS A&M (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)


After covering 13 of his first 16 with Aggies, head coach Jimbo Fisher has now dropped 8 of last 12 on board with A&M.
Dan Mullen, meanwhile, is 6-2 vs. spread as SEC visitor since taking over Gators in 2018.


Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.




KANSAS STATE at TCU (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)


Horned Frogs are 5-15-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016, and have lost and failed to cover 4 of last 5 vs. K-State.
Wildcats coach Chris Klieman 7-2 as 'dog since 2019 with Cats.
K-State Now 22-7 as dog since 2016 dating to the last years of the Bill Snyder era.


Tech Edge: Kansas State, based on team and series trends.




SOUTH CAROLINA at VANDERBILT (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)


Since arriving in Columbia, coach Will Muschamp has owned Vandy, winning and covering all four with SC vs. Dores.
Vandy coach Derek Mason 4-11 spread slump since late 2018.


Tech Edge: South Carolina, based on series trends.




TEXAS STATE at TROY (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)


Much-improved Texas State has been more active than most teams and improving vs. number (3-1), also has covered last four as dog since late 2019.
Troy on 5-11 reg season spread skid (5-9 for Lindsey) though Trojans have won and covered last three in series.


Tech Edge: Texas State, based on recent trends.




ULM at LIBERTY (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)


Things not going well at ULM, 0-4 SU and1 1-3 vs. line, now 9-20 vs. points since late 2017 for coach Matt Viator.


Tech Edge: Liberty, based on team trends.




UTSA at BYU (ESPN2, 2:30 p.m.)


Note UTSA has covered 7 of last 8 as dog since mid 2019.
Coach Kalani Sitake off quickly in 2020 at 3-0 for BYU but remember just 4-9 vs. line last season.


Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.




FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTHERN MISS (Stadium, 4:00 p.m.)


FAU finally made debut on Oct. 3 after 10-4 vs. line for Lane Kiffin last year.
Though after non-cover vs. Charlotte, coach Willie Taggart just 8-14-1 vs. spread since 2018 at FSU and now FAU.
USM won at UNT last week, breaking six-game SU and spread skid.


Tech Edge: FAU, based on recent trends.




TEMPLE at NAVY (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)


Owls were 3-0 SU, 2-0-1 vs. line against Mids from 2016-18.
Note Navy 3-0-1 vs. line last four years after facing Air Force and has covered 6 of last 7 in Annapolis.
Owls were 8-5 vs. line for coach Rod Carey LY but only 2-4 outside of Philly and yet to play in 2020!


Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on team trends.




MTSU at FIU (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)


Home side has covered last four in this series.
Brent Stockstill, however, is 8-5 vs. line last 13 as visitor (1-1 in 2020) for MT.
FIU coach Butch Davis only 2-5 as chalk since last season.


Tech Edge: Slight to Florida International, based on series home trends.




UTEP at LA TECH (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)


UTEP 3-1 SU (2-2 vs. line), taking advantage of soft early slate.
Remember Miners were 10-25-1 vs. spread previous three seasons.
Road team has also covered last four in series.
Skip Holtz was 3-7 as Ruston chalk in 2017-18 but 3-2 in role LY.


Tech Edge: Slight to Louisiana Tech, based on extended trends.




FLORIDA STATE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)


Noles skidding 13-26-1 vs. line since 2017 (0-2 TY).
Also 4-10 as underdog since 2017.
Irish 6-3 vs. spread at South Bend since 2019, also on 6-1 uptick vs. points.


Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.




CHARLOTTE at NORTH TEXAS (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)


UNT on 5-19 skid last 24 vs. spread since mid 2018.
49ers however only 3-5 vs. spread last eight away from home.


Tech Edge: Slight to Charlotte, based on recent UNT negatives.




MARSHALL at WESTERN KENTUCKY (Stadium, 7:30 p.m.)


Series has slanted to WKU, which has covered last six meetings.
Though Hilltoppers on 0-4-1 spread skid since late 2019.
Herd is 11-4 last 15 as dog.


Tech Edge: Western Kentucky, based on series trends.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 7


Thursday’s game


Tulane (2-1) @ Houston (0-0)
— Tulane is 2-1; they blew a 24-0 halftime lead in their loss to Navy.
— Green Wave has run ball for 299.3 yards/game.
— Tulane has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Green Wave has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulane’s senior QB has started 12 games.
— Green Wave os 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.


— This is Houston’s season opener.
— Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cougars have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started nine games.
— Since 2017, Cougars are 8-5 ATS as a home favorite.


— Tulane beat Houston 38-31 LY; both teams ran ball for 300+ yards.
— Home team won last four series games.
— Tulane lost 7 of last 8 visits here, losing 48-17/30-18 in last two.


Friday’s game


Louisville (1-2) @ Georgia Tech (1-2)
— Louisville lost its first two ACC games, giving up 70 points.
— Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Louisville has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Louisville’s junior QB has started 17 games.
— Since 2014, Cardinals are 10-7 ATS as a road favorite.


— Georgia Tech upset Florida State, then lost next two games, 49-31/37-20.
— Tech has 9 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Yellow Jackets have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech’s freshman QB has started three games.
— Jackets are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.


— Georgia Tech (-5) waxed Louisville 66-31 in their last meeting, in 2018.


13 of Saturday’s best games


Mississippi State (1-1) @ Kentucky (0-2)
— State was upset by Arkansas LW, after they upset LSU; Bulldogs are minus-4 in turnovers.
— MSU threw ball for 623 yards at LSU, 313 against the Razorbacks.
— Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— MSU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bulldogs have a senior QB who has 27 starts (25 at Stanford)
— Since 2017, MSU is 1-6 ATS as a road underdog; Leach is 18-8 ATS in his last 26 games as a road dog.


— Kentucky lost its first two games, giving up 71 points; they lost 42-41 in OT to Ole Miss LW.
— Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats’ senior QB has started 17 games.
— Kentucky is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite.


— Home side won last five series games.
— Miss State won nine of last 11 series games, but lost 40-38/28-7 in last two visits here.


Duke (0-4) @ Syracuse (1-2)
— Duke lost its first four games, giving up 38-38 points in last two games.
— Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Blue Devils have 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Duke has a junior QB who has started four games
— Since 2013, Duke is 7-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.


— Syracuse won its home opener 37-20 LW, after losing road games 31-6/21-10.
— Orangemen have 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Syracuse’s junior QB has started 14 games.
— Under Babers, Syracuse is 5-8 ATS as a home underdog.


— Road team won last two series games; Syracuse won 49-6 at Duke LY.


Pitt (3-1) @ Boston College (2-1)
— Pitt won two of first three ACC games, all at home; they gained 503 TY in their 30-29 loss to NC State LW. This is their first road game.
— Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Pitt has a senior QB with 31 career starts.
— Since 2016, Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.


— BC split its first two ACC games, losing 26-22 to UNC here last week- they’ve run ball for only 70.3 yards/game.
— Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— BC has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Eagles’ QB is a Notre Dame transfer; he is 80-117 for 823 yards so far.
— Since 2017, Boston College is 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.


— Pitt won four of last five series games; they lost 26-19 to BC last year.
— Panthers won 30-20/24-13 in their last two visits to Chestnut Hill.


NC State (2-1) @ Virginia
— NC State has won two of three games, splitting two road tilts.
— Average total in State’s games: 71.7.
— Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wolfpack has a sophomore QB with 8 career starts.
— Since 2017, NC State is 3-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.


— Virginia lost 41-23 at Clemson, after beating Duke 38-20 here.
— Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Virginia has 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cavs’ sophomore QB has started two games.
— Since 2017, Virginia is 9-7 ATS as a home favorite.


— Virginia (+6) lost 35-21 at NC State in their last meeting, two years ago.


Miami (3-0) @ Clemson (3-0)
— Miami won its first three games, scoring 43.3 ppg.
— Hurricanes have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hurricanes have a senior QB who has started 22 games., 19 at Houston.
— Since 2015, Miami is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.


— Clemson won its first two ACC games, 37-13 over Wake, 41-23 over Virginia.
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Clemson’s junior QB has started 29 games.
— Since 2017, Tigers are 12-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.


— Clemson won last two series games, 38-0/58-3.


Virginia Tech (2-0) @ North Carolina (2-0)
— Virginia Tech won its first two games, scoring 83 points.
— Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— VT has a junior QB with seven career starts, five at Oregon.
— Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.


— North Carolina won its first two games, scoring 57 points- they stopped BC on a game-tying 2-point conversion in last minute LW.
— Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— UNC has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC’s sophomore QB has started 15 games.
— Tar Heels are 2-4 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.


— Virginia Tech beat Carolina 43-41 in six OT’s LY; they won last four series games.
— Hokies won 22-19/34-3 in last two visits to Kenan Stadium.


Tennessee (2-0) @ Georgia (2-0)
— Tennessee won its first two games, scoring 31-35 points; they’ve won eight games in a row, going back to last year.
— Volunteers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vols have a senior QB with 27 career starts.
— Under Pruitt, Tennessee is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.


— Georgia won its first two games this year, by 27-21 points.
— Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Georgia’s junior QB is a former walk-on who started his first game LW, but he’s played well in his 1.5 games. Quite the Cinderella story.
— Since 2015, Dawgs are 11-19 ATS as a home favorite.


— Georgia is 8-2 in last ten series games, winning last three, by 12-2-26 points.
— Vols lost five of last six visits to Athens; underdogs covered five of those six games.
— Underdogs are 10-5 ATS in last fifteen series games.


Oklahoma (1-2) @ Texas (2-1)
— Oklahoma has lost consecutive regular season games for first time since 1999.
— Sooners lost first two Big X games, 38-35/37-30.
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— New QB for Oklahoma this season; he is 69-94/977 yards with 10 TD’s, four INT’s.
— Sooners are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite.


— Texas lost 33-31 at home to TCU LW, after scoring 122 points in their first two wins.
— Texas allowed 898 yards in splitting its first two Big X games.
— Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Texas has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Longhorns’ senior QB has started 36 games.
— Under Herman, Texas is 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.


— Oklahoma won 8 of last 11 series games; they lost 48-45 to Texas LY.
— Underdogs covered six of last seven series games.
— Average total in last four series games: 74.3.


Texas Tech (1-2) @ Iowa State (2-1)
— Texas Tech lost its first two Big X games, 63-56 OT/31-21.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Red Raiders have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a sophomore QB with 13 career starts.
— Since 2015, Red Raiders are 11-8 ATS as a road underdog.


— Iowa State won its first two Big X games, 37-34/37-30, after they got upset at home by Louisiana.
— Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
— ISU’s junior QB has started 24 games.
— Cyclones are 3-9 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite.


— Iowa State won last four series games, all by 9+ points.
— Tech lost 40-31/66-10 in their last two visits to Ames.


Arkansas (1-1) @ Auburn (1-1)
— Arkansas upset Miss State LW, snapping their 20-game SEC losing streak.
— Arkansas has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Razorbacks have 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hogs have a senior QB with 26 career starts, 24 of them at Florida.
— Since 2017, Arkansas is 3-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.


— Auburn lost 27-6 at Georgia LW, after beating Kentucky 29-13 in their opener.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a sophomore QB with 10 career starts.
— Since 2015, Auburn is 11-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.


— Auburn won six of last seven series games, winning last four by an average score of 48-9.
— Arkansas hasn’t won or covered any of its last three visits to the Plains.


Florida (2-0) @ Texas A&M (1-1)
— Florida won its first two games, scoring 89 points- they gave up 613 yards in their 51-35 win at Ole Miss.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators have a senior QB with 12 career starts.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite.


— A&M lost 52-24 at Alabama, after edging Vanderbilt 17-13 at home.
— Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— A&M has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Aggies’ senior QB has started 36 games.
— Since 2017, A&M is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.


— Texas A&M (+2.5) beat Florida 19-17 in Gainesville, in teams’ last meeting three years ago.


Kansas State (2-1) @ TCU (1-1)
— K-State won its first two Big X games 38-35/31-21, after losing at home to Arkansas State.
— Wildcats’ QB Thompson got hurt last week, is ??? to play here.
— Wildcats have 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— K-State has only 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats have a senior QB who started 30 games.
— Since 2016, K-State is 14-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— K-State is doing well; their coach got his contract extended this week.


— TCU split its first two games, which were decided by total of five points.
— TCU has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Horned Frogs have 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— TCU’s sophomore QB has made 12 starts.
— Since 2016, Frogs are 4-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.


— TCU won four of last six series games- they lost 24-17 in Manhattan LY.
— Wildcats split their last four visits to Fort Worth.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.


Marshall (2-0) @ Western Kentucky (1-2)
— Marshall beat Appalachian State 17-7 in its only I-A so far this year.
— Thundering Herd has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Marshall has 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Marshall has a junior QB who has started 24 games.
— Since 2016, Thundering Herd is 4-8 ATS as a road favorite.


— WKU snuck by Middle Tennessee 20-17 after losing its first two games.
— Hilltoppers have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— WKU has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hilltoppers’ senior QB has 10 career starts, 7 of them at Maryland.
— WKU is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.


— Marshall won last three series games, by 3-7-7 points- underdogs covered all three games.
— Thundering Herd split its last two visits to WKU.

 

[CNOTES]

Tulane vs. Houston Week 6 Odds, Preview
Joe Nelson


College Football has not been able to keep many of the planned Thursday night games in the early going this season but this week the AAC will aim to open up the football weekend as Tulane visits Houston.


Houston will be playing its first game of the season after a series of cancellations while Tulane is off to a 2-1 start overall though losing in its only American game so far this season.


BETTING RESOURCES


Week 6 Matchup: AAC
Venue: TDECU Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
Date: Thursday, October 8, 2020
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN


TULANE-HOUSTON BETTING ODDS


Line Movements


Spread: Houston -6.5
Money-Line: Houston -250, Tulane +210
Total: 59


Houston coach Dana Holgorsen and the Cougars will be making their 2020 regular season debut on Thursday versus Tulane. (AP)


HOW TO HANDICAP TULANE-HOUSTON


Tulane is 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS this season with some big swings in its games.


The Green Wave won 27-24 in its opener at South Alabama but trailed 24-6 in that game. Tulane then had a 24-0 halftime lead vs. Navy at home but lost 27-24 on a field goal as time expired.


In its most recent game in late September Tulane trailed 21-14 at Southern Miss before putting up 52 points in the final 37 minutes to win 66-24.


Houston is yet to play this season with postponed games vs. Rice, Baylor, and North Texas in September.


BETTING ANALYSIS – GREEN WAVE


Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)


Overall: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-0-1 O/U


Willie Fritz isn’t a household name but he has compiled now 179 wins in his career mostly at lower level programs. After a long run at Central Missouri he led Sam Houston State for four seasons, twice competing for the then Division I Championship. He led Georgia Southern to a 17-7 record as a Sun Belt newcomer and he has led improvement at Tulane now in his fifth season, coming off back-to-back 6-6 regular seasons capped off by bowl wins.


Fritz has been a strong spread performer at 30-22-1 ATS at Tulane, though most of that success has come at home in a favorite role. His Georgia Southern teams also went 16-8 ATS in his two seasons as few head coaches can rival his over 60 percent cover rate, even if at Tulane he is still a few games below .500 S/U overall.


Georgia Southern and Tulane ran the option for Fritz but that changed slightly with offensive coordinator Will Hall who joined the program last season. The emphasis is on playing up-tempo while still featuring some option elements but also spreading receivers out as well. Running the ball is a priority and the Green Wave have nearly netted 900 rushing yards in the first three games on 6.5 yards per carry.

Quarterback play has been shaky with Southern Miss transfer Keon Howard completing only 42 percent of his passes so far and without a touchdown pass. Howard played sparingly last season behind Justin McMillan who threw for 2,400 yards while also leading Tulane in rushing.


The up-tempo pace for the Wave has certainly been a big factor in the roller coaster style of games in which the Wave has been a part of this season. Tulane has also had to replace its top running back and top two receivers from last season but so far the Wave already have four different rushers hitting triple-digit yardage through three games.


Tulane was a middle-of-the-pack scoring team in AAC play last season, actually even at 252-252 in going 3-5 in conference games. Memphis and SMU beat Tulane handily by 30 and 17 respectively but the Wave also had a pair of three-point losses to Navy and UCF.


Tulane’s rushing presence coupled with a run defense that so far has allowed only 2.8 yards per rush makes for attractive underdog traits. Tulane has allowed 8.8 yards per pass attempt however as big plays against the Wave in the air are possible. Senior DE Patrick Johnson is considered a mid-round NFL draft prospect for 2021 and he has four sacks already as a player to watch on defense.


BETTING ANALYSIS - COUGARS


Overall: 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS, 0-0 O/U


Head Coach Dana Holgorsen surprised many by leaving West Virginia after the 2018 season to take over at Houston, moving from the Big XII to the AAC. Holgorsen was the OC at Houston in 2008-09 before a one-year run at Oklahoma State before moving to Morgantown, somewhat contentiously taking over for Bill Stewart.


Holgorsen went 61-41 at West Virginia but never matched the success the team had in an Orange Bowl run in his first season in 2011, the final season as a Big East team. West Virginia did go 10-3 in 2016 and in seven of eight seasons with the program West Virginia had a winning record for Holgorsen.


His first season at Houston fell well short of expectations finishing 4-8. Most notably star quarterback D’Eriq King opted to sit out the rest of the season after a 1-3 start, eventually transferring and now leading Miami this season.


His replacement Clayton Tune is back this season and he held off Holgorsen’s son Logan for the starting quarterback job for 2020. Tune had marginal numbers last season completing just 59 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions.


Houston was a successful rushing team last season posting more than 2,200 yards on 4.8 yards per carry, with Tune offering some mobility. Seniors Kyle Porter and Texas transfer Mulbah Car are expected to lead the ground game with Porter offering elusive quickness while Car is a physical force in goal line situations.


Potential late round NFL draft pick Marquez Stevenson is back as the leading receiver for Houston in 2019 as the offense is experienced after scoring more than 30 points per game last season. The offense lost Tackle Josh Jones, a third round NFL draft pick to Arizona, who will be difficult to replace.


Houston won only twice in AAC play last season and surprisingly went 1-4 S/U and ATS at home in 2019, with the only S/U win coming vs. FCS Prairie View. Houston allowed 176 points in its four AAC home losses, though in fairness they did face three of the conference’s top teams in those games. Houston was outscored 230-286 last season in league play and 368-408 overall, numbers indicative of a closer to .500 record than the Cougars produced.


In a major transition and replacing one of the program’s most productive players of all-time, Houston wound up with three one-score losses and the schedule overall was difficult, playing Oklahoma and Washington State in non-conference play and drawing both Cincinnati and UCF from the East division crossover games.


HISTORICALLY SPEAKING


HEAD-TO-HEAD


Houston leads the all-time series 17-7 (13-9 ATS) going back to 1968 but these teams have a lot of recent history as regular Conference USA foes in the late 1990s and 2000s and now playing annually as AAC foes since 2014.


Houston won and covered in this series 10 consecutive years from 2003 to 2012 but the series but the Cougars are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS since 2014 with the host winning S/U each of the past four years.


Last season was the first time Houston was an underdog in this series since 2003 and many of the ATS wins for Houston came as a heavy favorite in a difficult stretch for the Tulane program.


LAST SEASON


This was a mid-September Thursday night game last season and it lived up to the TV spotlight. Houston, in what would be King’s final game, led 28-14 at halftime but Tulane would tie the game early in the fourth quarter after Houston was held to back-to-back punts to start the second half. The Cougars missed a field goal with about 10 minutes remaining and Tulane broke the 28-28 tie with a 44-yard kick at the 6:10 mark.


Houston used nearly all the remaining clock on a 16-play drive but couldn’t get in the end zone, eventually settling for a 24-yard field goal with 21 seconds to go, seemingly forcing overtime.


The Wave hit a solid gain to near midfield on first down and then McMillan hit Jalen McClesky down the field at about the 25-yard-line where two Houston defenders collided and a third wasn’t able to make the tackle as The Wave would score with three seconds remaining for a stunning finish, also covering as a 4.5-point home favorite.


Houston had a 533-511 yardage edge and both teams had a single turnover. The box score was nearly identical with both teams eclipsing 300 rushing yards on similar averages while completed passes were rare with Tulane’s big plays late boosting its per attempt average to 9.3 yards per pass. Most of the key players on both offenses will be different this time around with the exception of Porter and Stevenson for Houston.


NOTABLE BETTING TRENDS


-- Houston is 14-18 ATS as a home favorite since 2014, though surprisingly the Cougars were not a home favorite in a FBS game last season at all.


-- The Cougars are 28-10 S/U at home since 2014 but just 17-21 ATS.


-- Tulane is just 8-18 S/U on the road under Fritz since 2016, going 12-14 ATS, with two of those S/U wins this season.


-- Tulane is only 6-10 ATS as a road underdog since 2016.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TULN at HOU 07:30 PM


TULN +6.5


O 59.0