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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Six interesting spreads in college football this week:

— TCU @ West Virginia (-3)
— Florida State @ NC State (-7)
— Wake Forest @ North Carolina (-14)
— Miami @ Virginia Tech (-2.5)
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Michigan
— Indiana (-7.5) @ Michigan State


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 239,374
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.



Quote of the Day
“The reality is, and it’s well noted and I’ve said this several times, Jay’s (Cutler) a gunslinger. I don’t think he had all the tools and skills he needed to really lead a team, and when you’re in the NFL that quarterback, you gotta be like a CEO. I think he tried to develop that over time and it just could never come around, and it got to a point in Chicago where those first couple of years he was hit so bad it just seemed like it wore on him mentally and physically and we just didn’t have enough to get it done.”
Former NFL WR Brandon Marshall


Wednesday’s quiz
The movies The Hangover and Hangover Part III take place mainly in Las Vegas; where did the second Hangover movie take place?


Tuesday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger played his college football at Miami OH


Monday’s quiz
Mike Leach is the football coach at Mississippi State; he also coached Texas Tech, Washington State.


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Wednesday’s Den: Movies that just missed my all-time favorites’ lists……


Thirteen movies that I really like, but none of these made my favorite 13 lists, either sports or non-sports movies…….if you find them on TV somewhere, they’re worth your time.


13) Autumn in New York— Richard Gere plays an aging playboy who falls for a much younger, but terminally ill woman (Winona Ryder). Excellent supporting cast: JK Simmons, Jill Hennessy, Vera Farmiga, Anthony LaPaglia.


12) Ides of March— An idealistic staffer (Ryan Gosling) for a new presidential candidate (George Clooney) gets a crash course on dirty politics during his stint on the campaign trail. Supporting cast includes Marisa Tomei, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Paul Giamatti.


11) Little Big League— A 12-year old kid inherits the Minnesota Twins from his grandfather (Jason Robards). Ashley Crow plays the kid’s mom; in real life, her son was a first round draft pick of the Mets last June.


10) Wall Street— A young and impatient stockbroker (Charlie Sheen) is willing to do anything to get to the top, including trading on illegal inside information taken through a ruthless and greedy corporate raider (Michael Douglas) who takes the young man under his wing.


Martin Sheen, Hal Holbrook, Daryl Hannah, James Spader are just part of a tremendous cast.


9) Shopgirl— A bored salesgirl (Claire Danes) has to choose between a wealthy but much older businessman (Steve Martin) and an aimless young man.


I’m a big Steve Martin fan; not only a great comedian, but a terrific actor.


8) Lucky You— A hotshot poker player does well playing in tournaments in Las Vegas, but is fighting a losing battle with his personal problems. Robert Duvall plays the guy’s poker legend father, Drew Barrymore plays his girlfriend, and lot of real-life poker pros are co-stars.


7) Lincoln Lawyer— A lawyer (Matthew McConaughey) defending a wealthy man begins to believe his client is guilty of more than just one crime. Supporting cast includes Marisa Tomei, William Macy, Josh Lucas, Bryan Cranston.


6) Heaven Can Wait— An NFL quarterback (Warren Beatty), accidentally taken away from his body by an overanxious angel before he was meant to die, returns to life in the body of a recently murdered millionaire. Jack Warden, Julie Christie, James Mason, Charles Grodin, Dyan Cannon are part of an impressive cast.


This movie came out in 1978, when the Rams were in midst of making the playoffs every year, but then failing in the playoffs. Seeing the Rams win the Super Bowl, even in a movie, made an 18-year old me a lot happier— I had the theater poster from Heaven Can Wait hanging in my bedroom. Actually, it may still be up there, have to look.


5) Dave— The US President goes into a coma while having an affair; to avoid a huge scandal in the press, an affable temp agency owner with an uncanny resemblance to the president is put in his place. Kevin Kline, Kevin Dunn, Frank Langella, Sigourney Weaver, Ving Rhames, Charles Grodin and Ben Kingsley make up an impressive cast.


4) Random Hearts— A police sergeant (Harrison Ford) and US Representative (Kristin Scott Thomas) lose their spouses in a plane crash, and soon discover that their spouses were having an affair with each other. Supporting cast includes Paul Guilfoyle, Dennis Haysbert, Bonnie Hunt and Charles Dutton.


3) Prince of Tides— A high school football coach from the south talks to his suicidal sister’s psychiatrist in New York City about their family history and falls in love with her in the process. Nick Nolte/Barbra Streisand are the stars; Blythe Danner, George Carlin are supporting actors.


2) Let It Ride— A cab driver/compulsive gambler gets a hot tip on a racehorse and has a very big day at the track. If you’ve ever spent time at the racetrack, this movie will make you laugh. Cast includes Richard Dreyfuss, Teri Garr, Jennifer Tilly, David Johansen.


1) The Natural— Robert Redford plays a middle-aged ballplayer who comes out of nowhere to lead the New York Knights to the playoffs. Wilford Brimley, Robert Duvall are terrific in their supporting roles.
 

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115C MICHIGAN -116 N ILLINOIS
N ILLINOIS are 63-41 ATS (17.9 Units) as a dog since 1992.


117E MICHIGAN -118 BALL ST
E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) as a road dog of 10.5-14 since 1992.


119TOLEDO -120 W MICHIGAN
TOLEDO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.


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Wednesday’s games
Central Michigan (1-0) @ Northern Illinois (0-1)
— Chippewas won their home opener, LW 30-27 over Ohio U.
— CMU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Chippewas have 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— CMU has a new QB this year; he was 27-41/243 last week.
— Since 2012, Chippewas are 12-3 ATS as a road underdog.


— NIU lost its home opener 49-30 to Buffalo LW; they were -3 in turnovers.
— Huskies outgained Buffalo 397-357 but were -3 in turnovers.
— NIU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Huskies have 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
— NIU has a senior QB with 22 career starts.
— Since 2017, Huskies are 2-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.


— Underdogs covered five of last six series games, with four outright upsets.
— CMU split its last six visits to DeKalb.


Eastern Michigan (0-1) @ Ball State (0-1)
— Eastern Michigan lost 27-23 at Kent State LW, giving up 212 YR.
— EMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Eagles have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— EMU will be using a new QB this season; he was 21-35/241 LW.
— Eagles are 17-3 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.


— Ball State lost 38-31 at Miami LW, despite throwing for 309 yards.
— Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ball State has a senior QB with 19 starts.
— Since 2014, Cardinals are 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.


— EMU won three of its last four games with Ball State.
— Eagles won 42-20/48-41 in their last two visits to Muncie.


Toledo (1-0) @ Western Michigan (1-0)
— Toledo whacked Bowling Green in its home opener, running ball for 310 yards.
— Toledo has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Rockets have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Toledo has a soph QB with 3 career starts.
— Last three years, Rockets are 1-7 ATS as a road underdog.


— Western Michigan whacked Akron 58-13 in its opener LW.
— WMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Broncos have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— WMU has a soph QB with five starts.
— Broncos are 12-9 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.


— Toledo won its last three games with WMU, scoring 39.7 ppg.
— Rockets won four of last five visits to Kalamazoo (underdogs 4-1 ATS).




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Wednesday, November 11


Eastern Michigan @ Ball State



Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 7 games on the road


Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan


Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois


Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northern Illinois


Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Northern Illinois's last 11 games at home


Toledo @ Western Michigan


Toledo
Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Toledo is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Western Michigan


Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games at home




*******************************




Wednesday, November 11


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


C MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 1) - 11/11/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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E MICHIGAN (0 - 1) at BALL ST (0 - 1) - 11/11/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOLEDO (1 - 0) at W MICHIGAN (1 - 0) - 11/11/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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Well, Dunkel has changed their format again. It's harder to use but here we go....




NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 11



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Tech Trends - Week 11
Bruce Marshall


Week 11 of the College Football season kicks off on Tuesday, Nov. 10 with MACtion and concludes on Saturday Nov. 15.


We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.


We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.


Wednesday, Nov. 11


CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

McElwain now 11-4 vs. line for CMU after opening win. Chips 4-1 vs. number as MAC visitor in 2019.
CMU has covered last six in series, won 48-10 LY.
Interestingly, Huskies yet to lose two straight vs. spread under Hammock.


Tech Edge: CMU, based on team and series trends.


EASTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
After another road cover in opener (if using 4½), EMU now 22-6-1 last 29 vs. line away from Ypsilanti.
Eagles had whipped Ball three in a row before losing close decision in 2019.


Tech Edge: EMU, based on team trends.


TOLEDO at WESTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN, 8:00 p.m.)
After slow 0-6-1 close vs. line in 2019, Toledo rocketed out to big win and cover in 2020 opener vs. BGSU.
Toledo has also won and covered last three in series.


Tech Edge: Slight to Toledo, based on series trends.




Thursday, Nov. 12


COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE (FS1, 8:00 p.m.)

Addazio finally got his win for CSU on Thursday.
CSU has covered 3 of last 4 meetings, Rams also 7-4 last 11 as MW road dog (0-1 TY).
Even after BYU loss, Boise now 8-4 vs. line last 12 at home after previous struggles laying points on blue turf.


Tech Edge: Slight to CSU, based on team trends.




Friday, Nov. 12


FLORIDA ATLANTIC at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)

Shula Bowl! FAU 2-2 vs. line for Taggart TY, but 12-6 last 18 overall vs. line.
FIU on 5-11 spread skid since LY (1-2 in 2020).
Kiffin absolutely brutalized FIU past three years, routs in each, in fact only one of last ten Shula bowls decided by single digits.
Blowout series.


Tech Edge: FAU, based on team and series trends.


IOWA at MINNESOTA (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
Floyd of Rosedale! Iowa has won SU in last five Floyd battles, 3-0-1 vs. spread last four.
Ferentz failed to cover opener at Purdue but was 15-7-1 vs. spread previous 23 as Big Ten visitor.
Fleck has started 0-2 SU and vs. line in 2020, but was 6-2 last 8 vs. Big Ten at home prior to loss to Michigan.


Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team and series trends.


EAST CAROLINA at CINCINNATI (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last four meetings.
This was a real escape for Cincy LY at Greenville, 46-43.
Bearcats however only 4-4 vs. spread last eight at Nippert, and Pirates have surprisingly covered last five as American visitor.


Tech Edge: Slight to ECU, based on team trends.


UTAH at UCLA (FOX, 10:30 p.m.)
Utes have bossed this series lately, winning and covering last four, last three by whopping 138-30 score.
Utah has covered 6 of last 8 as Pac-12 visitor.
Chip Kelly just 4-9 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since taking over UCLA in 2018.


Tech Edge: Utah, based on team and series trends.




Saturday, Nov. 14


ARKANSAS at FLORIDA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

Razorbacks 6-0 vs. line for Pittman in 2020, though Dan Mullen is 8-1 vs. spread last nine at Swamp with Gators.
Teams haven’t met since 2016.


Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on recent trends.


VANDERBILT at KENTUCKY (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)
Derek Mason on 5-13 spread skid, though visitor has covered last three meetings.
UK only 3-3 vs. line TY but on 14-7 spread uptick since late 2018.


Tech Edge: Slight to Kentucky, based on team trends.


TCU at WEST VIRGINIA (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)
After dropping last four vs. line LY at Morgantown, WVU is 3-0-1 vs. spread as host in 2020.
Mounties have also won and covered last four vs. TCU.
Frogs have covered last three away since late 2019, but Patterson only 5-6 last 11 in once-solid dog role.


Tech Edge: WVU, based on series trends.


FLORIDA STATE at NC STATE (ACC, 7:30 p.m.)
FSU 2-5 vs. line TY, only 8-17 last 25 vs. spread since late 2018.
Wolfpack 5-2 vs. line TY and has covered all three at home, also on 9-2 “over” run since mid 2019.
NC State had covered three straight in series prior to LY’s 31-13 Noles win.


Tech Edge: NC State, based on recent and series trends.


NOTRE DAME at BOSTON COLLEGE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
BC 4-1 as dog TY for Hafley, 18-6-1 since 2017 in role including Addazio.
Though Eagles were ripped last two meetings vs. ND in 2017 & ‘19.
They are historically tough on Irish, had covered previous 3 and 5 of 6 meetings.
Domers only 3-3 last six as visiting chalk (1-1 TY).


Tech Edge: BC, based on team trends.


WAKE FOREST at NORTH CAROLINA (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)
Deacs good value this season, have covered last 4 and 5 of last 6 in 2020, and 2-0 as dog.


Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on recent trends.


TEXAS STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)
Texas State skidding, DD losses last five in 2020 (though only 2-3 vs. line in those)
Also “under” 12-6 dating to early 2019 for State.
GSU “under” 8-1 last 9 since late 2019.


Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


PITTSBURGH at GEORGIA TECH (ACC, 7:00 p.m.)
Panthers have won and covered last 2 vs. GT.
Jackets 6-12-1 vs. line for Collins since LY.


Tech Edge: Pitt, based on recent trends.


MIAMI-FLORIDA at VIRGINIA TECH (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
Hokies tough lately at home, have won and covered six of last seven at Blacksburg even counting Liberty loss.
Canes have dropped last 4 vs. spread in 2020, 0-1 as dog TY after 2-0 in role LY.


Tech Edge: VPI, based on recent trends.


TEMPLE at UCF (ESPNU, 7:30 p.m.)
Owls are 3-6 vs. spread away from home for Carey since 2019, also lost and failed to cover last three vs. UCF.
Knights on 5-11 spread skid since early 2019.


Tech Edge: Slight to UCF, based on recent series trends.


OHIO STATE at MARYLAND (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m.)
Locksley has covered last two in 2020 sbut still just 5-8 last 13 vs. spread since early LY with Terps.
OSU has won all six SU from Md since Terps entered Big Ten and Buckeyes have scored 49 or more in all of those games, with each having gone “over” as well.
Ryan Day 5-1 vs. points as Big Ten visitor since LY.


Tech Edge: OSU and “over,” based on team and series trends.


WISCONSIN at MICHIGAN (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Harbaugh 7-2 last nine as Ann Arbor Big Ten chalk even after loss to MSU.
Home team has won last four meetings, covering three.
If Badgers a dog note 9-5 spread mark for Chryst in role with Wiscy.


Tech Edge: Slight to Michigan, based on series home trends.


INDIANA at MICHIGAN STATE (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Spartans no covers last seven as Big Ten host.
Hoosiers on 10-3 spread run since early 2019.


Tech Edge: Indiana, based on team trends.


NORTHWESTERN at PURDUE (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m.)
Pat Fitzgerald 17-3 vs. line last 20 as Big Ten visitor.
Cats had won five straight from Purdue before close 24-22 home loss LY.
Brohm on 8-2 spread uptick since mid 2019.


Tech Edge: Northwestern, based on extended trends.


ILLINOIS at RUTGERS (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m.)
Lovie is 3-1 SU and vs. points against Rutgers past four years but all pre-Schiano.
Tempted to dismiss Scarlet Knights marks pre-Schiano.
Lovie on 11-6 “under” run, 3 of last 4 in this series “under” as well.


Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.


MIDDLE TENNESSEE at MARSHALL (CBSSN, 12:00 p.m.)
Herd 6-0 SU, 4-2 vs. line in 2020, tough Stockstill has covered 4 of last 5 this season, including last four as dog.
Blue Raiders have also won and covered last two meetings.


Tech Edge: MTSU, based on recent trends.


SOUTH FLORIDA at HOUSTON (ESPN+, 3:00 p.m.)
USF one of the more unimpressive 4-3 spread teams in country.
Bulls 1-6 SU for Scott, 5-14 SU since LY, though they are 6-3 vs. spread away since last season.
Holgorsen, however, just 9-10 vs. spread since taking over the Cougs in 2019.
UH only 2-6 vs. spread at TDECU Stadium (not counting NRG game vs. WSU LY) for Holgorsen.


Tech Edge: USF, based on team trends.


CAL at ARIZONA STATE (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m)
Cal 5-2 as dog for Wilcox LY, now 16-7 as dog since 2017.
Herm just 3-7 vs. line last ten at Tempe, though he did win at Berkeley LY.


Tech Edge: Cal, based on team trends.


USC at ARIZONA (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)
Sumlin 3-9 vs. line LY, 0-4 vs. spread as Pac-12 host.
USC has won seven straight in series, covering last 4.


Tech Edge: SC, based on team and series trends.


NEVADA at NEW MEXICO (FS2, 6:30 p.m.)
Nevada off to 3-0 SU and spread start after Utags win.
Pack has now covered last 3 as visitor.
Even after cover at Hawaii, Lobos only 5-16 last 21 vs. spread (4-15 of that under Davie pre-2020).


Tech Edge: Nevada, based on team trends.


FRESNO STATE at UTAH STATE (FS2, 2:30 p.m.)
Utah State off to slow 0-3 SU and spread break from gate in 2020, outscored 114-29 in process.
Aggies now on 4-9 spread skid.
Fresno State has won and covered alst two after droppign 9 of prior 11 vs. points.


Tech Edge: FSU, based on recent trends.


GEORGIA STATE at APPALACHIAN STATE (ESPN+, 2:30 p.m.)
App has won last six SU in series, 4-1-1 vs. spread in those wins.
Mounties however off to 1-5 spread start in 2020, and just 2-4 last six, and 4-5 vs. spread last nine at Boone.


Tech Edge: Slight to App State, based on series trends.


OREGON at WASHINGTON STATE (FOX, 7:00 p.m.)
The Leach Cougs did well in this series lately, covered last 8 meetings!
WSU has actually covered last ten in series back to Paul Wulff days in 2010.
Ducks 5-1 vs. line last six against Pac-12 away from Eugene.


Tech Edge: WSU, based on series trends.


OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON (FS1, 11:00 p.m.)
Road team has covered last five meetings.
Huskies 2-7 vs. spread last nine vs. Pac-12 in Seattle.
Beavers covered 9 of last 11 in 2019 bt lost 2020 opener vs. WSU.


Tech Edge: OSU, based on team and series trends.


UNLV at SAN JOSE STATE (FS2, 10:30 p.m.)
Home team has won and covered last four meetings.
Rebels 2-8 vs. line last 10 on MW trail.
Spartans 12-4-1 vs. line since late 2018.


Tech Edge: SJSU, based on team and series trends.


HAWAII at SAN DIEGO STATE (Spectrum, 4:00 p.m.)
Aztecs only 5-13 vs. line last 18 as home chalk.
S. D. State playing home games this year in Carson, Ca; 1-1 in those SU and vs. line.
UH has won and covered last two meetings after SDSU won and covered six previous.


Tech Edge: Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.


COLORADO at STANFORD (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
Shaw just 3-5 last 8 as Farm chalk, Tree on 3-11 spread skid into 2020.
Buffs however on 2-10-1 spread skid last 14 as Pac-12 visitor entering 2020.


Tech Edge: Slight to Stanford, based on CU negatives.


UTEP at UTSA (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)
Miners surprising 4-2 vs. line TY (big upgrade from the 10-25-1 the previous three years), also covered last three on road TY.
Roadrunners 1-3 vs. line at Alamodome TY, just 3-6 vs. spread last nine as host.
Road team has covered last seven in series!


Tech Edge: UTEP, based on recent and series trends.


BAYLOR at TEXAS TECH (FS1, 4:00 p.m.)
If Red Raiders a dog, note 4-2 vs. spread last six in role vs. Big 12 at Lubbock.


Tech Edge: Slight to Texas Tech, if dog, based on team trends.


COASTAL CAROLINA at TROY (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)
Hot Chants 7-0 SU and 5-2 vs. line in 2020, also now 8-1 vs. line away from home since LY.
Erratic Troy is 3-4 vs. line TY, and only 7-12 vs. points for Chip Lindsey since LY, and 2-5 last seven as dog (1-1 TY).


Tech Edge: Coastal Carolina, based on recent trends.


ARMY at TULANE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Willie Fritz has won and covered vs. Army in 2017 & ‘19.
Green Wave has covered last 4 and 5 of last 6 this season.
Fritz on 14-6 spread run, also 8-1 last nine vs. spread at home since LY (2-1 in 2020).
Army 2-5 vs. spread last seven away from Michie.


Tech Edge: Tulane, based on recent trends.


PENN STATE at NEBRASKA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
James Franklin was 5-1 vs. line away from home LY but lost first away in 2020 at Indiana.
And now 0-3 SU and vs. spread in 2020.
Huskers 1-4 vs. spread vs. Big Ten at home LY, Frost also just 1-5 last six as dog.


Tech Edge: Slight to Penn State, based on team trends.


SMU at TULSA (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
Dog team has covered last four in this series.
Even after Temple win, SMU only 3-5 vs. line last eight away from Dallas.
Tulsa on 7-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, though just 2-5 vs. points last seven as host (0-1 TY).


Tech Edge: Slight to Tulsa, based on recent trends.


NORTH TEXAS at UAB (Stadium, 3:00 p.m.)
UNT on 5-18 spread skid since mid 2018 for Littrell.
Blazers have won and covered last two years vs. Mean Green.
UAB not as good as usual vs. line TY (only 2-5) but still 10-3-1 vs. number at Legion Field vs. C-USA foes since program returned in 2017.


Tech Edge: UAB, based on extended trends.


UL MONROE at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)
Warhawks have actually covered 3 of last 5 in 2020, but still only 3-5 vs. line this season.
Matt Viator now on 11-23 spread slide since late 2017.
Ark State has won and covered last six meetings.


Tech Edge: Arkansas State, based on series and anti-ULM trends.


SOUTH CAROLINA at OLE MISS (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)
Muschamp 3-2 as dog TY (0-2 last 2), if one throws out last season (when 2-4 as dog), SC is 13-5 as dog since 2017.
Ole Miss 3-3 as chalk since last season.
Tthough 1-3 in role in non-Vanderbilt games.
Lane Kiffin 1-2 vs. line at Vaught-Hemingway this season.
Last meeting was in 2018 when Gamecocks won 48-44 at Oxford.


Tech Edge: SC, based on team trends.


SOUTH ALABAMA at UL-LAFAYETTE (ESPN+, 2:00 p.m.)
Cajuns have cooled a bit vs. line, dropping 5 of last 6, after Napier 17-7-2 previous 26 vs. spread.
Jags have covered last 2 years in series, and USA on 11-4 spread uptick since early 2019.
USA also “under” 14-5 since 2019.
ULL on 11-4 “under” run.


Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


GEORGIA at MISSOURI (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
Mizzou had covered four straight in series before Georgia won 27-0 last season.
Interestingly, home team is 5-0 vs. line in Bulldogs games in 2020.
UGA 0-3 vs. line away from Athens; Fla. game at Jakcsonville.


Tech Edge: Mizzou, based on recent and series trends.


RICE at LA TECH (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)
Skip Holtz as chalk not quite as good as Skip Holtz as dog, as La Tech 1-2 as chalk TY, only 8-10 in role since 2018.
Rice has covered last two years in series.
12-8 as dog for Bloomgren since 2018, and 13-8 last 21 on board.


Tech Edge: Rice, based on recent trends.


SOUTHERN MISS at WESTERN KENTUCKY (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)
WKU finally got a 2020 last week at FAU, but still only 1-6-1 vs. line in 2020, now 1-7-02 last 10 on board since late 2019.
Tops also 0-4-1 last five as chalk.
USM not any better, 1-8 last nine vs. line since late 2019.
A slump that began with 28-10 loss to WKU, which was the last spread cover for Tops prior to last week!
Golden Eagles “under” 9-3 since mid 2019.


Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.


UTAH at UCLA (FOX, 10:30 p.m.)
Utes have bossed this series lately, winning and covering last four, last three by whopping 138-30 score.
Utah has covered 6 of last 8 as Pac-12 visitor.
Chip Kelly just 4-9 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since taking over UCLA in 2018.


Tech Edge: Utah, based on team and series trends.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



EMU at BALL 07:00 PM
EMU +9.0
O 61.0



TOL at WMU 08:00 PM
TOL +1.0
O 58.5



CMU at NIU 08:00 PM
CMU -6.5
U 57.5
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


11/11/2020 5-1-0 83.33% +1950 Detail
11/10/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/07/2020 25-32-2 44.07% -5100 Detail
11/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/04/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail


Total.........41-40-2 50.61% -15.00
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Six interesting spreads in college football this week:
— Colorado @ Stanford (-6.5)
— Baylor @ Texas Tech (-1)
— Penn State (-3) @ Nebraska
— SMU @ Tulsa (-2.5)
— Louisville @ Virginia (-3.5)
— Utah (-3.5) @ UCLA


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 240,839
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“I actually thought that they (Eagles) should have kept Nick Foles rather than Carson Wentz just based off production and where they got to. They won a Super Bowl with Foles. And that was a little bit surprising. But they’re obviously banking on his upside. How many more years do you let it linger before you stick with him or you cut bait? That’s a question only they can answer.”
Brett Favre


Thursday’s quiz
Where did Russell Westbrook play his college basketball?


Wednesday’s quiz
The movies The Hangover and Hangover Part III take place mainly in Las Vegas; the second Hangover movie took place mostly in Thailand.


Tuesday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger played his college football at Miami OH


****************************


Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….


13) Russell Westbrook wants out of Houston, after only one year there; he averaged 27.2 ppg for the Rockets LY, but with GM Daryl Morey/coach Mike D’Antoni moving on, Westbrook wants to go elsewhere too. There’s a problem, though.


Westbrook turns 32 today; his salary the next three seasons:
$41 million, $43.8M, $46.6 million. Thats million, with an M.


Trading a contract like that ain’t easy, especially for a guy who’ll be 35 when the contract ends; chances are he would have to go to a bad team if he were to get traded. Would Westbrook be happy playing for a non-contender? Is he ever happy?


12) Pitchers Marcus Stroman (Mets), Kevin Gausman (Giants) accepted $18.9M qualifying offers from their teams Wednesday. Good day for those guys.


Four players rejected their offers: DJ LeMahieu, JT Realmuto, George Springer, Trevor Bauer. Those guys become free agents’ and are assuming they’ll make more than $18.9M a year.


11) My Blue Ribbon Basketball Yearbook came in the mail this week, an early Christmas gift. No schedules in the book obviously, since schedules are still being drawn up, but now I can get down to work and start studying rosters.


If you like college basketball, this is a great book to have; all 357 D-I teams are written up. Tons of information, whether you’re a fan or a handicapper.


10) This is very 2020:
Michigan/Florida State’s football teams are a combined 3-7.
Indiana/Northwestern’s teams are a combined 6-0.


9) Maryland’s football team won the last two weeks— they were underdogs of 18-27 points. Not often a team pulls huge upsets like that in consecutive games. Terrapins’ game with Ohio State this week was cancelled, after a COVID outbreak in the Maryland community.


8) Ball State 38, Eastern Michigan 31— Wish the LA Rams could pluck EMU’s kicker off their roster right now; kid missed a 53-yard field goal in this game, but ball hit the upright halfway up— very strong leg. He’ll be kicking on Sundays very soon.


Ball State converted a 3rd-and-19 on the game-winning drive; this was a fun game to watch; two good teams.


Eastern Michigan, by the way, has now covered 18 of last 21 times as a road underdog.


7) Louisville Cardinals already lost two starters off their basketball team.


Big guy Malik Williams, co-captain and most experienced returnee for the Cardinals, will miss at least 12 weeks due to an injury to his right foot.


Charles Minlend, a grad transfer from San Francisco, will miss six weeks with a sprained MCL in his left knee.


6) Of the last 20 Masters champs, 12 of them didn’t play on Tour the previous week.


I saw that clip of Jon Rahm getting a hole-in-one Tuesday at Augusta, when he skipped the ball off the water on the 16th hole, and ball wound up in the hole. These guys are insanely talented, and I’m reminded of why I quit playing a long time ago. They get hole-in-ones when they intentionally hit the ball in the water. I was life and death to break 100.


It takes a tremendous effort to become good, then stay good at golf. Putting is fun, chipping is kind of fun, watching the ball you just hit go in the woods is no fun at all. Best part of golf, by the way, is driving the cart. Driving a golf cart is tremendous.


5) When CBS announces the field for the NCAA basketball tournament in March, they should recruit CNN”s John King to reveal the field on his touch-screen. The guy was masterful running between screens on Election Night; he’d be good showing us the brackets.


4) College football games postponed/cancelled this weekend:
LSU-Alabama, Auburn-Miss State, Georgia-Missouri, Ohio State-Maryland.


3) Actress Jennifer Garner has an excellent agent; no idea who it is, but she is always on TV in commercials for Capital One and Neutragena. She does more commercials than Baker Mayfield.


2) Get well soon to Michigan State hoop coach Tom Izzo, Arkansas football coach Sam Pittman, both of whom tested positive for COVID recently.


1) Guy named Dan LeBatard has been on ESPN radio/TV for long time; I’ve never been a big fan of his show, but he did something pretty cool this week.


A long-time producer on LeBatard’s show was recently laid off, one of 300 people laid off by ESPN. No one saw this coming, and LeBatard was annoyed— he re-hired the guy, and is paying him out of his own pocket. That is loyalty; remains to be seen if the show will be staying on ESPN for much longer.
 

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CSU at BSU 08:00 PM


CSU +14.5


O 62.0
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


11/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/11/2020 5-1-0 83.33% +1950 Detail
11/10/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/07/2020 25-32-2 44.07% -5100 Detail
11/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/04/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail


Total.........42-41-2 51.21% -15.50
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
Six interesting spreads in the NFL this week:

— Buffalo @ Arizona (-2.5)
— Seattle @ LA Rams (-1.5)
— San Francisco @ New Orleans (-9.5)
— LA Chargers @ Miami (-1.5)
— Baltimore (-7) @ New England
— Minnesota (-2.5) @ Chicago


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 242,073
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Prediction of the Day
“Saturday is the 50th anniversary of the 1970 Marshall football team, and emotions run high when that team is mentioned in and around Huntington. The Thundering Herd haven’t lost on this weekend since 2011. Expect big things for Doc Holliday’s team as their quest for an undefeated season continues.”
ESPN’s Stanford Steve, who picks Marshall (-23.5) to win, 54-18


Friday’s quiz
Which former NFL head coach was Ryan Tannehill’s college coach at Texas A&M, and is the guy who switched Tannehill from WR to quarterback?


Thursday’s quiz
Russell Westbrook played his college basketball at UCLA.


Wednesday’s quiz
The movies The Hangover and Hangover Part III take place mainly in Las Vegas; the second Hangover movie took place mostly in Thailand.


***************************


Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……


If you watched the Odd Couple TV show back in the day, this should ring a bell: today is November 13, the day Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence.


One of my all-time favorite TV shows, it revolved around two divorced guys who shared a New York City apartment. Tony Randall/Jack Klugman made it a memorable show.


13) Colts 34, Tennessee 17:
— Colts outscored Tennessee 21-0 in the second half- they blocked a punt for a TD.
— Indy won three of its five road games this year.
— Colts are 5-0 when they score 28+ points, 1-3 if they score 23 or fewer points.
— Both teams are 6-3; they play again in two weeks.


— Titans are 2-3 in their last five games, after a 4-0 start.
— Over is 4-1-1 in Titans’ home games this season.
— Titans are 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— In last three visits to Nashville, Colts won 33-17/19-17/34-17.


12) Trevor Daniel was the Titans’ punter in this game, Tennessee’s third punter in three weeks. When Daniel came in to Titans’ facility to take his COVID test, he was wearing the uniform he wore while driving a FedEx truck, which was his job before the Titans signed him.


Daniel had a 17-yard punt in this game, then his next punt was blocked for a TD. He’ll probably be needing that FedEx uniform pretty soon, though the blocked punt wasn’t his fault. Maybe the special teams coach will be working at FedEx.


11) Thru nine weeks, here is how penalties compare, from year-to-year:
offensive holding: 2019- 565, this year- 280
offensive pass interference: 2019- 81, this year- 42


This is a positive development; no one pays to watch officials throw flags. The league always say they want more scoring, this is a good way to get more scoring.


11) AFC North teams are 7-0-1 SU against NFC East teams this year; Eagles-Bengals tie back in Week 2 is the only blemish on that record so far.


10) Through two weeks of MAC-tion, road teams are 7-4-1 ATS.


9) Indiana is favored over Michigan State this week, first time since 2002 that the Hoosiers are favored over Michigan State in football.


8) Boise State 52, Colorado State 21:
— Boise blocked a punt for a TD for their first score of the game.
— Boise also blocked a FG for a TD, blocked another punt for another TD, and scored a TD on defense. Colorado State’s defense didn’t play that badly.


7) When CBS unveils the field of 68 for the NCAA basketball tournament in March, they should recruit CNN’s John King to show the brackets on his touchscreen. Election Night had to be a long night for the TV pundits, but King and MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki did their best to keep us informed as to what was going on, from a numerical standpoint.


No way is it as easy to do as they make it look.


6) Brett Favre holds an NFL record, starting 321 consecutive games; Colts’ Philip Rivers is #2 on that list, starting his 244th consecutive game at QB last night.


5) Ivy League has cancelled winter sports for this year, so no Friday night basketball games on TV from that league, and one more at-large spot in the NCAA tournament.


4) ESPN2 had a high school basketball tripleheader on last night; first game was from Oak Hill Academy in Virginia, the famous prep school that has seen 35 of its players drafted by the NBA. They have those players’ college jerseys hanging on the wall in the Oak Hill gym.


Lebron James’ son played in the late game, not even sure if he was playing for his high school team or an AAU team, but it was high level basketball. The recruiting competition for his services should be pretty interesting.


3) This from ESPN’s Chris Fallica:


This is the first November week of college football since Week 12 of 2009 (Saturday, November 21, 2009) in which there is not a single matchup of AP ranked teams. That week, four ranked teams lost to unranked teams (three on the road).


2) Christmas commercials have started on TV; in one, a woman gives her husband this watch, looks like a FitBit, something small like that- she buys herself one too. He gives her a $40,000 pickup truck, and also buys himself one. Seems fair.


1) Daytime TV is horrendous, lot of contrived arguments to try and create interesting TV; this week, they were discussing whether Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence should go back to college next year, to avoid playing for the New Jersey Jets, who are currently 0-9. Oy.


First of all, the Jets have four first round picks in the next two drafts, nine picks in the first three rounds of those drafts- they’ll be improving fairly soon. If they drafted Lawrence and traded Sam Darnold, they’d acquire even more draft capital. Jets are going to improve a lot over the next couple of years.


Playing well in the New York/New Jersey area can be very lucrative. Jets used to have a QB who had a 60-61-4 record starting for them, throwing 170 TD’s, 215 INT’s. Those numbers don’t jump off the page, do they, but that guy is 77 years old now and he still does TV commercials.


You’ve probably heard of Joe Namath, who had two really good years before injuries took their toll on him. He won one Super Bowl title in New York and was set for life, which is why it would be a big mistake for Trevor Lawrence to pass up playing for the Jets.
 

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125FLA ATLANTIC -126 FLA INTERNATIONAL
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game since 1992.


127IOWA -128 MINNESOTA
IOWA is 27-8 ATS (18.2 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game since 1992.


129E CAROLINA -130 CINCINNATI
E CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after gaining 325 or more passing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.


*******************************


Friday’s games


Florida Atlantic (3-1) @ FIU (0-3)

— FAU won three of its first four games, losing only road game 20-9 at Marshall.
— Owls have allowed only 11.5 ppg in their first four games.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 29 career starts.
— Since 2014, Owls are 5-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.


— FIU lost its first three games, including a loss to a I-AA team.
— Panthers’ two I-A losses are by combined total of five points.
— FIU’s last game was three weeks ago.
— FIU has 4 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FIU have used three QB’s so far, completing 26-60 passes.
— Since 2017, FIU is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog.


— FAU won last three series games, by 30-35-28 points.
— Owls ran ball for 229+ yards in last five series games.
— Underdogs are 8-6 ATS in last 14 series games, with 7 outright wins.


Iowa (1-2) @ Minnesota (1-2)
— Iowa lost two of first three games, with losses by total of five points.
— Hawkeyes lost their one road game, 24-20 at Purdue.
— Iowa has had internal problems since LY, with players/coaches.
— Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Iowa has 108 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 3 starts.
— Since 2013, Iowa is 16-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.


— Minnesota lost two of its first three games; they won last week.
— Gophers allowed 810 YR in their first three games.
— Minnesota scored 85 points in its last two games.
— Minnesota has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Gophers have 127 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gophers have a junior QB with 22 starts.
— Since 2013, Minnesota is 10-6 ATS as a home underdog.


— Iowa won last five series games, four of them by 7 or fewer points.
— Hawkeyes won their last two visits to Minnesota, 48-31/14-7.


East Carolina (1-5) @ Cincinnati (6-0)
— East Carolina is 1-5 this year, allowing 34+ points four times.
— ECU threw the ball for 681 yards in its last two games.
— ECU has 8 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Pirates have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— ECU has a junior QB with 23 career starts.
— Since 2016, Pirates are 8-13-1 ATS as a road dog, but 2-0 this year.


— Cincinnati is 5-0 vs I-A teams, with all five wins by 14+ points.
— Bearcats ran ball for 313-242-341 yards in last three games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 31 career starts.
— Cincinnati is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.


— Cincinnati won eight of last nine series games, winning 46-43 LY— ECU led that game 31-21 at halftime.
— Pirates lost their last four games at Cincinnati (0-4 ATS).




**************************




Friday, November 13


Florida Atlantic @ Florida International


Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Florida Atlantic is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road


Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic
Florida International is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home




Iowa @ Minnesota


Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota


Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home




East Carolina @ Cincinnati


East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of East Carolina's last 12 games


Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games




*********************************




Friday, November 13


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 3) - 11/13/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA (1 - 2) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 11/13/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E CAROLINA (1 - 5) at CINCINNATI (6 - 0) - 11/13/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Friday, Nov. 12


FLORIDA ATLANTIC at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)

Shula Bowl! FAU 2-2 vs. line for Taggart TY, but 12-6 last 18 overall vs. line.
FIU on 5-11 spread skid since LY (1-2 in 2020).
Kiffin absolutely brutalized FIU past three years, routs in each, in fact only one of last ten Shula bowls decided by single digits.
Blowout series.


Tech Edge: FAU, based on team and series trends.


IOWA at MINNESOTA (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
Floyd of Rosedale! Iowa has won SU in last five Floyd battles, 3-0-1 vs. spread last four.
Ferentz failed to cover opener at Purdue but was 15-7-1 vs. spread previous 23 as Big Ten visitor.
Fleck has started 0-2 SU and vs. line in 2020, but was 6-2 last 8 vs. Big Ten at home prior to loss to Michigan.


Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team and series trends.


EAST CAROLINA at CINCINNATI (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last four meetings.
This was a real escape for Cincy LY at Greenville, 46-43.
Bearcats however only 4-4 vs. spread last eight at Nippert, and Pirates have surprisingly covered last five as American visitor.


Tech Edge: Slight to ECU, based on team trends.


UTAH at UCLA (FOX, 10:30 p.m.)
Utes have bossed this series lately, winning and covering last four, last three by whopping 138-30 score.
Utah has covered 6 of last 8 as Pac-12 visitor.
Chip Kelly just 4-9 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since taking over UCLA in 2018.


Tech Edge: Utah, based on team and series trends.




**********************************
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



IOWA at MINN 07:00 PM
IOWA -3.0
O 57.5



FAU at FIU 07:00 PM
FAU -10.0
O 41.5

ECU at CIN 07:30 PM
ECU +27.5
O 56.5
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


11/13/2020 4-2-0 66.66% +900 Detail
11/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/11/2020 5-1-0 83.33% +1950 Detail
11/10/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/07/2020 25-32-2 44.07% -5100 Detail
11/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/04/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail


Total.........46-43-2 51.68% -6.50
 

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Saturday’s Den: 13 Things I’m looking for this weekend


13) Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks started 24 games for Florida the last three years; he broke and dislocated his ankle last year, then transferred after the season to an Arkansas team that used five different QB’s last year, going winless in SEC play. Razorbacks are 3-3 this season.


Arkansas coach Sam Pittman won’t be there Saturday; he tested positive for COVID.


12) 3-0 Indiana has a trap game at Michigan State today; they play Ohio State next week, but better not look past this game. Hoosiers are heading to their best season since they made the Rose Bowl in 1967- they’re scoring 37 ppg.


11) South Carolina is 2-4; they’ve given up 100 points the last two games, and now coach Will Muschamp is on the hot seat, though paying him $16M to go away seems unfeasible in these COVID-ridden times. Gamecocks visit Ole Miss today; the Rebels are also 2-4, but are scoring 37 ppg— they’ve gained 442+ yards in all six of their games.


Total for this game is 70 or 70.5.


10) Cal-Arizona State, Utah-UCLA both got cancelled, so Cal-UCLA on Sunday is a late addition to this week’s schedule. Golden Bears beat UCLA in Pasadena LY; the teams weren’t supposed to play this season, but schools are being flexible now to get games in, so this is a late addition.


9) Penn State is 0-3, giving up 35-38-35 points, and two of those games were at home; in their last two games, they’ve run the ball for a total of only 138 yards.


Nebraska is 0-2, running ball for 441 yards in road losses at Ohio State/Northwestern; this is their home opener, in a stadium that has been filled to capacity for decades, but will be mostly empty for this game.


8) Oregon ran the ball for 269 yards in its 35-14 win over Stanford last week; now they hit the road to face a Washington State team that won 38-28 at Oregon State LW. Coogs gave up 451 yards in Corvallis last week, but new QB deLaura threw for 227 yards in his first college start.


7) Mapquest says it is 1,248 miles from Fort Worth to Morgantown, so why are TCU and West Virginia in the same league? Anyone?


Home team has won all seven West Virginia games this year; TCU won its last two games, scoring 33-34 points- they won both their road games, at Texas/Baylor.


6) Dolphins won their last four games, scoring 32.3 ppg, despite changing QB’s in the middle of this streak; their defense/special teams have scored three TD’s the last two games. Since Week 2 of last year, Chargers are 2-15 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.


Interesting matchup of rookie QB’s; Chargers have scored 30.6 ppg in their last five games, so hard to blame Herbert for their 1-6 skid. Tagevailoa is 2-0 starting for Miami, but hasn’t had to do too much, their defense has been that good.


5) Tampa Bay lost 38-3 to the Saints last week; in their last three games, Bucs have thrown 123 passes, run the ball only 54 times- they need more balance, but they’re also still 6-3.


Carolina threw for 340 yards in a 31-17 loss in Tampa back in Week 2; Panthers have lost four games in a row, losing a tough 33-31 game in Kansas City last week.


Teams split last ten series games.


4) Two of the better young QB’s in the game hook up in Arizona, when Bills-Cardinals face off.


Josh Allen has the 7-2 Bills atop the AFC East; he threw for 415 yards in their 44-34 win over Seattle last week. Kyler Murray has the 5-3 Cardinals in playoff contention; they’ve won three of last four games overall, but they’ve split their four home games.


3) Big game in NFC West, with Seattle visiting the Rams. Both teams lost two of last three games; Seahawks scored 34 points in both their losses- their defense has been a problem.


Rams have already played four games in the eastern time zone; they’re 3-0 at home.


2) Ravens as a 7-point road favorite in Foxboro? Wow.


New England lost four of its last five games; they beat the winless Jets 30-27 last week. Patriots scored a total of 18 points in losing their last two home games. Interesting Sunday nite game.


1) Vikings won their last two games, scoring 28-34 points after a 1-5 start; Chicago lost its last three games, after a 5-1 start. Pivotal divisional matchup on Monday night; Bears won last four series games, but they’ve been held under 100 rushing yards in their last six games overall.
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 14


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TCU at WVU 12:00 PM
WVU -3.0


ARMY at TULN 12:00 PM
TULN -3.0
U 46.0

MTU at MRSH 12:00 PM
MTU +23.5
O 55.5



IND at MSU 12:00 PM
IND -7.5


PSU at NEB 12:00 PM
NEB +3.0
O 56.5



VAN at UK 12:00 PM
UK -16.5
O 42.0



WAKE at UNC 12:00 PM
WAKE +13.5
O 68.5



MIA at VT 12:00 PM
VT -2.0


ILL at RUTG 01:00 PM
RUTG -5.5
O 51.0



USA at ULL 02:00 PM
ULL -15.5
U 54.0

FRES at USU 02:30 PM
FRES -10.0
U 53.5



GSU at APP 02:30 PM
APP -18.0
U 62.5

UTEP at UTSA 03:00 PM
UTEP +6.5
 

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LATER AFTERNOON GAMES:


LOU at UVA 03:30 PM
UVA -3.0
U 67.5

USF at HOU 03:30 PM
HOU -14.0


USM at WKU 03:30 PM
USM +8.0


USC at ARIZ 03:30 PM
U 68.0

COLO at STAN 03:30 PM
COLO +9.0
O 54.0

ND at BC 03:30 PM
BC +11.5
U 50.0



TXST at GASO 03:30 PM
O 49.5


HAW at SDSU 04:00 PM
SDSU -10.0
U 51.0



BAY at TTU 04:00 PM
BAY -2.0


NW at PUR 05:00 PM
NW -3.5
U 49.5



NEV at UNM 06:30 PM
NEV -17.0
U 62.0
 

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Messages
105,426
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UNDER THE LIGHTS


SMU at TLSA 07:00 PM
SMU -1.5


ORE at WSU 07:00 PM
WSU +10.5


ARK at FLA 07:00 PM
ARK +17.0

TEM at UCF 07:30 PM
UCF -25.5
U 76.5



WIS at MICH 07:30 PM
MICH +4.0
U 51.5

SOCAR at MISS 07:30 PM
MISS -11.5
U 70.0



FSU at NCST 07:30 PM
NCST -10.5
O 59.0



UNLV at SJSU 10:30 PM
SJSU -15.5
O 59.0



ORST at WASH 11:00 PM
ORST +14.0
O 51.5
 

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Messages
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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


11/14/2020 32-22-0 59.26% +3900 Detail
11/13/2020 4-2-0 66.66% +900 Detail
11/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/11/2020 5-1-0 83.33% +1950 Detail
11/10/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
11/07/2020 25-32-2 44.07% -5100 Detail
11/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/04/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail


Total.........78-65-2 54.54% +32.50
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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NCAAF

Week 12


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Trend Report
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