Kodiak,
you just dont get it.
until you can figure out the return on 54% over 3000 wagers at -110 risking 1% avg. it is useless to entertain to you. I'm looking at more like 5000 wagers this year, and I have systems that really rake it in, on those I risk more, see NFL and NBA playoff thread for last year, for example. Keep in mind that with reduced vig and Ml's thrown in the return gets even better.
Keep betting into bad numbers and negative EV. Then chase. Sometimes it works, but WE ALL KNOW WHAT HAPPENS WHEN IT DOESNT. You illustrated that for everyone. I find it amusing how your football unit size has already exceeded what you originally said it would be.
If you really think that there are a lot of over 58% situations out there....
I have no idea what I'm doing, for some reason I just keep showing profit. I have been <lucky> over thousands of wagers. I risked more on each wager in the past (2% NFL, 1.5% NCAA avg) but I dont have to anymore as I have been so lucky.
Michigan -9.5