Bullchitna- Ben Dover did a lot of work on this at the RX. I can't find his work but using his numbers a 1/2 point makes a difference in a game 2.34 % of the games. This was from a sample of 9004 games. The real trick is figuring out which way the line will move. You have to know if it's going to go up or down.
Dimes & Raiders-
I certainly beleive you both that over the long run getting the best # is probably the most important thing, but there must be many varying aspects and degrees to this.
Dimes- <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>BULLCHITNA.........not opinion my friend..........fact
bad numbers will beat you....... <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Even if you get the very best # about 75-80% of the time? It doesn't seem to make that big of a difference to me.
I've lost my fukin ass off this yr. getting the best line most of the time, both before and after movement.
I certainly beleive you both that over the long run getting the best # is probably the most important thing, but there must be many varying aspects and degrees to this.
Dimes- <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>BULLCHITNA.........not opinion my friend..........fact
bad numbers will beat you....... <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Even if you get the very best # about 75-80% of the time? It doesn't seem to make that big of a difference to me.
I've lost my fukin ass off this yr. getting the best line most of the time, both before and after movement.
Raiders- I thought you were joking about 'BenDover' at first, but then remembered some of his posts. I tried to look it up his thoughts on this topic, but got no good results.
Regardless, let's suppose Ben is correct that a 1/2 point changes the outcome in 2.34% of games in the long term.
There must be a difference in whether you are getting the best early or late lines.
Regardless, let's suppose Ben is correct that a 1/2 point changes the outcome in 2.34% of games in the long term.
There must be a difference in whether you are getting the best early or late lines.
Bull - If you shop around and play the best numbers it can add about 2% to you over the long run. I don't have to mention that is HUGE.
JC - you are certainly welcome here. As you say you are passing along information, up to us if we find any <value> or not. Thanks.
Dime - thanks for the information as always. One of my longtime locals is going to join this week and help us out as well. Of course he told me he would last week too and hasn't made it yet, LOL. Thanks for hanging with us down here, we appreciate it. I know I've got a lot to learn like the others, your a big help.
General - nice run sir. Hope it carries over to tomorrow.
JC - you are certainly welcome here. As you say you are passing along information, up to us if we find any <value> or not. Thanks.
Dime - thanks for the information as always. One of my longtime locals is going to join this week and help us out as well. Of course he told me he would last week too and hasn't made it yet, LOL. Thanks for hanging with us down here, we appreciate it. I know I've got a lot to learn like the others, your a big help.
General - nice run sir. Hope it carries over to tomorrow.
Nice job Koke!
Bull - why didn't you ask earlier? Play the 1-2-3-4 on both ends with 6-7 in the middle for a $1 trifecta. Only cost $24 and you'll hit at least one if you go on the weekdays. In the 9 point matches do just the opposite, play 6-7 on both ends with 1-2-3-4 in the middle. These come in about 16.7% of the time on the 9 point games.
If neither of these work the game is fixed, ask to check the ball. If they refuse drain your beer and head towards the nearest exit.
Bull - why didn't you ask earlier? Play the 1-2-3-4 on both ends with 6-7 in the middle for a $1 trifecta. Only cost $24 and you'll hit at least one if you go on the weekdays. In the 9 point matches do just the opposite, play 6-7 on both ends with 1-2-3-4 in the middle. These come in about 16.7% of the time on the 9 point games.
If neither of these work the game is fixed, ask to check the ball. If they refuse drain your beer and head towards the nearest exit.
I won't be posting my plays in the TFZ any longer. There is just too much bul lshit here. Too many people have "conspiracy theories" about me and my plays.
Key #'s or not key #'s - these plays come right from a guy connected to a huge shop. I post the # that I get, so perhaps they are playing a different one (the syndicate).
As a parting word to a few guys here:
Dime: My name is Jason Camelot. I was born with that name, and I represent NO ONE ELSE.
Raiders: Chill out man. I have no hidden agendas. You are way too uptight and defensive.
General and McIrish: Thanks for inviting to post in the TFZ, I was a fun but short ride.
To everyone else, I will be posting the plays in the appropriate forums when they are released (NFL, NCAA, MLB, Horses, etc). You can find my posts with the syndicate plays there.
Key #'s or not key #'s - these plays come right from a guy connected to a huge shop. I post the # that I get, so perhaps they are playing a different one (the syndicate).
As a parting word to a few guys here:
Dime: My name is Jason Camelot. I was born with that name, and I represent NO ONE ELSE.
Raiders: Chill out man. I have no hidden agendas. You are way too uptight and defensive.
General and McIrish: Thanks for inviting to post in the TFZ, I was a fun but short ride.
To everyone else, I will be posting the plays in the appropriate forums when they are released (NFL, NCAA, MLB, Horses, etc). You can find my posts with the syndicate plays there.
JCDIMER..................no reason not to pass your info along here..........
i was giving my opinion...............if your feelings are hurt because of it i am sorry.........
but dont make me out to be the bad guy................
i can come across as abrasive sometimes.........but like i said before.........dont sweat it.......
PATRICK............i am the exception (shops that post).......
if my people knew what i pass along.........they would probably string me up...lol
but my clerks love me now that i dont harass them as much...
i was giving my opinion...............if your feelings are hurt because of it i am sorry.........
but dont make me out to be the bad guy................
i can come across as abrasive sometimes.........but like i said before.........dont sweat it.......
PATRICK............i am the exception (shops that post).......
if my people knew what i pass along.........they would probably string me up...lol
but my clerks love me now that i dont harass them as much...
