As you all can probably tell, I am a Longhorns fan. However, I am going to be as non-bias as possible in this write up. I've seen a lot of people all over Tech, and I just don't get it. Anyway, here is what I think:
As for the past couple of weeks:
The past three games Texas beat #1 OU, #5 Mizzou, and #6 OSU. Texas at home for two of the three, and a neutral site against OU. A little bit of an advantage for Texas in the two home games, but still impresive wins.
Tech beat Kansas, A&M, and Nebraska. Kansas is not that good...did anyone see S. Florida beat them eariler in the year? Kansas defense is terrible. A&M plain outright sucks, even at Kyle field, and that game was much closer than the score indicates. Plus, Tech barely beat Nebraska at Lubbock in OT. Again, Nebraska sucks too, and they barely beat Baylor last week.
Who has looked more impressive in the past 3 games? In my opinion, Texas.
Offense:
Granted, Tech PASSING offense is tremendous, and should be able to put up some yards on Texas D secondary. However, Tech's run game is not that good and will do absolutely nothing against Texas run D. Tech will not be two-dimensional against Texas like we saw in the Kansas game.
Texas offense will have the ability to be balanced. Texas will be able to pass all over Tech D secondary. More importantly, Texas will also be able to run against Tech too. This is key because it will allow Texas to manage the clock, keep the ball out of Tech's hands and open up the deep pass when needed. This is a big advantage here as Texas keeps the possession of the ball twice as long as Tech. Nobody wants to get into a shoot-out situation with Tech, and I don't think Texas will attempt to do such.
I give Texas a slight advantage on offense because of the ability of McCoy to scramble, and to gain some yards from running back by committee against a Tech run D that is not that good.
Defense:
Texas Tech defense...no way they are stopping Texas offense. Not in any aspect...run or pass. As I said, I see Texas controlling the ball with long drives. In the event Tech does get a sizable lead against Texas, then I see Texas being able to pass easily against Tech.
Texas defense...two different stories. The secondary is suspect, and Harrell will be able to throw against them, no doubt. However, Texas run D is just too good for Tech to run against. I just don't see Batch doing anything here.
I give the advantage on D to Texas.
Overall:
I think Tech is a very similar team to Mizzou in the respect that both have great passing offense, but no passing defense. Further, both have very suspect running defenses. I think of the Mizzou/UT game a few weeks back, and I think this game will look very similar. Tech does have the home advantage though, whereas Mizzou did not. I don't see this game ending up in a blow out by any means, but I do think Texas wins and covers.
Texas 38
Tech 28
BOL!
HookEm
