I've watched his match against Blake and he didn't look physically bothered , Blake was just sharper in the deciding moments . Schuettler wanted to retire but I guess he is sticking around to pick up entry money .
Rough start but both came back nicely , 3-0 so far . Korolev and Querrey left in parlay.
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :06:30 PM PST
Dieter Kindlmann vs Nikolay Davydenko
My pick is Nikolay Davydenko UNDER 18.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.72
Where : paddypower
3.75 units to win 2.7 units
I am betting on Davydenko not to lose a set here and Kindlmann not winning 5 or 6 games in any set . Over/under line is set at 27.5 which suggest Davydenko has to win 6-3 6-3 6-3 to stay within under . If Kindlmann managed to win a set it's done deal going over , if Kindlmann managed to win 5 or 6 games in a set Davydenko would have still to win this set and the rest 6-1 6-2 or even 6-1 6-1 . 6-4 6-4 6-4 win would still cash the under 18.5 games for Davydenko but it's a loss in under 27.5 games .
Davydenko is in red hot form , unless the russian messes around here I don't see how Kindlman can win 5 or more games in a set . I have followed Kindlmann's last Qualifying round match and he allowed 17 breakpoints in 3 sets with 8 double faults . Courts suit Davydenko's game perfectly , not too slow but not too fast either . Should be looking to save energy for the later rounds .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :05:30 PM PST
Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs Stanislas Wawrinka
My pick is OVER 35.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.80
Where : unibet
5 units to win 4 units
Pinnaclesports and 5dimes have it at over/under 36 , basically same line with the difference getting a push or win on exact 36 games .
I have no reason not to believe this isn't one of those matches where both players will have several brainfarts during the play . 4 set match here atleast , neither has really big serve to run away with anything , even a four 6-3 sets match would cover this by 0.5 games .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :08:00 PM PST
Marc Gicquel vs Simone Bolelli
My pick is OVER 37.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.75
Where : unibet
4 units to win 3 units
Same story here , there is no way bookies can expect all those close matches to end under those total lines in a grand slam .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :07:00 PM PST
Lukas Lacko vs Leonardo Mayer
My pick is OVER 37.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.80
Where : unibet
5 units to win 4 units
Rough start but both came back nicely , 3-0 so far . Korolev and Querrey left in parlay.
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :06:30 PM PST
Dieter Kindlmann vs Nikolay Davydenko
My pick is Nikolay Davydenko UNDER 18.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.72
Where : paddypower
3.75 units to win 2.7 units
I am betting on Davydenko not to lose a set here and Kindlmann not winning 5 or 6 games in any set . Over/under line is set at 27.5 which suggest Davydenko has to win 6-3 6-3 6-3 to stay within under . If Kindlmann managed to win a set it's done deal going over , if Kindlmann managed to win 5 or 6 games in a set Davydenko would have still to win this set and the rest 6-1 6-2 or even 6-1 6-1 . 6-4 6-4 6-4 win would still cash the under 18.5 games for Davydenko but it's a loss in under 27.5 games .
Davydenko is in red hot form , unless the russian messes around here I don't see how Kindlman can win 5 or more games in a set . I have followed Kindlmann's last Qualifying round match and he allowed 17 breakpoints in 3 sets with 8 double faults . Courts suit Davydenko's game perfectly , not too slow but not too fast either . Should be looking to save energy for the later rounds .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :05:30 PM PST
Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs Stanislas Wawrinka
My pick is OVER 35.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.80
Where : unibet
5 units to win 4 units
Pinnaclesports and 5dimes have it at over/under 36 , basically same line with the difference getting a push or win on exact 36 games .
I have no reason not to believe this isn't one of those matches where both players will have several brainfarts during the play . 4 set match here atleast , neither has really big serve to run away with anything , even a four 6-3 sets match would cover this by 0.5 games .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :08:00 PM PST
Marc Gicquel vs Simone Bolelli
My pick is OVER 37.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.75
Where : unibet
4 units to win 3 units
Same story here , there is no way bookies can expect all those close matches to end under those total lines in a grand slam .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :07:00 PM PST
Lukas Lacko vs Leonardo Mayer
My pick is OVER 37.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.80
Where : unibet
5 units to win 4 units
Parlay down the drain , thanks to Querrey . Injured or not he had no business losing to someone like Schuettler . Don't know why he bothered showing up to play .
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :06:30 PM PST
Paolo Lorenzi v Marcos Baghdatis
My pick is Paolo Lorenzi UNDER 11.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.80
Where : paddypower
2.26 units to win 1.81 units
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :06:30 PM PST
Paolo Lorenzi v Marcos Baghdatis
My pick is Marcos Baghdatis 3-0 sets , Paolo Lorenzi not to win a set
Odds : 1.53
Where : paddypower
5.43 units to win 2.88 units
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :00:10 AM PST
Lleyton Hewitt vs Ricardo Hocevar
My pick is Ricardo Hocevar UNDER 10.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.66
Where : paddypower
2.7 units to win 1.82 units
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :06:30 PM PST
Paolo Lorenzi v Marcos Baghdatis
My pick is Paolo Lorenzi UNDER 11.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.80
Where : paddypower
2.26 units to win 1.81 units
18 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :06:30 PM PST
Paolo Lorenzi v Marcos Baghdatis
My pick is Marcos Baghdatis 3-0 sets , Paolo Lorenzi not to win a set
Odds : 1.53
Where : paddypower
5.43 units to win 2.88 units
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :00:10 AM PST
Lleyton Hewitt vs Ricardo Hocevar
My pick is Ricardo Hocevar UNDER 10.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.66
Where : paddypower
2.7 units to win 1.82 units
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :00:10 AM PST
Lleyton Hewitt vs Ricardo Hocevar
My pick is UNDER 29 GAMES
Odds : - 145
Where : pinnaclesports
7.25 units to win 5 units
The more I think about this one the more I think it's a real steal tho thats what I've thought with the over plays today as well , not a single fighter showed up to try and bounce back after losing a set .
Hewitt has to win 6-4 6-4 6-3 to get a push , considering Hocevar has absolutely nothing to hurt him with I can see a scoreline like 6-3 6-2 6-2 here .
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :00:10 AM PST
Lleyton Hewitt vs Ricardo Hocevar
My pick is UNDER 29 GAMES
Odds : - 145
Where : pinnaclesports
7.25 units to win 5 units
The more I think about this one the more I think it's a real steal tho thats what I've thought with the over plays today as well , not a single fighter showed up to try and bounce back after losing a set .
Hewitt has to win 6-4 6-4 6-3 to get a push , considering Hocevar has absolutely nothing to hurt him with I can see a scoreline like 6-3 6-2 6-2 here .
Yes , a few doubles matches but have to check the odds now .
Australian Open : 8-4 + 1.21 units
Lacko absolutely killed L.Mayer as + 160 underdog , if Mayer took a set over would be in without trouble .
Bolleli lost first two sets 6-7 , needed to hold 1 more game for the over to cash in 3 sets but got broken .
Bad call on Wawrinka match over , spaniard has no chance at all .
All 5 under total plays cashed tho .
Minus 2k swing on the parlay really hurts , didn't realize Querrey was badly injured at the end of the last year . Seems like not many americans bothered to show up and play : Fish , Querrey and Ginepri all lost in 3 or 4 sets as - 300 and higher favorites .
Mug parlay at 5dimes again , if this doesn't cash I will stick to total games and handicap plays .
Zvonareva in same situation as Querrey and Cuevas , injured but decided to play , could be worth to fade her BUT ONLY at 1 ball bookie , means if one ball is played all wagers stand even if she retires 2 minutes later . If this match is finished it means Zvonareva wasn't badly injured and won the match so worth a try with her opponent being + 335 at one ball bookie like betandwin .
19 January
Wager Type : WTA Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :04:10 PM PST
Victoria Azarenka vs Stephanie Cohen-Aloro
My pick is UNDER 17 GAMES
Odds : - 120 and - 126
Where : 5dimes and pinnaclesports
Total : 6.15 units to win 5 units
Typical player that Azarenka should be able to trash 6-2 6-1 in the early rounds of grand slam . Aloro just lost to Elena Baltacha 2-6 1-6 and week earlier 2-6 3-6 to Francesca Schiavone . Might not cash today but in the long run its a profitable play . Baltacha is poor man's version of Azarenka , just 50 times worse . Azarenka's power should be way too much , if Aloro gets broken in the first 2 games I think its done deal . 6-2 6-3 for a push is a good deal where one opponent is overmatched like that . Last year Azarenka defeated Kvitova 6-2 6-1 in the first round here and Kvitova is by far better player than today's opponent .
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :05:30 PM PST
Evgeny Korolev vs Tomas Berdych
My pick is OVER 34.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.86
Where : unibet
5 units to win 4.3 units
Would have this one in 37.5 total range .
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :08:30 PM PST
Igor Kunitsyn vs Stanislas Wawrinka
My pick is Igor Kunitsyn UNDER 14.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.72
Where : paddypower
3.71 units to win 2.67 units
As long as Wawrinka wins in 3 sets this should be good to go , can even afford a tiebreak , lets say 6-4 7-6 6-4 . Kunitsyn is the worst player in top 50 rankings , absolutely no weapons . Even if he manages to win a set with 6 games , its not a guarantee he doesn't lose 3 sets 3-6 3-6 2-6 and still stays 0.5 games short of 15 .
20 January
Wager Type : WTA Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :00:10 AM PST
Elena Dementieva vs Justine Henin
My pick is Elena Dementieva OVER 12.5 GAMES and Justine Henin OVER 12.5 GAMES
Odds : 2.10 and 2.20
Where : paddypower
3 units to win 3.6 units and 3.25 units to win 3.57 units
This looks like a 3 set match , tho as long as there is a 7-5 or 7-6 I will make some change , if this goes 3 sets I like my chances to cash both .
Australian Open : 8-4 + 1.21 units
Lacko absolutely killed L.Mayer as + 160 underdog , if Mayer took a set over would be in without trouble .
Bolleli lost first two sets 6-7 , needed to hold 1 more game for the over to cash in 3 sets but got broken .
Bad call on Wawrinka match over , spaniard has no chance at all .
All 5 under total plays cashed tho .
Minus 2k swing on the parlay really hurts , didn't realize Querrey was badly injured at the end of the last year . Seems like not many americans bothered to show up and play : Fish , Querrey and Ginepri all lost in 3 or 4 sets as - 300 and higher favorites .
Mug parlay at 5dimes again , if this doesn't cash I will stick to total games and handicap plays .
Zvonareva in same situation as Querrey and Cuevas , injured but decided to play , could be worth to fade her BUT ONLY at 1 ball bookie , means if one ball is played all wagers stand even if she retires 2 minutes later . If this match is finished it means Zvonareva wasn't badly injured and won the match so worth a try with her opponent being + 335 at one ball bookie like betandwin .
19 January
Wager Type : WTA Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :04:10 PM PST
Victoria Azarenka vs Stephanie Cohen-Aloro
My pick is UNDER 17 GAMES
Odds : - 120 and - 126
Where : 5dimes and pinnaclesports
Total : 6.15 units to win 5 units
Typical player that Azarenka should be able to trash 6-2 6-1 in the early rounds of grand slam . Aloro just lost to Elena Baltacha 2-6 1-6 and week earlier 2-6 3-6 to Francesca Schiavone . Might not cash today but in the long run its a profitable play . Baltacha is poor man's version of Azarenka , just 50 times worse . Azarenka's power should be way too much , if Aloro gets broken in the first 2 games I think its done deal . 6-2 6-3 for a push is a good deal where one opponent is overmatched like that . Last year Azarenka defeated Kvitova 6-2 6-1 in the first round here and Kvitova is by far better player than today's opponent .
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :05:30 PM PST
Evgeny Korolev vs Tomas Berdych
My pick is OVER 34.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.86
Where : unibet
5 units to win 4.3 units
Would have this one in 37.5 total range .
19 January
Wager Type : ATP Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :08:30 PM PST
Igor Kunitsyn vs Stanislas Wawrinka
My pick is Igor Kunitsyn UNDER 14.5 GAMES
Odds : 1.72
Where : paddypower
3.71 units to win 2.67 units
As long as Wawrinka wins in 3 sets this should be good to go , can even afford a tiebreak , lets say 6-4 7-6 6-4 . Kunitsyn is the worst player in top 50 rankings , absolutely no weapons . Even if he manages to win a set with 6 games , its not a guarantee he doesn't lose 3 sets 3-6 3-6 2-6 and still stays 0.5 games short of 15 .
20 January
Wager Type : WTA Total Games
Australian Open. Melbourne, Australia
Start time :00:10 AM PST
Elena Dementieva vs Justine Henin
My pick is Elena Dementieva OVER 12.5 GAMES and Justine Henin OVER 12.5 GAMES
Odds : 2.10 and 2.20
Where : paddypower
3 units to win 3.6 units and 3.25 units to win 3.57 units
This looks like a 3 set match , tho as long as there is a 7-5 or 7-6 I will make some change , if this goes 3 sets I like my chances to cash both .
