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I'm taking a flyer on Querrey tomorrow over Seppi. I think the surface favors him and I can get +175 at Carib.
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
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Looks solid on paper but Sam is back from an injury and Seppi is playing at home even tho it didn't help other italians yesterday .

ATP Doubles : 49-24 + 26.54 units

WTA Doubles : 6-3 + 1.5 units

ATP fav ML : 14-9 - 21.76 units

ATP underdog ML : 1-0 + 5.5 units

WTA fav ML : 14-5 + 41.98 units

ATP Handicap 12-8+6.74 units

WTA Handicap : 6-2 + 23.16 units


ATP Total Games : 3-5 - 6.65 units

WTA Total Games : 1-0 + 2.5 units

ATP Set Betting : 3-0 +9.7 units

WTA Set Betting : 1-0 + 2.5 units

Prop Bets : 2-2 - 2.03 units
----------------------------------------
YTD : 112-58 + 89.68 units




28 April

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Thomaz Bellucci vs Feliciano Lopez


My pick is OVER 22.5 GAMES & 23

Odds : 1.80 & - 105

Where : expekt & pinnaclesports

3 units to win 2.4 units & 1.05 units to win 1 unit





28 April

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Robin Soderling vs Marcel Granollers


My pick is OVER 22 GAMES

Odds : - 109

Where : pinnaclesports

3.27 units to win 3 units





28 April

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Julien Benneteau vs Jurgen Melzer


My pick is OVER 22.5 GAMES

Odds : - 105

Where : pinnaclesports

3.15 units to win 3 units



Will try this new strategy , don't see many 2:0 sets wins with mental guys like Melzer , Lopez or Soderling . Even 2:0 sets like 7:6 6:4 would still cover every total line .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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30 April

Wager Type : ATP Doubles

Internazionali BNL D'Italia Doubles<small>

</small>
Start time :7:00AM (EST)

B.Soares/K.Ullyett vs M.Melo/A.Sa


My pick is M.Melo/A.Sa to win

Odds : 2.30

Where : expekt

2 units to win 2.6 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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Yep , looking at Del Pony + 4 games over Djerkovic and maybe Nudal over 19 games .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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ATP Doubles : 49-25 + 24.54 units

WTA Doubles : 6-3 + 1.5 units

ATP fav ML : 14-9 - 21.76 units

ATP underdog ML : 1-0 + 5.5 units

WTA fav ML : 14-5 + 41.98 units

ATP Handicap 12-8+6.74 units

WTA Handicap : 6-2 + 23.16 units


ATP Total Games : 4-7 - 10.97 units

WTA Total Games : 1-0 + 2.5 units

ATP Set Betting : 3-0 +9.7 units

WTA Set Betting : 1-0 + 2.5 units

Prop Bets : 2-2 - 2.03 units
----------------------------------------
YTD : 113-61 + 83.36 units


1 May


Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia Qtr F<small>

</small>
Start time :07:00 AM PST

Rafael Nadal vs Fernando Verdasco


My pick is OVER 18.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.83

Where : sportingbet

4 units to win 3.32 units



Chances are Nadal is going to whipe the red dirt with Verdasco but I can see one close set here , probably the first one . Fernando is not Soderling who totally collapsed which wasn't a surprise with his style against a defender like Rafael Nadal . 4-6 3-6 would do it , maybe 5-7 1-6 .


fernando-verdasco-viertelfinale-514.jpg
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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ATP Doubles : 49-25 + 24.54 units

WTA Doubles : 6-3 + 1.5 units

ATP fav ML : 14-9 - 21.76 units

ATP underdog ML : 1-0 + 5.5 units

WTA fav ML : 14-5 + 41.98 units

ATP Handicap 12-8+6.74 units

WTA Handicap : 6-2 + 23.16 units


ATP Total Games : 4-8 - 14.97 units

WTA Total Games : 1-0 + 2.5 units

ATP Set Betting : 3-0 +9.7 units

WTA Set Betting : 1-0 + 2.5 units

Prop Bets : 2-2 - 2.03 units
----------------------------------------
YTD : 113-62 + 79.36 units


OK ...this week I will try to pick up atleast 50 units , lets see how it goes .



Wager Type : Prop Bet

Player To Win Serbia Open

My pick is Novak Djokovic to win the tournament

Odds : - 180

Where : pinnaclesports

9 units to win 5 units


djokovic2.jpg



Pretty weak field , I don't see any player at all that should touble Novak here .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
4 May

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R1<small>

</small>
Start time :04:05 AM PST

Sara Errani vs Aleksandra Wozniak


My pick is Sara Errani to win

Odds : - 196

Where : pinnaclesports

9.8 units to win 5 units



4 May

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R1<small>

</small>
Start time :04:05 AM PST

Alize Cornet vs Ai Sugiyama


My pick is OVER 21 GAMES

Odds : - 109

Where : pinnaclesports

3.27 units to win 3 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
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Messages
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Errani is plain pathetic player , last time , I swear .
Push on 2nd play , Sugiyama had 40-0 serving , with a hold I would cash this play but she lost 5 points in a row to get broken .

4 May

Wager Type : WTA Handicap

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R1<small>

</small>
Start time :07:45 AM PST

Alisa Kleybanova vs Aravane Rezai


My pick is Aravane Rezai + 2.5 GAMES

Odds : - 113

Where : pinnaclesports

11.3 units to win 10 units


Rezai should win this match , Alisa just got here from tournament in Morocco and her last match there wasn't very inspiring going down 2-6 1-6 to Makarova , might have tanked but anyway I think Rezai got this one . I remember watching their previous match on clay last year and Kleybanova collapsed in this one , losing lot of games in a row . Rezai already played 2 quali matches here so she should be all set and get a feel for those courts .
This might be a 3 set match and I rather give up few points off that + 120 ML on Rezai but this would cover many 3 set outcomes even with he being the loser .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
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rezt.jpg


rezai.jpg



Atleast this one was a very easy winner after a pathetic Errani loss .

This week , Day 1 : 1-1 + 0.2 units


5 May

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

Estoril Open R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Alla Kudryavtseva vs Elena Bovina


My pick is OVER 21 GAMES

Odds : - 108

Where : pinnaclesports

2.7 units to win 2.5 units


Last year they've played on clay and Bovina won 2-6 6-4 6-1 = 25 games . My lean is Bovina to win , even odds but I believe there is more value betting on over games . Both had a lot of 3 set matches recently , both play on same level , clay court matched tend to have 3 set matches . There are several outcomes to cover this in 2 sets as well with a tight one like 7-5 or 7-6 .


5 May

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

BMW Open R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Dieter Kindlmann vs Dieter Kindlmann


My pick is OVER 19 GAMES

Odds : - 104

Where : pinnaclesports

2.6 units to win 2.5 units


Cilic not that great in all clay tournaments so far , some brutal losses like one to Fognini . Kindlmann not biggest talent , but strong performance in quali , might be good for one tight set .


5 May

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

BMW Open R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Lamine Ouahab vs Paul-Henri Mathieu


My pick is UNDER 20.5 GAMES

Odds : - 111

Where : pinnaclesports

2.77 units to win 2.5 units


Quabab is a mediocre player , if Mathieu doesn't win this like 6-4 6-3 he might as well retire from playing tennis .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
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5 May

Wager Type : WTA Handicap

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R2<small>

</small>
Start time :04:05 AM PST

Kateryna Bondarenko vs Alize Cornet


My pick is Kateryna Bondarenko + 3.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.80

Where : unibet

4 units to win 3.2 units


5 May

Wager Type : WTA fav ML

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R2<small>

</small>
Start time :04:05 AM PST

Aleksandra Wozniak vs Anna Chakvetadze


My pick is Anna Chakvetadze to win

Odds : - 144

Where : pinnaclesports

7.2 units to win 5 units





5 May

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia R2<small>

</small>
Start time :04:05 AM PST

Jie Zheng vs Elena Vesnina


My pick is OVER 21 GAMES

Odds : - 108

Where : pinnaclesports

3.24 units to win 3 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
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kudr.jpg


Unreal , got on a tank job here . Most bookies took this one off after Bovina moved from + 120 to - 170 , too bad I've placed my bet so early .

Cilic too good for his opponent , bad bet .

Mathieu won easy in straight sets like he should .

Bondarenko not only covered + 3.5 games but won 6-4 6-1 .@):)

Vesnina match over cashed in 3 setter .

Chakvetadze was serving for set in the first , had setpoint but lost 3 games in a row at 5*-4 and whole set 5-7. Was break up almost whole second set and then Wozniak kept holding andAnna couldn't . Wozniak was serving for match at 5-3 and got broken , then there was a long rain delay , Anna won this set 7-6 and never looked back in the third .



This week , Day 2 : 4-2 + 8.4 units

This week , 2 days : 5-3 + 8.6 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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6 May

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Serbia Open R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Wayne Odesnik vs Leonardo Mayer


My pick is OVER 22.5 GAMES

Odds : + 107

Where : pinnaclesports

2.5 units to win 2.67 units




6 May

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

Serbia Open R1<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Brian Dabul vs Nicolas Massu


My pick is OVER 22 GAMES

Odds : + 101

Where : pinnaclesports

2.5 units to win 2.52 units




I am trying few new things out this week , not just limiting myself to 1 or 2 plays a day which I like . This worked out yesterday , hopefully it will today as well .

Those bets are no brainers to me , all 4 are lower level clay court players with questionable form . I am getting plus money here on both bets so as long as one of them cashes I am making small profit .
I count on atleast one of those matches to be a 3 setter but a 7-6 6-4 tight match would do it as well .



6 May

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Estoril Open R16<small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Paul Capdeville vs Maximo Gonzalez


My pick is Maximo Gonzalez to win

Odds : 1.80

Where : sportingbet

5 units to win 4 units



Capdeville sure didn't like his chances to make it to the 2nd round when he seen Nalbandian as his first round opponent ... too bad Nalbandian had other plans , not only did he play with/after an injury but also he had trouble with the heat which resulted in a 2-6 2-6 loss .
I don't rate this win for Capdevile at all tho , his last matches on clay have been pretty bad . In Houston he has struggled with 2 americans who are by no means anything special on clay , won a close one against Delic but lost in 3 sets to John Isner . Lost to Lopez 1-6 2-6 ... too bad it wasn't even Feliciano Lopez but Marc who is a mediocre player . Last week in Rome he lost to Ferrero 1-6 5-7 , Ferrero himself not doing all that great , maybe 8 years ago it wouldn't be a shame losing to Ferrero like that but not at this point of his career .
Maximo is on 26-6 run on clay courts , some solid wins in ATP tournaments like Vina del Mar and Buenos Aires .


6 May

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Estoril Open Doubles<small>

</small>
Start time :5:00AM (EST)

M.Gicquel/F.Serra vs W.Moodie/D.Norman


My pick is W.Moodie/D.Norman to win

Odds : - 135

Where : 5dimes

3.37 units to win 2.5 units


See no reason not to bet on Moodie and Norman , both are big guys with strong serve , actually Moodie has won this tournament last year with his partner Coetzee .
Both Gicquel and Serra are semi-solid on clay courts but in doubles I don't rate their game especially when they will have to worry holding their own serves against two big servers . Serra has horrible 13-36 doubles record and 0-4 this year .
If Moodie and Norman are interested in winning this one they should be able to . Obvious Moodie knows those courts being the winner last season even if it was with a different partner . Two weeks ago Moodie made semis in Barcelona with his partner Aspelin losing to Nestor and Zimonjic 6-7 6-7 , no shame here tho .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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Unreal collapse by Maximo , placed this one like 2 days ago but added more to my original 8.5 units bet , sigh . If Gil doesn't beat fat James Blake I am done with this .

6 May


Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Estoril Open R1 <small>

</small>
Start time :05:50 AM PST

James Blake vs Frederico Gil


My pick is Frederico Gil to win

Odds : - 170

Where : pinnaclesports

17 units to win 10 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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Cilic vs Kohlschreiber is even funnier ... 6-0 first set to Cilic and I wanted to bet big on the german playing at home against Cilic who isn't all that good on clay . There is no logic at all in most tennis matches these days , people just show up to get their azz kicked like Massu today or Kohlschreiber at the moment , unreal . Many people will get burned today if Kohlschreiber and Gil lose .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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Took a day off after brutal loss with Gil , unreal collapse there . Update record later today .

8 May

Wager Type : ATP Total Games

BMW Open QF <small>

</small>
Start time :03:05 AM PST

Mikhail Youzhny vs Paul-Henri Mathieu


My pick is OVER 22 GAMES

Odds : 1.83

Where : sportingbet

5 units to win 4.15 units


There is some value here considering other bookies have this one set at 23.5 games so we are getting 2 less games in this one . Both have served really well so far and I can easily see 3 sets here or atleast one 7-5/7-6 set .



8 May

Wager Type : ATP underdog ML

BMW Open QF <small>

</small>
Start time :04:30 AM PST

Potito Starace vs Daniel Brands


My pick is Daniel Brands to win

Odds : - 105

Where : 5dimes

5.25 units to win 5 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
8 May

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

Serbia Open QF
<small>

</small>
Start time :05:05 AM PST

Ivo Karlovic vs Flavio Cipolla

My pick is Ivo Karlovic to win

Odds : - 160

Where : pinnaclesports

8 units to win 5 units



8 May

Wager Type : WTA Doubles

Estoril Open Doubles<small>
</small>
<small>
</small>
Start time :05:00 AM PST

R.Kops-Jones/A.Spears vs J.Coin/M-E.Pelletier


My pick is R.Kops-Jones/A.Spears to win

Odds : - 170

Where : 5dimes

4.25 units to win 2.5 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
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4-0 bounce back yesterday @):) . Karlovic won without trouble , Starace retired after first set like he was supposed to and PHM match was a 3 setter . Doubles didn't look good 3-6 0-5 down !!! but they have won 7 games in a row to win 2nd set 7-5 and 10-3 the decider .


9 May

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

Internazionali BNL D' Italia Final
<small>

</small>
Start time :07:05 AM PST

Dinara Safina vs Svetlana Kuznetsova


My pick is OVER 21.5 GAMES

Odds : 1.83

Where : sportingbet

5 units to win 4.15 units




9 May

Wager Type : Parlay<small>
</small>

Daniel Brands vs Mikhail Youzhny AND Lukasz Kubot vs Ivo Karlovic


My pick is Mikhail Youzhny + Ivo Karlovic TO WIN

Combined Odds : 1.75

Where : pinnaclesports

5 units to win 3.75 units
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
Joined
Feb 7, 2007
Messages
10,637
Tokens
Last week : 11-9 - 4.25 units

YTD : 124-73 + 75.11 units


12 May

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

Mutua Madrileña Madrid Open R2
<small>

</small>
Start time :02:05 AM PST

Agnes Szavay vs Aravane Rezai

My pick is OVER 21.5 GAMES

Odds : - 104

Where : pinnaclesports

2.6 units to win 2.5 units
 

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