Teams going into a playoff game with a winning streak of greater than 7 ...

Search

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2014
Messages
840
Tokens
Jesus dude, do I come off as a person trying to mislead people here? I just posted something I found while looking at trends and yes when doing that you look for a broader range of games to include for a bigger sample size
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
No you don't. I'd rather have 3 games that were similar to the game I'm capping instead of 8 and 6 of them be unrelated. That's why I said it is misleading because look at the games before you post. Your database is feeding you bullshit. San fran played greenbay on the road as favorites on a long win streak before playing seattle on the road in that same post season. I look this shit up. I don't type it into a database and half ass it. This isn't right.

The houston oiler and ny jets game in 93 they were both on 7+ game win streaks. Lol someone had to win.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2014
Messages
840
Tokens
No you don't. I'd rather have 3 games that were similar to the game I'm capping instead of 8 and 6 of them be unrelated. That's why I said it is misleading because look at the games before you post. Your database is feeding you bullshit. San fran played greenbay on the road as favorites on a long win streak before playing seattle on the road in that same post season. I look this shit up. I don't type it into a database and half ass it. This isn't right.

The houston oiler and ny jets game in 93 they were both on 7+ game win streaks. Lol someone had to win.

So you would rather not have more data that is similar to but not exactly like the game you are capping?

And San Fran lost in week 11 that year so the packers game didnt qualify for this trend(also not qualifying was the game they played a week later against Carolina on the road). Which actually solidifies my point even more, the greater the streak the more pressure, the better chance it has of ending. So maybe you should do a little better job of "looking shit up" homeboy.

I am well aware that the second trend i posted had some games that qualified both teams, and if you understood math that would make those games 1-1 which would negate that game entirely thus not affecting the ATS win percentage but since you like to look shit up and count on your fingers maybe you arent so good at math.

Look man I don't start shit with anyone on here but you are basically saying that I am misleading people which is insulting to me, all I ever do here is try to post shit that helps people find an edge in a game.
 

Member
Joined
Feb 25, 2010
Messages
1,272
Tokens
So you would rather not have more data that is similar to but not exactly like the game you are capping?

And San Fran lost in week 11 that year so the packers game didnt qualify for this trend(also not qualifying was the game they played a week later against Carolina on the road). Which actually solidifies my point even more, the greater the streak the more pressure, the better chance it has of ending. So maybe you should do a little better job of "looking shit up" homeboy.

I am well aware that the second trend i posted had some games that qualified both teams, and if you understood math that would make those games 1-1 which would negate that game entirely thus not affecting the ATS win percentage but since you like to look shit up and count on your fingers maybe you arent so good at math.

Look man I don't start shit with anyone on here but you are basically saying that I am misleading people which is insulting to me, all I ever do here is try to post shit that helps people find an edge in a game.

Don't let this guy get to you. I appreciate the queries and use them constantly when capping. I look at Rolltides thread every week and I know figuring out parameters and running these queries isn't easy so thank you. It's valuable information if you know how to use it when capping. Some people just don't get it and that's ok but they shouldn't come into others threads accusing them of being "misleading " when they are the ones giving bad information.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
IMO. To compare a win streak of a team going into the superbowl or going into the wildcard is two different worlds. You are reaching big time. Kc has 10 wins a row....ill ask again...

What other team qualifies with 10 straight wins entering a wc as a road favorite? That answer is 0. This game is totally unique and if you just admit you are a Texans fan hoping Houston wins then I wouldn't say anything but that wasn't the gist of this thread.

Lol at savage. Hard work making up misleading queries? Ok
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
33,542
Tokens
observer, don't use "week>17" to query playoffs use "playoffs=1". several years in NFL there were 2 bye weeks/team so in those seasons week 18 is a regular season game not a playoff game

mob you need to get off the crack if you think the 49ers won 7+ games in a row in 2014
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
The 10 game win streak on the road as favorites is what you should of entered...except there would be no data. Lol.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
observer, don't use "week>17" to query playoffs use "playoffs=1". several years in NFL there were 2 bye weeks/team so in those seasons week 18 is a regular season game not a playoff game

mob you need to get off the crack if you think the 49ers won 7+ games in a row in 2014

I didn't look that one up. Was going off this misleading chart.

I already got misled by the chart thinking 49ers won 7 in a row during reg season. Lol
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2014
Messages
840
Tokens
The 10 game win streak on the road as favorites is what you should of entered...except there would be no data. Lol.

Are you really this fucking dumb? I did that query initially and it returned no data, so i said 'Damn, I wonder if anyone has done anything close to that?" and thats where i landed on this.

You obviously don't do this much so I will explain how i do queries looking for trends that will help me lean in certain directions, I look for the specific situation, if that does not exist or has very little data i expand the query, thus how i got to this query, a team going into a playoff game with with a win streak of more than 7 on the road. Then i said hmmm i wonder what the % is in all games, not just on the road, and i got to my second query.

If you can't understand why i would want to expand the data set to gather more information you are a fucking retard. BTW never in this thread did i say anyone else should bet the Texans or did i say that this was the specific situation that KC was in.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
Are you really this fucking dumb? I did that query initially and it returned no data, so i said 'Damn, I wonder if anyone has done anything close to that?" and thats where i landed on this.

You obviously don't do this much so I will explain how i do queries looking for trends that will help me lean in certain directions, I look for the specific situation, if that does not exist or has very little data i expand the query, thus how i got to this query, a team going into a playoff game with with a win streak of more than 7 on the road. Then i said hmmm i wonder what the % is in all games, not just on the road, and i got to my second query.

If you can't understand why i would want to expand the data set to gather more information you are a fucking retard. BTW never in this thread did i say anyone else should bet the Texans or did i say that this was the specific situation that KC was in.


yeah I get what you did just fine. Don't think you are understanding what I am saying.... the 7+ is not in the same ballpark as 10. My point is why try to add games that are irrelevant to make your Houston bet feel stronger? It is misleading. To add a superbowl with a spread of 14... you really think that relates because their win streak exceeded 7 by the time they got to the superbowl? Come on mannnnnnnnnn. That is misleading. How do you not see that? You might as well add every team who had a 7+ game win streak during the regular season and see how they did in their next regular season game if you are going to compare a superbowl 10+ years ago to a wild card game now.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
my point is, there is no direction here. It is all over the place. If you want a stat/history to hold true you have to make sure it is precise. This is far from precise and leaning more to the misleading side IMO. If this were all wildcard teams then I would say good job. But you have superbowl matchups in there like there are away teams in superbowls? both teams are away!!!!!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2012
Messages
2,205
Tokens
This is is stats for a team on a streak greater than 9 and week is less than 20. So technically ATS was never covered. Id go against the trend and hit KC. They're more likely to cover because I feel trends even out to 50% over time.

PO = 1 and streak > 9 and week < 20
SU:3-3-0 (1.33, 50.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:0-6-0 (-6.67, 0.0%) avg line: -8.0+6: 3-3-0 (50.0%) -6: 0-6-0 (0.0%) +10: 4-2-0 (66.7%) -10: 0-6-0 (0.0%)
O/U:3-3-0 (2.17, 50.0%) avg total: 42.5+6: 1-5-0 (16.7%) -6: 4-1-1 (80.0%) +10: 1-5-0 (16.7%) -10: 5-1-0 (83.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team31.8128.035.722.2231.72.26.37.03.55.723.0
Opp28.8109.833.319.7219.71.55.25.25.05.821.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Jan 09, 2016Saturday182015Chiefs Texansaway-3.040.0
Jan 10, 2004 Saturday192003Patriots Titanshome7-77-00-7 3-017-14-6.037.03-3.0-6.0-4.5-1.5WLU0
Jan 15, 2005 Saturday192004SteelersJetshome10-00-100-7 7-020-17-8.535.03-5.52.0-1.83.8WLO1
Jan 14, 2007Sunday192006ChargersPatriotshome0-314-70-37-1121-24-4.546.5-3-7.5-1.5-4.53.0LLU0
Jan 12, 2008Saturday192007PatriotsJaguarshome7-77-714-33-331-20-12.050.011-1.01.00.01.0WLO0
Jan 17, 2010Sunday192009ChargersJetshome0-07-00-37-1414-17-8.042.5-3-11.0-11.5-11.2-0.2LLU0
Jan 12, 2013Saturday192012BroncosRavenshome14-147-77-77-735-38-9.044.0-3-12298.520.5LLO1


 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2014
Messages
840
Tokens
Totally fucking wrong on this one, I always say i will never let my Texans bias get in the way of money but I can't think of any time i have ever won money on them. Sorry if anyone tailed via this trend.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,830
Messages
13,573,737
Members
100,877
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com