I like the "Cinderella story" with TCU, good for them, but they have lived a charmed life this season.
Texas has played a stronger schedule (#7 vs #33 per Sagarin) and their young star-someday-to-be-NFL- QB was out for several games.
So the -7 line, at home (game of the year for them, again), makes complete sense despite "rankings" because of the 3 losses, Texas has jelled and is much the better team, tonight.
I see Texas by 16-21, I always like a team that can run the ball with a lead, they have a future high draft choice NFL running back for that... no miracle come back nor back door cover tonight for TCU.
GL!