...the Steelers will cover tomorrow. I've got big money on it.
I'm a first time poster but I've lurked for a while and want to share a few of my winning plays from now on. I've been successful overall but especially on my big plays.
I recommend you play Steelers (-6) or the Steelers moneyline. Here is why.
Everyone loves Baltimore right now. They have a fierce defense and an impressive rookie QB. But that's where the problems begin. Rookie QB.
I'm sure everyone heard the statistic that Flacco is the first rookie QB to win two playoff games. All that this stat shows us is how tough it is for rookie QBs to win playoff games. The playoffs hold an entirely different atmosphere and to do it not one or two but three times in a row is asking too much of Flacco.
Consider this: Flacco who is being held in high praise right now actually has not performed great so far in the playoffs. It' impressive on paper that he has yet to throw any picks, but Cameron has called very conservatively, obviously protected potential deficiencies in Flacco. He has completed less than 50% of his passes over two games, has only thrown one touchdown, and has yet to complete 300 yards over two games! If that doesn't worry you enough, consider that he is about to face the toughest defense, the best linebacker on the planet, and possibly the worst place to play at in January in Heinz Field. I might add that his favorite target is banged up.
I wasn't completely sold on the Baltimore D before the Titans game, and I'm certainly not now with a limpy Suggs and no Samari Rolle. The Ravens D hasn't gotten any rest in the last four months, so it's no wonder they are shorthanded. If they allow Parker to run on them early as they did with Chris Johnson last week, I expect Rothlisburger to have a big game, especially with the Ravens secondary weakened. Kerry Collins threw on them at will last week and Rothlisburger is always a threat in the playoffs, and looked great last week.
I see two ways that the Ravens can win. They can get points off special teams or through Ed Reed. If either happens, I like their chances to cover the spread. The problem is, the Steelers are a disciplined, smart team that realizes this. I do not expect the ball to be thrown in any vicinity of Reed tomorrow, and they outplayed the Chargers last week on special teams even with the long Sproles return.
I don't bet against my teams often. I hate to do it. But this situation is too good to pass up. Don't make the mistake of siding with Baltimore just because the public is.
Steelers 23 - Baltimore 13
Good luck!
