Swing States Trends 10/25/24-10/31/24

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11 days to go finds Harris campaigning, today, in Texas with Beyonce – where Trump is holding a 6.5% lead – and that's about as dumb as dumb gets. (Maybe tomorrow she'll be in Pago Pago with Eminem.) All that’s left for Trump to do is to firm up his tiny lead in PA, and it’s a done deal.

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8 days until the election and, based on the current polling, Trump looks to be about to sweep 6 of the 7 swing states. He’s improved his lead in PA – which is a killer for Harris – and now leads in NV by microtad. My nowcast for today has Trump winning the EC handily: 287 to 251.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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8 days until the election and, based on the current polling, Trump looks to be about to sweep 6 of the 7 swing states. He’s improved his lead in PA – which is a killer for Harris – and now leads in NV by microtad. My nowcast for today has Trump winning the EC handily: 287 to 251.
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She has no strategy because she is very stupid.

View attachment 104691
I don’t think Harris is fundamentally wrong in labelling Trump a “fascist”. He does seem to check all the boxes. But then, I’m pretty sure that most of the Americans who’ll vote next week are looking for just such a president; an autocrat who promises to fulfill their need to feel dominated by their government, and – most importantly – fuels their petty hatreds and anti-elitist biases.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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an autocrat who promises to fulfill their need to feel dominated by their government, and – most importantly – fuels their petty hatreds and anti-elitist biases.
LOLOLOLOLOL

Good LAWD are you a docile brainwashed moron. ...if ANYONE wants to be dominated by govt its you Libturds, you clowns go along with whatever they and the MSM tell you to do.


We want LESS govt involvement ...


LOL Petty hatred.......Who doesnt hate the elitists that wish to take away your freedoms and rob you blind....... Libturds like you.
 

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LOLOLOLOLOL

Good LAWD are you a docile brainwashed moron. ...if ANYONE wants to be dominated by govt its you Libturds, you clowns go along with whatever they and the MSM tell you to do.


We want LESS govt involvement ...


LOL Petty hatred.......Who doesnt hate the elitists that wish to take away your freedoms and rob you blind....... Libturds like you.
If you really believe that, you seriously need to pay closer attention to your guy. If there was ever a candidate who promised more presidential directives (ie. undemocratic lawmaking), Trump wins that contest by a mile. You’re just too overwhelmed by your girlish and petty hatreds to see the truth when it’s in plain sight.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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If you really believe that, you seriously need to pay closer attention to your guy. If there was ever a candidate who promised more presidential directives (ie. undemocratic lawmaking), Trump wins that contest by a mile. You’re just too overwhelmed by your girlish and petty hatreds to see the truth when it’s in plain sight.
You have no idea fella....those sweet EO's are what is going to clean this country up.

As if the Dems are going to vote yes to punishing election cheats and kiddy diddlers

I see why you keep your heaad in the sand, it make it easier for the Govt you worship to fk you in the arse.
 

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If you really believe that, you seriously need to pay closer attention to your guy. If there was ever a candidate who promised more presidential directives (ie. undemocratic lawmaking), Trump wins that contest by a mile. You’re just too overwhelmed by your girlish and petty hatreds to see the truth when it’s in plain sight.
96% of the government is corrupt and unconstitutional, starting with the Federal Reserve and IRS. Commander Trump will soon do away with both.

During the SCAMdemic, you blindly believed FAKE sciences propagandized by institutions like The WHO, CDC etc., which frankly nobody voted for. So much for "democracy" in your eyes..

Intelligent people recognize the self-serving federal leviathan for what it's become and vote for less intrusion and evil, not more.
 

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96% of the government is corrupt and unconstitutional, starting with the Federal Reserve and IRS. Commander Trump will soon do away with both.

During the SCAMdemic, you blindly believed FAKE sciences propagandized by institutions, including the WHO, CDC etc., which frankly nobody ever voted for. So much for "democracy" in your eyes..

Intelligent people recognize the federal leviathan for what it's become and vote for less evil, not more.
These idiots dont know ANYTHING about Constitution

The one signed by the forefathers as a righteous form of governance
or
The mental kind needed to understand right from wrong, bullshit from truth
 

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If you really believe that, you seriously need to pay closer attention to your guy. If there was ever a candidate who promised more presidential directives (ie. undemocratic lawmaking), Trump wins that contest by a mile. You’re just too overwhelmed by your girlish and petty hatreds to see the truth when it’s in plain sight.

That is pretty funny.

Joe Biden ordered every working American to take a COVID jab under threat of losing their job (the "hands off my body" people clapped at this) and he actually believes he has the power to forgive student loans.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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betting market odds for swing states as of 10 minutes ago.


Screenshot 2024-10-30 at 13-30-08 Latest 2024 Presidential Election Odds Who Leads the Swing S...png
 

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After a couple of bad polling weeks for Harris, she has regained some momentum the past two days, but still lags slightly behind in PA, and just squeaked ahead in NV. I still have Trump winning the EC vote count: 281 to 257.
 

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After a couple of bad polling weeks for Harris, she has regained some momentum the past two days, but still lags slightly behind in PA, and just squeaked ahead in NV. I still have Trump winning the EC vote count: 281 to 257.
how far off will you have to be to admit your estimate was wrong?
 

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how far off will you have to be to admit your estimate was wrong?
It’s not exactly my estimate; it’s an average of what my collection of 21 pollsters are saying; and, as all polls come with a margin of error at 3-4 points, I guess that’s how far off I could be. Plus, there are still two days left to gather new poll results, and that will give me a final estimate on Monday. That said, a couple of strong polls today show a slight shift toward Harris in NV and PA, with Trump losing a little ground in GA and NC, but not enough to impact my EC projection.
 

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