Swing State Election Trends – 9/28-10/4

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Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Harris has had couple of poor polls in the 4 swing states where she currently holds slight leads. Nationally, she’s gone from a 3.4% lead to 3.0%. Trump, while looking secure in ARI and GA, is dropping a bit in NC. Overall, there’s been little polling going on.
 

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With all the time both candidates have spent in Pennsylvania this past week, I’d expected more movement than has happened. A Quinnipiac poll has Trump up a micron in WI and MI, but down in PA – which, right now, has all the marbles – where Harris steadily leads, albeit by a tad. Assuming Trump cannot deny Harris PA, a play for Wisconsin might be a better strategy. Trump taking WI would mean both would lack 270, and the House would hand the win to Trump. He’d have to make up a lot of ground there, where Harris has a solid 2% lead, but it looks like he can’t make enough headway in PA to stop her.
 

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I don't get it. Are you saying my averages have input from the DNC? If so, you couldn't be more wrong. I use 22 non-partisan pollsters to create my weekly swing states averages, with no polls over a week old that are used. And before you launch into another name-calling hissy-fit, hold your fire until my weekly update tomorrow.
 

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