Sunshine's system plays for NBA

[boss415]

League pass is the best deal to be had. Usually can watch borh teams broadcast. First thing i am doing come payday! You can link it to your phone or computer too.

 

[sunshine11]

Awesome. Thanks to both of you.

Recap tough loss on over Houston quit scoring last couple minutes. (garbage time)
Over Sacramento easy winner
1-1 -$17

Season 7-3 +$418

 

[sunshine11]

Tuesday: five system plays. Always get your best line. I use 5dimes and just bet.

Under 191.5 Pacers 110/100
under 191 Wash. 110/100
under 195.5 -117 Toronto 117/100 five dimes
over 202.5 -117 Portland 117/100
under 213.5 -118 Lakers 118/100

Good luck today!

 

[BoutMyMoney]

So basically you're chasing:

Washington, Indiana, Toronto and the Lakers not to have 6 straight overs. ...

And Portland not to have 6 straight unders. ...

Not so much of a "system" , Mr John Morrison

 

[sunshine11]

No I'm not chasing. And again. That's not where I got the system. Play or fade. Ignore Tate's comment. He was talking about football.

 

[Dexter03]

wow what a system u have... chase method... <<

 

[sunshine11]

They are straight bets! Can't you read.

 

[achokshi]

Chase method and progressive betting... just stop

 

[sunshine11]

Why harassing in my own thread. Why are so worried about my plays. Your a TOUT

 

[nitty34]

Actually, Sunshine, it's not a bad system. It's just that most people have it ass-backwards.

The normal response is "they've gone under 5 games in a row...they HAVE to go over, right?..." Yeah, eventually. But you're better off going the other way.

Do some backtesting in O/U for NBA and MLB, as well as for W/L streaks in MLB. You'll see that it's far more profitable to follow a streak rather than chase the end of it. If a team is winning (in MLB - not as applicable vs the spread) it's because they're doing something RIGHT. Instead of betting on a team to finally lose after X wins in a row, it's better to bet on the win streak to continue after Y wins in a row. Then each night, keep it going. You can only lose once. It's more of a follow than a chase.

Same applies to O/U in MLB and NBA - although my stats for MLB are far more comprehensive than NBA. If I can find which old laptop my backtesting excel sheets are on I'll post them. Pretty damning stuff.

Good luck with your plays.

 

[sunshine11]

Thanks for advice. This is what I read bet the other way on totals up to three times and bet the same amount each time. So it will always to win $100 on each play like today. Then I check tomorrow's plays. This is my first season here so I have no record from last season. Hoping to go 4-1 or better.

 

[sunshine11]

Look at my baseball thread. Did very well.

 

[sunshine11]

Final bucks 87 Pacers 81 easy under WINNER

 

[sunshine11]

Tuesday: five system plays. Always get your best line. I use 5dimes and just bet.

Under 191.5 Pacers 110/100
under 191 Wash. 110/100
under 195.5 -117 Toronto 117/100 five dimes
over 202.5 -117 Portland 117/100
under 213.5 -118 Lakers 118/100

Good luck today!

Here were the plays if your looking.

 

[sunshine11]

Final wash. 98 Knicks 83 easy under WINNER $$

 

[sunshine11]

Final Toronto 100 thunder 88 easy under WINNER $$

3-0 so far two more to go tonight.

 

[sunshine11]

Last two plays were losers. Both looked good at halftime.
Recap 3-2 on Tues. +$65

Season record
10-5 +$483 w-thumbs!^

 

[sunshine11]

Wednesday

Over 190 Heat
Over 188 Pacers
over 186.5 Pistons
over 204.5 Raptors
Under 204 Jazz

GL!

 

[sunshine11]

One more.
Over 191.5 Bulls

Card is completed.

 

[DcSkinsNatsWizCapsFan]

Followed your first 3 plays last night and took the Wizards. Went 4-0 and decided to be happy with that and not play your 2 late games. Thanks for the 3 winners! Will most your plays be O/U?