I have been right here mg.. I do well every year in cbb and very well late.. I have a nice style that works well and really strives down the stretch....
After capping a game, I watch it for the next play not the play I just made. I then go over each play after the fact to see where I was correct and where I was off in my thinking.. (i log all info on each team and certain players during and after the game.)
I look at trends from the last 3 years and go over those with my notes on each team that I play.. You'll notice I play on or against team in the mac, big ten, acc , sec, big 12 most often.. that is where I take the time and have the most logged info...
the bottomline with me is when I post a play or five your getting a pretty good game to bet 61% of the time. and if teams did as they should that % would be 75 or better.
GOOD LUCK!