Marc Lawrence
3* Game 457 – Titans (+4.5) – NFL Game of the Week
Edges - Titans: 13-6 SU and 15-5 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points under head coach Mike Vrabel, including 9-0 SUATS versus .666 or greater foes that are not off a win of 20-plus points (that's all 9 wins outright), and Vrabel 15-5 SU against NFC foes, including 2-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 ATS when both team are coming off non-division contests … Eagles: 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in games after rushing for 250-plus yards the previous contest; and NFL favorites with a winning record who rushed the ball for 300-plus yards and scored 35 or more points in their previous game are 2-10 ATS, including 0-6 ATS versus foes who allow fewer than 120 rushing yards per game … With the Titans sporting the league's 3rd ranked rushing defense, we recommend a strong 3* play on Tennessee. Thank you and good luck as always.
3* Game 462 – Giants (+2.5)
Edges - Giants: 11-2 ATS after a Thursday game, including 7-0-1 ATS as a dog, and 2-0 ATS when coming off a Thanksgiving Day game; and 6-1 ATS as a dog under head coach Brian Daboll, 5-0 ATS when New York is seeking revenge … Commanders: 2-10-1 ATS as a division road favorite versus .428 or greater opponents, including 0-5-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … We seal the deal with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL team in Game Twelve of the season with a .500 or greater win percentage coming off consecutive losses if the are facing an opponent off consecutive wins. That's because these teams are 8-0 ATS in this role since 1985 … With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on the NY Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.
2* Game 473 – Chiefs (-2)
Edges - Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes is 26-0 SU in his last 26 starts during November and December, including 4-0-1 ATS as a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points; and head coach Andy Reid is 105-65-1 ATS away in his NFL career in regular season games, including 35-10 ATS with revenge when not favored by more than 3 points versus sub .640 opponents … Bengals: 0-4 SUATS at home in non-division games under head coach Zac Taylor "between the 3s" (favored or dog of 3 or fewer points) … With the Chiefs anxious to avenge last year's AFC championship game home playoff loss to the Bengals, we recommend a 2* play on Kansas City. Thank you and good luck as always.