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Sunday 9/10/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
Valuline at Albuquerque
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Albuquerque, Race 7 (Sunday September 10, 2017)
BIG ALICE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ALB-7 1mile DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 6,250 F/M 3YUP $9,700
P# ex p4 t s ML WP TVL
1 BIG ALICE 9/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon
5 SUAVESGIRL 7/2 14% 6/1
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Albuquerque, Race 7 (Sunday September 10, 2017)
BIG ALICE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ALB-7 1mile DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 6,250 F/M 3YUP $9,700
P# ex p4 t s ML WP TVL
1 BIG ALICE 9/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon
5 SUAVESGIRL 7/2 14% 6/1
Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Allied Forces Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#7 BIG HANDSOME
#6 WHITE FLAG
#9 TOGA CHALLENGER
#1 HARDENED
This race honors the career of Allied Forces, a grandson of Mr. Prospector, and a multiple graded stakes winner. Here in just the 3rd running of The Forces, #7 BIG HANDSOME has hit the board in each of his last five outings, winning three times, with two of those "Circle Trips" also qualifying as "POWER RUN WINS." Jockey Javier Castellano has been in his irons on 6 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning three times, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 7th ride, gunning for a "Grand Slam Win" here in the "Sunday Feature." #6 WHITE FLAG qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two starts.
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Allied Forces Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#7 BIG HANDSOME
#6 WHITE FLAG
#9 TOGA CHALLENGER
#1 HARDENED
This race honors the career of Allied Forces, a grandson of Mr. Prospector, and a multiple graded stakes winner. Here in just the 3rd running of The Forces, #7 BIG HANDSOME has hit the board in each of his last five outings, winning three times, with two of those "Circle Trips" also qualifying as "POWER RUN WINS." Jockey Javier Castellano has been in his irons on 6 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning three times, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 7th ride, gunning for a "Grand Slam Win" here in the "Sunday Feature." #6 WHITE FLAG qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two starts.
The Walker Group at Belterra Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 63
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 6 CAVE WOLF 20/1
# 10 SCIENCE TO WIN 20/1
# 3 STORM BOURNE 20/1
CAVE WOLF has a decent shot to take this contest particularly if the morning line of 20/1 holds. The extreme drop in class can only aid this one this time around. Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Is a definite contender - given the 67 speed figure from his most recent race. SCIENCE TO WIN - Had one of the top speed figs of this group in his last race. STORM BOURNE - Macias has a solid 21 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. This handler has done solidly as of late with entries racing at this distance and surface.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 63
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 6 CAVE WOLF 20/1
# 10 SCIENCE TO WIN 20/1
# 3 STORM BOURNE 20/1
CAVE WOLF has a decent shot to take this contest particularly if the morning line of 20/1 holds. The extreme drop in class can only aid this one this time around. Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Is a definite contender - given the 67 speed figure from his most recent race. SCIENCE TO WIN - Had one of the top speed figs of this group in his last race. STORM BOURNE - Macias has a solid 21 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. This handler has done solidly as of late with entries racing at this distance and surface.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Central Wyoming Fair
Central Wyoming Fair - Race 4
$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 2:30P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * TIMELESS HOPE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figur e at the distance/surface. SNOW PHOENIX: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
TIMELESS HOPE
6/1
5/2
2
SNOW PHOENIX
3/1
5/1
Central Wyoming Fair - Race 4
$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 2:30P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * TIMELESS HOPE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figur e at the distance/surface. SNOW PHOENIX: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
TIMELESS HOPE
6/1
5/2
2
SNOW PHOENIX
3/1
5/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 60
Rating: 4
#6 ARBUTUS (ML=6/1)
#1 ROSE COLORED (ML=6/1)
#5 LISA LIMON (ML=8/1)
ARBUTUS - This horse could be tough in today's contest, especially since Gomez rode in the last race and now should be familiar with this one. The rider and conditioner combination have a positive ROI when they partner up. Was in a Maiden Special race at Timonium in the last race. That event had a class figure of 66 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain contender. The 56 last race speed rating looks good in black and white. Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last 30 days. ROSE COLORED - Trombetta brings her right back. I recommend you stick with this hot filly. I like when a pony has dropped in class at least 5 class points like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Trombetta must've found the right level. Filly made a nice late run going 5 furlongs on Aug 19th. I have to like her chances stretching out today. LISA LIMON - She finished second August 16th, but was well clear of the show horse. Perkins brings her back again. I suggest you stay with this live filly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 WAR TWEET (ML=8/5), #8 STILLSEXYATSIXTY (ML=3/1), #1A LADY OF THE EMPIRE (ML=6/1),
WAR TWEET - This filly garnered a speed rating in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's race. LADY OF THE EMPIRE - Registered a disappointing speed fig last time around the track in a $40,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 28th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #6 ARBUTUS on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,5,6] with [1,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Bar
Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 60
Rating: 4
#6 ARBUTUS (ML=6/1)
#1 ROSE COLORED (ML=6/1)
#5 LISA LIMON (ML=8/1)
ARBUTUS - This horse could be tough in today's contest, especially since Gomez rode in the last race and now should be familiar with this one. The rider and conditioner combination have a positive ROI when they partner up. Was in a Maiden Special race at Timonium in the last race. That event had a class figure of 66 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain contender. The 56 last race speed rating looks good in black and white. Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last 30 days. ROSE COLORED - Trombetta brings her right back. I recommend you stick with this hot filly. I like when a pony has dropped in class at least 5 class points like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Trombetta must've found the right level. Filly made a nice late run going 5 furlongs on Aug 19th. I have to like her chances stretching out today. LISA LIMON - She finished second August 16th, but was well clear of the show horse. Perkins brings her back again. I suggest you stay with this live filly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 WAR TWEET (ML=8/5), #8 STILLSEXYATSIXTY (ML=3/1), #1A LADY OF THE EMPIRE (ML=6/1),
WAR TWEET - This filly garnered a speed rating in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's race. LADY OF THE EMPIRE - Registered a disappointing speed fig last time around the track in a $40,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 28th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #6 ARBUTUS on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,5,6] with [1,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
The Walker Group at Monmouth Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 75
FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 9 BEACH TAG 8/1
# 8 CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 2/1
# 5 KODIAK KATIE 3/1
BEACH TAG is my pick especially at a such a nice price. Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Garnered a reliable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. She should have a strong showing versus this less demanding field. CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK - This racer enters today's competition with second time Lasix. Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be close to the lead early on. KODIAK KATIE - The average class fig alone makes this horse a definite contender. Should be given a chance based on the decent speed figure earned in the last outing.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 75
FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 9 BEACH TAG 8/1
# 8 CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 2/1
# 5 KODIAK KATIE 3/1
BEACH TAG is my pick especially at a such a nice price. Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Garnered a reliable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. She should have a strong showing versus this less demanding field. CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK - This racer enters today's competition with second time Lasix. Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be close to the lead early on. KODIAK KATIE - The average class fig alone makes this horse a definite contender. Should be given a chance based on the decent speed figure earned in the last outing.
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #2 - Post: 5:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 66
Rating: 4
#2 GIMMEA DANCE (ML=2/1)
GIMMEA DANCE - I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COURAGEOUS SADIE (ML=5/2), #7 SWAGGY (ML=3/1), #6 ONE SMART CALLER (ML=5/1),
COURAGEOUS SADIE - This filly probably won't be really close at the wire. SWAGGY - Tough to play at 3/1 odds after the last two efforts. Mediocre speed figure last out at Presque Isle Downs at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this entrant will improve too much today. ONE SMART CALLER - This vulnerable equine didn't do too much last time out of the box finishing ninth. Can't expect improvement in today's event. Garnered a mediocre speed rating in the last race in a Maiden Special race on August 30th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - GIMMEA DANCE - Horse did finish 2nd last out at Presque Isle Downs, but was well ahead of the 3rd place finisher. What that tells me is she could improve today and find her way to the winner's circle for the 1st time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 GIMMEA DANCE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #2 - Post: 5:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 66
Rating: 4
#2 GIMMEA DANCE (ML=2/1)
GIMMEA DANCE - I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COURAGEOUS SADIE (ML=5/2), #7 SWAGGY (ML=3/1), #6 ONE SMART CALLER (ML=5/1),
COURAGEOUS SADIE - This filly probably won't be really close at the wire. SWAGGY - Tough to play at 3/1 odds after the last two efforts. Mediocre speed figure last out at Presque Isle Downs at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this entrant will improve too much today. ONE SMART CALLER - This vulnerable equine didn't do too much last time out of the box finishing ninth. Can't expect improvement in today's event. Garnered a mediocre speed rating in the last race in a Maiden Special race on August 30th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - GIMMEA DANCE - Horse did finish 2nd last out at Presque Isle Downs, but was well ahead of the 3rd place finisher. What that tells me is she could improve today and find her way to the winner's circle for the 1st time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 GIMMEA DANCE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
Parx Racing - Race 1
First Half Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 12:55
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LITTLE SISTER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BALTIMORE BEAUTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LITTLE SISTER: Today is a sprin t and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DESERTED: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
BALTIMORE BEAUTY
2/1
9/2
4
LITTLE SISTER
7/2
5/1
7
DESERTED
3/1
5/1
Parx Racing - Race 1
First Half Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 12:55
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LITTLE SISTER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BALTIMORE BEAUTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LITTLE SISTER: Today is a sprin t and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DESERTED: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
BALTIMORE BEAUTY
2/1
9/2
4
LITTLE SISTER
7/2
5/1
7
DESERTED
3/1
5/1
