Sunday 9/10/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Pesos]

Vegas Butcher ; NFL

Teaser: New England -2.5 & Baltimore +9.5

 

[Pesos]

NFL Records from Last Year:

Best ATS Teams from Last Year:
New England 13-3
New Orleans 11-5
Atlanta 10-6
Dallas 10-6
Oakland 10-6
Washington 10-6

Worst ATS Teams from Last Year:
Cleveland:3-12-1
St. Louis 4-11-1
SF 49ers: 5-11
NY Jets: 6-10
Buffalo: 6-10
Arizona: 6-10

Best Over Teams from Last Year:
Atlanta: 13-2-1
Buffalo: 12-4
Miami: 12-4
Washington: 12-4
Oakland: 11-5

Best Under Teams from Last Year:
NY Giants: 4-12
Cincinnati: 6-10
Dallas: 6-10
Detroit: 6-10
Houston: 6-10
Kansas City: 6-10
New England: 6-10
Pittsburgh: 6-10

 

[Pesos]

MLB:

National League

Brewers @ Cubs
Davies is 3-2, 1.95 in his last five starts; under is 7-2-1 in his last ten. He is 1-2, 5.00 vs Chicago this season. Milwaukee is 10-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-9-5

Hendricks is 2-0, 2.51 in his last five starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. He is 1-0, 5.06 in three starts vs Milwaukee this year. Cubs are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-3

Milwaukee lost three of its last five games but won last two; under is 13-3-3 in their last 19 road games. Cubs lost five of last seven games; under is 6-3 in their last nine.

Phillies @ Nationals
Lively is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Phillies are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-8-1

Cole is 1-2, 3.18 in his last three starts (under 4-0-2). Washington is 0-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Phillies lost five of last seven games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Washington won six of its last eight games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Reds @ Mets
Romano is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Reds are 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

deGrom is 2-6, 5.55 in his last eight starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Mets are 8-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-11-1

Reds lost their last five road games; under is 5-1-2 in their last eight games. Mets won six of last seven games; over is 8-4-2 in their last 14 games.

Marlins @ Braves
Despaigne is 0-3, 5.40 in his four starts this year, last three of which stayed under. Miami lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3-1

Dickey is 1-2, 5.92 in his last four starts, last three of which went over. He is 1-1, 4.15 vs Miami this season. Braves are 10-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-4

Marlins lost 11 of last 13 games; under is 6-4-1 in their last 11. Atlanta lost six of last nine games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Pirates @ Cardinals
Nova is 1-4, 7.96 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. He is 1-1, 3.29 vs St Louis this season. Pirates lost his last six true road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-15-1

Wacha is 2-0, 3.75 in his last two starts; over is 5-1 in his last six starts. He is 1-1, 6.10 vs Pittsburgh this season. Cardinals are 7-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-4

Pirates lost their last five games; under is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Cardinals won seven of last nine games; under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Padres @ Diamondbacks
Perdomo is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten starts. He is 0-2, 15.96 vs Arizona this year. Padres are 3-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10-4

Ray is 3-0, 0.92 in his last three starts; over is 7-3-2 in his last 12 starts. He is 2-0, 0.63 vs San Diego this season. Arizona is 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-7

San Diego won eight of last 11 games; under is 4-3 in their last seven games. Arizona won 13 of its last 15 games but lost last two; over is 5-0-1 in their last six home games.

Rockies @ Dodgers
This is a bullpen game for the Rockies. Chatwood is 0-5, 9.12 in his last six starts, last three of which went over. He is 0-2, 10.13 against the Dodgers this season. Colorado is 4-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11-1

Hill is 0-3, 4.34 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts went over. Dodgers are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him:10-8-4

Colorado won five of its last six games; under is 8-6 in their last 14 games. Dodgers lost 14 of their last 15 games; over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

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American League
Tigers @ Blue Jays
Sanchez is 0-2, 13.89 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Detroit is 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5-1

Happ is 1-2, 5.56 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Toronto is 4-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11-1

Tigers lost seven of last nine games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Toronto lost six of last eight home games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Rays @ Red Sox
Cobb is 1-3, 4.68 in his last five starts; under is 7-3-1 in his last 11 starts. He is 2-0, 3.79 in three starts vs Boston this season. Tampa Bay is 6-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-9-3

Porcello is 1-2, 10.26 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. He is 1-3, 5.92 against the Rays this season. Boston is 7-10 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-18-3

Tampa Bay lost its last four road games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Red Sox are 8-4 in their last 12 games; under is 9-5 in their last 14 games.

Orioles @ Indians
Hellickson is 1-3, 9.40 in his last six starts, last five of which went over. Orioles are 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4-1

Bauer is 8-0, 2.50 in his last nine starts; under is 6-1-1 in his last eight starts. Cleveland is 8-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-8-3

Orioles lost four of last five games; three of their last five games went over. Cleveland won its last 17 games; under is 12-4 in their last 16 home games.

New York @ Texas
Montgomery is 0-2, 5.40 in his last six starts, last three of which went over. New York is 5-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-11-3

Griffin is 0-2, 5.14 in his last three starts; over is 7-2-2 in his last 11 starts. Texas is 3-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6

New York won five of last seven games; seven of their last eight road games went over. Texas won seven of last 11 games; over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games.

Twins @ Royals
Colon is 2-1, 3.55 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Twins are 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-4-1

Vargas is 0-4, 10.19 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Royals are 8-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-12-2

Twins won three of their last four games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Royals lost three of last five games (over 6-3).

Astros @ A’s
Keuchel is 3-1, 3.15 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six road starts. He is 3-0, 0.83 vs Oakland this year. Astros are 8-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-2

Graveman is 1-1, 4.70 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Oakland is 5-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-5-5

Astros lost their last three games (over 3-0). Oakland won its last four games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

Angels @ Mariners
Bridwell is 0-1, 9.50 in his last four starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. He is 1-1, 4.50 vs Seattle this season. Angels are 7-0 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-3-3

Ramirez is 0-1, 3.50 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Seattle is 0-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-3

Angels lost their last three games, all of which stayed under. Seattle lost three of its last five games (under 5-0).

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Interleague

Giants @ White Sox
Bumgarner is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven starts. Giants are 1-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7-4

Fulmer allowed six runs in 1.1 IP in his only ’17 start, a 10-2 loss to the Twins. Chicago’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Giants are 4-11 in their last 15 games; under is 12-7 in their last 19 games. White Sox lost nine of last 12 games; under is 10-5 in their last 15 home games.

__________________________________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mil-Chi: Davies 18-11; Hendricks 10-10
Phil-Wsh: Lively 4-7; Cole 2-4
Cin-NY: Romano 5-7; deGrom 16-12
Mia-Atl: Despaigne 1-3; Dickey 14-13
Pitt-StL: Nova 13-14; Wacha 13-13
SD-Az: Perdomo 11-14; Ray 15-8
Colo-LA: Chatwood 8-13; Hill 12-9

American League
Det-Tor: Sanchez 6-6; Happ 8-13
TB-Bos: Cobb 13-13; Porcello 13-16
Balt-Clev: Hellickson 4-3; Bauer 16-11
NY-Tex: Montgomery 10-15; Griffin 8-6
Minn-KC: Colon 5-5; Vargas 16-11
Hst-A’s: Keuchel 14-5; Graveman 6-9
LA-Sea: Bridwell 13-2; Ramirez 3-4

Interleague
SF-Chi: Bumgarner 3-11; Fulmer 0-1

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mil-Chi: Davies 8-29; Hendricks 7-20
Phil-Wsh: Lively 4-11; Cole 3-6
Cin-NY: Romano 4-12; deGrom 8-28
Mia-Atl: Despaigne 1-4; Dickey 7-27
Pitt-StL: Nova 9-27; Wacha 4-26
SD-Az: Perdomo 9-25; Ray 8-23
Colo-LA: Chatwood 5-21; Hill 6-21

American League
Det-Tor: Sanchez 2-12; Happ 4-21
TB-Bos: Cobb 4-26; Porcello 9-29
Balt-Clev: Hellickson 1-7; Bauer 10-27
NY-Tex: Montgomery 7-25; Griffin 3-14
Minn-KC: Colon 1-10; Vargas 6-27
Hst-A’s: Keuchel 5-19; Graveman 8-15
LA-Sea: Bridwell 2-15; Ramirez 2-7

Interleague
SF-Chi: Bumgarner 3-14; Fulmer 0-1

__________________________________________________

Umpires
National League
Mil-Chi: Over is 8-4-1 in last 13 Conroy games.
Phil-Wsh: Five of last seven Barber games went over.
Cin-NY: Home team won all five Livensparger games this year.
Mia-Atl: Over is 4-2-2 in last eight Winters games.
Pitt-StL: Underdogs are 10-2 in last 12 Blaser games.
SD-Az: Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Woodring games.
Colo-LA: Three of last four Wegner games went over.

American League
Det-Tor: Under is 6-4 in Ortiz games this season.
TB-Bos: Under is 9-5 in last fourteen O’Nora games.
Balt-Clev: Six of last eight Torres games stayed under.
NY-Tex: Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Gonzalez games.
Minn-KC: Last three Porter games went over the total.
Hst-A’s: Under is 6-3-1 in last ten DeJesus games.
LA-Sea: Under is 4-0-1 in last five Additon games.

Interleague
SF-Chi: Four of last six Cooper games stayed under.




Interleague play
NL @ AL– 80-56 AL, favorites -$46
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 147-128 AL, favorites -$11

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 69-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 143-125-10
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Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)
Ariz 28-26-19……38-22–11……..66-48
Atl 26-34-9……25-39-7………..51-73
Cubs 32-31-8…….34-24-13………..66-55
Reds 22-41-8……..29-36–7……….51-77
Colo 37-27-6…….37-29-5………..74-56
LA 31-24-13…….41-24-9……….72-48
Miami 30-33-8…….35-26-10………65-59
Milw 35-27-9…….35-27-9……….69-54
Mets 31-34-4……..30-37-6……….61-71
Philly 19-43-15……26-31-8………..45-74
Pitt 30-33-7…….28-31-13………59-64
St. Louis 30-32-9……36-24-10…………66-56
SD 21-40-8……..36-29–9……….57-69
SF 16-48-9……..28-30-12……….44-78
Wash 42-23-7……33-29-8………….75-52

Orioles 27-35-5……..30-37-7………57-72
Boston 30-32-10………33-35-2…….63-67
White Sox 21-37-10………27-42–4…….48-78
Cleveland 44-23-8……..33-24-8……….77-47
Detroit 27-34-10…….28-33-10……..55-67
Astros 35-26-11……..43-24-5……..78-50
KC 26-33-10……..28-29-13…….54-62
Angels 26-38-8………29-27-13……..55-65
Twins 38-22-12………32-32-8…….69-53
NYY 31-38-6……….36-27-4…..…67-65
A’s 25-36-7……..31-32-12……..56-68
Seattle 26-35-9……..38-25-10………64-60
TB 35-28-10……..38-21-9……..73-49
Texas 34-26-11……..37-24-8……..71-50
Toronto 29-37-5……..27-32-11……..56-69

%age of times teams score in first inning
Team (road-home-total)
Ariz 22-71……..25-69………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-74……….35
Cubs 20-71……..25-71………..45
Reds 27-72……..26-72……….53
Colo 19-70……..25-71..……..44
LA 20-68……..26-73..…….46
Miami 31-71……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-71……27-72…..……51
Mets 31-69……..24-73……….55
Philly 17-77……..20-66……….37
Pitt 20-70……..22-73……….42
StL 15-72……..21-69………..36
SD 23-69……….24-73……….47
SF 17-74……….20-70……….37
Wash 26-72……..28-70……….54

Orioles 16-68……..24-75……….40
Boston 20-72……..17-70……….37
White Sox 21-68……20-73………..41
Clev 22-76……..22-67………44
Detroit 17-70…….26-71………43
Astros 21-73……..28-70………49
KC 18-70……..15-72………..33
Angels 26-74……..20-70……….46
Twins 17-70……..18-71……….35
NYY 17-74……..18-67……….35
A’s 16-68……..27-75………43
Seattle 21-70…….25-75……….46
TB 21-72……..24-71……….45
Texas 28-72……..29-69………57
Toronto 24-72……..20-73………44

 

[Pesos]

MLB Trend Report

1:07 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

1:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

1:35 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

1:35 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami

1:35 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

2:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home

2:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

2:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home

2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

3:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TEXAS
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

4:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Oakland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games

4:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Diego is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Arizona is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Diego

4:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels

4:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games

8:08 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

 

[Pesos]

MLB Long Sheet

CINCINNATI (61 - 82) at NY METS (63 - 79) - 1:10 PM
SAL ROMANO (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 23-51 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 53-56 (+5.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 63-79 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 33-40 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 126-142 (-56.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 2-9 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday this season.
NY METS are 13-29 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 50-59 (-17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 27-33 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 38-42 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

SAL ROMANO vs. NY METS since 1997
ROMANO is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DEGROM is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (54 - 88) at WASHINGTON (87 - 55) - 1:35 PM
BEN LIVELY (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-88 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-69 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 86-55 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
STRASBURG is 37-11 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 26-3 (+22.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 14-9 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 389-437 (+49.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 433-433 (+46.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 24-27 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-6 (+0.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

BEN LIVELY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
STRASBURG is 9-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.36 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 15-5 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.3 units)

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MIAMI (68 - 74) at ATLANTA (63 - 78) - 1:35 PM
ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 60-80 (-27.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 131-171 (+1.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-32 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MIAMI is 29-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 40-36 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-16 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 9-5 (+3.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DESPAIGNE is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 2.997.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. MIAMI since 1997
DICKEY is 10-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 11-4 (+6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.9 units)

____________________________________________________________________

PITTSBURGH (67 - 76) at ST LOUIS (74 - 68) - 2:15 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-20 (-11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 96-119 (-35.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 109-128 (-30.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-90 (-28.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-19 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ST LOUIS is 77-74 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 25-31 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-54 (-8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-41 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-6 (+2.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.5 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
NOVA is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WACHA is 5-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 8-5 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-3.6 units)

____________________________________________________________________

MILWAUKEE (74 - 68) at CHICAGO CUBS (77 - 65) - 2:20 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 74-68 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-34 (+14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-36 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-21 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-55 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-34 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-20 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-9 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DAVIES is 18-11 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 6-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 15-10 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 11-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 16-11 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-65 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-17 (-10.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-31 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 417-378 (-86.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-33 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 56-53 (-25.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 3-8 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HENDRICKS is 2-7 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-7 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DAVIES is 4-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 4-4 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HENDRICKS is 6-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 9-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-3. (+6.4 units)

____________________________________________________________________

COLORADO (77 - 65) at LA DODGERS (92 - 50) - 4:10 PM
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 77-65 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 25-23 (+14.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 36-34 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 34-25 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 32-19 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 24-16 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 30-25 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHATWOOD is 15-7 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHATWOOD is 16-10 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 1-9 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-31 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 11-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 4-8 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
LA DODGERS are 10-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-7 (+6.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CHATWOOD is 4-8 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.577.
His team's record is 4-9 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.5 units)

RICH HILL vs. COLORADO since 1997
HILL is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 8.80 and a WHIP of 1.890.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

____________________________________________________________________

SAN DIEGO (65 - 78) at ARIZONA (82 - 60) - 4:10 PM
LUIS PERDOMO (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 13-34 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 48-92 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 82-60 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-22 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 45-25 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 26-12 (+11.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 37-25 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 61-46 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 132-91 (+29.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 65-78 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 61-74 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-39 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
RAY is 15-30 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-6 (+0.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.6 Units)

LUIS PERDOMO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
PERDOMO is 2-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.481.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
RAY is 3-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

____________________________________________________________________

DETROIT (60 - 81) at TORONTO (65 - 77) - 1:05 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-81 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 24-37 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 25-39 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SANCHEZ is 6-18 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAPP is 19-7 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 26-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 65-77 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 28-37 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 14-21 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 24-41 (-23.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 29-32 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 (+1.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
SANCHEZ is 3-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.404.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. DETROIT since 1997
HAPP is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)

____________________________________________________________________

BALTIMORE (71 - 71) at CLEVELAND (86 - 56) - 8:05 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 212-338 (-104.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 39-15 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 27-8 (+15.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BAUER is 13-2 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 159-145 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 279-361 (+43.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
HELLICKSON is 31-28 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 21-8 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 10-5 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HELLICKSON is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.0 units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BAUER is 0-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.641.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

____________________________________________________________________

TAMPA BAY (70 - 73) at BOSTON (81 - 61) - 1:35 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 138-166 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 104-116 (-20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 73-92 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-21 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-56 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-35 (-16.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 369-291 (-46.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 54-56 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-38 (-7.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PORCELLO is 13-16 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 5-10 (-8.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 3-11 (-11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 6-11 (-8.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-6 (+0.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.5 Units)

ALEX COBB vs. BOSTON since 1997
COBB is 5-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 6-7 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-7. (-2.1 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PORCELLO is 11-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.171.
His team's record is 13-8 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-12. (-3.6 units)

____________________________________________________________________

MINNESOTA (74 - 68) at KANSAS CITY (70 - 71) - 2:15 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 70-71 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 83-59 (+23.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 84-68 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-32 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 75-63 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-20 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 54-51 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 37-33 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 36-32 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VARGAS is 25-14 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 74-68 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-31 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 19-12 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 38-31 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLON is 80-48 (+33.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 149-115 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 13-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 13-20 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-7 (+3.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.3 Units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
COLON is 15-10 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.296.
His team's record is 16-13 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-16. (-5.3 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VARGAS is 7-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.419.
His team's record is 11-6 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-3.5 units)

____________________________________________________________________

NY YANKEES (76 - 65) at TEXAS (71 - 70) - 3:05 PM
JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L) vs. A.J. GRIFFIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 76-65 (-5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 14-24 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TEXAS is 71-70 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 91-61 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 20-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 36-33 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 31-25 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 16-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GRIFFIN is 24-13 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 30-10 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 25-11 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+3.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

A.J. GRIFFIN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GRIFFIN is 3-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.088.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

____________________________________________________________________

HOUSTON (86 - 56) at OAKLAND (62 - 80) - 4:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-34 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-20 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
OAKLAND is 41-33 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 29-26 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-14 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 21-7 (+10.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
HOUSTON is 45-25 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-9 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 68-35 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 199-267 (-54.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 26-42 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 54-87 (-22.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-80 (-33.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-6 (+1.2 Units) against OAKLAND this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
KEUCHEL is 5-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.36 and a WHIP of 1.136.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.6 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 3-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)

____________________________________________________________________

LA ANGELS (72 - 70) at SEATTLE (71 - 71) - 4:10 PM
PARKER BRIDWELL (R) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 39-31 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 72-70 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-21 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 542-516 (+48.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 17-11 (+11.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 188-153 (+48.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 51-47 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 39-30 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BRIDWELL is 13-2 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BRIDWELL is 8-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
BRIDWELL is 7-0 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
BRIDWELL is 6-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 119-117 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
RAMIREZ is 3-13 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 9-6 (+4.7 Units) against SEATTLE this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

PARKER BRIDWELL vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BRIDWELL is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
RAMIREZ is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.008.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

____________________________________________________________________

SAN FRANCISCO (56 - 88) at CHI WHITE SOX (55 - 86) - 2:10 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. CARSON FULMER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-88 (-36.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-50 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-18 (-11.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-31 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-63 (-30.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-40 (-27.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BUMGARNER is 3-11 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 11-13 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-11 (+10.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-27 (+13.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

CARSON FULMER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[Pesos]

Diamond Trends - Sunday

TOP SU TREND:
The Pirates are 0-10 since Oct 09, 2013 in the last game of a series as a road dog coming off a one run loss.

TOP OU TREND:
The Braves are 0-10 OU (-2.25 ppg) since Jun 08, 2017 as a favorite after they scored 6+ runs.

TOP STARTER TREND:
The Cardinals are 0-16 RUN LINE AGAINST since Aug 17, 2015 when Michael Wacha starts as a home favorite after a quality start in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND:
The Mets are 9-0-1 OU (3.55 ppg) since Sep 01, 2016 when Jacob deGrom starts when they lost in his last start against this opponent.

 

[Pesos]

MLB Trend Report

DETROIT @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

CINCINNATI @ NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
NY Mets is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cincinnati

MIAMI @ ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

SAN FRANCISCO @ CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing San Francisco

MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota

PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

MILWAUKEE @ CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

NY YANKEES @ TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

COLORADO @ LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

LA ANGELS @ SEATTLE
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 

[Pesos]

MLB Top Trends

CINCINNATI @ NY METS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games when the total is 8 to 8.5. The record is 29 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+14.4 units)

CINCINNATI @ NY METS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in all games. The record is 80 Overs and 50 Unders this season (+24.2 units)

MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record. The record is 77 Overs and 44 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.9 units)

NY YANKEES @ TEXAS
Play OVER TEXAS on the total in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 32 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.1 units)

HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. The record is 35 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+18.95 units)

HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games when playing on Sunday. The record is 16 Overs and 4 Unders this season (+11.65 units)

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders this season (+9.95 units)

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 22 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.65 units)

 

[Pesos]

StatFox Super Situations

COLORADO at LA DODGERS
Play On - Home teams (LA DODGERS) cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings 549-351 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 151.0 units ) 33-20 this year. ( 62.3% | 5.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

NY YANKEES at TEXAS
TEXAS is 70-52 (+32.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: TEXAS (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.9)

 

[Pesos]

NFL Pick Six - Week 1

Falcons (-7, 49 ½) at Bears – 1:00 PM EST

Atlanta
Preseason Record: 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS
2016 Record: 11-5 SU, 10-6 ATS
Season Win Total: 9 ½ (Over -110)

Atlanta opens up its NFC title defense at Soldier Field, as a Super Bowl championship slipped through the Falcons’ hands in February’s overtime defeat to the Patriots. Since 1998, only one NFC team has played in consecutive Super Bowls (Seattle 2013-14), so the task isn’t daunting for Atlanta, but it won’t be easy. What also isn’t easy is motivation for Super Bowl losers in their season opener as those squads own a dreadful 5-13 SU and 3-15 ATS record since 1999.

Chicago
Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
2016 Record: 3-13 SU, 7-9 ATS
Season Win Total: 5 ½ (Under -125)

The Bears go into the season with questions at the quarterback position. Offseason acquisition Mike Glennon gets the start ahead of second overall pick Mitchell Trubisky as Chicago’s offense looks for a boost after being held to 17 points of fewer 10 times last season. The Bears actually closed 2016 on a 4-1 ATS run at home, including underdog covers against Green Bay, Tennessee, and Minnesota. Chicago has won each of the past two meetings with Atlanta, as the Bears destroyed the Falcons on opening day in 2011 by a 30-12 count.

Best Bet: Chicago +7

Eagles (-1, 48) at Redskins – 1:00 PM EST

Philadelphia
Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
2016 Record: 7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS
Season Win Total: 8 ½ (Over -120)

Philadelphia flew out of the gate in Carson Wentz’s rookie season by starting 3-0, capped off by a blowout home win over Pittsburgh. However, the Eagles picked up only four victories the rest of the season, while losing their final seven games away from Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia heads to the Nation’s Capital with double-revenge on its mind after getting swept by Washington last season, as the Eagles have dropped five straight matchups with the Redskins.

Washington
Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
2016 Record: 8-7-1 SU, 10-6 ATS
Season Win Total: 7 ½ (Under -150)

After losing their first two games last season, the Redskins ran off four straight victories. However, Washington fell short of the postseason by losing four of its final six contests. There should be plenty of points scored at FedEx Field as both meetings in 2016 finished OVER the total, while Washington went 6-2 to the OVER at home last season. In two victories against the Eagles last season, the Redskins held Philadelphia’s offense to only one touchdown.

Best Bet: Washington +1

Cardinals (-1, 48 ½) at Lions – 1:00 PM EST

Arizona
Preseason Record: 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS
2016 Record: 7-8-1 SU, 6-10 ATS
Season Win Total: 8 ½ (Over -140)

Following an NFC championship appearance in 2015, the Cardinals took a step back in 2016 by posting a 7-8-1 record and missing the playoffs. Arizona finished last season on a high note with victories at Seattle and San Francisco, but the Cardinals went 3-5 on the highway. The Cardinals have owned the Lions over the years by winning seven straight meetings dating back to 2006, while manhandling Detroit at Ford Field in 2015 in a 42-17 blowout.

Detroit
Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
2016 Record: 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS
Season Win Total: 7 ½ (Under -170)

The Lions inked quarterback Matthew Stafford to a brand new deal, while hoping that can propel Detroit to consecutive playoff appearances for the first time since 1994 and 1995. Detroit sputtered at the end of last season with three consecutive losses before bowing out to Seattle in the Wild Card round. What helped the Lions reach the playoffs was five wins by three points each, as Detroit put together a solid 6-2 record at Ford Field.

Best Bet: Arizona -1

Raiders at Titans (-2, 50 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Oakland
Preseason Record: 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS
2016 Record: 12-4 SU, 6-10 ATS
Season Win Total: 9 ½ (Under -130)

The Raiders were cruising to an AFC West title and a potential showdown with the Patriots for the AFC championship. Those dreams were shattered along with Derek Carr’s leg in a late-season injury that put the Oakland quarterback out of commission for the playoffs. In spite of getting ousted by Houston in the Wild Card round, the Raiders posted a 12-4 record to go along with a 6-2 mark away from the Coliseum. Oakland limited Tennessee to its lowest point total of the season in 2016 by knocking off the Titans, 17-10 last September.

Tennessee
Preseason Record: 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS
2016 Record: 9-7 SU, 7-9 ATS
Season Win Total: 9 (Under -115)

Tennessee has high expectations placed on them entering Marcus Mariota’s third season at quarterback. The Titans closed 2016 strong by winning four of their final five games to finish at 9-7, the franchise’s first winning season since 2011. Tennessee is hosting Oakland for the third straight season, as the Titans have lost the last two seasons by a combined 10 points to the Raiders. Since Mariota took over at quarterback, the Titans have compiled a 3-4-1 ATS record as a home favorite.

Best Bet: Oakland +2

Ravens at Bengals (-3, 42 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Baltimore
Preseason Record: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
2016 Record: 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS
Season Win Total: 8 ½ (Under -145)

These AFC North rivals are hooking up on opening day for the first time since 2014 as the Ravens look to avenge a 23-16 home defeat. Baltimore is fresh off a perfect preseason, but the Ravens didn’t get a lot of work out of quarterback Joe Flacco. He is expected to play on Sunday after missing most of the preseason with a back injury, while Baltimore shoots for its first road victory since Week 3 last season at Jacksonville. The Ravens dropped their final six road contests in 2016, including a 27-10 drubbing in Week 17 at Cincinnati.

Cincinnati
Preseason Record: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
2016 Record: 6-9-1 SU, 7-9 ATS
Season Win Total: 8 ½ (Under -135)

The Bengals won the division two seasons ago, but fell backwards in 2016 by winning just six games, while picking up consecutive victories only one time. Cincinnati is riding a three-game hot streak in season openers, while playing Week 1 at Paul Brown Stadium for the first time since 2009. The Bengals haven’t lost at home to the Ravens since 2012, while the home team owns an 8-2 record in the series in the last 10 matchups.

Best Bet: Cincinnati -3

Seahawks at Packers (-3, 50 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Seattle
Preseason Record: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
2016 Record: 10-5-1 SU, 8-8 ATS
Season Win Total: 10 ½ (Over -125)

Seattle rallied to stun Green Bay in the NFC championship in 2014 before losing in the Super Bowl to New England on the final play. The Seahawks haven’t made a Super Bowl since but have qualified for the postseason each of the past five seasons. The last two seasons the Seahawks have come up short against the Packers at Lambeau Field, including a 38-10 drubbing to Green Bay last December as a three-point road favorite.

Green Bay
Preseason Record: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
2016 Record: 10-6 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
Season Win Total: 10 ½ (Under -140)

The Packers made it all the way to the NFC title game last season before getting blitzed by the Falcons. Hopes are still high for a Super Bowl appearance in Titletown this season as the Packers won seven of nine games at Lambeau Field in 2016. The Packers overcame a November swoon in which they dropped four straight games to finish the regular season with six straight victories before playoff triumphs over the Giants and Cowboys prior to the Atlanta loss in the championship.

Best Bet: Seattle +3

 

[Pesos]

NFL Week 1 Essentials

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo: The Sean McDermott era officially opens at home with Tyrod Taylor under center after he cleared concussion protocol. He had a rough preseason even before the Ravens knocked him out early in their Aug. 26 dress rehearsal win. Rookie Nathan Peterman, a fifth-round pick from Pittsburgh, was one of the few bright spots alongside fellow first-year wideout Zay Jones, so given the decision to move on from the oft-injured Sammy Watkins, this looks like a rebuilding season in Buffalo. The Jets made no secret that's what is in store for them, dealing Sheldon Richardson to Seattle and moving off of veterans like Darrelle Revis, Nick Mangold, David Harris, Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and disappointing QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Josh McCown will take over to start the season until Bryce Petty inevitably gets his shot, which makes this the week's ugliest matchup. Todd Bowles is 1-1 (SU/ATS) in openers and swept the Bills last season for two of New York's five wins.

Atlanta at Chicago: Reigning MVP Matt Ryan and his teammates can finally turn the page on their Super Bowl disappointment and will be close to full strength since Devonta Freeman returned after missing a few weeks with a concussion. Only rookie RB Brian Hill is questionable, so the Bears will have to deal with an attack that entered the Patriots loss averaging 39 points per game and would've captured a championship had they broken 30 in regulation. Chicago surrendered 30 or more points in each of its last three games but returns Top-10 pick Leonard Floyd to help Vic Fangio's unit turn things around. Offensively, the Bears suffered a major setback in the preseason when top wideout Cameron Meredith was lost to a knee injury, putting pressure on former No. 7 pick Kevin White to emerge as Mike Glennon's go-to option following two seasons ruined by injuries. It will be interesting to see how he handles being covered by the likes of Marcus Trufant, but he's likely to get opportunities to show what he can do.

Baltimore at Cincinnati: The Ravens didn't expose Joe Flacco in the preseason due to a painful disc issue in his back but always held out hope that he'd be ready when the season rolled around. That faith was rewarded when he returned this week, joined by newly acquired Danny Woodhead and Breshad Perriman, both of whom were dealing with hamstring injuries. Although Baltimore was again greatly affected by injuries in training camp, its prospects look better than they appeared a month ago and improve since Bengals defensive standouts Vontaze Burfict and Adam Jones are suspended and safety Shawn Williams is out at least a month with an elbow dislocation. The Bengals did get good news on Jeremy Hill (ankle), who is healed enough to round out a running back rotation alongside rookie Joe Mixon and the versatile Giovani Bernard that will try and crack a Baltimore run defense that allowed the NFL's fifth-fewest yards in '16. Because of the continuity of both coaching staffs, there doesn't figure to be a lot that will surprise the opposing side, but Cincinnati has won six of seven meetings between these AFC North rivals since 2014.

Pittsburgh at Cleveland: The other half of the division is also pitted against each other as the Steelers look to get off to a strong start by extending their winning streak over the Browns to five. Mike Tomlin is 17-3 against the AFC North's resident doormat since taking over in '07. All the losses have come at FirstEnergy Stadium, but Cleveland is starting rookie DeShone Kizer and only won last Christmas Eve over its last 19 games. Although this season also figures to be an uphill climb, the emergence of Kizer this preseason and an improved-looking defense fortified by the presence of first-round picks Myles Garrett and Jabril Peppers has the franchise optimistic. Garrett suffered a high ankle sprain in practice and is out for the first few weeks, so Ben Roethlisberger will have one fewer playmaker to concern himself with and now has Joe Haden on his side. He's also got Martavis Bryant back to help stretch the field after he was reinstated following a season-long suspension last year. Le'Veon Bell ended his holdout on Sept. 1 and reported to camp in shape, so it's unlikely not being around this preseason will hold him back.

Arizona at Detroit: It was an eventful offseason for the Lions with Matthew Stafford getting his lucrative extension and the opportunity to test themselves against the Patriots in the preseason's most important week blowing up in their face. Detroit comes into this one with DE Ziggy Ansah, LB Tahir Whitehead and TE Eric Ebron ready to play after camp ailments, so there can be no excuses if they fail to protect their homefield in this first test. The Cardinals defense will be missing key cog Deonne Bucannon (ankle) and may be without DT Robert Nkemdiche, who is struggling to overcome a calf injury. Since both teams are expected to compete for playoff berths despite not being their division's favorite, getting a leg up immediately would provide a huge boost to whoever gets it together first. The Lions have lost seven consecutive games against Arizona after winning back in 2005. Stafford himself is 0-5, throwing just four touchdowns against 10 interceptions.

Jacksonville at Houston: Tom Savage held off rookie Desean Watson's charge to win the Texans' starting QB gig, while Blake Bortles did the same against Chad Henne with the Jaguars. Neither inspires a ton of confidence, particularly Bortles, who followed up a brutal 2016 season by looking extremely shaky in camp, holding on to his job only after a strong fourth quarter against Bucs backups. He'll have Marquise Lee back in the mix from an ankle issue in addition to No. 4 pick Leonard Fournette debuting next to him at running back, so he'll at least have a fighting chance against a fierce looking Houston defense. The Texans are likely to have a conservative game plan in place since receivers DeAndre Hopkins and Braxton Miller are banged up and Jaelen Strong (suspended) and Will Fuller (collarbone) are ruled out. If Savage's game management skills don't pan out, there's a chance Watson joins Kizer as rookies seeing action under center on the NFL's opening Sunday.

Oakland at Tennessee: These teams are each favored to win their AFC divisions, led by elite young QBs that have already made significant strides to prove their legitimacy. That makes this a great early test for both that could have homefield implications come playoffs. Marcus Mariota had a shaky training camp, but could look sharper given time to cram for this one with veteran Eric Decker (ankle) and rookies Corey Davis (hamstring) and Taywan Taylor (calf) set to return. With David Amerson (concussion) and rookie Gareon Conley (shin) missing time of late and Khalil Mack (knee) coming in with a pre-existing issue, Oakland may not be ready to defend on the road like they managed to last season in winning six of eight. Derek Carr has made some plays in his return from a broken fibula suffered last Christmas Eve, and he'll have a loaded, healthy offense that includes wrecking ball Marshawn Lynch to rely upon.

Philadelphia at Washington: Seeing the Eagles open as an early road favorite is certainly disrespectful to the 'Skins, but indicative of the direction Bookmakers see these franchises going this season. Carson Wentz is expected to make a jump with veteran receivers Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith coming on board and LeGarrette Blount around to gain tough yards. Kirk Cousins will have to succeed without veteran weapons DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, giving Terrelle Pryor, Jamison Crowder and Josh Doctson more of a stage. The Eagles haven't defeated Washington in their last five meetings and have won only once in Landover since 2011, so this would be an important first step if they are to have a breakout year.

Indianapolis at L.A. Rams: The best players on both sides here, QB Andrew Luck and DT Aaron Donald, won't be a part of the action. Luck is hurt and Donald is holding out for the paycheck he's earned himself, so both teams will have to tune into their inner MacGyver to emerge from Week 1 unscathed. Indianapolis will also have to replace center Ryan Kelly and top corner Vontae Davis in addition to relying on Scott Tolzien to help produce a road win. 30-year-old Sean McVay is under the microscope as the youngest head coach in NFL history and matches minds with beleaguered veteran Chuck Pagano in a favorite's role. If L.A. can generate pressure and make like difficult on the Colts without the esteemed Donald, they could win a home game at the Coliseum for the first time since shocking the Seahawks in last season's home opener.

Seattle at Green Bay: The Packers got great news with tackle Brian Bulaga returning to practice and feeling no ill effects from his sprained ankle, suggesting he'll be out there helping protect Aaron Rodgers against a fierce-looking Seahawks decent fortified by the addition of a healthy Sheldon Richardson. It wouldn't be surprising if Seattle gets immediate production given his desire to fit in on another elite line after a great run when healthy in New York. It's looking like this is going to be a fair fight between the two teams that entered the week as 7-to-2 co-favorites (Westgate Superbook) to get out of the NFC. Russell Wilson spent his senior season at Wisconsin and helped beat the Packers as a rookie on that Hail Mary that should've never been called a touchdown by replacement refs, but he's suffered blowout losses in his two trips to Lambeau the last two seasons, throwing six interceptions.

Carolina at San Francisco: Cam Newton threw two passes in a preseason win as the Panthers rightfully kept his focus on healing up his surgically repaired throwing shoulder. That's provided little opportunity to gel with new weapons Christian McCaffrey and Curtis Samuel, so you can count on Ron Rivera placing the burden of getting off to a strong start on his capable defense. Key DT Vernon Butler is wearing a heavy brace on a sprained knee he hurt early in the preseason and may not move around normally if he plays at all. 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan wouldn't commit to starters beyond starting QB Brian Hoyer and former All-Pro tackle Joe Staley, so he's looking for individuals to prove they deserve playing time on this team he's inherited. Shanahan, who has to take a lot of blame for Atlanta blowing the Super Bowl, is San Francisco's fourth head coach in as many seasons. Making sure no one comes into the season comfortable is probably right the strategy since there are few guys on the roster who have consistently brought it on the field.

N.Y. Giants at Dallas: Ezekiel Elliott's immediate future may extend beyond this game if he wins his legal battle to put off a six-game suspension, but with nothing guaranteed there, the Cowboys really need to lock in on putting this divisional home game in their pocket. That's especially true since New York comes in vulnerable due to Odell Beckham Jr.'s potential absence and the fact other receivers come in banged up. Ben McAdoo ended a winless three-game run for the Giants in Dallas by surviving 20-19 in his head coaching debut last season. He then snapped the Cowboys' 11-game winning streak with a 10-7 comeback win in December. New York hadn't swept Dallas since '11, so the fact both games were so close and ended in disappointment is certain to be a driving force for the host Cowboys. Head coach Jason Garrett is 3-3 in season openers, with victimizing the Giants accounting for all his victories.

 

[Pesos]

Gridiron Angles - Week 1

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
The Bengals are 10-0-2 ATS (6.3 ppg) since Sep 23, 2012 if they are not dogs of more than three points when they are playing a team with the same record.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
The Panthers are 0-6-1 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since December 2015 as a road favorite.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
The Packers are 7-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since Dec ember20, 2015 facing a team Jordy Nelson scored a touchdown against in their last meeting.

NFL ATS SYSTEM:
Teams in Week 1 which covered in no more than 1/3rd of their games last season are 55-33-1

ATS. Active on Cincinnati, Cleveland, San Francisco, LA Rams.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
The Steelers are 0-10 OU (-10.4 ppg) since Oct 13, 2013 as a road favorite of at least three points in non-Monday night games.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:
The Eagles are 9-0-1 OU (7.6 ppg) since November 2015 on the road when less than a six-point dog.

 

[Pesos]

Jets @ Bills
Buffalo led NFL in rushing yardage last two years; will that change under the new coach? Bills had won five in row over the Jets before getting swept 37-31/30-10 in two meetings LY. Jets lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 19-23-5 points. Jets open on road for first time since ’09; they’re 5-1 in last six season openers, 15-5 vs spread in last 20 road openers. Buffalo is 7-3 vs spread in last ten home openers- three of last four stayed under. Last five years, Bills are 9-6 vs spread when hosting AFC East foes; since 2012, they’re 12-10 as a home favorite. Over is 12-4 in their home games the last two years. Jets are 2-4-2 as road underdogs under Bowles. Under is 10-6 in Jet road games the last two seasons.

Falcons @ Bears
Last 14 years, Super Bowl loser is 5-9 in its first game the next year (2-12 vs spread). Atlanta also has two new coordinators this year; they’re 3-2 in last five season openers, 4-3 as a road favorite under Quinn. Under is 15-9 in their road games the last three years. Chicago is 6-11-1 vs spread as a home underdog since ’12 (4-1 LY). First meeting in three years between these two; Falcons lost last six games in Windy City- their last win here was in 1983 (also in Week 1). Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five road openers. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 AO’s. Chicago lost its last three home openers, by 3-8-15 points; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Bears were -20 in turnovers LY, are 14-34 SU the last three years.

Jaguars @ Texans
Houston won last six games in this division rivalry; they swept Jaguars LY, 24-21/21-20. Jax lost five of last six games in Houston, losing last three by 1-24-6 points. Texans are 12-4-1 as a home favorite under O’Brien; they’re also starting 4th different QB on Opening Day in his four years as Texans’ coach. Since ’09, Jaguars are 24-29-1 as a road underdog; over is 11-5 in their road games the last two years. Jax lost its last nine road openers (2-7 vs spread)- they started 0-1 the last five years. Houston won six of last seven season openers, are 5-2 vs spread in last seven home openers. Under is 8-4 in their last 12 home openers, 10-6 in their home games the last two seasons.

Eagles @ Redskins
Washington won last five series games, sweeping Iggles 27-20/27-22 LY. Philly lost last three visits here, by 3-3-7 points. Last two years, Redskins are 12-4 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points- they’re 4-8 as a home favorite under Gruden. Eagles are 8-9 vs spread as a road underdog the last three years. Philly won seven of last eight road openers- they covered last five tries as an underdog in AO’s. Over is 5-2-2 in their last nine AO’s. Washington lost four of its last five home openers; five of last six went over total. Last two years, Eagles are 7-10 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Over is 22-10 in Philly road games the last four years.

Cardinals @ Lions
Redbirds are 10-6 vs spread on artificial turf, 10-5 as road favorites under Arians. Detroit is 1-5 as home underdog under Caldwell. Arizona won its last seven games with Lions; five of those seven were in desert. Redbirds won 31-24/42-17 in last two visits here; their last loss to Lions was here in 2005. Arizona had covered eight road openers in row before losing Week 3 AO in Buffalo LY- three of their last four went over. Cards won five of last seven season openers. Detroit won five of last six season openers, lost last two home openers, scoring 12-15 points. Over is 5-2 in their last seven HO’s. Over is 13-3 in Cardinal road games last two years. Over is 23-17 in their home games the last five years.

Raiders @ Titans
Silver/Black was 7-1 LY in games with spread of 3 or less points; they’re 12-4 vs spread on road under Del Rio. Oakland won in Music City last two years, 24-21/17-10; road team won last three series games. Last four years, Titans are 9-20-3 vs spread at home; since 2011, they’re 13-22-3 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less. Oakland lost four of last five season openers; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten road openers— over is 12-5-1 in their last 18. Tennessee won three of last four season openers, but lost its last three home openers. Titans are 5-13-2 vs spread in last 20 non-divisional home tilts. Under is 7-3 in their last ten season openers. Oakland is 15-5 vs spread in its last 20 non-divisional road games. New kicker for the Raiders; Sebastian Janikowski got put on IR; Giorgio Tavecchio takes his place.

Ravens @ Bengals
Cincy is opening at home for first time since 2009; they went 4-3 in Week 1 road games since then, are 5-2 (4-2-1 vs spread) in last seven home openers. Under is 7-2 in their last nine HO’s. Bengals are 15-9-1 as home favorites since 2013, but their OL was ravaged in free agency last winter- they’re 7-5 vs spread in AFC North home games last four years. Since 2012, Baltimore is 10-13-1 as a road underdog; they’re 4-1-1 vs spread in last six divisional road games. Ravens lost four of last six road openers; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 AO’s (over is 7-2-1 in last ten). These teams finished LY here against each other. Bengals won six of last seven meetings, winning last five played here, by 6-17-3-8-17 points.

Steelers @ Browns
Since returning to NFL in 1999, Cleveland has been 1-0 once, 0-1 17 times, with only Week 1 win 20-3 over the Ravens in ’04. Browns are 4-14 vs spread in HO’s, 3-2 in last five- they’re 2-12 vs spread in Week 1 HO’s. Steelers are 8-1 in last nine series games; they won three of last four visits here, with wins by 16-16-17 points. Pittsburgh lost five of last six road openers, four of last six season openers. Under is 7-3 in their last ten AO’s. Browns were 1-7 as home underdogs this year, are 13-21-1 as home dogs since 2010; they’re 1-8 in NFC North home games the last three years. Pittsburgh is 10-6 as a road favorite last two years, 4-2 in division games. Under is 12-4 in their last 16 road games.

Colts @ Rams
Luck is out here; Tolzien (0-2-1 as starter) gets the start. Goff had very little chance as rookie LY because Rams’ OL sucked; now we see if new regime has improved that unit. Rams were 1-4-1 as home dogs LY, are 22-30-2 in that role, since 2007. Over is 20-15 in their last 35 home games. Colts 1-3 as road favorites the last two years; over is 17-7 in their last 24 road games. Indy lost six of last seven season openers, is 2-5 vs spread in last seven road openers. Under is 6-3 in their last nine season openers. Rams lost last 10 season openers, but won four of last five home openers; this is their first home opener in SoCal since 1994. First game for 31-year old Rams’ HC McVay; Rams hammered Colts 38-8 (+8) in last meeting, in 2013. Indy beat McVay’s Redskins 49-27 in ’14.

Seahawks @ Packers
Packers beat Seahawks last two years, 27-17/38-10; Seahawks lost last seven visits here- their last win at Lambeau was in ’99. Seattle lost nine of last ten road openers; under is 9-5 in their last 14. Home team won nine of their last ten season openers. Green Bay won nine of last ten home openers (8-2 vs spread); five of their last six went over total- their last six Week 1 games went over. Last three years, Packers are 14-7-2 as home favorites; they’re 8-12 in last 20 games where spread was 3 or less points. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 home games. Since ’11, Seahawks are 11-5-5 vs spread as a road underdog; they’re 8-5-2 in last 15 games where spread was 3 or less points.

Panthers @ 49ers
Niners are on 4th head coach in four years. How healthy is Newton’s shoulder? Panthers gave up 81 points LY in two games vs Shanahan’s Atlanta offense- 49ers’ personnel is obviously inferior. SF is 7-7 as home dog the last two years; under is 22-10 in their last 32 home games. Carolina is 6-12-1 as a road favorite under Rivera. In franchise history, Carolina is 1-6 vs spread as a favorite in road openers; Panthers lost six of last eight road openers- over is 6-3 in their last nine. Carolina lost six of last eight season openers. 49ers won five of last six home openers, covered seven of last eight, with last three staying under total. Carolina (-12.5) hammered 49ers 46-27 in Week 2 LY, their 5th win in last six games vs SF.

Giants @ Cowboys
Rivals meet in Week 1 for 4th time in last five years- this is 5th year in row Giants open on road. Big Blue won last three meetings with Cowboys; they swept Dallas 21-20/10-7 LY. Giants lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 1-10-5 points. Since ’08, Cowboys are vs spread 20-36 as home favorites (4-2 LY); over is 9-6-1 in their last 16 home games. Last 3 years, Giants are 5-8-2 as road underdogs; under was 7-1 in their road games LY, McAdoo’s first as HC. Big Blue lost five of last seven road openers, with last two decided by a point apiece. Over is 11-2 in Giants’ last 14 road openers. Dallas won four of its last six home openers, but is 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine.

Saints @ Vikings
Adrian Peterson visits his old team. Since 2014, New Orleans is 11-4-1 vs spread as a road underdog, 6-3-1 in non-division games. Under is 18-14 in their last 32 road games. Minnesota is 13-4 as home favorites under Zimmer; under is 14-10 in their last 24 home games. Saints won last four series games- three of those were in Superdome. Teams last met in ’14; Saints were last here in ’11. New Orleans lost five of last six season openers, are 0-4 in last four Week 1 road tilts; last time they won a Week 1 road game was ’06 in Cleveland. Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers. Minnesota is 3-6 in last nine Week 1 games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 HO’s- this is only second time in last 10 years they open season at home.

Chargers @ Broncos
New era for Denver, with Siemian at QB now- they missed playoffs LY for first time in six years. Chargers have moved north an hour; unsure how unsettling the small move will be- it hurt the Rams LY. Denver is 10-2 in last 12 series games, winning last four played here, by 7-14-7-8 points. Since 2014, Broncos are 8-10-1 vs spread as a home favorite- they won their last five home openers, are 6-2 in last eight. Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10; this is 7th year in row Denver opened season at home. Chargers are 21-11-1 in last 33 games as a road underdog; under is 18-14 in their last 32 road games. Bolts covered four of last five road openers, losing last three, by 1-5-6 points; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last 10 Week 1 road tilts.

2017 week-by-week results

Home Favorites Totals O/U AFC-NFC

1) 0-1 0-1 1-0

T) 0-1 0-1 1-0

 

[Pesos]

NFL Week 1 lines that make you go hmmm...

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-8.5, 40.5)

This is probably is one of the worst games of the opening schedule. Like many other first games of the year, the opening line has jumped significantly since it was first posted. Opening as 6-point favorites, the Bills are now favored as high as they’ve ever been in Nevada for a long time.

The general movement began when Bills money came in early more as an anti-Jet statement. But the line has split sportsbooks around the state after the Tyrod Taylor injury. Lines vary from a low of -7.5 to a high of -9.

My feeling is if Taylor does in fact play, the -7.5 looks like a foregone conclusion to move towards the higher number. Backup Nathan Peterson has been solid in his brief outings during the preseason but if he starts, the game will look a lot different than when he was playing against a store of fringe players and bench warmers.

I’m seeing this line to continue to climb where most to all of the sportsbooks will see a consensus of -8.5 or -9 by the opening kickoff. In that case, as bad as they seem, the Jets may be a good bargain. The Bills haven’t proved to be able to win, let alone cover one of the largest spreads of week one.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+1, 48)

The Eagles have received all of the love since this game opened as Washington the 2.5-point favorites in the summer.

Personally, I think the betting public has totally miscalculated this game. Washington has won the last five games between them and they should prove worthy of our consideration in this season opening game.

With so little to go on as far as data support, one just has to view the teams for their face value. Washington has tremendous offensive power but had difficulty landing in the end zone once they were in striking position last season. There should be an improvement there, particularly with the Eagles vulnerable defensive backfield.

Although these teams are not separated by much, the Redskins should be able to muster up a win in their home opener. Anytime you don’t have to give up any points at home, there has to be value in that.

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 42)

This line moved 6.5 points to the current number with the announcement that Colts QB Andrew Luck will be out. Scott Tolzien gets the start and though I totally understand the drop off between the two, a 6.5-point jump putting the Rams as a half point over the key three barrier, has me believing the Colts are a value play in Week 1.

I’m not going to hang my hat on this Rams team until they can prove they can compete. Their predictive 5.5 team wins adds fuel to my speculation that this team will have a very long season. The Colts (with Luck in) are around the nine-win level. Even without their starter, the Colts have enough on each side of the line to win this outright, or at the least, keep this very close.

There’s been enough time for the Colts to have somewhat gelled without Luck and an opening road game against a team like the Rams has to have put some energy on their sideline that they can steal a win here. There’s good value with that hook and we’ll take it as long as it remains on the board that high.

 

[Pesos]

NFL betting action heavy and somewhat surprising for Week 1


Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions – Open: -3; Move: -2.5; Move: -2; Move: -1.5; Move: -1; Move: Pick; Move: +1; Move: +1.5; Move: +2; Move: +2.5

Arizona is coming off a disappointing season, while Detroit is coming off a playoff appearance, but bettors have made a big move toward the Cardinals in this 1 p.m. ET contest. Bruce Arians’ troops went 7-9 SU and 6-10 ATS in 2016, after reaching the NFC title game two seasons ago.

Detroit was 9-4 SU (8-5 ATS) through 13 games last season and in control of its destiny atop the NFC North. However, the Lions dumped their last three regular-season tilts SU and ATS, ended up with a wild-card berth, and got pounded at Seattle 26-6 as an 8-point underdog to finish 9-8 SU (8-9 ATS).

“A lot of people were thinking the Lions were fortunate last year to even make the playoffs,” Simbal said. “It’s indicative of the action we’ve seen on this game. The sharp action really drove this price from Arizona being a 3-point ‘dog to becoming the favorite.”

CG books, including at The Cosmopolitan and the Venetian on the Vegas Strip, opened this game back in April, though much of the movement has come in the last couple of weeks. TopBet.eu also posted this matchup months ago at Detroit -3 and had the Lions -2 on Aug. 25 before things really began moving.

“We got a sharp play on Arizona +2, so we moved to Cards +1,” Jerome said. “On Aug. 28, we moved to a pick ‘em, on Sept. 2, we moved to Arizona -1.”

The Cards climbed to -2 by Friday and -2.5 Saturday. Jerome said 77 percent of the money and 80 percent of the tickets are on Arizona.

Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans – Open: Pick; Move: +1; Move: Pick; Move: +1; Move: Pick; Move: -1; Move: -2; Move: -2.5

Last year, Oakland was putting the finishing touches on its best season in more than a decade when star QB Derek Carr broke his leg in Week 16. The Raiders still finished 12-4 SU (10-6 ATS) but fell into the wild-card playoff round, where they lost to Houston 27-14 as a 4-point road underdog.

Tennessee went 9-7 SU (7-9 ATS) in 2016, missing the playoffs after losing a tiebreaker with Houston for the AFC South title. But the Titans finished on a strong note, winning four of their last five, and bettors are lining up behind them for this 1 p.m. ET start, as this game has seen significant movement in just the past two weeks.

“On Aug. 29, we got sharp action on Tennessee pick 'em, so we moved Titans to -1,” Jerome said, adding the line went to -2 a day later and to -2.5 (-125) on Wednesday.

While the sharps have played Tennessee, Jerome said Oakland is still getting plenty of attention, with 69 percent of the money and 73 percent of bets.

CG Technology actually opened Oakland -1 back in April, then the game flipped to Titans -1 on Aug. 29 and got to Titans -2.5 on Thursday.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns – Open: +9; Move: +9.5; Move: +9; Move: +9.5

Pittsburgh is among the teams near the top of the Super Bowl futures odds. The Steelers went 11-5 SU (9-7 ATS) last year, winning their last seven games of the regular season (5-1-1 ATS) to take the AFC North. Mike Tomlin’s squad then won and cashed against Miami in the wild-card round and at Kansas City in the divisional round, before falling at New England 36-17 getting 5.5 points in the AFC title game.

Cleveland had a season to forget, which can describe most Cleveland seasons. The Browns went a paltry 1-15 SU and 3-12-1 ATS, yet for some reason, sharp players were on Cleveland seemingly every week. That trend hasn’t yet stopped for this 1 p.m. ET contest.

“Nobody really thinks (the Steelers) are gonna lose this game, but the sharp players have taken the points with the Browns, and as we know, the public is always gonna back Pittsburgh when they’re playing Cleveland,” Simbal said. “So we have a real kind of Pros vs. Joes matchup here. The books are gonna be siding with the pros in this one, definitely needing the Browns. The sharps were on Cleveland last year a lot, and they got burned with it all year. They’re hoping that maybe this year, a change of fortune.”

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams – Open: +3; Move: +2.5; Move: +2; Move: +1.5; Move: Pick; Move: -1.5; Move: -2.5; Move: -3; Move: -3.5; Move: -4

Indianapolis went 8-8 SU (7-8-1 ATS) last year, alternating SU wins and losses over its final seven games. So the Colts are hoping to become a consistent winner, but already face a setback as they won’t have Andrew Luck today, while he continues recovering from offseason shoulder surgery.

As Luck’s absence became more likely late last month, the line began rumbling toward pick, and since becoming official last week, it steamed toward Los Angeles, which is now a 4-point home favorite for this 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff. The Rams won three of their first four games SU and ATS in 2016, but got just one win the rest of the way, finishing 4-12 SU (4-11-1 ATS).

“The Colts opened a 3-point favorite here, that was when Luck was questionable but we figured him to play,” Simbal said. “Now we know Luck is not playing, and we’re going to flip the line all the way to a (4-point) favorite for the Rams. The Luck injury was about a 6-, 7-point swing, so clearly a big variance with Andrew Luck not playing.”

At TopBet.eu, the Colts also opened -3, but the line is now Rams -4.5. Jerome said there’s not much sharp action on the game, but a solid majority of cash and tickets are on Los Angeles.

 

[Pesos]

StatFox Super Situations

BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

ATLANTA at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season (<=25%) playing a team had a winning record last year 47-10 since 1997. ( 82.5% | 0.0 units )

PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season 27-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )

 

[Pesos]

StatFox Super Situations

ATLANTA at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season (<=25%) playing a team had a winning record last year 47-10 since 1997. ( 82.5% | 0.0 units )

ATLANTA at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season 27-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )

NY GIANTS at DALLAS
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

 

[Pesos]

NFL Trends To Watch - September

HOME TEAMS
Keep an eye on (Good): Baltimore is 29-17 ATS at home and they will face division partner Cleveland in Week 2. The question is will they have Joe Flacco or not at quarterback.

San Francisco has done a good job in covering spread at home in the early going and is 27-16 ATS and will have Carolina in the season opener and the L.A. Rams in Week 3. Can they go 2-0 against the number? The 49ers will be in a less advantageous spot when they travel to Seattle on 17th, as the Seahawks are 29-19 ATS.

Detroit is also in this mix at 29-18 ATS, but they have two real challenges in the Motor City against Arizona (9/10) and Atlanta (9/24).

Keep an eye on (Bad): If Washington is going to compete in the NFC East, they will need a fast start. If might not be easy since they are abysmal 18-31 ATS in September and welcome Philadelphia in the lid-lifter and Oakland two weeks later.

Cincinnati has the potential to be a surprise club in 2017 and will have to take care of business the first two contests at home against Baltimore and Houston. Backing them comes with trepidation because of their 17-27 ATS record.

With an expected win total of 4 set for the New York Jets by the oddsmakers, having a 19-29 ATS record at home this month is not going to inspire confidence when Miami visits on the 24th.

AWAY TEAMS
Keep an eye on (Good): Dallas is a superb road warrior in the early season at 32-17 ATS and they will see if they are up to the test being at Denver in Week 2 and eight days later in the Arizona desert on Monday night.

Talk about your tough assignments, how about Kansas City at New England to start the 2017 season! At least the Chiefs are inspiring 32-19 ATS the first month of the season. They will get another chance at the Chargers new home in Week 3.

Keep an eye on (Bad): The Rams flat out stink in September on the road at 16-31 ATS. Fortunately they have only one contest away from L.A. and that is in Frisco on a Thursday evening (9/21).

FAVORITES
Keep an eye on (Good): The Seahawks will be large favorites at home in Week 2 against the 49ers and might be small favorites at Tennessee the following Sunday. Either way, they are 31-19 ATS.

Houston is a solid 13-7 ATS in this role, but they figure to only have one opportunity to cash, in their first encounter at home against Jacksonville.

Bad: The L.A. Rams are pathetic 12-28 ATS and are not expected to worsen that record.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Off a dismal season, Carolina better be ready from the get-go as they are presumed to be favored in initial three contests and are unsightly 11-21 ATS.

UNDERDOGS
Good: As mentioned, the Cowboys has a pair of roadies in September and if they are listed as underdogs, be ready to fire on them with amazing 27-11 ATS record!

Keep an eye on (Good): The Chiefs have cooked something up for foes when catching points at 28-18 ATS and will be in that roll against the Patriots (9/7) and possibly in Los Angeles 17 days later versus the Chargers. Fellow division partner Denver is 16-10 ATS as an underdog could well be against Dallas (thus something has to give) and maybe at Buffalo a week later.

Finally, Minnesota is 27-17 ATS as dogs and they will be at Pittsburgh (9/17).

Keep an eye on (Bad): While the Texans have been a quality September favorite, they have not been nearly as strong when receiving points with 11-18 ATS mark. Look for Houston to be underdogs at Cincinnati (9/14) and at New England (9/24)

DIVISION
Keep an eye on (Good): The Chiefs have taken care of business in AFC West action 23-13 ATS record and in the City of Angels in Week 3 to face the Chargers.

Keep an eye on (Bad): The Bengals are dismal 14-21 ATS to begin divisional play and their first game of the season is playing Baltimore at home.

 

[Pesos]

WNBA

WNBA Playoffs Predictions:

Phoenix at Connecticut
In the first quarterfinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the fifth-seeded Phoenix Mercury (19-16), are visiting the fourth-seeded Connecticut Sun (21-13), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the semifinals to face the defending champions Los Angeles Sparks.

Connecticut Sun finished the regular season with a 21-13 record and were placed in the 4th place of the league table. They are coming from back-to-back losses and in their last game they lost on the road against Los Angeles with a 70-81 score. Jonquel Jones leads the team in scoring with 15.4 ppg, adding a league-best 11.9 rebounds per game. She is followed by Alyssa Thomas with 14.8 ppg, 6.8 rebounds and a team high 4.5 assists per game, while Jasmine Thomas adds 14.2 ppg and 4.3 assists per game.

Phoenix Mercury finished the regular season with an 18-16 record and were placed in the 5th place of the league. They have four consecutive wins and in their last game they eliminated Seattle in the first round of the playoffs with a 79-69 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 21.9 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding with 7.6 per game and in blocks with 2.5 per game. Diana Taurasi follows with 17.9 ppg, while Monique Currie adds 10.2 ppg.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Connecticut leading 2-1 wins and each team having won at home. Connecticut are 12-5 at home, while Phoenix are 9-8 on the road. Connecticut are better both offensively, scoring a second-best 86 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9, and defensively, allowing 81.6 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9. Connecticut have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with 44.8% to Phoenix’s 44%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with a third-best 36.5% to Phoenix’s 33.9%. Connecticut are also better in rebounding, grabbing a second-best 36.7 per game, to Phoenix’s 32.1, commit less turnovers, with a second-best 12.5 to Phoenix’s 14.1, and dish slightly more assists (17.8 to 17.6). Connecticut despite having lost their last couple of games they had more time to regroup and rest so expect them to win by more than 5 points today.

Prediction: Connecticut Sun -5.5
____________________________________________________________________________-

Washington at New York
In the second quarterfinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the third-seeded New York Liberty (22-12), are hosting the sixth-seeded Washington Mystics (18-16), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the semifinals to face the best team in the WNBA, the Minnesota Lynx.

New York Liberty finished the regular season with a 21-12 record and were placed 3rd in the league table. They have ten consecutive wins and in their last game they won on the road against Dallas with an 82-81 score. Tina Charles leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, adding a team high 9.4 rebounds per game. She is followed by Epiphanny Prince with 12 ppg and a team high 2.9 assists per game, while Shavonte Zellous adds 11.7 ppg and 4 rpg.

Washington Mystics finished the regular season with an 18-16 record (15-19 ATS) and were placed in the 6th place of the league. They have won two of their last three matches and in their last game they eliminated Dallas in the first round of the playoffs with an 86-76 score. Elena Delle Donne leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, 6.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. Emma Messeman adds 14.1 ppg and 5.7 rpg, while Kristi Toliver adds 11.9 ppg and a team high 3.4 assists per game.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with New York leading 2-1 wins and each team having won at home. New York are 13-4 at home, while Washington are 7-10 on the road. Washington are better offensively, scoring 81.7 ppg to New York’s 79.7, while New York are better defensively, allowing a third-best 76.6 ppg to Washington’s 81. New York have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with 42.5% to Washington’s 41.6% (third-worse), and in 3-pointers, shooting with 33.2% to Washington’s 31.7% (third-worse). New York also grab a league-best 38.7 rebounds per game, to Washington’s 36.3 (third-best), while Washington lead the league in fewest turnovers with 12.1 to New York’s 13.1 (third-best). Both teams are almost equal in assists made (16.7 to 16.4). New York have been the hottest team in the league for the past month and more and they have been extremely strong at home, so except them to win by more than 5 points today.

Prediction: New York Liberty -5.5

 

[Pesos]

WNBA Trend Report

PHOENIX (19 - 16) at CONNECTICUT (21 - 13) - 9/10/2017, 3:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON (19 - 16) at NEW YORK (22 - 12) - 9/10/2017, 5:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


PHOENIX vs. CONNECTICUT
Phoenix is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Connecticut
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
Washington is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington