Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Sunday 4:05 PM MLB
(919) MINNESOTA TWINS at (920) OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Take: (919) MINNESOTA TWINS +155
I always try to make the point that just playing on starting pitching and basically ignoring all the other variables is a mistake too many bettors make. But on occasion, the price will be so inviting it’s probably not the worst risk in the world to make the play just on the two starters, and that’s to story on this side.
Phil Hughes has tailed off somewhat from his early season rampage. But Hughes is still pitching respectable baseball, he’s been good on the road all season, and he certainly has a chance to contain the A’s today.
Jason Hammel seems to have left his talent in Chicago. Hammel was stellar all season for the Cubs, but has been a far different hurler since moving west to Oakland. Since the deal got made, Hammel has been a disaster for his new team, with a 1-4 record and some horrible peripherals.
Hammel does come in off a win in which he somehow managed to keep the Rays off the scoreboard. But this was in no way, shape or form a good performance. It was mostly a combination of some very inefficient at bats by Tampa Bay and a healthy dose of good fortune. So Hammel’s streak of non-quality starts is still intact.
Obviously, Oakland is the much better team here. The Twins are building for the future and they’re in play out the string mode for this year. But while the A’s have the advantage in virtually every category in this head to head matchup, the one aspect that has to favor the road team is the starting pitching with Hughes over Hammel. Normally, that wouldn’t be enough to get me on the upset call. But the price here is substantial enough where that appears to be a feasible option. I’ll give the Twins a roll as today’s Bonus Play.