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Dave Cokin

Sunday Bonus Play 1:05 PM MLB

(979) CINCINNATI REDS at (980) NEW YORK YANKEES

Take: (980) NEW YORK YANKEES -105

The Yankees have won the first two games in this series, much to the consternation of the majority of bettors. It’s a classic example of wagerers putting too much weight on the starting pitching and not factoring in other elements. I think the biggest flaw most baseball bettors make is overvaluing the starting pitching. This series has been a good example of that, and we’ve seen it in the line movement. In each of the first two games, the Reds have drawn the majority of the ticket volume, but the pro dollars that move the line have been pretty heavy on the Yankees.

I suspect we’ll see the same thing again today. Johnny Cueto is going to be a more enticing option than Hiroki Kuroda and the Reds will win the popular vote by a substantial margin. But don’t be surprised to see the line again head in the opposite direction with the sharper dollars arriving on the Yankees.

Cueto is good enough to win this by himself, and Kuroda is not the pitcher he used to be, so I can understand why so many players will make a case for the road team. And they might well end up getting paid, as the sharp money certainly doesn’t automatically win.

But aside from the starting pitching, this matchup favors the Yankees. The Reds are feeling the effects of being shorthanded with the right side of their infield on the disabled list, and I personally think they need to get a stick or two, even short term, as one or two extra losses could be all it takes to keep this team from playing baseball in October.

As for the Yankees, they’ve sure got their flaws. The infield defense is pretty bad, the starting rotation is going to miss Tanaka at some point and the offense has some holes as well. But a couple of their key hitters are starting to swing the bats better, the bullpen has actually gotten quite strong and at least from a position player standpoint, the Yankees are by far the healthiest they’ve been all season.

So long story short, Cueto rates the clear edge over Kuroda, but the other factors point to the Yankees. That adds up to the home team rating the true favorite role here, and the current line is very close to pick ‘em. Mix in the positive momentum for the hosts and I’m compelled to view the Yankees as the right side once more today.
 
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Dave Cokin

Sunday Bonus Play 1:05 PM MLB

(979) CINCINNATI REDS at (980) NEW YORK YANKEES

Take: (980) NEW YORK YANKEES -105

The Yankees have won the first two games in this series, much to the consternation of the majority of bettors. It’s a classic example of wagerers putting too much weight on the starting pitching and not factoring in other elements. I think the biggest flaw most baseball bettors make is overvaluing the starting pitching. This series has been a good example of that, and we’ve seen it in the line movement. In each of the first two games, the Reds have drawn the majority of the ticket volume, but the pro dollars that move the line have been pretty heavy on the Yankees.

I suspect we’ll see the same thing again today. Johnny Cueto is going to be a more enticing option than Hiroki Kuroda and the Reds will win the popular vote by a substantial margin. But don’t be surprised to see the line again head in the opposite direction with the sharper dollars arriving on the Yankees.

Cueto is good enough to win this by himself, and Kuroda is not the pitcher he used to be, so I can understand why so many players will make a case for the road team. And they might well end up getting paid, as the sharp money certainly doesn’t automatically win.

But aside from the starting pitching, this matchup favors the Yankees. The Reds are feeling the effects of being shorthanded with the right side of their infield on the disabled list, and I personally think they need to get a stick or two, even short term, as one or two extra losses could be all it takes to keep this team from playing baseball in October.

As for the Yankees, they’ve sure got their flaws. The infield defense is pretty bad, the starting rotation is going to miss Tanaka at some point and the offense has some holes as well. But a couple of their key hitters are starting to swing the bats better, the bullpen has actually gotten quite strong and at least from a position player standpoint, the Yankees are by far the healthiest they’ve been all season.

So long story short, Cueto rates the clear edge over Kuroda, but the other factors point to the Yankees. That adds up to the home team rating the true favorite role here, and the current line is very close to pick ‘em. Mix in the positive momentum for the hosts and I’m compelled to view the Yankees as the right side once more today.
 
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Jim Feist

MLB Comp Pick for Sunday, July 20, 2014: 2:10 M ET

MLB (971) TAMPA BAY RAYS VS (972) MINNESOTA TWINS

Take: (971) TAMPA BAY RAYS

Reason: Your free pick for Sunday, July 20, 2014, comes in the American League as Tampa Bay and the Twins meet in Minnesota. Minnesota has home field, but they have a losing home record. Kevin Correia (5-11, 4.61 ERA) has struggled and the team is 9-27 in his starts. The team is 3-7 his last 10 starts. The Twins are 44-91 against the American League East and face a resurgent Tampa Bay squad with plenty of talent. Tampa Bay is 8-2 on the road and has Chris Archer (3.41 ERA) going. He is off a bad start but has been on a roll for a while. Archer was rolling over his previous 10 starts prior to the last game, a 1.71 ERA stretch. He has 8 strikeouts per nine innings, a significant improvement from last season (7.1 K/9). Meanwhile the Twins are 3-12 in Correia's last 15 home starts and he is 2-6 with a 6.12 ERA at home this season. The Rays are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings, including 6-2 here in Minnesota. Play the Tampa Bay Rays.
 
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Art Aronson

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

1* Bonus Play on the LA Dodgers -171

The Dodgers should be a good bet here as they look to avoid getting swept in St. Louis. Los Angeles will send arguably the best pitcher in either league to the mound in Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 1.78 ERA); Kershaw finished up the first half with another dominant pitching performance in San Diego where he allowed just a solo home run in a complete game win over the Padres. The run allowed by the southpaw was the only one he has allowed in his last five starts and snapped a 41 inning scoreless streak. The Red Birds will put out Carlos Martinez (2-4, 4.43 ERA) to try and complete the sweep; Martinez allowed one earned run over 4 1/3 innings in a start versus the Dodgers earlier this season but he has been merely mediocre this season after getting promoted out of the bullpen due to injuries. The right-hander has failed to get out of the fifth inning both times he has faced Los Angeles, going 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA. The last time Kershaw faced the Cardinals it was the playoffs and the lefty had the worst start of his career in the biggest game of his life. I think tonight’s contest sets up as major revenge spot for the reigning Cy Young winner. The Dodgers have been pretty good on the road this season and I think a game on National TV (ESPN) with their ace on the hill is exactly the kind of motivating factor this offense needs to bump out of its mini slump. Also note that LA is 5-1 as a road favorite in the -150 to -175 range this season. Consider taking Kershaw and the Dodgers.

AAA Sports
 
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Wolf Picks

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Bonus Play Total: Under 7.0/100

The Yankees are looking for a sweep right out of the gate against the Reds. The Yankees have had no problems scoring but today they will face Cueto, who is seeking his 11th win on the year. Cueto is 2-1 against the Yankees with a 1.89 ERA. The Reds are 13-3 in Cuetos last 16 Sunday starts & are 6-1 in Cuetos last 7 starts. The Yankees will have Kuroda on the hill, the last men left in their rotation that they thought they would have at this point in the season. Kuroda does not get the run support he deserves and today against Cueto that will be the case. I see a low scoring, solid pitching effort from both sides.

Play on the Under 7
 
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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, July 20

San Francisco at Miami, 1:10 ET
Lincecum: SAN FRANCISCO is 21-8 SU after having won 3 of their last 4
Hand: MIAMI 2-12 SU after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games

Milwaukee at Washington, 1:35 ET
Gallardo: MILWAUKEE 13-6 SU in road games after allowing 8 runs or more
Gonzalez: WASHINGTON 26-34 SU against NL Central opponents

Colorado at Pittsburgh, 1:35 ET
Matzek: COLORADO 5-22 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +175
Locke: PITTSBURGH 24-13 SU after having won 2 of their last 3

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 1:35 ET
Kendrick: PHILADELPHIA 7-19 SU after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival
Wood: ATLANTA 57-22 SU as a favorite of -150 or more

NY Mets at San Diego, 4:10 ET
Wheeler: NY METS 20-12 SU in day games
Despaigne: SAN DIEGO 32-44 SU against right-handed starters

Chicago at Arizona, 4:10 ET
Arrieta: 7-1 TSR after a loss
Collmenter: ARIZONA 3-11 SU after 2 or more consecutive wins

LA Dodgers at St Louis, 8:05 ET
Kershaw: LA DODGERS 17-5 SU revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite
Martinez: ST LOUIS 34-40 SU against left-handed starters

Texas at Toronto, 1:05 ET
Tepesch: TEXAS 2-10 SU after having lost 18 or more of their last 25
Buehrle: 9-2 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

Cleveland at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Tomlin: CLEVELAND 54-38 SU in day games
Smyly: DETROIT 13-20 SU in home games against right-handed starters

Kansas City at Boston, 1:35 ET
Ventura: KANSAS CITY 15-8 SU in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
Lester: BOSTON 15-22 SU after 3 straight games without a stolen base

Tampa Bay at Minnesota, 2:10 ET
Archer: TAMPA BAY 9-18 SU after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games
Correia: MINNESOTA 16-9 SU after 3 straight games without a stolen base

Houston at Chicago, 2:10 ET
Cosart: HOUSTON 4-19 SU after a loss by 2 runs or less
Danks: CHI WHITE SOX 24-18 SU after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs

Seattle at LA Angels, 3:35 ET
Young: SEATTLE 7-2 SU as a road underdog of +150 or more
Skaggs: 3-10 TSR in the second half of the season

Baltimore at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Gausman: BALTIMORE 6-9 SU when playing on Sunday
Gray: OAKLAND 36-14 SU as a favorite of -125 to -175

Cincinnati at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Cueto: CINCINNATI 12-3 SU line when playing on Sunday
Kuroda: 9-20 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
 
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Marc Lawrence

MLB

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins 1:10PM

San Francisco Giants w/Lincecum

Edges - Giants: Lincecum 3-1 career team starts in Miami, and 7-1 day team starts this season, and 3-1 vs. A.L. East this season. Marlins: Hand 2-11 last thirteen overall team starts, and 2-7 home career team starts, including 0-2 with 9.00 ERA this season. With Lincecum 5-2 with a 1.86 ERA his last seven overall team starts, look for the Giants to improve to 13-3 on Sundays this season here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on San Francisco. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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Sports-Junkie

BetThisPick

Play #1:

07-20-14: MLB: Braves vs Phillies (1:35pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Braves/Phillies UNDER 7 (-110)

Key TRENDS for this game:

Under is 5-2 in Kendricks last 7 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200.
Under is 5-1-1 in Kendricks last 7 Sunday starts.
Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 19-7-2 in Braves last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 vs. National League East.
Under is 17-8-2 in Braves last 27 Sunday games.
Under is 29-14-2 in Braves last 45 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 37-18-2 in Braves last 57 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0-1 in Woods last 5 Sunday starts.
Under is 6-0-1 in Woods last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Woods last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Woods last 6 starts as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Woods last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Woods last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Woods last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-1 in Woods last 9 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 12-4-1 in Woods last 17 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 6-2-1 in Woods last 9 home starts.
Under is 13-5-1 in Woods last 19 starts on grass.
Under is 13-5-1 in Woods last 19 starts overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Woods last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 5-2 in Woods last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 16-6-2 in Davis' last 24 games behind home plate.


Play #2:

07-20-14: MLB: Rockies vs Pirates (1:35pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Rockies/Pirates UNDER 8 (-120)

Key TRENDS for this game:

Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 road games.

Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.

Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 6-0-2 in Rockies last 8 games as an underdog.

Under is 5-1-2 in Rockies last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games following a loss.

Under is 7-2 in Rockies last 9 overall.

Under is 7-2 in Rockies last 9 on grass.

Under is 3-1-2 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Under is 39-16-4 in Rockies last 59 games as an underdog of +151 to +200.

Under is 35-16-3 in Rockies last 54 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.

Under is 2-0-3 in Matzeks last 5 starts as an underdog.

Under is 3-0-2 in Matzeks last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Under is 2-0-3 in Matzeks last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 3-1-3 in Matzeks last 7 starts on grass.

Under is 3-1-3 in Matzeks last 7 starts overall.

Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. National League West.

Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 9-3-2 in Pirates last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 9-4 in Pirates last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 9-4 in Pirates last 13 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 9-4 in Pirates last 13 home games.

Under is 20-9-2 in Pirates last 31 Sunday games.

Under is 7-2 in Lockes last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.

Under is 9-3-2 in Lockes last 14 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 19-7-1 in Lockes last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Under is 5-2 in Lockes last 7 Sunday starts.

Under is 5-2 in Lockes last 7 starts with 8 or more days of rest.

Under is 16-7-2 in Lockes last 25 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings.

Under is 5-2 in Hudsons last 7 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.

Under is 8-3 in Hudsons last 11 Sunday games behind home plate.
 
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Teyas Sports

FREE PICK METS -111

TEYA'S DID YOU KNOW? THE A'S ARE 79-38 THE LAST 117 MEETINGS VS THE ORIOLES??
 

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