Sunday 3/13/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Sunday's hot teams
-- Cleveland won five of its last six games (6-3 last 9AF). Clippers won five of their last seven games (3-2HU).
-- Pacers won four of last five games (5-1 last 6AU). Atlanta won five of its last seven games (1-5 last 6HF).
-- Lakers split their last six games (7-5 last 12HU).

Cold teams
-- Utah lost seven of its last nine games (5-4AF). Sacramento lost eight of its last nine games (3-8HU).
-- Bucks lost five of their last eight games (0-1AF). Brooklyn lost five of its last six games (7-13 last 20HU).
-- New York lost five of its last seven games (2-4AF).

Series records
-- Clippers lost four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Hawks won four of last six games with Indiana.
-- Jazz won five of last eight games with Sacramento.
-- Nets lost five of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Lakers lost six of last eight games with New York.

Totals
-- Last four Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Utah-Sacramento games.
-- Five of last seven Brooklyn games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight New York games stayed under.

Back/backs
-- Indiana is 5-8 vs spread if it played night before, but covered three of last four in that spot. Atlanta is 4-8 in last 12 such spots.
-- Milwaukee is 1-4 in last five games if it played night before.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SEC Trends and Angles

Venue: Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS
Over/Under: 7-4
Sunday, Mar. 13
Championship
Matchup Records Skinny Projection

No. 1 Texas A&M
Overall: 26-7 SU, 15-11-2 ATS
Totals: 11-17-2 O/U

No. 2 Kentucky
Overall: 25-8 SU, 17-16 ATS
Totals: 18-14 O/U

No. 1 Texas A&M vs. No. 2 Kentucky (ESPN, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The top two seeds remain in the SEC as Kentucky (15-5 SEC) looks to avenge a disappointing 79-77 overtime loss in College Station on February 20. The Aggies beat the Wildcats on a buzzer-beating shot which gave A&M the tiebreaker over UK and the number one seed in the conference tournament. Kentucky rallied past Georgia on Saturday to advance to its third straight SEC championship game with a 93-80 victory. The Wildcats covered as double-digit favorites for the second consecutive contest, cashing late as 10 ½-point chalk to capture the two-game sweep of Georgia. Texas A&M (15-5 SEC) destroyed LSU in the semifinals, 71-38 to easily cover as 7 ½-point favorites, while limiting the Tigers to just 13 first half points. The Aggies are on fire by winning eight straight games and covering seven times in this stretch, while seeking its first SEC tournament title.

Texas A&M 77
Kentucky 81

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big 10 Trends and Angles

Venue: Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS
Over/Under: 6-6
Sunday, Mar. 13
Championship
Matchup Records Skinny Projection

No. 2 Michigan State
Overall: 28-5 SU, 22-10 ATS
Totals: 16-16 O/U

No. 4 Purdue
Overall: 26-7 SU, 17-11-1 ATS
Totals: 15-14-1 O/U

No. 2 Michigan State vs. No. 4 Purdue (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The last time Michigan State (15-5 Big 10) lost a game, it came in overtime at Purdue on February 9 as three-point underdogs, 82-81. The Spartans have won eight consecutive games since that setback, while covering seven times in this stretch. The lone ATS loss came in Saturday’s semifinal victory over Maryland, 64-61 as 5 ½-point favorites, as the Spartans limited the Terrapins to 33% shooting from the floor. Purdue (15-5 Big 10) cruised past Michigan, 76-59 to reach its first Big 10 championship since 2009, as the Boilermakers have covered four straight games. The Boilermakers have finished ‘under’ the total in five of the last six conference tournament contests, while allowing 63 points or less five times.

Michigan State 68
Purdue 63

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Wildcats (25-8) at Aggies (26-7)

Date: March 13, 2016 1:00 PM EDT

A putback at the buzzer against the SEC's perennial power last month helped surprising Texas A&M earn a share of its first regular-season conference title in 30 years.

Three weeks later, the Aggies can continue to be a thorn in Kentucky's side with their first tournament championship since that same era.

While top-seeded Texas A&M looks to win its first conference tournament since 1987, the No. 2 Wildcats will try for their second straight title and fourth in the last seven years when they meet for Sunday's SEC championship in Nashville.

Sixteenth-ranked Kentucky (25-8) would have earned its second straight outright regular-season title if not for a 79-77 overtime loss at College Station on Feb. 20.

Instead, a late technical foul from a Wildcat freshman and Tyler Davis' putback at the buzzer gave No. 17 Texas A&M (26-7) its second of six straight wins to close the regular season. That run helped the Aggies recover from a midseason slump and match the Wildcats' 13-5 league record for their first title since 1986.

The regular-season shared crown set up a collision course in the bracket toward Sunday's championship. While Kentucky plays for the trophy for the sixth time in seven seasons, Texas A&M will suit up for its first title game since a loss to Texas in the 1994 Southwest Conference championship.

Escaping Saturday's semifinal came much easier than anyone expected for the Aggies. They tallied their eighth straight victory by trouncing fourth-seeded LSU and freshman phenom Ben Simmons 71-38.

Texas A&M held the Tigers to a season low in points and made field goals (13) during the lowest-scoring team output in any major conference this season. LSU, which shot 20.6 percent, was the first team held below 40 points in the SEC tournament since Mississippi State in 1985.

'You don't envision beating someone by 40 in the semifinal game before you try and go to the championship, but that's just how the game played out,' senior guard Alex Caruso said. 'They kind of withered down as we got stronger.'

Tonny Trocha-Morelos and Admon Gilder combined for 23 points off the bench, while Jalen Jones added 12.

Kentucky's 93-80 victory over sixth-seeded Georgia was a bit closer than the final score indicated. The game was tight through the opening 30 minutes, but the Wildcats used a late 11-3 run to pull away.

One of the nation's top backcourts fueled the second-half surge as Tyler Ulis and Jamal Murray combined for 51 points, hitting 7 of 14 3s.

The Wildcats shot 50 percent, their fourth straight game hitting that mark - all victories.

'If we play the way we played today and everybody clicks as a team, I think we can come out with the win,' said Isaiah Briscoe, who had 12 points and seven rebounds.

Ulis and Murray combined for 43 points in last month's loss to A&M.

Murray has been on fire since Feb. 6, averaging 25.6 points while hitting 53.3 percent of his 3-pointers in 11 games. Ulis has made 6 of 9 3s in Kentucky's two tournament wins.

Before Davis' game-winning putback over the Wildcats last month, Kentucky freshman Isaac Humphries received a technical foul for spiking the ball with nine seconds left. The Wildcats won three of their final four games that followed to earn a share of their second straight regular-season title.

Three of the last four games in this series have needed overtime. Kentucky won the first two as part of three straight wins, 72-68 in overtime on Feb. 2, 2013, and 70-64 in double-OT on Jan. 10, 2015.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Boilermakers (26-7) at Spartans (28-5)

Date: March 13, 2016 3:00 PM EDT

Purdue has already taken care of what many Michigan State fans might have wanted to do themselves: dismantle underdog Michigan's Big Ten tournament run.

The second-seeded Spartans will settle for a conference title game and revenge shot against the fourth-seeded Boilermakers on Sunday in Indianapolis with both schools looking to extend their longest win streaks since their opening runs ended in December.

Michigan State (28-5) has climbed back to second in the national rankings with an eight-game winning streak that started immediately after an 82-81 loss at Purdue on Feb. 9. It reached its current level with Saturday's 64-61 semifinal win over No. 18 Maryland behind Denzel Valentine's 18 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds.

The Big Ten Player of the Year hasn't shot particularly well in two tournament games, hitting 37.0 percent, but he's averaged 18.5 points, 9.0 assists and 8.0 boards.

"That was a weird game for Denzel Valentine and all he did was 18, 10 and seven," coach Tom Izzo said. "I guess I'm getting like fans, spoiled."

After explaining Friday that the Spartans were angry about finishing second in the regular season to Indiana, Valentine has them in position for the next crown. They've won 12 of 13 as they chase a fifth tourney title that would set a record since one of Ohio State's five was vacated.

What's most impressive is how the Spartans have put themselves in this position. One day after Maryland scored a tourney-record 97 points, Michigan State held the Terrapins 15.1 below their season average. The Spartans have limited Ohio State and Maryland to 57.5 points on 38.0 percent shooting, including 27.3 from 3-point range.

"We made stops, got rebounds when we needed to and guys made free throws down the stretch," Valentine said.

At the other end, the Spartans were 8 of 19 from 3-point range, which puts them six away from breaking the school record of 307 established two years ago. Over the last 14 games, they've made 49.1 percent from outside, but one of three games under 40.0 in that span was the loss at Purdue.

Valentine did his part with 27 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds, but Michigan State shot 38.2 percent overall while the Boilermakers hit half of their 16 3s.

Rapheal Davis was 6 of 8 from long range for 24 points, while A.J. Hammons had 19 points and 13 rebounds to help snap a seven-game losing streak against the Spartans.

Michigan State is back in the title game for a third straight year after winning in 2014 and losing to Wisconsin last season, while Purdue is returning for the first time since winning it in 2009.

The 13th-ranked Boilermakers (26-7) have been arguably more impressive than the Spartans in this edition. They beat Michigan 76-59 on Saturday for a fifth straight win, and two tournament victories have come by an average of 24.0 points while shooting 55.7 percent and 43.6 from long range. Their opponents are at 38.5 and 23.3.

Hammons had 27 points and 11 rebounds, and the senior center has averaged 16.8 points on 69.4 percent shooting in his last six games. Another big performance would go a long way toward validating his choice to return for a fourth season.

"I came back to get a ring, so it would mean a lot," Hammons said. "And then on top of that, I've been here four years trying to build back the program and helping everybody out. So it would mean a lot to the fans and the program just to come back with a ring and a championship."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB

Notes for Sunday's games..........

Big 14 tournament (Indianapolis)
Michigan State won its last eight games since losing 82-81 at Purdue in OT; Spartans rallied from down 18 to take 4-point lead with 1:59 left, but lost. Seven of State's last eight wins are by 12+ points. Purdue won its last five games, last four by 11+; their last tourney title was '09. Last titles for MSUU were in '12/'14. State is 13-3 in its last 16 conference tourney games; they played three guys 30:00+ in win over Maryland, while Boilers had fairly easy time with Michigan.

Atlantic 14 tournament (Brooklyn)
VCU won 85-82 at St Joe's Jan 5, after trailing by 13 with 7:11 left; they won four of last five games, winning by 15-22 in games this weekend. Rams made 10-25 on arc yesterday, after going 1-16 Friday- they held Davidson star Gibbs to 4 points. St Joe's is 9-4 in its last 13 conference tournament games; they've scored 84 ppg in winning two games this week, but their two stars played 37-40 minutes yesterday. VCU is 24-5 in its last 29 conference tournament games. .

AAC tournament (Orlando)
UConn won epic 4-OT game Friday, making 60-footer at buzzer of third OT; Huskies then avenged their two losses to Temple with 77-62 win in semis- only two guys played more than 29:00 Saturday. UConn swept Memphis this year, winning 81-78 at home Jan 9 (Tigers led 75-74 in last minute), then 77-57 in Memphis Feb 4, when Tigers turned ball over 20 times (-10) in game they led 37-36 at half. Memphis won three games in row after suffering thru a 4-9 skid. . .

SEC tournament (Nashville)
Kentucky was down much of game to Georgia in semis, pulled away late for 93-80 win; now they actually have revenge motive, after losing 79-77 in OT at Texas A&M Feb 20, when an odd technical on Kentucky (bad call) gave Aggies couple foul shots in last minute. Murray/Ulis both got 39:00 yesterday; Wildcats are serious about winning this. Aggies had an easy time with LSU team that was in tank. A&M won last eight games.

Sun Belt tournament (New Orleans)
UL-Monroe is 14-1 in its last 15 games after starting season 6-11; they split with Little Rock this year, losing 58-57 on road Jan 9 (they led by 14 early on), winning rematch 86-82, outscoring Trojans 24-16 on line. ULM plays seven guys; four played 33:00+ Saturday- they're #14 team in country in experience. Little Rock won seven of last eight games; they used three guys 31:00+ yesterday- they won this tournament five years ago. ULM has yet to win a Sun Belt tournament.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-Expo

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 5:45 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 68 - Purse:$15000 - CALIFORNIA SIRE STAKE THREE YEAR OLDS ALL HORSES REPORT TO DETENTION BY MAR 13TH BY 12:00PM PER CHRB RULE 1606 - 1& 2,4& 5 UNCOUPLED


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 MY LITTLE SUSIE 6/5


# 3 KISSED THE BOYS 2/1


# 5 LODI BANK ROBBER 4/1


MY LITTLE SUSIE unquestionably looks to be the fine animal to beat in this contest. Not many knocks against this fine animal, let's give her a shot. Loved this filly's last race. Ran a big 74 speed figure. Major contender. Lackey and Vallandingham have a very nice working relationship. Exemplary results from their outings. KISSED THE BOYS - Desomer has been able to get this harness racer to perform when sending to the post. Always worth a look. Feel the need for speed, this interesting entrant has been turning in some amazing speed ratings averaging around 68. LODI BANK ROBBER - A very nice win percent has been achieved by harness racers starting from the 5 hole. With a tremendous driver, who has won at a nice 21 percent rate over the last 30 days, this has to be one of the best selections.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 1:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 61 - Purse:$5500 - MAIDENS 5YO & YOUNGER


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 ROCK SHOOTER 5/2


# 2 MISTER MEISTER 8/1


# 8 DONTMESSWITHJIM 4/1


Look no further than ROCK SHOOTER as the bet in this event. This competition may be controlled by this horse. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster speed fig will prove that. Good for a win wager just off the excellent prior class markings. Have to like this nice horse. That 69 speed fig clocked in the most recent race puts this entrant in the mix in here. MISTER MEISTER - The 2 slot sports a much better than average win figure at Century Downs. DONTMESSWITHJIM - Look for Hudon and this solid standardbred to end up in the winner's circle today. Exemplary in the money rate for the trainer/horse pair. Is a sharp choice given the 66 speed rating from his most recent race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5100 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 FIRST CLASS FLIGHT 7/2


# 5 YEARLONG FEVER 5/1


# 2 CHELOKETTE 5/2


I have to consider FIRST CLASS FLIGHT here. Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last contest. Appears to have a very good class edge based on the latest company kept. YEARLONG FEVER - The almost immediate return to the track points to a formidable effort this time out. CHELOKETTE - Will most likely go to the lead and could never look back. Has been close up on the wire most every time recently.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7100 Class Rating: 75

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 13 HEMMINGER 7/5


# 1 CAR FIFTY FOUR 9/2


# 10 WROUGHT 5/1


HEMMINGER is the strongest bet in this race. Has to be given a shot against this field displaying very strong numbers as of late and an average speed fig of 77 under similar conditions. With one of the best jockeys in terms of profits at the window, don't count this gelding out. He has to be given a shot given the decent speed figs. CAR FIFTY FOUR - Looks quite good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt route races recently. WROUGHT - He looks formidable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Posted a strong Equibase speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #9 - Post: 5:20pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $55,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1A BAG OF TRICKS (ML=2/1)
#5 ANDESINE (ML=12/1)


BAG OF TRICKS - Faced tougher last out at Belmont Park. Based on class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this animal on my list of probable winners in this race. Kimmel drops this one in today for only her second contest. Should do better than last out. This equine is tops in EPS (earnings per start). She looks good in today's contest. ANDESINE - Donk adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a marked improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RIOT WORTHY (ML=9/5), #1 TOWN FAIR (ML=2/1), #7 HEYGIRLLETURSELFGO (ML=6/1),

RIOT WORTHY - Where is the speed? None to be found in here to set things up for this thoroughbred. TOWN FAIR - Not much value on this entrant at the probable odds of 2/1. HEYGIRLLETURSELFGO - Doubtful that the speed fig she recorded on Feb 21st will be good enough in this clash.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BAG OF TRICKS - Trainer puts this filly on Lasix for the 2nd time in succession. A good sign Kimmel is putting her in to win today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #1 Entry on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 MIDNIGHT MAN (ML=3/1)


MIDNIGHT MAN - Gelding was a beaten favorite in a $16,000 Maiden Claiming race last time out. Was a good performance even though he finished second. This horse may have too much power on the grass for the rest of the field. Coming home, he could put these away. Don't often see a beneficial return on investment like +52. This jock/conditioner tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. This thoroughbred coming off a nice try in the last month or so is a contender in my opinion. PP lines show this campaigner with 3 improving Equibase speed figs. Gallardo should be on a live horse right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CAGED (ML=2/1), #10 GREENFIELD (ML=4/1), #8 PAPARAZZI (ML=8/1),

CAGED - Hasn't been on the Tampa Bay Downs oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. Has been beaten as the public's choice in back to back races. A repeat is probably in store. GREENFIELD - Would have to get more than the oddsmaker's morning line of 4/1 to wager on this mount. PAPARAZZI - I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with morning line odds of 8/1.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - MIDNIGHT MAN - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this gelding. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 83 on Feb 26th.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 MIDNIGHT MAN is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 -4:41 PM


The Stymie Stakes

9.0 FURLONGS FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE

#5 INDYCOTT
#1 STORMIN MONARCHO
#2 MADEFROMLUCKY
#3 DONTBEWITHBRUNO

The Stymie Stakes is named for the fine handicap runner, owned by Mrs. Ethel D. Jacobs, who was voted the handicap champion of 1945. He was elected to the National Racing Hall of Fame in 1975. In 131 starts, Stymie, who was claimed for $1,500 by Hirsch Jacobs, won 35 races, with 33 seconds, and 28 thirds, for earnings of $918,485, a record at that time. Here in the 59th running of this stakes test, #5 INDYCOTT, a 6-1 shot, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of his last five outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Kendrick Carmouche and Trainer Danny Gargan send him to the post for the "Sunday Feature" ... they've hit the board with an impressive 70% of their entries saddled as a team to date, winning at an equally impressive, 35% clip! #1 STORMIN MONARCHO, another 6-1 shot, has also produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+2) in his 5th race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Sunday 3/13 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 68 - 213 / $386.50

BEST BETS: 7 - 18 / $26.00

Best Bet: TOBER (3rd)

Spot Play: ESCUELA (2nd)


Race 1

(4) CRAZSHANA didn't go the easiest of trips last out and understandably flattened late; consider from this spot at what will be an improved price. (8) LUMINOSITY was razor-sharp right off the bench swallowing up a game (7) MAJOR ATHENS; both of these nice trotters have to be included.

Race 2

(1) ESCUELA was very sharp in her local debut for the Garcia-Herrera barn and she can repeat despite facing tougher. (4) SKATES N PLATES should have a clear path to the lead today. (6) DEWYCOLORINTHELINE makes his third start off the layoff and Schnittker's trotter should have more to offer.

Race 3

(5) TOBER has looked good since returning in 2016 and this is a pretty soft field of NW18000 types. (4) HEADSAREGONNA TURN was overmatched in his last couple and has been competitive at this level. (3) THERESADEMONINME should be forwardly placed from this spot.

Race 4

(1) BINGO QUEEN is always a risky proposition but if she minds her manners and is close enough she can grind these down. (3) ZORGWIJK NOVA has been solid at this $30K claiming level and looks like the one to beat. (5) THERAPUTIC is steady stock from Burke.

Race 5

(2) RAS SHAKINTHTBACON had nothing to offer from the eight hole in her first start off the layoff but clearly she can be more involved today. (3) BRICKYARD CLASSIC gets some needed class relief for Ray Baynes. (9) EXPLOSIVEDAY has been solid recently but needs to navigate the second tier.

Race 6

(9) WESTERN CREDIT took some money last week and raced well; Auciello trainee has been sneaky sharp in his last few and has as good a chance as any here. (1) NOBLE WARRAWEE drops, draws inside and was Dube's choice. (6) PLAY THE JUSTICE should be a big price and can be considered underneath.

Race 7

(9) MOVEMENT drops in class after breaking in her local return; barn had an upset winner here the other night. (5) COMMISSIONER DALEY steps up a notch looking for two straight. (4) MAGNUM KOSMOS has a breaking problem but the ability has always been there.

Race 8

(8) TOUCH THE ROCK is a powerhouse at this basement claiming level; why is everyone afraid to claim him? (3) ROETHBLISSBERGER was held at bay by the top choice last week upon dropping to this level. (2) TOUCH ANO GO inherits the rail and will be a part of this.

Race 9

(6) SKYFUL OF LIGHTERS upset right off the bench then was stuck in a quick mile last out at The Big M. DiDomenico trainee raced well here last year. (8) RONNY BUGATTI may be the best but needs a way into the race. (5) MIDNIGHT DYLAN N was aggressively handled last week and will offer a good price here.

Race 10

(2) WHAT I BELIEVE took care of business right off the Banca claim and seems capable of repeating. (4) EXIT CAM gave it a good try last out but came up short; that effort showed he can compete with these. (1) LUCKY MCTRUCKY will be aggressively handled early looking to protect position.

Race 11

(3) GALLANT SEELSTER gets needed post relief which will help his cause but he's a noted money-burner; Dube can send him to the front today. (4) HI HO STEVERINO just missed last week after being part of a fast pace. (6) HALL OF TERROR was totally dead on the board and raced like it last out; seems capable of better.

Race 12

(4) SANTA FE BEACHBOY is sharp and has class shipping in to join the Banca barn; he's routine selecting but won't be much value. (1) BRETT MCFAVRELOUS lands the best post and has plenty of early speed. (8) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH was a very sharp winner last week after taking all the money but he may have too far to come from this spot unless there's a courtesy tuck waiting.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (6th) Eden Ridge, 7-2
(8th) Indycott, 6-1

Fair Grounds (5th) Safe at Sea, 9-2
(7th) Papa's Forest, 4-1

Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Tupelo Crush, 4-1
(5th) Van Lingle Mungo, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (9th) Shaft of Light, 6-1
(10th) Sunrisebernsteini, 7-2


Laurel Park (4th) Virginia Rose, 5-1
(6th) Union Grace, 8-1


Oaklawn Park (4th) Native Indy, 7-2
(7th) Hold Me Fast, 4-1


Parx (1st) She's Gifted, 7-2
(5th) Blast Away, 4-1


Santa Anita (2nd) Back Street Cat, 4-1
(9th) Navy Hymn, 7-2


Sunland Park (5th) Tricky Trix, 9-2
(7th) You've Benn Duped, 7-2


Tampa Bay Downs (6th) Fryers Well, 9-2
(9th) Carmen's Secret, 8-1


Turf Paradise (3rd) Tom Kha, 6-1
(7th) He's Very Rare, 7-2


Turfway Park (3rd) Limerick Lady, 3-1
(5th) Profitress, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sunday's six-pack

-- Would people really buy a car just because it has WiFi in it?

-- LSU trailed 35-13 at halftime yesterday; thats the kind of effort that gets your coach fired. Losing is one thing; losing 71-38 on national TV is quite another.

-- Oklahoma State fired basketball coach Travis Ford , who really lost his job when he didn't make hay when he had Marcus Smart on his team.

-- If you've never had an avocado smoothie, have one very soon- tremendous.

-- Seton Hall 69, Villanova 67-- Pirates last won the Big East tourney in 1993.

-- Can we move this Presidential election up a couple months before the whole country implodes? Little too much tension now; people need to relax.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Allen Sports

Sunday, Free Selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Sunday, March 13, 2016, NBA 8:05 PM EST

(877) MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS (878) BROOKLYN NETS

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL

Reason: Two bad offenses meet in Brooklyn: Milwaukee is No. 24 in the NBA in scoring, the Nets are No. 29. Milwaukee is on the road after playing a game last night, so they won't want to tun. The Under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 road games. Brooklyn is home after a long road trip, on a 5-2 run under the total. And the Under is 4-1 when the Nets face the Eastern Conference. Play the Bucks/Nets under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Roz Wins

Roz's Sunday, March 13, 2016, Free NBA Pick: 6:05 PM EST

(873) INDIANA PACERS VS (874) ATLANTA HAWKS

Take: Over the total

Reason: Two outstanding offenses clash in Atlanta. Indiana has scored 99 or more points in four straight and the over is 11-4 in the Pacers last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Atlanta is No. 9 in the NBA in shooting. They had to play last night and the over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 games playing on no days rest. Play Indiana/Atlanta Over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Sunday

877 BUCKS @ 878 NETS 8:05 PM

Take: 878 NETS +1.5

Okay, hold your nose on this one.

The Brooklyn Nets are finally back home following a forever road trip. And they’re a bad basketball team. But I think Brooklyn wins tonight as they host Milwaukee.

The Bucks are favored on the road for only the third time all season. That makes sense, as this team doesn’t exactly own sensational numbers when cast in the role of visitor. They’re six games out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, and they’re beat up to boot, with OJ Mayo the latest casualty.

I mention Mayo because, prior to this injury, he was actually having to log substantial minutes, and that in itself pretty much speaks volumes about what the Bucks depth chart looks like right now. Anyway, now he’s also done for the season, so Milwaukee will have to allocate those minutes to someone who’s evidently lower on the talent totem pole than Mayo.

As for Brooklyn, there’s really nothing much positive to say. They’ve won only 11 of 33 home games, they’re ahead of only the 76ers in the conference standings and they’ve been in play out the string mode all season.

The Bucks have won two straight, but I don’t know if that’s really a good thing, as winning three in a row is not something that happens regularly for this team. I think I’d rather side with the team happy to be home over the poor traveler that also had to play on Saturday night and then hit the road for a nothing game. Put my check mark next to the Nets as home dogs in this one.