Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Sunday
867 NIAGARA @ 868 RIDER 2:00 PM
Take: 867 NIAGARA +10.5
First things first, Niagara is not good at all. That means there’s always an element of risk asking the Purple Eagles to do something positive. The team is 6-20 this season and they’re now 21-68 since Chris Casey took over as head coach. So anytime I’m considering this outfit, it’s strictly hold your nose time.
But today, I’m playing against Rider. This is an awful spot for the Broncs. They’re off one of the craziest games I’ve seen all season. Rider put together a stirring second half rally to get what looked like a sweet upset against MAAC frontrunner Monmouth on Friday evening. Rider was up 14 inside the four-minute mark. But they fell apart down the stretch, and I put the blame squarely on the coaching.
This absolutely drives me wild. It’s the college basketball version of the football prevent defense. In this case, it’s prevent offense. Team gets ahead and rather than run the offense that got them ahead, they start milking the clock WAY too soon, end up with horrible percentage shots and allow the other team an opportunity to catch up. When I rant about overcoaching, this is the prime example of what I mean.
In any event, Rider blew the entire lead and then after going back up two, they got burned by a Justin Robinson three and it was game, set and match. Great win for Monmouth when it looked like they were dead, and a truly brutal beat for Rider.
I don’t know how the Broncs get fired up for this game. They’re going from the all-out effort and throughly demoralizing loss against the MAAC leaders to a rematch against a bottom feeder they already handled on the road just nine days ago. It’s always somewhat of a guess to assess what a team’s mindset is going to be, but I just can’t see Rider being razor sharp here. I might not be in love with the idea of taking the downtrodden Purple Eagles, but I feel as though this is a solid play against spot for the Broncs. I’ll take the double digits with Niagara.