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Italian Serie A TODAY 11:30
SassuolovInter
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT121/10

23/10

11/8

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KEY STAT: Inter have won just one of their last eight away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Mid-table Sassuolo have drawn six of their nine Serie A home games this season and can share the spoils against Inter, who are just a point better off in the standings. Inter have won just two away league games this season and may lack confidence after last last week's 1-0 defeat at home to Torino.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 11:30
FeyenoordvDen Haag
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS51/5

11/2

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KEY STAT: Feyenoord have won four of their last six home games 2-0 in all competitions

EXPERT VERDICT: Feyenoord are in red-hot form at the De Kuip stadium with eight victories and a draw from their last nine home games, while Den Haag have not won away all season. A home win is predictably short in the betting so consider backing Feyenoord to comfortably win the game by their favoured 2-0 scoreline.

RECOMMENDATION: Feyenoord to win 2-0
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French Division 1 TODAY 13:00
CaenvSt-Etienne
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ESPN5/2

21/10

5/4

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KEY STAT: St-Etienne have conceded only two goals in their last nine league games – an own goal and a penalty

EXPERT VERDICT: St-Etienne's 12-game unbeaten run in Ligue 1 came to an end last weekend as Zlatan Ibrahimovic's penalty earned PSG a 1-0 win. However, lowly Caen are far less intimidating opponents than PSG and St-Etienne should have few problems condemning their hosts to a seventh defeat in 11 home league matches.

RECOMMENDATION: St-Etienne
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Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 13:30
Vitesse Arn.vAjax
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS56/4

12/5

17/10

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KEY STAT: Vitesse have drawn five of their last ten league games

EXPERT VERDICT: Vitesse knocked Ajax out of the Dutch Cup just before Christmas, embarrassing the champions by winning 4-0 at the Amsterdam ArenA. While a repeat of that incredible scoreline is unlikely they the hosts can make life tough for Ajax again and Vitesse look value for a draw.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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Scottish League Cup TODAY 13:30
CelticvRangers
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BBC13/10

9/2

7

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KEY STAT: Celtic have failed to score in just two of the last 15 Old Firm matches

EXPERT VERDICT: The first Old Firm derby for nearly three years will be eagerly anticipated, but Celtic should be able to display their dominance in this League Cup semi-final at Hampden Park. The Bhoys have suffered just two domestic defeats this season and not conceded in any of their last five league games, so it will be difficult for Championship outfit Gers to break through against the Premiership champions.

RECOMMENDATION: Celtic-Celtic double result
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REFEREE: Craig Thomson STADIUM: Hampden Park, Glasgow

 

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English Premier TODAY 13:30
ArsenalvAston Villa
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KEY STAT: Arsenal have scored at least two goals in ten of their last 11 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal's return of 11 wins from 14 has gone a little unnoticed but their resurgence can continue with a routine victory against Aston Villa at the Emirates. Shot-shy Villa have scored only 11 Premier League goals this season so a home clean sheet looks likely, while the Gunners have the firepower to win cosily.

RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal to win 3-0
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REFEREE: Anthony Taylor STADIUM:

 
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Super Bowl XLIX's Best Player Prop Picks
By Sean Murphy

Passing yards

Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks): 219.5

I'm going with the Under as I had this number pegged in the 200 to 210 range.

While the Patriots will undoubtedly dare the Seahawks to beat them on the strength of Wilson's arm, I'm not convinced that Seattle will stray away from its preferred game plan. That means a heavy dose of Marshawn Lynch, and plenty of creative scramble plays from Wilson. Don't count on Wilson airing it out early and often, even if he does have a still-underrated receiving corps at his disposal.

That's not to say Wilson won't have an efficient game. I'm just not sure he has enough pass attempts to get over this yardage total, with the Pats limiting the number of “splash” plays through the air.

Take: Under

Rushing yards

LeGarrette Blount (New England Patriots): 64.5

While LeGarrette Blount has re-emerged as a significant contributor in the Patriots offense, don't expect him to go off against the Seahawks the way he did at the expense of the Colts two weeks ago.

The Seahawks defense will be focused on putting pressure on Tom Brady, but they won't do so at the expense of shutting down New England's running game. I'm confident we'll see the Seahawks camp out in the Pats backfield for much of the game. Blount will break off a couple of 10-yard runs, but little more in my opinion. He tops out in the 50s, giving us plenty of room to work with as this yardage total sits in the mid-60s.

Take: Under

Pass receptions

Julian Edelman (New England Patriots): 6.5

This might be the best value bet on the board in terms of player props.

Most consider Rob Gronkowski to be the biggest gamebreaker in the Patriots passing game, but Julian Edelman gives him a run for his money. We've seen Edelman take on an even greater role than usual in these playoffs, and with an extra week to prepare for a dominant Seahawks defense, I expect to see a big performance from the Pats’ most versatile receiver Sunday.

Note that Edelman has caught 17 passes in two playoff games. In fact, he's hauled in at least seven catches in each of his last six games played (he missed the final two games of the regular season).

Take: Over

 
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SBXLIX - Prop Predictions
VegasInsider

Sportsbook.ag, a major offshore betting outfit, has released hundreds of proposition wagers for Super Bowl XLIX between the Patriots and Seahawks.

Listed below, in no particular order, are 10 of the most wagered props at Sportsbook.ag.

Similar to past Super Bowls, we asked seven of our NFL analysts and handicappers to make a prediction on the 10 popular props.

1) Will Either Team Score 3 Straight Times w/o Other Team Scoring? YES (-160) NO (+140)
(Conversions Excluded)

Brian Edwards: NO
Chris David: YES
Kevin Rogers: YES
Joe Nelson: NO
Joe Williams: NO
Tony Mejia: NO
Matt Zylbert: NO

Consensus: NO

Quick Thoughts – Matt Zylbert: This Super Bowl encounter between the Patriots and Seahawks should be close, and perhaps more likely than not, may ultimately be decided by just one score in the final outcome. When a game is close, typically it consists of the back-and-forth variety, and with how talented both teams are, along with their usual sense of urgency that is on display for all 60 minutes of any given football game, it should be a tightly-contested affair. At the same time, it’s also ironic to take such a prop bet with these two specific teams, considering how both have established a reputation for being able to blow out any opponent, whether it be a bottom-feeder or an upper echelon organization, on any given Sunday, but on the surface, this really should be an even battle between two behemoths. In the process, it should create a very even ballgame, and if it’s back-and-forth as anticipated, that means no team will be able to build up a big lead at any point, which points to no team scoring three consecutive unanswered times. At +200, this definitely makes for an enticing bet.

2) Will there be a Safety? YES (+500) NO (-800)

Brian Edwards: YES
Chris David: NO
Kevin Rogers: NO
Joe Nelson: NO
Joe Williams: NO
Tony Mejia: NO
Matt Zylbert: NO

Consensus: NO

3) Will there be Overtime? YES (+500) NO (-800)

Brian Edwards: YES
Chris David: NO
Kevin Rogers: NO
Joe Nelson: NO
Joe Williams: NO
Tony Mejia:
Matt Zylbert: NO

Consensus: NO

4) Total Number of Different Patriots to have a Pass Reception? OVER 6.5 (-135) UNDER 6.5 (+105)
(Conversions Do Not Count)

Brian Edwards: OVER
Chris David: OVER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Joe Nelson: OVER
Joe Williams: OVER
Tony Mejia: OVER
Matt Zylbert: OVER

Consensus: OVER

Quick Thoughts – Tony Mejia: Tom Brady is a lock to get the ball to tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Tim Wright, receivers Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola, Brandon LaFell and running back Shane Vereen at least once. You have to figure the opportunity to flip it to LeGarrette Blount, Michael Hoomanawanui or an eligible offensive lineman should also present itself. Deep threat Brian Tyms might get a look. Eight Broncos caught passes against the Seahawks in last year’s Super Bowl despite a 43-8 defeat. Look for at least seven New England players to wind up with a catch and pay the juice.

5) Patriots - Total Rushing Yards: OVER 96.5 (-105) UNDER 96.5 (-125)

Brian Edwards: UNDER
Chris David: UNDER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Joe Nelson: OVER
Joe Williams: UNDER
Tony Mejia: UNDER
Matt Zylbert: OVER

Consensus: UNDER

Quick Thoughts – Kevin Rogers: The Seahawks' rushing defense allowed over 100 yards in each of their two playoff wins over Carolina and Green Bay. The Packers ran the ball to milk clock in the NFC title game with a sizable lead before blowing it. In last year's Super Bowl, Seattle jumped out to such a huge lead that Denver was forced to throw the ball. As long as the Seahawks can grab an early lead and force Brady to throw, Seattle can keep New England below this number.

6) Tom Brady - Total Passing Yards: OVER 265.5 (-115) UNDER 265.5 (-115)

Brian Edwards: OVER
Chris David: OVER
Kevin Rogers: OVER
Joe Nelson: OVER
Joe Williams: OVER
Tony Mejia: OVER
Matt Zylbert: OVER

Consensus: OVER

Quick Thoughts – Brian Edwards: I'm thinking close game. Although Brady went 'over' this number in only eight of 18 games, we have to consider that New England won nine games by 15 points or more. In those contests, the Pats were running the football and killing clock in the fourth quarter. That won't be the case Sunday night. This is my top prop.

7) LeGarrette Blount - Total Rushing Yards: OVER 62.5 (-115) UNDER 62.5 (-115)
(No Rush Attempt - Under is Winner)

Brian Edwards: UNDER
Chris David: UNDER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Joe Nelson: UNDER
Joe Williams: UNDER
Tony Mejia: UNDER
Matt Zylbert: OVER

Consensus: UNDER

8) Julian Edelman - Total Receptions: OVER 6.5 (-135) UNDER 6.5 (+105)
(No Receptions - Under is Winner)

Brian Edwards: UNDER
Chris David: OVER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Joe Nelson: UNDER
Joe Williams: OVER
Tony Mejia: UNDER
Matt Zylbert: UNDER

Consensus: UNDER

Quick Thoughts – Kevin Rogers: This number is boosted up because Edelman has picked up at least seven catches in each of the past six games. Seattle's pass defense is one of the top units in the league, as Brady will be forced to find other receivers, while the Seahawks didn't fare well against opposing tight ends, meaning Rob Gronkowski can steal some of Edelman's catches.

9) Russell Wilson - Total Rushing Yards: OVER 45.5 (-125) UNDER 45.5 (-105)
(No Rush Attempt - Under is Winner)

Brian Edwards: OVER
Chris David: OVER
Kevin Rogers: OVER
Joe Nelson: OVER
Joe Williams: OVER
Tony Mejia: UNDER
Matt Zylbert: OVER

Consensus: OVER

Quick Thoughts – Joe Nelson: Wilson has averaged just over 38 yards rushing per game in his career over 55 games, including seven playoff games. In each of his last five playoff games, he has failed to even hit that average mark, let alone this posted price. This game could feature more scrambling from Wilson as the Seahawks have obviously won the last five playoff games and with the exception of the NFC Championship two weeks ago, they have had leads early in most of those games. New England's offense seems likely to score some points in this game and the closer the game the more passing Seattle will do and the more rushing yards Wilson will have. Against New England, creativity is a requirement and there will likely be more zone-read looks from the Seahawks in the Super Bowl as well.

10) Marshawn Lynch - Total Rushing Yards: OVER 88.5 (-130) UNDER 88.5 (+100)
(No Rush Attempt - Under is Winner)

Brian Edwards: OVER
Chris David: OVER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Joe Nelson: UNDER
Joe Williams: UNDER
Tony Mejia: UNDER
Matt Zylbert: OVER

Consensus: UNDER

Quick Thoughts – Tony Mejia: There’s no question that Lynch is the key to this Super Bowl for Seattle, since possession and keeping the ball out of Tom Brady’s hands are points of emphasis in its game plan, but unless he breaks off multiple big runs, that number isn't going to be all that easy to attain. New England had the ninth-best run defense in the NFL this season and will be able to take some risks with run blitzes given the likelihood the Seahawks take the conservative approach early. Even the number, coming off a 157-yard effort in the NFC Championship, seems trap-ish. It wouldn't be surprising to see Pete Carroll mix in a healthy dose of Robert Turbin to complicate matters for over bettors.
 
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AccuScore Super Bowl Props Picks
By: Rohit Ghosh
AccuScore

After simulating the Super Bowl 10,000 times, AccuScore recommends the following prop bets for Sunday’s game between the Patriots and Seahawks:

Alternative point spread prop

Patriots +10.5 -450
Seahawks -10.5 +375

Recommendation: AccuScore gives Seattle about a 27 percent chance of covering a -10.5 spread, a forecast that translates to money-line odds of +270. A small wager on Seattle covering -10.5 is appealing, given the +375 line.

Player prop bets

Tom Brady: OVER 260.5 passing yards
Analysis: AccuScore projects Brady to throw for 295 yards. Even at -130 odds, OVER 260.5 yards for Brady is worth a play.

LeGarrette Blount: UNDER 62.5 rushing yards
Analysis: Blount is projected to carry the ball about 13 times, but he has just a 47 to 48 percent chance of going over 60 yards, making the UNDER a sensible pick.

Russell Wilson: UNDER 42.5 rushing yards
Analysis: AccuScore’s computer projects Wilson to rush just six times for 34 yards this Sunday. Considering the -105 vig on the UNDER and that there is a noticeable difference between the total and AccuScore’s projection, there is quite a bit of value on the UNDER here.

Doug Baldwin: OVER 54.5 receiving yards
Analysis: AccuScore projects Baldwin to finish with about 75 yards on five receptions. He has about a 64 percent chance of going OVER 55 receiving yards.

1st to pass TD: Russell Wilson +135
Analysis: Both Brady and Russell Wilson average similar TD numbers after AccuScore’s 10,000 simulations. Since the data projects similar numbers, picking who throws the first TD is basically a 50-50 bet. At +135, there’s better value in taking Wilson.
 
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Handicapper Super Bowl Props
By Tony George
Playbook

The NFL Finale is set for this Sunday in Glendale Arizona, as the New England Patriots are favored 1 point over the defending Champs, the Seattle Seahawks, and the Total is currently 47.5. Seattle opened as a 2.5 point favorite and was quickly bet down in Vegas to pick' em, and now the Pats are slightly favored, with the total dropping a half point after opening at 48. Bear in mind Super Bowl favorites have won 33 of the 48 Super Bowls played straight up.

An estimated $10 billion dollars is projected to be bet on the Super Bowl worldwide, and over HALF of American adults will have some money at risk for the game, and less than 1% of that total will be wagered legally in Nevada. Sure makes a case for legalized wagering and tax income for various states and the Feds, but that is another story. There is more than one way to have some action on the Super Bowl besides the side play or totals play or perhaps a game 2 team teaser, and I thought I would share some very solid prop bets from some top brand name sports handicappers I have on my site that in fact help you digest the game day nacho's and brats if your team is not covering the spread.

All prop bets are moneyline wagers, so you may have to wager $130 to win a $100 or vice versa, wager $100 to win $140. Here are some popular proposition bets currently available at all 7 CG Technology ran books in Las Vegas this weekend and the professional handicapper who likes them. These are not exotic wagers, like the coin flip or how long the national anthem is, but real player and team props you can sink your teeth into.

Joe DAmico

Will there be a Special Teams or defensive score in the game. Yes +160,

Gronkowski Total receptions -5.5 OVER-130,

Team with most QB sacks in game-Seattle +130,

Most FG's by NE- 1/2-OVER –130,

Will Marshawn Lynch score a TD-Yes -150,

Longest FG in game-44.5 yards- Over-115

Steve Rich

Will Al Michaels refer to the point spread, total, odds on who wins game or any prop bet? YES +200

Total receiving yards by Javon Kearse OVER 43.5 yards -110

Tony George

Julian Edelman first reception Over / Under 7.5 yards? OVER -120,

Total TD Passes by Tom Brady – OVER 2 at +130

Will Rob Gronkowski score a TD? YES -140.

Teddy Covers

LaGarrette Blount longest rush Over 13.5 -110

Ross Benjamin

Rob Gronkowski over 6-receptions (+105)

3 CONSENSUS PROP PICKS FROM THE CAPPERS

Will either team score three times in a row? NO (+120)

Russell Wilson will have UNDER 220.5 passing yards -110

CONSENSUS LONGSHOT – Play a half unit on a SAFETY – YES at +500
 
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Katy Perry...pretty girl..great legs..I watch this half-time show..volume down enjoy game today friends..another great season!
 

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday Ncaa Hoop Play
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Somebody buy Jimmy Boyd's superbowl play. His rolling I would but I
Already have tony apps and jack Jones plays.. Thanks in advance
 

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