Steve Duemig
Sunday sweep
30 Dime Panthers
It may not seem like a lot but sometimes a 1 point move means an awful lot. That is the case here with this division matchups that are always close between these two teams. Now we see the line move only one little point but is the way that we always like to see. In reverse ! Atlanta is catching 80% of the spread bets but yet the line has moved down towards the home team Panthers. That means some awfully big money is hitting the Panthers while the public is knocking down their favorite team in the Falcons. Look for the passing game of the Panthers to wake up in this one against a very raw Falcon secondary. Trust me, in this conference, only the Bucs should be catching point at home, no one else.
10 Dime Redskins
Since the Redskins have been so pathetic lately, it's been hard to notice the outstanding play of "big money" Albert Haynesworth. He can destroy a team's offense by himself. He is playing that well. This will also be the 3rd straight physical defense that Denver's offense will see, and they are coming off the dreaded Monday night game. They are working on a short week and they also have to come west to east. We also have our favorite play trigger. The reverse line move. Denver is getting 83 % of the spread bets, yet the spread has moved DOWN towards the Skins! ! It has moved a full point off the opener of 4.5 to 3.5 as of this writing. I fully expect this spread to move up once again as the public continues to pound Denver. When it starts to move back up to the opener grab the Skins and play with the smart money.
5 Dime Packers
Red hot America's team, the Dallas Cowboys versus a Green Bay team that lost to the Vikings and their former QB one week, and then did the impossible and loss to the Bucs!! Now everyone looks at GB as YUK. Good!! That's what we always look for, VALUE.
The line opened, DAL -1 and has moved up to the key number of 3. With Dallas getting 75% of the bets this is where the public has put it. So we are going to take a stand against the public here and bet against them. All we have to do is hope that Coach McCarthy can get through to Aaron Rogers to dump the ball off and quit taking sacks. He also has to straighten out the Special Teams as well. But we will grab the points here, and the value in the line