B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Chargers/Chiefs OVER 44(-105 at 5dimes)
San Diego has one explosive offense, but their defense is non-existent any more ever since injuries crushed this unit. That's why they have already played in several high-scoring affairs, especially their last two games when they lost to Pittsburgh 28-38 and to Denver 23-34. The Chargers are scoring 26.0 points/game on the road and allowing 29.0 points/game away from home. The Chiefs are giving up 24.0 points/game this season so look for San Diego to put up 30-plus Sunday. Kansas City will put up their best offensive performance of the year against the worst defense they have faced this season. The Chargers are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Chiefs are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Chargers are 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. San Diego is giving up 7.1 yards/attempt to opposing quarterbacks, but Phillip Rivers is averaging 7.8 yards/attempt himself so look for both teams to be able to move the ball at will through the air. The OVER is 5-1 in the Chargers' last 6 games overall and the OVER is 4-1 in the Chiefs' last 5 home games. Take the OVER 44 points here.
4* on Chargers/Chiefs OVER 44(-105 at 5dimes)
San Diego has one explosive offense, but their defense is non-existent any more ever since injuries crushed this unit. That's why they have already played in several high-scoring affairs, especially their last two games when they lost to Pittsburgh 28-38 and to Denver 23-34. The Chargers are scoring 26.0 points/game on the road and allowing 29.0 points/game away from home. The Chiefs are giving up 24.0 points/game this season so look for San Diego to put up 30-plus Sunday. Kansas City will put up their best offensive performance of the year against the worst defense they have faced this season. The Chargers are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Chiefs are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Chargers are 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. San Diego is giving up 7.1 yards/attempt to opposing quarterbacks, but Phillip Rivers is averaging 7.8 yards/attempt himself so look for both teams to be able to move the ball at will through the air. The OVER is 5-1 in the Chargers' last 6 games overall and the OVER is 4-1 in the Chiefs' last 5 home games. Take the OVER 44 points here.
LANG
Sunday's Selections ...
NOTE:
They flat out dominated Maryland.
Only once did Maryland drive the field all game, and even then they settled for a field goal. Their next field goal was set up by a Duke interception. Their only touchdown was on a 3rd and 18 screen pass from their own 33 that went for 67 yards for a touchdown.
Duke fumbled at the Maryland 30, going in for at least 3 points and lastly, how about a fumble at the Maryland 1 yard line to start the 4th quarter and for all intents and purposes, a push instead of a win.
So I move on to today and my 3rd straight 50 dime winner in the NFL. That is how good my 50 dime run has been in the NFL.
Not a bad 4-1-1 run with 50 dime releases. Not bad at all, but let's be honest with one another here, 5-1-1 is a whole lot better.
So let's get to it.
50 DIME - OAKLAND RAIDERS - Wouldn't suprise me if the Raiders knocked off the Jets exactly the way they did the Eagles.
Let's see, off a divisional home loss in OT, to traveling 3 time zones to the west coast, with a rookie QB who confidence is already shaky, facing an improving Oakland team without all pro nose guard Kris *******.
And the linesmaker sees fit to ask the Jets to cover a near touchdown?
Folks, this may sound really simple but if you can beat the Philadelphia Eagles and their offense at home, you can beat the Jets and a rookie QB as well. It really is simple as that.
I like the way this Raiders defense matches up with the Jets offense. Forget about the Raiders offense. That isn't the matchup that will determine this football game. It will be the Jets offense with young Mr. Sanchez at the helm versus the Raiders defense.
Folks, they made Donovan McNabb look very average. Very average. In fact they made the whole Eagles team look average and that was an Eagles team playing arguably their best ball of the year.
Now they get a Jets team playing perhaps their worst ball of the year and the bottom line is this as bad a situation the Jets could be possiby coming into. Simple as that.
For head coach Rex Ryan the honeymoon is over and the reality is setting in that I just don't have that good a football team.
My 50 dimer is the Raiders and I wouldn't be suprised to see the Raiders do exactly to the Jets what they did to the Eagles and that is win the game outright.
50 dime Raiders
15 DIME, 3-TEAM - 10-POINT TEASER - Going to have some fun today taking 10 points away from the Colts, Patriots and Steelers to prevent any crazy backdoor madness that may occur.
Let's start with the Colts coming off their bye week ready to just shred this Rams team much the way everyone else has. The Colts have put up over 30 points in their last 3 games and have beaten the Arizona Cardinals by 21 on the road and the Titans by 22 on the road.
There is nothing that leads me to believe they won't manhandle this Rams team by at least 17 points or more today.
All Colts teased down.
Same goes for the Patriots. They are getting a terrible Bucs team led by their head coach who resembles Gary Coleman from Different Strokes more so than a head coach in the NFL. Only difference is Mr. Drummond is nowhere in sight to help him.
I had New England 59-0 last week as a 15 dime winner, and I was impressed with how well their offense looked in the snow. For my dollar, Tom Brady and the Patriots are back.
Tease the Patriots down.
I don't see Bill Belichick taking this game lightly at all. He will do exactly what he did last week and that is win and win big. He wants his offense in rhythm, and his defense to get it going as well. I can't see how the Patriots don't win this game by 17 or more.
All Patriots teased down.
The Steelers are facing a Vikings team that has faced the Lions, Browns and Rams on the road. They should have lost to the Ravens and Niners at home, and maybe the Packers if not for 2 critical turnovers by Aaron Rodgers inside the Minnesota 20.
I see the Vikings as a 4-2 team or maybe even a 3-3 team, and when the smoke clears today, the Steelers will bring the Vikings down to earth. Simple as that. They are ripe to go down and with Winfield out for the Vikes, Big Ben will take advantage all day long.
All Steelers teased to get points.
10 DIME - CHICAGO BEARS - They are a very small dog here today but as of this writing the line is +1.
Fact of the matter is, I just don't think the this Bengals team is as good as everyone is making them out to be.
They are off 3 very emotional games with the Steelers, Ravens and Texans and now get a hungry Bears team off a tough loss to the Falcons.
Jay Cutler is looking much better running this Bears offense and as each week goes by the Bears offense is getting that much better.
Lastly, the underdog in every single Bengals game this year has covered the number and I have no problem grabbing this small dog to get it done once again.
Bears are 10 dime dog #1 today.
10 DIME - ATLANTA FALCONS -I don't care if the Cowboys are off a bye week, they are just not a good enough football team to be laying more than a field goal versus a team the caliber of the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons just seem to continue to find ways to win football games, and I love the way they match up across the board with this Dallas bunch.
This game will come down to which QB will be able to make plays, consistent plays and my money is on Matt Ryan.
I love the way this kid has been playing but more importantly, like the way they are calling the plays for him.
This is a game that will go down to the wire and getting 4 points is without question the way to go. I will force this Cowboy team to play 60 minutes of perfect football to cover this number.
For the most part they haven't been able to do this with any consistency and that has been their problem under Wade Phillips.
I am going to war with the Falcons plus some really nice points this afternoon in Big D.
10 DIME - MIAMI DOLPHINS - This game reminds me of the Super Bowl between the Giants and the Bills. You remember that one don't you? Norwood miss.
Funny thing is, you remember what the line was for that game? Yup, Bills -6 1/2. Hmmmm.
You remember the head coach for the Giants? Yup, Parcells, now the GM of the Dolphins.
The key to that game was time of possession. The Giants kept Jim Kelly on the sidelines holding the ball for 39 minutes and it was the key to the victory for Bill Parcells and his Giants.
Trust me, with a bye week to help his head coach prepare for this Saints offense and the gameplan will be exactly as it was against Peyton Manning and the Colts. Keep Brees sitting on the sidelines.
Give the Saints credit they are winning impressively but really against who? Nobody who will attack you in the manner in which the Dolphins will.
In my opinion the best team in the NFL is the Colts, and Miami took them to the wire, which is exactly what I feel they will do here.
And the cherry on top of the Sunday is they catch the Saints in the ultimate flat spot off the big win over the Giants.
Wouldn't suprise me if the Dolphins shocked the world and won this game outright.
10 DIME - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - The San Diego Chargers shouldn't be laying points against anybody right now. Simple as that. They are as poorly coached as any team in the NFL.
Their offensive line is in shambles and coming off the home loss to Denver, a game they had 2 weeks to prepare for, well let's just say they are in for a long afternoon versus the Chiefs.
Kansas City just keeps getting better each week under head coach Todd Haley, who I feel will coach circles around Norv Turner today.
I used the Chiefs as a dog over the Cowboys and they didn't let me down, and I feel today they are a very live dog versus a Chargers team that just can't seem to find themselves.
Chiefs played the Chargers very tough last year losing both games by a single point and have actually covered 5 of the last 7 meetings, and 3 of the last 4 at home.
You throw in a 1-4 road chalk run for the Chargers and this adds up to another Chiefs home cover and possible outright upset.
All over Kansas City again today.
FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA CARDINALS
Sunday's Selections ...
NOTE:
They flat out dominated Maryland.
Only once did Maryland drive the field all game, and even then they settled for a field goal. Their next field goal was set up by a Duke interception. Their only touchdown was on a 3rd and 18 screen pass from their own 33 that went for 67 yards for a touchdown.
Duke fumbled at the Maryland 30, going in for at least 3 points and lastly, how about a fumble at the Maryland 1 yard line to start the 4th quarter and for all intents and purposes, a push instead of a win.
So I move on to today and my 3rd straight 50 dime winner in the NFL. That is how good my 50 dime run has been in the NFL.
Not a bad 4-1-1 run with 50 dime releases. Not bad at all, but let's be honest with one another here, 5-1-1 is a whole lot better.
So let's get to it.
50 DIME - OAKLAND RAIDERS - Wouldn't suprise me if the Raiders knocked off the Jets exactly the way they did the Eagles.
Let's see, off a divisional home loss in OT, to traveling 3 time zones to the west coast, with a rookie QB who confidence is already shaky, facing an improving Oakland team without all pro nose guard Kris *******.
And the linesmaker sees fit to ask the Jets to cover a near touchdown?
Folks, this may sound really simple but if you can beat the Philadelphia Eagles and their offense at home, you can beat the Jets and a rookie QB as well. It really is simple as that.
I like the way this Raiders defense matches up with the Jets offense. Forget about the Raiders offense. That isn't the matchup that will determine this football game. It will be the Jets offense with young Mr. Sanchez at the helm versus the Raiders defense.
Folks, they made Donovan McNabb look very average. Very average. In fact they made the whole Eagles team look average and that was an Eagles team playing arguably their best ball of the year.
Now they get a Jets team playing perhaps their worst ball of the year and the bottom line is this as bad a situation the Jets could be possiby coming into. Simple as that.
For head coach Rex Ryan the honeymoon is over and the reality is setting in that I just don't have that good a football team.
My 50 dimer is the Raiders and I wouldn't be suprised to see the Raiders do exactly to the Jets what they did to the Eagles and that is win the game outright.
50 dime Raiders
15 DIME, 3-TEAM - 10-POINT TEASER - Going to have some fun today taking 10 points away from the Colts, Patriots and Steelers to prevent any crazy backdoor madness that may occur.
Let's start with the Colts coming off their bye week ready to just shred this Rams team much the way everyone else has. The Colts have put up over 30 points in their last 3 games and have beaten the Arizona Cardinals by 21 on the road and the Titans by 22 on the road.
There is nothing that leads me to believe they won't manhandle this Rams team by at least 17 points or more today.
All Colts teased down.
Same goes for the Patriots. They are getting a terrible Bucs team led by their head coach who resembles Gary Coleman from Different Strokes more so than a head coach in the NFL. Only difference is Mr. Drummond is nowhere in sight to help him.
I had New England 59-0 last week as a 15 dime winner, and I was impressed with how well their offense looked in the snow. For my dollar, Tom Brady and the Patriots are back.
Tease the Patriots down.
I don't see Bill Belichick taking this game lightly at all. He will do exactly what he did last week and that is win and win big. He wants his offense in rhythm, and his defense to get it going as well. I can't see how the Patriots don't win this game by 17 or more.
All Patriots teased down.
The Steelers are facing a Vikings team that has faced the Lions, Browns and Rams on the road. They should have lost to the Ravens and Niners at home, and maybe the Packers if not for 2 critical turnovers by Aaron Rodgers inside the Minnesota 20.
I see the Vikings as a 4-2 team or maybe even a 3-3 team, and when the smoke clears today, the Steelers will bring the Vikings down to earth. Simple as that. They are ripe to go down and with Winfield out for the Vikes, Big Ben will take advantage all day long.
All Steelers teased to get points.
10 DIME - CHICAGO BEARS - They are a very small dog here today but as of this writing the line is +1.
Fact of the matter is, I just don't think the this Bengals team is as good as everyone is making them out to be.
They are off 3 very emotional games with the Steelers, Ravens and Texans and now get a hungry Bears team off a tough loss to the Falcons.
Jay Cutler is looking much better running this Bears offense and as each week goes by the Bears offense is getting that much better.
Lastly, the underdog in every single Bengals game this year has covered the number and I have no problem grabbing this small dog to get it done once again.
Bears are 10 dime dog #1 today.
10 DIME - ATLANTA FALCONS -I don't care if the Cowboys are off a bye week, they are just not a good enough football team to be laying more than a field goal versus a team the caliber of the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons just seem to continue to find ways to win football games, and I love the way they match up across the board with this Dallas bunch.
This game will come down to which QB will be able to make plays, consistent plays and my money is on Matt Ryan.
I love the way this kid has been playing but more importantly, like the way they are calling the plays for him.
This is a game that will go down to the wire and getting 4 points is without question the way to go. I will force this Cowboy team to play 60 minutes of perfect football to cover this number.
For the most part they haven't been able to do this with any consistency and that has been their problem under Wade Phillips.
I am going to war with the Falcons plus some really nice points this afternoon in Big D.
10 DIME - MIAMI DOLPHINS - This game reminds me of the Super Bowl between the Giants and the Bills. You remember that one don't you? Norwood miss.
Funny thing is, you remember what the line was for that game? Yup, Bills -6 1/2. Hmmmm.
You remember the head coach for the Giants? Yup, Parcells, now the GM of the Dolphins.
The key to that game was time of possession. The Giants kept Jim Kelly on the sidelines holding the ball for 39 minutes and it was the key to the victory for Bill Parcells and his Giants.
Trust me, with a bye week to help his head coach prepare for this Saints offense and the gameplan will be exactly as it was against Peyton Manning and the Colts. Keep Brees sitting on the sidelines.
Give the Saints credit they are winning impressively but really against who? Nobody who will attack you in the manner in which the Dolphins will.
In my opinion the best team in the NFL is the Colts, and Miami took them to the wire, which is exactly what I feel they will do here.
And the cherry on top of the Sunday is they catch the Saints in the ultimate flat spot off the big win over the Giants.
Wouldn't suprise me if the Dolphins shocked the world and won this game outright.
10 DIME - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - The San Diego Chargers shouldn't be laying points against anybody right now. Simple as that. They are as poorly coached as any team in the NFL.
Their offensive line is in shambles and coming off the home loss to Denver, a game they had 2 weeks to prepare for, well let's just say they are in for a long afternoon versus the Chiefs.
Kansas City just keeps getting better each week under head coach Todd Haley, who I feel will coach circles around Norv Turner today.
I used the Chiefs as a dog over the Cowboys and they didn't let me down, and I feel today they are a very live dog versus a Chargers team that just can't seem to find themselves.
Chiefs played the Chargers very tough last year losing both games by a single point and have actually covered 5 of the last 7 meetings, and 3 of the last 4 at home.
You throw in a 1-4 road chalk run for the Chargers and this adds up to another Chiefs home cover and possible outright upset.
All over Kansas City again today.
FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA CARDINALS
