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Sunday 10/08/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:46 PM EASTERN POST
Flower Bowl Stakes
10.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF GRADE I FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE
#1 GRAND JETE
#4 ZHUKOVA
#3 DACITA
#6 GUILTY TWELVE
This race honors the career of Flower Bowl, who certainly was an outstanding broodmare. Bred and raced by Isabel Dodge Sloane's Brookmeade Stable, she was out of the mare Flower Bed and sired by the unraced British stallion Alibhai, who became a significant sire in the United States of other good runners such as 1954 Kentucky Derby winner Determine, the 1958 American Champion Older Female Horse Bornastar, plus Your Host and Traffic Judge, among others. Conditioned for racing by U.S. Racing Hall of Fame trainer Preston Burch, Flower Bowl was an excellent runner at longer distances. She notably won the then richest race for female horses, the 10.0 furlongs Delaware Handicap, and then the 12.0 furlong Ladies Handicap at Belmont Park. Here in the 40th running of The Bowl, #1 GRAND JETE, a British bred entry, is the overall speed and pace profile leader, and has hit the board in each of her last four outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back. Jockey Javier Castellano and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post for the "Sunday Feature" ... they've hit the board with 58% of more than 260 entries saddled as a team to date. #4 ZHUKOVA, who was bred in Ireland, has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" in her last five outings overall, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back.
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:46 PM EASTERN POST
Flower Bowl Stakes
10.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF GRADE I FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE
#1 GRAND JETE
#4 ZHUKOVA
#3 DACITA
#6 GUILTY TWELVE
This race honors the career of Flower Bowl, who certainly was an outstanding broodmare. Bred and raced by Isabel Dodge Sloane's Brookmeade Stable, she was out of the mare Flower Bed and sired by the unraced British stallion Alibhai, who became a significant sire in the United States of other good runners such as 1954 Kentucky Derby winner Determine, the 1958 American Champion Older Female Horse Bornastar, plus Your Host and Traffic Judge, among others. Conditioned for racing by U.S. Racing Hall of Fame trainer Preston Burch, Flower Bowl was an excellent runner at longer distances. She notably won the then richest race for female horses, the 10.0 furlongs Delaware Handicap, and then the 12.0 furlong Ladies Handicap at Belmont Park. Here in the 40th running of The Bowl, #1 GRAND JETE, a British bred entry, is the overall speed and pace profile leader, and has hit the board in each of her last four outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back. Jockey Javier Castellano and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post for the "Sunday Feature" ... they've hit the board with 58% of more than 260 entries saddled as a team to date. #4 ZHUKOVA, who was bred in Ireland, has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" in her last five outings overall, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back.
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Belterra Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 71
Rating: 4
#6 BIG BOB KENNEDY (ML=7/2)
BIG BOB KENNEDY - I think the shorter trip will help this colt stay the trip.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 HEART SHAPED BOX (ML=2/1), #8 VALID BLUE (ML=9/2), #4 MIZZING FRAZIER (ML=5/1),
HEART SHAPED BOX - The Brain tells me to keep away from ponies in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance events lately. That was simply not a very good display in the last clash. VALID BLUE - Speed kills. Plenty of zip in this race compromises this horse's dreams at winning. MIZZING FRAZIER - This animal doesn't have a winning temperament. Habitually finishes near the winner. This entrant hasn't been close at the finish line of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 BIG BOB KENNEDY to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Belterra Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 71
Rating: 4
#6 BIG BOB KENNEDY (ML=7/2)
BIG BOB KENNEDY - I think the shorter trip will help this colt stay the trip.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 HEART SHAPED BOX (ML=2/1), #8 VALID BLUE (ML=9/2), #4 MIZZING FRAZIER (ML=5/1),
HEART SHAPED BOX - The Brain tells me to keep away from ponies in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance events lately. That was simply not a very good display in the last clash. VALID BLUE - Speed kills. Plenty of zip in this race compromises this horse's dreams at winning. MIZZING FRAZIER - This animal doesn't have a winning temperament. Habitually finishes near the winner. This entrant hasn't been close at the finish line of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 BIG BOB KENNEDY to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 4:37pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: 4
#4 DREAMY MARTINI (ML=8/1)
#2 LIL'S FAST BOY (ML=4/1)
DREAMY MARTINI - Biancone brings this gelding back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his gelding is on top of his game. Santana comes to ride again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. No needing to look any further. This horse has my money. Way too much pace. This gelding is in fine condition, having run a nice race on Sep 30th, finishing third. LIL'S FAST BOY - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class ability to make his presence felt. This thoroughbred collects a lot of dough per race around the track. I believe he can increase that total right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 GADSBY TAVERN (ML=5/2), #6 QUENANE (ML=3/1), #1 FUELEDBYDRAMA (ML=6/1),
GADSBY TAVERN - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance races. No picnic to bet on him in this race. QUENANE - Difficult to bet on this steed this time. Make him show you something in a short distance race before you play him in a race of 7 furlongs. FUELEDBYDRAMA - Only beat maiden claimers last race out. It's going to be very tough for this mount to repeat versus winners. Recorded a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time out in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 20th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DREAMY MARTINI - Has been racing regularly since a layoff. Based on my data, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this horse in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 DREAMY MARTINI to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $10
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [1,3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6] Total Cost: $48
Bar
Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 4:37pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: 4
#4 DREAMY MARTINI (ML=8/1)
#2 LIL'S FAST BOY (ML=4/1)
DREAMY MARTINI - Biancone brings this gelding back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his gelding is on top of his game. Santana comes to ride again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. No needing to look any further. This horse has my money. Way too much pace. This gelding is in fine condition, having run a nice race on Sep 30th, finishing third. LIL'S FAST BOY - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class ability to make his presence felt. This thoroughbred collects a lot of dough per race around the track. I believe he can increase that total right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 GADSBY TAVERN (ML=5/2), #6 QUENANE (ML=3/1), #1 FUELEDBYDRAMA (ML=6/1),
GADSBY TAVERN - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance races. No picnic to bet on him in this race. QUENANE - Difficult to bet on this steed this time. Make him show you something in a short distance race before you play him in a race of 7 furlongs. FUELEDBYDRAMA - Only beat maiden claimers last race out. It's going to be very tough for this mount to repeat versus winners. Recorded a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time out in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 20th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DREAMY MARTINI - Has been racing regularly since a layoff. Based on my data, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this horse in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 DREAMY MARTINI to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $10
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [1,3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6] Total Cost: $48
The Walker Group at Hastings Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 96
BALLERINA S. - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION BY SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017, WITH $1,500 TO ENTER AND $2,000 TO START. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $5,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT THE TIME OF ENTRY IN ADDITION TO THE RACES NOMINATION, ENTRY AND START FEES. 100% OF ALL SUPPLEMENTAL MONIES WILL BE
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 SHE'S A WARRIOR 9/5
# 2 CITIZEN KITTY 5/2
# 7 VICTRESS 9/2
SHE'S A WARRIOR has a competitive shot to take this race. The average class rating of 90 makes this entrant tough to beat. Has recorded reliable speed figures in dirt route races in the past. Gutierrez has an excellent return on investment over the past 30 days (+13) which should help players with this choice. CITIZEN KITTY - Has to be considered against this group displaying strong figures recently and an average speed rating of 95 under similar conditions. This conditioner has the most favorable ROI in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. VICTRESS - Could provide positive dividends based on strong recent speed figures with an average of 88.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 96
BALLERINA S. - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION BY SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017, WITH $1,500 TO ENTER AND $2,000 TO START. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $5,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT THE TIME OF ENTRY IN ADDITION TO THE RACES NOMINATION, ENTRY AND START FEES. 100% OF ALL SUPPLEMENTAL MONIES WILL BE
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 SHE'S A WARRIOR 9/5
# 2 CITIZEN KITTY 5/2
# 7 VICTRESS 9/2
SHE'S A WARRIOR has a competitive shot to take this race. The average class rating of 90 makes this entrant tough to beat. Has recorded reliable speed figures in dirt route races in the past. Gutierrez has an excellent return on investment over the past 30 days (+13) which should help players with this choice. CITIZEN KITTY - Has to be considered against this group displaying strong figures recently and an average speed rating of 95 under similar conditions. This conditioner has the most favorable ROI in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. VICTRESS - Could provide positive dividends based on strong recent speed figures with an average of 88.
