Sunday 10/04/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB ADDITIONAL

Sunday, October 4

Trend Report

1:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
Chi White Sox are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY METS
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

1:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home

1:35 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Boston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

1:35 PM
FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Philadelphia is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

1:35 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:38 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

2:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

2:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
St. Louis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee

2:20 PM
ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

4:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
LA Angels are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Oakland is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels

4:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 4-13 SU in their last 17 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games

4:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (-114, 9.5)

The Blue Jays have shown some fight in the final days of the season, going 8-2 in their last 10 games heading into Saturday.

That fighting spirit doesn’t end on the field – or with the Baltimore Orioles. Things are getting nasty in the Blue Jays’ clubhouse.

Early Saturday morning, reports came out the GM J.P. Ricciardi was axed after a season full of questionable moves and roster decisions. But the upheaval doesn’t end there. Players are on the edge of mutiny and are asking for the head of manager Cito Gaston.

“You hate for anything like this to come out, but we’ll have to deal with it,” second baseman Aaron Hill told the Globe and Mail. “I think there are some things that need to be addressed, yes.

“I think everybody pretty much feels the same, for the most part.”

Players met with interim CEO Paul Beeston before Saturday’s game to voice their opinions on the franchise’s current direction.

"I've treated everybody with respect, so I'm not sure what their bitch is," Gaston told reporters.

With all the talk of offseason questions, Sunday’s finale is the last thing on Toronto’s mind.

Pick: Baltimore -114


Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds (-174, 8.5)

When you’re as bad as the Pirates, small victories can seem like a World Series win.

The Bucs avoided a 100-loss season with a 3-1 win over the Reds Friday, giving Pittsburgh its third straight win and fifth W in its last six games.

Following that victory, the Pirates celebrated their avoidance of the century loss mark just like those clubs clinching playoff spots – dousing each other in beer. Rookie pitcher Daniel McCutchen got the worst of the booze bath after pitching over six solid innings for the win.

"None of us wanted that," third baseman Andy LaRoche told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. "I know it's not something to be proud of, not getting to 100 losses, but we're still playing some pretty good baseball, and that's the most important thing."

The Bucs look to ride this momentum into Sunday’s finale. Pittsburgh has won five of its last six season finales going back to 2003.

Pick: Pittsburgh +166

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Homer Bailey, Cincinnati Reds

Being tagged with the name “Homer” would seem like a voodoo curse for a major league pitcher. However, Bailey has shunned his namesake and performed well down the homestretch of the season.

The Reds' righty is 2-0 in his last three starts, posting a 1.35 ERA and a strikeout-to-walk count of 15-to-6 in that span. His most recent start was a seven-inning gem in which Bailey gave up just one run on seven hits while striking out seven batters in a win over the St. Louis Cardinals.

A.J. Burnett, New York Yankees

With the Yankees’ top arms rounding into form just in time for October, a return to glory is very possible for the Bronx Bombers. Burnett, one of the big offseason acquisitions, is rolling into the postseason.

The left-hander has allowed just four runs in his last three starts, going 1-0 in that stretch. Burnett has whiffed 20 batters in those 19 innings and owns an ERA south of 2.00.


Slumping

Luke Hochevar, Kansas City Royals

The Royals' righty has just one win since the end of July, which came two weeks ago against the Chicago White Sox. That complete-game shutout is a diamond in Hochevar’s second-half rough. He’s followed that gem with two horrible outings.

Hochevar has given up 14 runs in his last two starts including serving up eight runs, 12 hits – two home runs – in six innings against the Yankees Monday. He has given up five or more runs in five of his last six starts.

Scott Feldman, Texas Rangers

Feldman is running on empty heading into the final day of the 2009 season. His recent outings have lasted under four innings, but that hasn’t limited the right-hander's ability to give up big runs.

Feldman allowed 11 earned runs in just seven innings of work last week. While he has 17 wins on the year, Feldman has just one W in his last four starts.

 

[mjag21]

anyone see dr. bob yet? He has one best bet and two strong opinions

 

[pipdelight]

Wow!

I just love websites like the ones listed above. They really want to give you hope even if it is a bunch of BS. Imagine life time 89% win ATS. At one of the sites the record for NFL is 24 - 0. For $50 you can buy today's picks with a guarantee that you will win at least 3 out of 5 picks or they will send you $500 cash by monday!

My guess is that these are newly created websites attempting to get as many suckers this weekend as they can. It takes only one of us the get the plays and expose the truth today.

I guess that's $50 less to bet with.

 

[pb8915]

Dr bob

Any dr bob

 

[Ol-G-Parker]

Any dr bob

Shocked to not see Dr. Bob on the first page

He has plays on these games. Not sure which team he is backing.

Raiders and Texans
Buffalo and Miami
Chargers and Steelers

 

[sdf]

Shocked to not see Dr. Bob on the first page

He has plays on these games. Not sure which team he is backing.

Raiders and Texans
Buffalo and Miami
Chargers and Steelers

he has to be on Oak and Miami....not sure on the 3rd game

 

[gsad]

Anyone know Brian Marshall from LV sports investment?

 

[bktoy97]

Frank Patron 20000 Unit Nfl Lock
Frank Patron
20000 Unit Nfl Lock
New Orleans Saints -7.5

 

[METFAN]

SANDWICH FOR CLEVELAND?????????:think2:

CINCY HAD A LAST 2ND WIN VS STEELERS LAST WEEK AND NEXT WEEK PLAY THE RAVEMS!!!!!!!!!

WAKE UP DUDEhno:

 

[BUCKYSPORTS]

Bob Valentino 30 DIME NFL Sunday Winner ... 30 DIME: STEELERS (minus the points vs. Chargers)

NOTE: This number is currently at Pittsburgh -6 1/2. Because 6 is a key number in the NFL (especially if overtime comes into play), I want you to buy the half-pont and lay -6 with the Steelers.

As always, shop around for the best number you can get. Don't ever lay more points on a favorite than you have to or take back less points with an underdog than are available

 

[LocksRus]

Wow, the guys over at gametimeplays have some strong opinions today. Al Demarco is a must.

 

[sdf]

Wow, the guys over at gametimeplays have some strong opinions today. Al Demarco is a must.

of course they do. if they didnt, you wouldnt want to buy them. that's why they are called TOUTS

 

[LocksRus]

of course they do. if they didnt, you wouldnt want to buy them. that's why they are called TOUTS

I follow these guys and they don't always have plays this big.

 

[bktoy97]

Hank Goldberg ESPN:

Tenn 20-10
Balt 24-20
New Orleans 34-13
Miami 19-13
Indy 31-13
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[bktoy97]

Seabass

20 tease nyg, Stl under

30 Ten Over
50 Ten
50 Clev
50 Was
50 Det
100 Dal

100 steam seahawks<!-- / message -->

 

[bktoy97]

Dr. Bob writing

NFL Best Bet Sides

2 Star Selection
Oakland (+9) 23 HOUSTON 24
04-Oct-09 10:00 AM Pacific Time
I can't think of many times that I've seen worse quarterbacking from an NFL quarterback than what I've seen from the Raiders' JaMarcus Russell the last two weeks. Russell has had troubles completing even short passes and has managed just 141 pass yards at 2.8 yards per pass play against the Chiefs and Broncos. The Raiders actually beat the Chiefs when Russell suddenly got his act together to lead a game winning touchdown drive and he looked pretty good against the Chargers in week 1 (6.8 yppp including a beautiful 4th down bomb for a TD). Russell is not as bad as he's been the last two weeks, but his lifetime 52% completion percentage (41% this year) and 5.2 yppp average are still among the worst among NFL starters (especially now that Brady Quinn is out of a job in Cleveland). However, despite how poorly Russell has played so far this season the math using this year's games only would favor Houston by just 8 points in this game and it's pretty reasonable to think that Russell won't be as bad going forward as he's been so far this season. Russell should certainly have better numbers today against a bad Houston secondary that's given up 7.3 yppp to a collection of sub-par quarterbacks that would combine to average only 5.8 yppp against an average team. More importantly, Russell probably won't have to do much for the Raiders to move the ball since their collection of talented backs should have an easy time running against a Texans' defensive front that has allowed an average of 208 rushing yards at 6.6 ypr in their first 3 games. Russell is much better when he's got a running attack to rely on (his only good game against San Diego was also the only game in which the Raiders ran the ball well). Overall, the Raiders have been 1.1 yards per play worse than average offensively (4.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) while Houston's defense has been 1.7 yppl worse than average (7.0 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average just 5.3 yppl against an average defensive team) - so the Raiders actually have an advantage when they have the ball.

Houston's offense also has an advantage, as the Texans have averaged a healthy 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow just 4.9 yppl to an average attack. That unit is going up against a solid Raiders' defense that has been average on the season (5.3 yppl against teams that would average 5.3 yppl) and has the league's best shutdown cornerback in Nnamdi Asomugha to slow down perhaps the league's best receiver Andre Johnson. Johnson was held to just 2 catches for 19 yards by Asomugha in last season's 27-16 Raiders' upset win as a 7 point dog, he didn't play in the 2007 meeting, and was held to just 1 catch for 9 yards by Oakland's All-Pro corner in the 2006 game. Slowing down Johnson again would give the Raiders a good chance to win this game and they are certainly capable of keeping this game competitive.

My ratings favor Houston by just 6 1/2 points in this game and as I mentioned earlier the math would favor the Texans by only 8 points using this year's games only (i.e. if Russell continues to play below his normal poor standards). In addition to the line value the Raiders apply to a very strong 72-18-1 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation and week 4 home favorites are just 26-57-1 ATS if they enter the game with a losing record, including 7-32-1 ATS when laying more than 5 points. I'll take Oakland in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 3-Stars at +10.
NFL Strong Opinions

Buffalo (-2.0) 23 MIAMI 16
04-Oct-09 01:05 PM Pacific Time
My 2-Star play on Miami Under 7 1/2 wins is looking pretty good so far and the Dolphins now are without starting quarterback Chad Pennington. Pennington wasn't having a good season (69% completions, but just 5.6 yards per attempt and 4.8 yards per pass play), but new starter Chad Henne has completed only 55% of his 31 career passes for just 5.1 ypa. Miami has been out-gained 4.7 yards per play to 6.2 yppl and I still don't think that perception has caught up with reality concerning the Dolphins. Buffalo is a decent team that has averaged 5.4 yppl and allowed 5.5 yppl against a slightly tougher than average schedule and they beat up on the only bad team they faced - a 33-20 win over Tampa Bay. My ratings favor Buffalo by 3 points in this game and the Bills apply to a solid 176-95-5 ATS statistical match-up indicator. I'll consider Buffalo a Strong Opinion at -2 1/2 or less
San Diego (+6.5) 21 PITTSBURGH 22
04-Oct-09 05:20 PM Pacific Time
Pittsburgh is not as good as they were last season, as the defense hasn't been as good without star S Troy Polamalu. The Steelers are still better than average defensively, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average stop unit, but the Chargers have an attack that is 0.4 yppl better than average and they should have decent success in this game even if LaDanian Tomlinson is out again this week. Pittsburgh's offense has been surprisingly good so far, averaging 5.5 yppl against 3 good defensive teams (Tennessee, Chicago, and Cincy) and the Chargers are just mediocre defensively. The possible absence of Shawne Merriman (questionable with a groin injury) doesn't concern me given that Merriman's level of play is average at best so far this season (just 6 tackles with zero sacks and zero passes broken up). My ratings favor Pittsburgh by 5 1/2 points in this game, but assuming that the Steelers are bound to play well because they're motivated by their 1-2 record is simply wrong. In fact, week 4 home favorites are just 26-57-1 ATS if they enter the game with a losing record, including 7-32-1 ATS when laying more than 5 points. That includes a 3-16-1 ATS mark if the home favorite was a 10-6 or better the previous season. San Diego has as much talent as any team in the AFC and the Chargers tend to play their best when they need to, which explains why they are 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. I'll consider San Diego a Strong Opinion at +6 points or more
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[bktoy97]

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25 dime Ravens
25 dime lions
25 dime Bengals
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[BigCoorsLight]

Whats the site with the paid picks - I cleared my history.

Win now? I know it's not that though


are you looking for youwinnow?