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Preview: Packers (10-6) at Redskins (9-7)

Date: January 10, 2016 4:40 PM EDT

While the Green Bay Packers hope the playoffs present an opportunity to start anew, the Washington Redskins would like to ride their late-season push for as long as possible.

The performances of both quarterbacks have mirrored their team's fate down the stretch as Aaron Rodgers has looked human while Kirk Cousins has played like an All-Pro.

As the Packers try avoid losing three in a row twice in the same season for the first time in seven years, the surging Redskins seek their first postseason victory in 10 years Sunday in an NFC wild-card game at FedEx Field.

Green Bay was considered one of the conference's top contenders after winning its first six games. Now it's stumbling into the playoffs with six losses in its last 10, and things could have been worse if not for a Hail Mary on the final play against Detroit in Week 13.

The Packers are focused on forgetting about the end of the regular season after coughing up an opportunity for a fifth straight NFC North title in last Sunday's 20-13 loss to Minnesota. They haven't lost three straight twice since 2008, the only time they missed the playoffs in the past nine seasons.

'I think it helps everybody, but you have to be realistic with fresh starts. I think you have to have fresh starts for the right reasons,' coach Mike McCarthy said. 'The things that we've done wrong are just as important as the things we've done right. It's what we need to focus on because when you win, you can't just sweep the things you didn't do right until the rug.'

Rodgers completed 28 of 44 passes for 291 yards with one touchdown and one interception while getting sacked five times last weekend. The two-time MVP hasn't thrown for more than two scores in a career-high eight straight while also turning the ball over eight times in his last six.

Rodgers finished with his lowest completion percentage (60.7) since 2006 and his lowest passer rating (92.7) since '08. He'll try to get on track while helping the Packers (10-6) avoid a fourth loss in five playoff games since winning three straight road games and the Super Bowl after the 2010 season.

The five-time Pro Bowler, though, has been sacked 13 times in his last two games. That has to be a concern against a Washington team that has racked up 14 sacks over its past three.

Green Bay was 23rd in the league with 334.6 total yards per game, its lowest average since 2005.

'I think you have to remember, (Rodgers is) a great player. He wants the ball in his hands and when things break down he's going to make things happen,' McCarthy said. 'But also the risk and exposure he's put to is unacceptable to myself. And he knows that.'

Cousins certainly doesn't want to wipe the slate clean after leading the Redskins (9-7) to their longest winning streak in three years en route to the NFC East crown. Since Week 7, the fourth-year pro leads the league in completion percentage (72.4) and passer rating (119.1) to go along with 23 touchdown passes and only three interceptions.

He's also thrown for 11 scores without a pick over his last three games, completing 12 of 15 for 176 yards and three touchdowns before sitting down in last Sunday's 34-23 win at Dallas.

Jordan Reed has emerged as Cousins' top target with 29 receptions for 378 yards and five touchdowns in his last four games. Pierre Garcon has a scoring grab in each of his last three.

The Redskins, who have won six of their past seven home games, haven't won a postseason contest since beating Tampa Bay 17-10 on the road in the wild-card round at the end of the 2005 season. However, they're seeking their first victory this season over a team that finished above .500.

'If you start saying, `This is the biggest game of your life,' you don't want people to get too tense around here,' coach Jay Gruden said. 'I think you have to prepare like you've been preparing.'

Washington has averaged 35.7 points and 428.7 total yards over its past three games, though Green Bay ranks sixth in the NFL against the pass with 227.6 yards allowed per game. The Packers held Minnesota's Teddy Bridgewater to a career-low 99 yards through the air last weekend.

'Obviously a proven football team over there, with a lot of playoff experience,' Gruden added. 'We're going to really have to up our game.'

Green Bay might want to get Eddie Lacy going against the Redskins, who ranked 26th against the run with 122.6 yards allowed per game. Lacy, however, averaged 39 yards on 3.3 per carry in the final three and Washington held opponents to 100 rushing yards or fewer in five of its last six.

The Redskins are banged-up on that side of the ball. Safety Kyshoen Jarrett is out because of a nerve issue affecting his arm, but cornerback Dashaun Phillips may try to play through a stinger.

The Packers have won five of the past six games in this series. In the most recent, Rodgers threw for a career-high 480 yards with four touchdowns in a 38-20 home win in September 2013.

This is the first playoff matchup since Washington's 16-3 divisional home win on Dec. 24, 1972.
 
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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Wild Card Weekend
By JASON LOGAN

Each week, Jason Logan breaks down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule and setting your daily fantasy lineup. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches for the Wild Card Weekend:

Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (+5, 39.5)

Seahawks’ troubles in the cold vs. Vikings’ frigid home field

The Seahawks have enjoyed one of the best home-field edges in the NFL for years. Not only is the crowd at CenturyLink Field among the loudest in pro sports, but the damp and dank Seattle weather has plagued visiting teams during the winter months.

Now, the Seahawks find themselves on the other end of that edge during the Wild Card Weekend. The Sunday forecast in Minnesota is calling for temperatures hovering around 0 degrees Fahrenheit with a wind chill making it feel much colder than that. It is lining up to be one of the coldest games in NFL history.

While the Pacific Northwest has plenty of rain, it is one of the warmer annual climates in the country, putting the two-time NFC champs out of their element. Cold has had a negative effect on the Seahawks in recent years, going just 2-4 SU and ATS on the road when the mercury dips below freezing (32 degrees F) since 2005-06, including a 0-4 SU and ATS mark since 2007-08. During those previous four chilly road games, the Seahawks have been outscored 149-74.

The last time Seattle played in anything close to Sunday’s climate was a 21 F degree day at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, losing 24-20 to the Chiefs as a 1-point road favorite in Week 11 of last season. “There’s no simulating zero degrees,” Seattle CB Richard Sherman told the media this week. “I guess I could go upstairs in the freezer, shut the doors, sit there for a few minutes?”

Daily fantasy watch: Adrian Peterson RB


Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins (+1, 45.5)

Packers’ poor pass protection vs. Redskins’ raging pass rush

When you look at how bad the Packers’ offensive line has been this season, it’s a near miracle Aaron Rodgers didn't join the long list of starting quarterbacks that were put on the shelf. Rodgers was sacked 47 times during the regular season – 17 times more than 2014 – and has been hit a total of 104 times, which ranks seventh most in the NFL.

Things have gotten especially hectic for “Discount Double Check” in recent weeks. Rodgers has been laid out 23 times in the last six games with 14 of those coming in the previous two: nine times in the loss to Arizona and five in the loss to Minnesota in Week 17. Injuries to the offensive line has spoiled any chemistry in Green Bay and has Mike McCarthy shuffling his protectors like musical chairs.

Washington comes into the postseason on a four-game winning streak, thanks in large part to a defense that has feasted on opposing passers. The Redskins, who have 38 total sacks on the season, picked up 21 of those in the first 12 weeks of the schedule – an average of just under two sacks per game in that span. But in the final four games of the season, Washington has recorded 17 sacks for an average of 4.25 per outing.

Linebackers Ryan Kerrigan and Preston Smith have been blowing up blockers in recent weeks, combining for eight of those 17 sacks in the past four games. To protect from those outside rushers - and make up for a lack of depth on the o-line – Green Bay will use plenty of two-tight end sets as well as a fullback to give Rodgers time. That inability to spread out receivers takes some bite out of the Packers’ pass game.

Daily fantasy watch: Washington D/ST
 
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NFL Wild Card Weekend Injury Report
By The Sports Xchange

GREEN BAY PACKERS at WASHINGTON REDSKINS on Sunday
GREEN BAY PACKERS
--Doubtful: CB Sam Shields (concussion)
--Questionable: T David Bakhtiari (ankle), LB Jay Elliott (quadriceps), DE Datone Jones (neck), TE Justin Perillo (hamstring)
--Probable: T Bryan Bulaga (ankle), DT Mike Daniels (hamstring), DT Letroy Guion (foot), RB Eddie Lacy (rib), G T.J. Lang (neck), C Corey Linsley (ankle), LB Clay Matthews (ankle), LB Andy Mulumba (knee), LB Mike Neal (hip), LB Nick Perry (shoulder), CB Damarious Randall (groin), G Josh Sitton (back), G Lane Taylor (knee)
WASHINGTON REDSKINS
--Questionable: CB Quinton Dunbar (quadriceps), S Dashon Goldson (shoulder, rib), RB Matt Jones (hip), LB Perry Riley (foot)
--Probable: DE Jason Hatcher (neck, knee), WR DeSean Jackson (knee), S Jeron Johnson (chest), CB Dashaun Phillips (neck), RB Chris Thompson (toe), T Trent Williams (knee)

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS on Sunday
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
--Out: TE Luke Willson (concussion), RB Marshawn Lynch (abdomen)
--Probable: DE Michael Bennett (toe), S Kam Chancellor (pelvis), DT Jordan Hill (toe), CB Jeremy Lane (oblique), WR Tyler Lockett (hip), T Russell Okung (calf), G J.R. Sweezy (concussion)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
--Out: DT Kenrick Ellis (ankle)
--Probable: DE Everson Griffen (shoulder), DT Linval Joseph (foot), RB Adrian Peterson (back), WR Adam Thielen (shoulder, back.
 
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Sunday's Playoff Action

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-6) at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (11-5)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:05 p.m. ET
NFC Wild Card Playoffs
Line: Seattle -5.0, Total: 39.5

The Seahawks’ quest for a third straight Super Bowl appearance begins with a Sunday trip to Minnesota in the wild-card round.

Seattle had a miserable start to the season, but the team caught fire and has a championship on its mind after winning six of its final seven regular season games. One of those victories was a 38-7 road win over this same Vikings team.

Minnesota, however, is also playing some excellent football entering the playoffs. The Vikings defeated the Packers 20-13 as three-point underdogs in Green Bay and have won three straight entering the postseason. They have also covered in four straight and five of their past six. The Seahawks have won-and-covered in the past three meetings between these teams.

The last time the Vikings defeated the Seahawks was Nov. 22, 2009. Some trends to look at in this one include Seattle being 8-0 ATS after having won four of its past five games in the past two seasons and Minnesota being a remarkable 13-3 ATS on the year.

RB Marshawn Lynch (Abdominal) is expected to play for the Seahawks in this one, but S Kam Chancellor (Tailbone) is questionable for the team. For the Vikings, RB Adrian Peterson (Back) is expected to be a full go on Sunday and DT Linval Joseph (Toe) should play, despite being listed as questionable.

The Seahawks had the best defense in the league once again this season, allowing just 17.3 PPG (1st in NFL). What really took the team to another level at the end of the year was that the offense caught up.

The Seahawks finished the year averaging 26.4 PPG (t-4th in NFL) and Russell Wilson is the guy they can thank for that. The quarterback had a breakout year for Seattle, throwing for 4,024 yards with 34 touchdowns and just eight interceptions. He also added 553 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Wilson and the passing game is going to be more of a focal point of the Seattle offense in this playoff game, even with Marshawn Lynch returning.

The Seahawks dominated the Vikings in Minnesota just five weeks ago, when Wilson threw for 274 yards, three touchdowns and no picks. He also rushed for 51 yards and a touchdown. It’d be wise if they let Wilson continue to play his game moving forward.

Defensively, stopping Adrian Peterson will be the main objective. He rushed for just 18 yards on eight carries in their last meeting, but he did get hurt in that one. If they can contain Peterson then the Seahawks should be able to prevent the Vikings from putting up a lot of points on Sunday.

Like Seattle, Minnesota was also one of the league’s better defenses this season. The Vikings gave up just 18.9 PPG during the regular season (5th in NFL), but that did not help them the last time they faced the Seahawks. Russell Wilson was able to move the ball at will in that game and if Minnesota cannot find a way to slow him down then the team will not have a chance of advancing in the playoffs.

The Vikings are a grind-it-out team that will need to make sure this game is low-scoring. If that is going to be the case, Teddy Bridgewater must avoid making any costly errors. He was lousy against Seattle in Week 13, throwing for just 118 yards with one interception and zero touchdowns.

He must be more effective on Sunday or things will be awfully tough on Adrian Peterson, who also struggled the last time these teams met. Peterson will still be confident, though, as he rushed for three touchdowns over the final four weeks of the season and is widely considered to be one of the best running backs of all time. The Vikings will be leaning on his ability heavily in this one.


GREEN BAY PACKERS (10-6) at WASHINGTON REDSKINS (9-7)

Kickoff: Sunday, 4:40 p.m. ET
NFC Wild Card Playoffs
Line: Washington -1, Total: 46

The Packers will be looking to put their regular season struggles behind them when they face the Redskins in the wild-card round on Sunday.

Green Bay did not end the regular season the way it would have liked, losing at Arizona and at home against Minnesota in Weeks 16 and 17 respectively. The loss to the Cardinals was the more embarrassing of the two, though. The Packers were six-point road ‘dogs in that game and lost 38-8. The team is going to need to find its groove fast, as this Redskins team won (and covered) in its final four games of the season. Washington’s offense was explosive in those games, averaging 32.8 PPG during the win streak.

These teams have met just once in the past three seasons and that game was Sep. 15, 2013. The Packers hosted the Redskins in that one and won 38-20 as seven-point home favorites. Since 1992, Green Bay is 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in this head-to-head series. The Packers also come into this one at 9-2 ATS off of a division game over the past two seasons.

The Packers have had trouble on both sides of the ball this season, but the one thing that they always thought they could rely on was solid play from Aaron Rodgers. That has not been the case towards the end of the season, as Rodgers threw for just three touchdowns with three picks over the final three games of the year. Green Bay will need him to be at his best against the Redskins on Sunday or the team is likely going nowhere.

RB Eddie Lacy will also need to run the ball well for Green Bay in this one. Lacy has not rushed for a touchdown since facing the Cowboys in Week 14 and the Packers will need him to be effective in this one. If he can get it going then things will be a lot easier on Aaron Rodgers. Both guys, however, will need the offensive line to be solid on Sunday.

Rodgers has been under an incredible amount of pressure over the past few weeks and that has to change if the Packers are going to play like the contenders they once were. The Redskins were not considered to be a legitimate threat to win the NFC East, but the team won its final four games and snuck into the postseason. That would not have been possible if Kirk Cousins didn’t take his game to another level.

Cousins was lights out over the final three weeks of the season, throwing for 11 touchdowns with no picks. He racked up 4,166 yards on the year and only threw 11 picks as well. Washington will need him to keep his cool in this game and that is not out of the question, as he is a very poised player that loves the big moment.

One weapon that Cousins will constantly be targeting is Jordan Reed. The tight end had a remarkable season, hauling in 87 catches for 952 yards and 11 touchdowns. He should be able to find some success against a vulnerable Packers defense on Sunday.
 
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Total Talk - WC Sunday
By Chris David

Sunday’s NFC Wild Card matchups will have bettors choosing between experience and youth as a pair of Super Bowl champions face teams with both quarterbacks and coaches making their postseason debuts.

As mentioned in Saturday’s installment, the ‘under’ has been a great bet in the Wild Card recently. The number stands at 9-2-1 (82%) to the low side the last three postseasons but make a not that we could see a total in the thirties this weekend with the Seahawks-Vikings game on the cusp of 40.

The last three Wild Card games that had totals close in the thirties all went ‘over’ the number but they were very tight outcomes.

Sunday Jan. 10

For the playoffs, I’m going to break down each day and offer up my quick handicap and prediction for all the matchups. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Seattle at Minnesota

Oddsmakers sent out an opener of 42 ½ on this game and that number has dropped as low as 39 ½ at some shops. Inclement weather is expected in Minneapolis on Sunday afternoon and the latest forecasts have wind chills between 15-20 degrees below zero.

Since the Vikings started playing at TCF Bank Stadium (University of Minnesota), they only had two games that were in the same neighborhood of this week’s temperatures. They did well too, blasting the Panthers 31-13 last season and just a few weeks ago, they hammered the Giants 49-17 in similar conditions.

It’s hard to imagine the Vikings putting up a crooked number on Sunday, especially against a Seattle team that has the best scoring defense (17.3 points per game) in the league. What’s more impressive is the Seahawks were better defensively on the road (15.2 PPG) this season than at home.

Minnesota is stout defensively too, holding teams to 18.9 PPG but similar to Seattle, it’s been better on the road (17.8 PPG) than at home (20 PPG).

The Seahawks have leaned slightly to the ‘under’ (9-7) this season and the ‘under’ is on a 4-0 run the last four weeks yet the offense has averaged 32 PPG during the second-half of the season.

During this span, the ‘Hawks have averaged 36.3 in three road games, which includes a 38-7 win at Minnesota in Week 12. Seattle dominated on both sides of the ball, building a 35-0 lead and outgaining the Vikings by nearly 300 total yards (423-125) in the victory.

QB Russell Wilson has been lights out the last seven games, completing over 70 percent of his passes while racking up 24 touchdowns and only one interception. Seattle is expected to have running back Marshawn Lynch back this weekend and his presence might actually slow the game down. He only had 20 or more carries in two games this season and while they won those games, they both easily went ‘under’ the number (20-3, 13-12).

Since getting torched by Wilson and company, the Vikings closed the season with a 3-1 record and the defense allowed an average of 17.5 PPG. Minnesota has watched the ‘under’ go 11-4-1 overall but three of those ‘over’ tickets came at home.

Prior to last year’s playoff run, the Seahawks had watched the ‘under’ go 3-2 with Wilson at QB and Pete Carroll as head coach. Last postseason, Seattle was a perfect 3-0 to the ‘over’ and a couple of those tickets were lucky to cash, most notably its playoff opener at home versus Green Bay.

In Seattle’s recent postseason run with the pair, the ‘Hawks have been away from home four times and they’ve gone 2-2 while averaging 29.8 PPG, which has helped the ‘over’ go 3-1.

Including the result in December, the ‘Hawks have won and covered three straight against the Vikings and the ‘over’ has cashed in all three games.

Fearless Prediction: Based on the recent history for the ‘Hawks in the playoffs and the big game experience from Wilson, I’m leaning to Seattle Team Total Over (22) in this spot.


Green Bay at Washington

The total on this game opened at 46 and has dropped to 45 as of Friday morning. If your handicapping leans heavily on current form, you’re probably wondering why the early money has come in the ‘under’ and Green Bay in this game.

The Packers closed the season with a pair of humbling losses and were outscored 58-21 in those setbacks. Meanwhile, Washington finished off the last quarter of the season with four consecutive wins, covers and ‘over’ tickets.

It’s apparent that the form has been tossed out the window and bettors aren’t buying Washington and when you look at its resume this season, you can see the reasoning. The Redskins are in the playoffs despite not facing a team with a winning record and when they did go up against a playoff team, they surrendered 27 and 44 points to New England Carolina respectively.

Defensively, Washington is the worst scoring unit (23.7 PPG) amongst the 12 playoff teams and during its recent winning streak, the unit hasn’t held anybody to 21 or less.

However, right behind them is Green Bay’s defense at 20.2 PPG and that unit was torched when it stepped up in class too. The Packers went 5-3 on the road this season and the three losses all came to playoff teams, who put up 29, 37 and 38 points. Technically, the Redskins are a playoff team but certainly not in the same class with the Broncos, Panthers and Cardinals.

Since the Redskins are now listed as short home ‘dogs for this game, it’s hard for me to ignore the fact they’ve won and covered five straight in this role and the offense has averaged 29.8 PPG. I’m not sure if head coach Jay Gruden is preaching the disrespect angle but something is working for them.

In 11 playoff games, the Packers have averaged 28.3 PPG with Aaron Rodgers at QB. In seven games away from Lambeau Field, the numbers are even better (31.3 PPG). Despite those strong offensive efforts, the ‘over’ has only managed to produce a 6-5 mark.

These teams met in the 2013 regular season and Green Bay pasted Washington 38-20 as a 7 ½-point home favorite and the ‘over’ (48) cashed early in the fourth quarter as Rodgers passed for 480 yards and 4 TDs.

Fearless Prediction: I expect both teams to produce four to five scores in this game and that should get both of them into the twenties. Even though the opening line is going the other way, I’m buying the game Over 45 and I’m also taking Washington Team Total Over (22 ½). Based on the great offensive numbers from the Redskins at home and the suspect defensive play from the Packers at home, Washington should jump this number on Sunday.
 
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Sunday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Seahawks (-5, 39 ½) at Vikings – 1:05 PM EST – NBC

Seattle (10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) is listed as the largest favorite on Wild Card weekend, as the two-time defending NFC Champions travel to frigid Minneapolis to start their Super Bowl quest. Temperatures are expected to be in the single-digits by kickoff, marking one of the coldest playoff games in NFL history.

The Seahawks started the season on the wrong foot, losing four of their first six games, including three losses by four points or less. Pete Carroll’s team would turn the corner by winning eight of the final 10 contests to clinch their fourth straight playoff berth and qualify for the postseason for the 10th time in 13 seasons. Quarterback Russell Wilson lit up opposing defenses in the last seven weeks of the season by throwing for 24 touchdowns and only one interception, including 11 touchdown strikes to wide receiver Doug Baldwin.

The Vikings (11-5 SU, 13-3 ATS) put together the best ATS record in the league, while clinching the NFC North crown by winning at Green Bay in Week 17 by a 20-13 count as three-point underdogs. Mike Zimmer’s club won their final three games of the season to overcome a pair of early December losses to Seattle and Arizona, as the Vikings’ defense yielded 17 points or less during this current three-game winning streak.

Seattle ripped Minnesota at TCF Bank Stadium in Week 13 as 2 ½-point road favorites, 38-7. Wilson carved up the Vikings’ defense with three touchdown passes to go along with a touchdown run, while Baldwin hauled in a pair of scores from Wilson. Adrian Peterson couldn’t get anything going on the ground for the Vikings, rushing 18 yards on eight carries, both season-lows. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater struggled as well, throwing for 181 yards and an interception, one of six games in which he didn’t throw a touchdown pass this season.

Seattle’s defense gave up at least 30 points in a game three times this season, yet they still led the league in points allowed at 277. The Seahawks lost their first three games away from CenturyLink Field, but won their final five road contests by yielding an average of 6.8 points per game and covering four times. The ‘under’ cashed in the last four games of the season, while Seattle won three of four times against NFC North foes.

The Vikings are back in the postseason for the first time since 2012, while hosting their first playoff game since 2009. Minnesota took advantage at TCF Bank Stadium by compiling a 6-2 SU/ATS record, although they put up 1-2 SU/ATS mark against playoff squads with the lone win coming against Kansas City in Week 6.

Running back Marshawn Lynch is expected back in the lineup for the Seahawks after missing the last seven games with a sports hernia. Lynch rushed for over 100 yards only once in seven games of action this season, but eclipsed the 100-yard mark against the Packers in the NFC Championship and the Patriots in the Super Bowl last season.

The Seahawks have put together a 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS record in the postseason since Wilson took over at quarterback in 2012. Seattle is playing its first road playoff game since Wilson’s rookie season as the Seahawks beat the Redskins as three-point road favorites, 24-14, followed up by a 30-28 setback at Atlanta in the divisional playoffs as 2 ½-point underdogs.


Packers at Redskins (-1, 45) – 4:40 PM EST – FOX

In probably the most intriguing matchup of Wild Card weekend, arguments can be made for both Green Bay and Washington to advance – and to lose. The Packers (10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS) are no stranger to the postseason, qualifying for the seventh consecutive season, but Mike McCarthy’s squad has lost four of their last six playoff games.

The last time Green Bay didn’t win the NFC North title, it worked out for them as they won three straight road playoff games and knocked off the Steelers to capture Super Bowl XLV in 2010. The Packers fell short of a division championship this season in spite of jumping out to a 6-0 record. Green Bay lost its final two games, including a 20-13 home setback to rival Minnesota to be relegated to the Wild Card round.

Washington (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS) overcame a 2-4 start to take home the NFC East championship for the first time since 2012. The Redskins are riding a four-game winning streak, while topping the 34-point mark in each of the past three victories. Quarterback Kirk Cousins was intercepted eight times in the first six games, but turned things around in a huge way by posting a 23/3 touchdown to interception ratio in the final 10 contests (7-3 SU/ATS).

The Packers and Redskins didn’t play each other this season as Green Bay won the previous matchup at Lambeau Field in 2013 by a 38-20 score. Green Bay cashed as nine-point favorites and were never really challenged as they grabbed a 31-0 third quarter advantage. Aaron Rodgers torched the Redskins’ defense by throwing for 480 yards and four touchdowns, while two Packers’ receivers (James Jones and Randall Cobb) each racked up at least 100 yards.

Jay Gruden’s team made plenty of strides this season, but one thing that can be highlighted is the fact the Redskins didn’t beat one club that owned a winning record. Washington is setting in as a short favorite as the Redskins failed to cash in two opportunities when laying points at FedEx Field. In the first chance, Washington erased a 24-0 deficit against Tampa Bay in a thrilling 31-30 triumph, but didn’t cover as three-point favorites. In the second opportunity as a home favorite, the Redskins were tripped up by the Cowboys in an ugly 19-16 loss in Week 13, but Washington won five of its final seven home games.

Green Bay had its struggles on the road against playoff teams this season, losing at Denver, Carolina, and Arizona. The Packers did put together a strong effort in a 30-13 blowout of the Vikings in late November, but Green Bay scored 16 points or less in five of six losses this season. The last playoff game for the Packers especially stung, blowing a 12-point fourth quarter lead in a 28-22 overtime loss at Seattle in last season’s NFC Championship.
 
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NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins Predictions
by Alan Matthews

The wild-card round of the NFL playoffs concludes late Sunday afternoon from Landover, Md., as Green Bay visits Washington in what I believe is the most interesting matchup of the four-game weekend.

Oh, sure, you have the red-hot Chiefs looking for an 11th straight win when they visit the Texans on Saturday . The Bengals haven't won a playoff game in more than two decades and are starting a backup QB against the Steelers. The Seahawks are the No. 6 seed in the NFC but perhaps playing better than anyone right now in the conference as they look for a rare third straight Super Bowl trip. So why is Green Bay-Washington so intriguing? For one, I call this a coin flip (as do some sportsbooks) because both teams have been so wildly inconsistent at times this season. Also, this is the only of the four wild-card games that's not a regular-season rematch.


I don't know what's wrong with the Packers. Has their title window closed if they lose this game? The team hasn't looked like a true contender since coming out of its bye week at 6-0 but then getting routed in Denver. Aaron Rodgers has looked very mortal. Could this be the final game there for Coach Mike McCarthy? I highly doubt that, but the Broncos also parted ways with the very successful John Fox when they flopped in last year's playoffs. I actually think the Packers will be just fine next season when they get Jordy Nelson back, but these types of things can go downhill quickly. Ask the 49ers.

The Packers (10-6) might have caught a break in losing last week at home to Minnesota, which gave the Vikings the NFC North title and dropped Green Bay to the No. 5 seed. Obviously it cost the Packers a home game this weekend, but I'd much rather play at Washington than host Seattle.

The Redskins (9-7) were surprise NFC East champions, and they got to take it easy in Week 17, although they still clobbered Dallas. Quarterback Kirk Cousins was one of this season's breakout stars, and he's going to add to his contract leverage with a playoff victory here. Cousins is set to be a free agent, but at worst the team will slap the franchise tag on him. You might remember Washington's last playoff game. It was Jan. 6, 2013 at home against Seattle in the wild-card round. Redskins QB Robert Griffin III was a rising superstar in his rookie season, but he suffered a major knee injury on the FedEx Field turn that afternoon in a 24-14 loss. RGIII has never been the same, and that led to Cousins' eventual rise to franchise quarterback. RGIII most definitely doesn't fit in Washington's plans going forward.

Green Bay, which has lost its past two road playoff games, is +1200 to win the NFC. Washington, which hasn't won a home playoff game since 1999, is the +2200 conference long shot. It depends on what happens in the earlier Seahawks-Vikings game as to where this winner goes. If Seattle wins, as I expect, the winner here heads to Arizona. If it's Minnesota, the winner is Carolina bound.

Packers at Redskins Betting Story Lines

I'll eat crow when necessary, and I must off last week's preview of Minnesota at Green Bay as I not only thought the Packers would win but that it wouldn't be all that close. Oops! The Packers had just three points through three quarters and lost 20-13. They did outgain the Vikings 350-242 and held the ball for nearly 36 minutes if you want to look at the bright side. But it took Rodgers 44 attempts to pass for 291 yards, he threw an crucial interception in the end zone and was sacked five times. Protection has been a major problem of late. The running game was non-existent.

No team enters the playoff with more injury problems than the Pack. The team thinks it might get back left tackle David Bakhtiari for this game. He missed the final two with an ankle injury. Top cornerback Sam Shields looks likely to miss a fourth straight game with a concussion. Several other guys are nursing injuries but should all play. The Redskins are pretty healthy.

The Washington Post this week actually had the gall to run a poll: Who would you prefer to start for your team the next five seasons, Rodgers or Cousins? That's obviously laughable even as good as Mr. "You Like That!" finished the season. In Washington's final 10 games, Cousins was 228-for-315 for 2,746 yards, 23 TDs and three picks, good for a 119.1 QB rating that would have easily led the NFL for a full season. But let's not get carried away here. Rodgers is an all-time great and still has plenty of great years ahead. Cousins might be a one-year wonder.

These teams haven't met since Green Bay's home opener in the 2013 season. The Packers won 38-20 as Rodgers was 34-for-42 for a career-high 480 yards along with four touchdowns. James Jones caught 11 for 178 and Randall Cobb nine for 128 and a TD. James Starks rushed 20 times for 132 yards and a score. RGIII played well that day, completing 26-for-40 for 320 yards and three scores. Pierre Garcon caught eight for 143 and a touchdown. Alfred Morris rushed 13 times for 107 yards. Green Bay has won five of the past six meetings overall.

Packers at Redskins Betting Odds and Trends

This game is a pick'em and thus no moneyline. The total is 45. On the alternate lines, Green Bay is -1 (-103) and -1.5 (+103). Washington is -1 (-103) and -1.5 (+103). The Packers were 9-7 against the spread during the regular season (5-3 on road) and 5-11 "over/under" (4-4 on road). The Redskins were 9-7 ATS (5-3 at home) and 9-7 O/U (3-5 at home).

Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its past five playoff road games. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their past five vs. teams with a winning record. Washington is 4-0 ATS in its past four overall. The under is 4-1 in the Pack's past five wild-card games. It is 6-1 in Green Bay's past seven vs. the NFC. The over is 6-2 in Washington's past eight vs. the NFC. The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the previous six meetings.

NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Packers at Redskins Betting Predictions

Will the Green Bay offense shake out of its doldrums here? Since McCarthy took over play-calling duties in Week 14, the Packers have scored 19.8 points per game and racked up 314 yards per game. That's not great. Green Bay is trying to become only the third team in NFL history to win the Super Bowl after losing the last two games of the regular season (2009 Saints were last).

As for Washington, it generally has been very good at home this season and did keep its momentum going last week to carry a four-game winning streak into this one. But look at that schedule. Not a single win over a playoff team. What was the best one? Buffalo? Philly?

I like the Packers here. It will be chilly once the sun goes down, but nothing too crazy like in Minnesota. Go under.
 
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NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings Predictions
by Alan Matthews

A total of six wild-card teams have won the Super Bowl, the last being the 2010 Green Bay Packers. I could make an argument that the 2015 Seattle Seahawks are the best No. 6 seed in NFL playoff history. They open Sunday's NFC playoff schedule by visiting NFC North champion Minnesota.

Seattle (10-6) had a shot to move up to the No. 5 spot in the NFC playoffs had Minnesota lost at Green Bay last weekend, which I honestly expected, but the Vikings pulled the upset. It's the fourth straight year in the postseason for the Seahawks, who are two-time NFC champions. They didn't have to play on the road in the past two postseasons. Seattle's last road playoff game was a thrilling divisional-round loss at top-seeded Atlanta following the 2012 regular season.

Minnesota (11-5) won the North Division for the first time 2009; I expected this team to be a wild-card contender entering the season but surely didn't see the Vikings beating out Green Bay for the division. It's Minnesota's first postseason game since losing at Green Bay in the wild-card round following the 2012 season. This is a young team, led by second-year QB Teddy Bridgewater, so a lot of guys making their playoff debuts.

The Seahawks are +275 third-favorites to win the NFC title. They will go to No. 1 seed Carolina next week with a win. The Vikings are +1400 to win the NFC, which they haven't done since the 1976 season. They will visit No. 2 Arizona next week with a victory. It's the first-ever playoff game between Seattle and Minnesota.

Seahawks at Vikings Betting Story Lines

Let's start with the biggest news first and that's the weather on Sunday afternoon in Minneapolis. Remember that the Vikings are still playing outdoors at the University of Minnesota's TCF Bank Stadium, with the Vikings' new domed home set for next season. Thus, this is the team's first outdoor home playoff game in more than 39 years. And the temperatures are projected to hit a high of 1 (no snow). Yes, 1. Wind chills obviously will be well below that. So it looks to be one of the coldest in league annals. The coldest home game in Vikings history came on Dec. 3, 1972, with a temperature of minus-2 at kickoff at the old Metropolitan Stadium. Clearly that type of cold is going to affect the quarterbacks, receivers and kickers the most.

Now let's talk injuries to each team's top running back.

Minnesota's Adrian Peterson, who won his third rushing title this season (eighth player in NFL history with at least three), suffered a back injury in the Week 17 upset win at Green Bay. There's no question Peterson will play, however. And the Vikings aren't winning this game if he doesn't have a big one. Thing is, Peterson has really slowed down since the end of November. He is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry in the past five games and has topped 70 yards once. Bridgewater isn't the kind of guy who is going to win games for you. Seattle led the NFL in scoring defense for a fourth straight year (first time for any team since Browns in 1950s) and was No. 1 against the rush (81.5 ypg) and No. 2 vs. the pass (210.3 ypg).

Seattle will get a boost in the backfield with the return of Marshawn Lynch in what likely will be his final game with the team should the Seahawks lose. "Beast Mode" hasn't played since Nov. 15 and had abdominal surgery not longer after. Lynch has carried 111 times for 417 yards (3.76 per carry) this season. But the Seahawks might now be a passing-first team under Russell Wilson, who ended the regular season as the NFL's hottest QB. He had 24 touchdown passes and just one pick over the final seven and Seattle won six of those. Wilson led the NFL in rating this season (110.1) and he made a star of receiver Doug Baldwin, who tied for the league lead with 14 TD catches.

Minnesota's defense is pretty good itself, ranking No. 5 in scoring (18.9 ppg). It was No. 12 vs. the pass (234.9 ypg) and No. 17 vs. the rush (109.3 ypg). It slipped for a few games around Thanksgiving due to some injuries, but that unit is pretty healthy now and looked great the final three games, not allowing more than 17 points in any.

Minnesota hosted Seattle in Week 13, and the Vikings played their worst game of the season or were simply outclassed. The Seahawks rolled 38-7. Wilson was nearly perfect, completing 21-for-27 for 274 yards and three scores while rushing for 51 yards and a TD. The Seahawks did have a healthy Thomas Rawls then (out for season) and he had 101 yards and a score on 19 carries. Minnesota was missing a few defensive starters. But there's no excuse for the Vikings offense totaling 125 yards, the lowest of any team this season. Peterson had 18 yards on eight carries; he'll at least double those carries Sunday barring injury.

Seahawks at Vikings Betting Odds and Trends

Seattle is a 5-point favorite (-110) with a total of 39.5. On the moneyline, the Seahawks are -220 and Vikings +180. On the alternate lines, Seattle is -6.5 (+110), -6 (+103), -5.5 (-105), -4.5 (-115), -4 (-125) and -3.5 (-130). The Seahawks were 8-7-1 against the spread in the regular season (4-3-1 on road) and 7-9 "over/under" (3-5 on road). Minnesota was 13-3 ATS (6-2 at home) and 4-11-1 O/U (3-5 at home).

Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its past seven overall. It is 5-2 ATS in its past seven January games. Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a winning road record. It is 10-2 ATS in its past 12 after a win. The under is 4-0 in the Seahawks' past four overall. The under is 9-1 in the Vikings' past 10 vs. teams with a winning record. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Seahawks at Vikings Betting Predictions

I really don't see an advantage for Minnesota other than being home. I suppose at running back and tight end. Seattle is better at quarterback by far and on defense and special teams. The Seahawks have playoff experience and are familiar with playing in this stadium. Perhaps if Seattle was a dome team and now playing in these frigid elements, I might take Minnesota. But that's obviously not the case. The Vikings lead the NFL with 27 all-time playoff losses. It will be 28. Give the 3.5 points and go under (absolutely love the under).
 
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NFL

Wild Card round

Seahawks (10-6) @ Vikings (11-5)-- Frigid conditions expected for last outdoor home game in Twin Cities. Seattle (-3) crushed Vikings 38-7 here in Week 13, outgaining them 433-125 in epic mismatch- only Minny TD came on KR when it was 38-0. Seahawks won/covered seven of last eight games, winning last five road games by average score of 28-7. Seattle has allowed one offensive TD on last 49 drives on road. Vikings are 13-3 vs spread this season; they won last three games by average of 36-16. Carroll is 8-5 in playoff games; Seattle won NFC last two years. This is Zimmer's first playoff game as a head coach. NFC 3-seed won this game six of last nine years (favorites 5-3 vs spread last eight). Vikings are in playoffs for first time in three years; their last playoff win was in '09.

Packers (10-6) @ Redskins (9-7)-- Washington won/covered its last four games, with three of four on road; Redskins won six of last seven home games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games, 2-6 in Packers' last eight. Rodgers was sacked 14 times in last two games, losses by 38-8/20-13 scores- they're expected to get LT Bakhtiari back here. Green Bay won five of last six series games; their last visit here was OT loss in 2010. McCarthy is 7-6 in playoff games; four of wins came in 2010, when Pack won Super Bowl. This is Gruden's first NFL playoff game; he won two Arena Bowl titles in the AFL. NFC 4-seed won this game five of last seven years. favorites covered this game last four years. For record, 1967 Packers and 2009 Saints are only Super Bowl winners who lost last two regular season games.

Over last ten years, home underdogs in this round are 5-6 vs spread.

Seattle Seahawks 5.5, 41.5
Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay Packers
Washington Redskins 1, 45
 
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Streaks, Tips, Notes

NFL Betting: Wild-Card Weekend - Jan 9-10, 2016

Sharpen pencils, post season games are among the most difficult to handicap. Oddsmakers have only a few games a week to create a line instead of the usual sixteen, so count on point spreads being pretty tight in these WIN-And-Move-On games.

That's confirmed by our reliable NFL database that tells us over the past five years during Wild Card Weekend 'Favorites' have covered the point spread 10 times, 'Underdogs' got the money 9 times with 1 'Push'. Taking a long-term view, much the same. In ten years,' Favorites' covered the point spread 20 times, 'Underdogs' 19 and 1 'Push'.

Totals are a different story and here we uncover some meaningful trends. The most obvious that jumps out is the tendency for Wild Card games to go 'Under' posted totals. The past 10 years there have been 15 'Over', 24 'Under', 1 'Push' with short-term trends on the same path with 6 'Over', 13 'Under', 1 'Push'.

A final few betting nuggets as it applies to this years Wild Card participants. Since the 2005 campaign, the Chiefs are 0-3 ATS in Wild Card games, the Texans 2-0 ATS. The Steelers are a vig-losing 2-2 ATS, Bengals always seem to find a way to lose in this round posting a putrid 0-6 ATS record. Seahawks have been solid bets at 3-1 ATS, Vikings 0-2 ATS in it's only two appearances since 2005. Packers have a 2-1 ATS record, Redskins are 1-2 ATS.

During the past five years, teams heading into the Wild Card Round off a loss (Packers) are 6-8 ATS including 1-6 ATS when playing in a hostile venue. Team off a two touchdown victory (Steelers, Texans, Seahawks) have been a good choices as they're 7-3 against the betting line.
 
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Hawthorne Harness: Sunday 1/10 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Best Bet: LASTDUKESTANDING (5th)

Spot Play: VIN (1st)

Race 1


(5) VIN gelding has a ton of trotting ability when he minds his manners. (3) FOX VALLEY YOKO tailed off at the end of the year but faces much weaker. (7) MASTER OF EXCUSES should have had more last out; command a price.

Race 2

In a wide open race, (2) NICKS ONE MAN SHOW doesn't look the best on paper but picks up a good driver change. (8) NASHVILLE NASTY pacing mare has been sharp in her last three; fires early. (7) THE DALI'S LLAMA has a bad winning percentage but is a threat against this group.

Race 3

(4) RED SOLO CUP well bred trotter is inconsistent from week to week but finds a nice spot to do some damage. (1) RUIZ ships in from out east and should be sharper second start back off a layoff. (5) MOON IN MY SHINE gets a post with options and has been competitive against better.

Race 4

In another tough race to gauge, (7) GOSSIP MODEL is lightly raced and is one of few in the field with upside. (9) GIRLS GIRLS GIRLS gets sent out for a barn that was heating up at the end of last year. (5) DUNESIDE PERTTIE mare didn't win in thirty-one starts last year. The pacer will offer a big price and can hit the ticket with a good setup.

Race 5

(2) LASTDUKESTANDING raced well off over a month last start and could be sharper this time out. (3) MR MATLOCK owns a decent brush but is inconsistent; threat. (6) MOTORIN MATT is capable of picking up the pieces with a good setup.

Race 6

(10) FINANCIAL EFFORT made the most money of the field last year. The 7-year-old mare has her work cut out from a tough post but might be a step better than this bunch. (1) EXCELERATED SPEED gets the best post down in class. (7) PACIFIRE was pacing up a storm late last start. Mare could be the sleeper in the race with some luck; fires early.

Race 7

(7) WINGS just missed last start against slightly better. (1) NORTHERN DALI is capable of upsetting at this level; threat. (8) AHLBBACK YANKEE mare has some excuses in recent and will offer value.

Race 8

(8) FOX VALLEY PIPA owns the best closing ability in the field and just needs to be close turning for home. (9) BUST MY CHOPS doesn't win often but finds a suspect bunch; threat. (5) DESIREE BELLABELLA raced big last start dead-heating for the victory. If the pacing mare races like that again she's a threat.

Race 9

(4) IF I DIDNT DREAM went a big effort last start just tiring late. (6) EVA BELLA mare needed her most recent effort and has room to improve; threat. (3) PROSPER gets a big morning line and can hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 10

(2) HOOSIERS FANTASY mare makes her first start for a new trainer; big chance. (6) MOON BAY DANCER gets sent out for a capable barn looking to make it five wins in six starts; short price. (1) SMASHY CERISE looked to be home free in her last outing before coming to a walk late; use underneath.
 
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Yonkers: Sunday 1/10 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

FINAL 2015 STATS: 401 - 1216 / $2,254.60

BEST BETS: 57 - 98 / $200.00

Best Bet: TAC’S DELIGHT (2nd)

Spot Play: MADIBA MAGIC N (11th)


Race 1

(5) SCOTTISH CROSS has speed, is well mannered, lands in a good midpack spot and hails from the Allard barn, which seems to have come back sharp in this young season. (7) OH MY MAGIC jogged upon arrival and can build off that effort. (3) MAGNUM KOSMOS is lightly raced but is very talented.

Race 2

(4) TAC'S DELIGHT ran well last out but lacked the power punch he had in prior efforts; he's back down a notch in class and can draw away from these. (5) PARKHILL LANCELOT has trouble staying trotting the duration, but is a threat if he minds his manners. (2) DREAM ROCKER draws well and seems to fit with these.

Race 3

(6) ROCK OF CASHEL never fired last out at The Meadowlands but had been making live moves in his prior Yonkers starts; classy trotter should be a smooth trip away from glory. (5) HASTY PROFITT ships in off a win on the big track and picks up Sears. (4) SUMMER INDIAN gets some needed class relief for Burke.

Race 4

(1) I C CAVIAR has had some good recent closing efforts and he should be closer from this spot; worth a look. (2) BASTILLE has been sharp and certainly makes the most sense, but the veteran isn't the most prolific winner. (6) FICO seems to be better than he's been showing.

Race 5

(10) CHARLES VII returns locally off a very brave try at The Meadowlands and he raced reasonably well here versus better; he should be a big player with a smooth trip. (6) EXTRACURRICULAR looks for four straight for sharp connections; logical favorite. (8) CASH POOR did beat better a couple of months back but needs some help from this post; consider if the price is right.

Race 6

(6) MONEY MAVEN ships in from Canada and joins the Julie Miller barn; trotter is worth a long look both on the track and the toteboard. (3) LUKAS HALL returns with class relief and looks like a player. (4) CAMBRIDGE has disappointed of late, burning money in the process; he seems capable of better.

Race 7

(9) BORN TO FIGHT has been knocking heads with better recently and finds a very suspect field here; Mark Ford trainee is worth a play. (2) BIG PAYOUT had been racing decently prior to the holiday break; he will be on or near the lead from this spot. (10) BLUEBIRD KIDSQUEEN has proven to fit with this type and she should be a decent price.

Race 8

In a very competitive 6-horse affair, I'll take a look at (3) SUMATRA for some value. Trotter had been rock solid in all recent without a victory to show for it before being used too hard last out. With some racing luck he can upset. (2) TWEET ME has been very sharp, including an easy upset win in her last local try. (6) RED HOT HERBIE is the horse to beat from Allard despite the outside assignment.

Race 9

(1) ZOOMING gets needed class and post relief and should be able to trip out from this spot. (5) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE has been flashing good speed out of town and should be forwardly placed here, especially with Brennan driving. (4) CLEMENTINE DREAM finished in behind the top choice last out and figures for a share here.

Race 10

(6) FOUR CORNERS has shown improvement since moving to the DiDomenico barn and he can have a conditioning edge in these having raced last week at Freehold. (1) RING WARRIOR will undoubtedly show more from this spot for Banca. (4) DASH N has loads of back class and local experience.

Race 11

(5) MADIBA MAGIC N has taken his last three starts at this level yet still may offer value from this spot. (1) JUSTIFIED finally lands a good spot and will be prominent throughout. (3) ALLSTAR LEGEND ships in for Burke looking for two straight.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (4th) My Friend Keith, 4-1
(7th) Wild Target, 5-1

Fair Grounds (2nd) One Better, 5-1
(5th) Royal Dehere, 3-1


Golden Gate Fields (5th) Siberian Laughter, 9-2
(8th) Joueur, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (3rd) Royal Moment, 5-1
(11th) Fabulous Devotion, 6-1


Laurel Park (4th) Arrive, 9-2
(7th) I'm Mr. Blue, 7-2


Santa Anita (6th) Nite Delite, 6-1
(8th) Sheer Pleasure, 3-1


Sunland Park (8th) Bella Breeze, 4-1
(9th) Asnowdream, 10-1


Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Scarlett Del, 6-1
(10th) Awesome Thought, 5-1

Turf Paradise (3rd) Jovial Jewel, 3-1
(6th) Silvertron, 3-1


Turfway Park (1st) Grand Coulee, 3-1
(3rd) Bud's Bayonet, 3-1
 
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Sunday's six-pack

-- Steelers 18, Bengals 16-- First time I watched an NFL game and worried for the officials' safety; Bengals acted worse than the inmates in Longest Yard.

-- Bengals' last playoff win is in 1990; they had the ball and the lead with less than 1:40 to go, but fumbled. Just a horrific way to lose.

-- When the NFL Draft rolls around in April, teams will talk about drafting guys with character; when you have too many guys with low character, you get stuff like tonight, losing a game because you have no poise.

-- Big toll for Pittsburgh; Roethlisberger hurt his shoulder, Antonio Brown got a concussion on the fateful personal play before the GW field goal.

-- Next week in the AFC: Steelers-Broncos, Chiefs-Patriots

-- Chiefs 30, Texans 0-- KC ran opening kick back for TD; highlight of game for Houston was the trajectory of that kick before Knile Davis caught it.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Sunday

823 RHODE ISLAND @ 824 ST. JOSEPH’S 12:00 PM

Take: ST. JOSEPH’S -3.5

Here’s a Sunday matchup between a pair of solid A-10 entries as URI travels to Philadelphia to meet St. Joe’s. The Rams have acquitted themselves well despite losing their best player for the season with an injury. The Hawks have pretty much been what they were expected to be prior to the season.

St. Joe’s has a pair of stars in Isaiah Miles and DeAndre’ Bembry. The Hawks basically go seven-deep and they’re a team that takes excellent care of the ball and appears very sound fundamentally. In other words, a typical Phil Martello team, albeit one that is more athletic than some recent editions. The Hawks aren’t imposing physically but they do most things well and after struggling to a 13-18 record last year, there’s more excitement about this year’s squad.

URI was dealt a terrible blow when EC Matthews got hurt in the season opener and was lost for the entire season. This was probably a cinch NCAA team and a serious A-10 title contender with Matthews leading the way. I’m impressed, though not surprised with how well respected coach Dan Hurley has kept it together for the Rams. Throw out the loss to Valparaiso, as that came right after Matthews got hurt and the team undoubtedly had a brief period of depression. Nevertheless, and in spite of Hurley’s expertise, this team is simply not what it could have been.

The key for Rhody here is offensive efficiency. They’ve put up some superb numbers in opening A-10 play with a couple of wins. But those were both at home and one of the wins was against a reeling Saint Louis entry. I will be surprised if they can maintain those levels in hostile surroundings. It’s also perhaps a slightly bigger game for the Hawks. They’re off a tough three-point home loss to VCU, a game they’d have won had they not uncharacteristically missed a load of free throws.

This figures to be a highly competitive game, but my matchup numbers are favoring the hosts. With the number being where it is, I’m willing to go with St. Joe’s to pull out the win and cover.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Sunday, Jan. 10, 2016 7:35 PM ET

(811) MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS (812) NEW YORK KNICKS

Take: (812) NEW YORK KNICKS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday, January 10, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Milwaukee Bucks and New York Knicks. Milwaukee hits the road for one game here tonight at the Knicks. The Bucks are coming off a home win over Dallas, 96-95. It was the club's third win in their last five games. The Bucks are just 2-7 ATS on the road this season. New York has been playing much better, winning four of their last six games. They also shocked the Spurs on Saturday, losing at San Antonio 100-99 as a 15-point dog. It was the club's fourth straight cover and their 11th in their last 15 games. The have followed up wins very well, going 14-5 ATS the last 19 times after a cover. Knicks playing with lots of confidence all of a sudden and I like them laying five points here tonight against Milwaukee.
 

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