Andre Gomes | NFL Side
free pick473 WAS 7.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 474 NYG
Analysis: The Giants are listed as favorites to win the competitive NFC East, but in my opinion they will have a tough time to confirm this status and these struggles will start in week 1.
Without WR Plaxico Burress, the Giants didn't make any substantial upgrade in their receiving corps and unless Domenik Hixon, Steve Smith, Mario Manningham and first-round pick Hakeem Nicks enjoy some improbable big seasons, the Giants once again will run the football! Yes, they have horses in the backfield in Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw, but at the same time, they look a pretty one-dimensional offensive team and they will struggle against a good Redskins' defensive team.
The Redskins were seventh in run defense, seventh in pass defense and fourth in total defense last season. Only five teams allowed less points than them! In the offseason, Washington added pro bowler Albert Haynesworth to their line and now they look even better. He is a defensive tackle, but he still mustered 8 1/2 sacks of his own last year and the Redskins will improve their lack of pressure on opposing passers - tied for 28th in sacks and 28th in takeaways last season! Also with him in the field the he is a guy that demands a constantly double coverage from the opponent and that's why the Giants will have a tough time to put points in the scoreboard.
Obviously the Giants are a great defensive team as well, no question about that, but we have some important mismatchs favoring the Redskins. QB Jason Campbell didn't make a great season last year, but many forget the fact that he was learning a new system and this takes time to adjust. Anyone who thinks a quarterback can get the hang of that system in Year 1 should go back and watch old tapes of the some QB Superstars in their first season. Regardless the display of Campbell, the Skins' play a conservative playbook and they are less prone to huge offensive dropdown plays. Like the Giants, I expect them to be a run oriented team. However I cannot ignore the fact that the Giants secondary is banged up for this contest. That's because starting cornerback Aaron Ross and valuable reserve cornerback Kevin Dockery are sidelined with hamstring injuries, so the Redskins with wideouts Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly will give Campbell more reliable options in the passing attack in addition to the solid Chris Cooley and Santana Moss and look them to give some problems to the Giants.
This game is pretty similar to the Steelers/Titans, two good defensive teams that will make the offenses work hard to score. I was with the Titans last Thursday and for this contest, we have in a similar situation and that's why I'm taking the Redskins in here.
Single Dime Play on Washington Redskins (+7) (BUY THE HALF POINT!!!)
free pick473 WAS 7.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 474 NYG
Analysis: The Giants are listed as favorites to win the competitive NFC East, but in my opinion they will have a tough time to confirm this status and these struggles will start in week 1.
Without WR Plaxico Burress, the Giants didn't make any substantial upgrade in their receiving corps and unless Domenik Hixon, Steve Smith, Mario Manningham and first-round pick Hakeem Nicks enjoy some improbable big seasons, the Giants once again will run the football! Yes, they have horses in the backfield in Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw, but at the same time, they look a pretty one-dimensional offensive team and they will struggle against a good Redskins' defensive team.
The Redskins were seventh in run defense, seventh in pass defense and fourth in total defense last season. Only five teams allowed less points than them! In the offseason, Washington added pro bowler Albert Haynesworth to their line and now they look even better. He is a defensive tackle, but he still mustered 8 1/2 sacks of his own last year and the Redskins will improve their lack of pressure on opposing passers - tied for 28th in sacks and 28th in takeaways last season! Also with him in the field the he is a guy that demands a constantly double coverage from the opponent and that's why the Giants will have a tough time to put points in the scoreboard.
Obviously the Giants are a great defensive team as well, no question about that, but we have some important mismatchs favoring the Redskins. QB Jason Campbell didn't make a great season last year, but many forget the fact that he was learning a new system and this takes time to adjust. Anyone who thinks a quarterback can get the hang of that system in Year 1 should go back and watch old tapes of the some QB Superstars in their first season. Regardless the display of Campbell, the Skins' play a conservative playbook and they are less prone to huge offensive dropdown plays. Like the Giants, I expect them to be a run oriented team. However I cannot ignore the fact that the Giants secondary is banged up for this contest. That's because starting cornerback Aaron Ross and valuable reserve cornerback Kevin Dockery are sidelined with hamstring injuries, so the Redskins with wideouts Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly will give Campbell more reliable options in the passing attack in addition to the solid Chris Cooley and Santana Moss and look them to give some problems to the Giants.
This game is pretty similar to the Steelers/Titans, two good defensive teams that will make the offenses work hard to score. I was with the Titans last Thursday and for this contest, we have in a similar situation and that's why I'm taking the Redskins in here.
Single Dime Play on Washington Redskins (+7) (BUY THE HALF POINT!!!)
King Creole | NFL Total
free pick468 NOS / 467 DET UNDER 49.0 betus
Analysis: KING CREOLE's Week One 'DOME Over / Under TENDENCIES' in the NFL
Thinking of going OVER in a Week 1 DOME game? Think AGAIN!
I created a 'set' in our NFL database for the 6 teams that play their home games in an indoor environment (Minn, Det, Atl, Stl, Norl, Indy). It's a good idea to visit this set every week to see what the OU patterns and tendencies are in certain situations. Here's your results as we kick off the season: WEEK ONE games played in a DOME have gone 7-17 O/U since the 1999 season... and on a recent note, 2-10 O/U in the last 4 years. If we eliminate the DIVISION games from the mix, the numbers improve to 1-8 O/U in the last 4 years. With 3 indoor games on the week one schedule, do we go UNDER in all 3 of them? Again, I'll leave that up to you. But we CERTAINLY don't want to play the OVER in ANY of 'em. This week's 'Home DOMERS' are: LIONS @ SAINTS... JAGUARS @ COLTS... and DOLPHINS @ FALCONS.
free pick468 NOS / 467 DET UNDER 49.0 betus
Analysis: KING CREOLE's Week One 'DOME Over / Under TENDENCIES' in the NFL
Thinking of going OVER in a Week 1 DOME game? Think AGAIN!
I created a 'set' in our NFL database for the 6 teams that play their home games in an indoor environment (Minn, Det, Atl, Stl, Norl, Indy). It's a good idea to visit this set every week to see what the OU patterns and tendencies are in certain situations. Here's your results as we kick off the season: WEEK ONE games played in a DOME have gone 7-17 O/U since the 1999 season... and on a recent note, 2-10 O/U in the last 4 years. If we eliminate the DIVISION games from the mix, the numbers improve to 1-8 O/U in the last 4 years. With 3 indoor games on the week one schedule, do we go UNDER in all 3 of them? Again, I'll leave that up to you. But we CERTAINLY don't want to play the OVER in ANY of 'em. This week's 'Home DOMERS' are: LIONS @ SAINTS... JAGUARS @ COLTS... and DOLPHINS @ FALCONS.
Ben burns
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GAME: TORONTO BLUE JAYS @ DETROIT TIGERS SEP 13, 2009 1:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Detroit Tigers
REASON FOR PICK: Romero got the better of Porcello when these two youngsters squared off against each other previously. That was back in the spring and it was at Toronto though. This afternoon's game is being played at Detroit and now it's Porcello who is currently in much better form.
While he received a no-decision last time out (road game at KC) Porcello has been very sharp at home lately. Two starts ago, in his most recent home outing, Porcello limited the Indians to two runs and five hits through seven innings. He earned the "W" and the Tigers won by a score of 4-2. Prior to that, he held Tampa Bay to one run through five innings, earning the "W" in a 6-2 Detroit win. Overall, the Tigers are a profitable 10-3 (+6.7) in his 13 home starts.
Romero, on the other hand, has been hit fairly hard recently, while also walking numerous batters. Over his last three starts, he's got a poor 6.06 ERA and and a terrible 2.021 WHIP. While Romero was solid last time out, prior to that he'd been 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA in his previous six starts.
With five straight losses, the Tigers badly need a victory. With Porcello getting the better of Romero in this rematch, I expect them to finally get one. Consider Detroit
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GAME: TORONTO BLUE JAYS @ DETROIT TIGERS SEP 13, 2009 1:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Detroit Tigers
REASON FOR PICK: Romero got the better of Porcello when these two youngsters squared off against each other previously. That was back in the spring and it was at Toronto though. This afternoon's game is being played at Detroit and now it's Porcello who is currently in much better form.
While he received a no-decision last time out (road game at KC) Porcello has been very sharp at home lately. Two starts ago, in his most recent home outing, Porcello limited the Indians to two runs and five hits through seven innings. He earned the "W" and the Tigers won by a score of 4-2. Prior to that, he held Tampa Bay to one run through five innings, earning the "W" in a 6-2 Detroit win. Overall, the Tigers are a profitable 10-3 (+6.7) in his 13 home starts.
Romero, on the other hand, has been hit fairly hard recently, while also walking numerous batters. Over his last three starts, he's got a poor 6.06 ERA and and a terrible 2.021 WHIP. While Romero was solid last time out, prior to that he'd been 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA in his previous six starts.
With five straight losses, the Tigers badly need a victory. With Porcello getting the better of Romero in this rematch, I expect them to finally get one. Consider Detroit
BIG AL
Colorado at San Diego Under
They say it's better to be lucky than good, but what about if you're both lucky and good? That's seemingly the situation for the Rockies right now. Friday night Colorado went into the top of the 9th inning down 1-0 and loaded the bases against closer Heath Bell, but were down to their last strike when Yorvit Torrealba hit a double that cleared the bases and resulted in a 4-1 Rockies win. That one victory may have been luck, but you can't write off the fact that Colorado is the hottest team in baseball right now (9-1 in their last 10 games) to luck alone. And while they are locked in battle with San Diego in this series, their main rivals, San Fran and L.A. are slugging it out in their own series and Colorado is now firmly in the lead for the N.L. Wild Card and only a couple games behind in the pennant race. The Rockies will throw their all-star and 15-game winner, Jason Marquis and that could be very bad news for San Diego as the Padres haven't had much luck with him. He is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA in two starts against them this season. The Pads will counter with Jake Peavy replacement Clayton Richard, and although Richard's overall numbers since making the switch to the N.L. are nothing to get excited about, he definitely seems to have his new home ball park figured out. In four starts at Petco Park, Richard is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 24 innings.
PLAY UNDER
Colorado at San Diego Under
They say it's better to be lucky than good, but what about if you're both lucky and good? That's seemingly the situation for the Rockies right now. Friday night Colorado went into the top of the 9th inning down 1-0 and loaded the bases against closer Heath Bell, but were down to their last strike when Yorvit Torrealba hit a double that cleared the bases and resulted in a 4-1 Rockies win. That one victory may have been luck, but you can't write off the fact that Colorado is the hottest team in baseball right now (9-1 in their last 10 games) to luck alone. And while they are locked in battle with San Diego in this series, their main rivals, San Fran and L.A. are slugging it out in their own series and Colorado is now firmly in the lead for the N.L. Wild Card and only a couple games behind in the pennant race. The Rockies will throw their all-star and 15-game winner, Jason Marquis and that could be very bad news for San Diego as the Padres haven't had much luck with him. He is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA in two starts against them this season. The Pads will counter with Jake Peavy replacement Clayton Richard, and although Richard's overall numbers since making the switch to the N.L. are nothing to get excited about, he definitely seems to have his new home ball park figured out. In four starts at Petco Park, Richard is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 24 innings.
PLAY UNDER
EZWINNERS
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Play: New Orleans Saints -13
The Saints are ready to roll. Their offense has been very impressive this pre season and with Mike Bell in the mix I am not concerned about the injuries to Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. The Saints defense should also be improved, if not for any other reason than the departure of cornerback Jason "Toast" David. The Lions are another team trying to recover from a horrible season. They don't have the weapons to stay within two touchdowns of the Saints. Lay the points.
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Play: New Orleans Saints -13
The Saints are ready to roll. Their offense has been very impressive this pre season and with Mike Bell in the mix I am not concerned about the injuries to Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. The Saints defense should also be improved, if not for any other reason than the departure of cornerback Jason "Toast" David. The Lions are another team trying to recover from a horrible season. They don't have the weapons to stay within two touchdowns of the Saints. Lay the points.
HENTAI SPORTS
New York Jets at Houston Texans
Prediction : Houston Texans -4
New York Jets’ starter Mark Sanchez will struggle in his first regular season start of his career. Not only is it his first start, but it comes on the road against a hungry Houston Texans’ fan base so expect it to be very hostile. To make matters worse on Sanchez, his defense is missing several key players. DE Shaun Ellis and LB Calvin Pace are both missing this game Sunday due to suspension. The Jets’ defense was awful in the preseason, giving up 23 or more points in every game. They’ll have their hands full against a Houston offense that put up 25.7 points/game at home last season, going 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in front of their home fans. Matt Schaub is back at the helm, and this Texans’ offense is one of the most potent in the league with Schaub under center and healthy.
New York Jets at Houston Texans
Prediction : Houston Texans -4
New York Jets’ starter Mark Sanchez will struggle in his first regular season start of his career. Not only is it his first start, but it comes on the road against a hungry Houston Texans’ fan base so expect it to be very hostile. To make matters worse on Sanchez, his defense is missing several key players. DE Shaun Ellis and LB Calvin Pace are both missing this game Sunday due to suspension. The Jets’ defense was awful in the preseason, giving up 23 or more points in every game. They’ll have their hands full against a Houston offense that put up 25.7 points/game at home last season, going 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in front of their home fans. Matt Schaub is back at the helm, and this Texans’ offense is one of the most potent in the league with Schaub under center and healthy.
Tony Mathew's Free NFL Selection for September 13, 2009.
Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers
Selection: Philadelphia/Carolina Over 43 (-110)
Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Philadelphia Eagles face-off aganast the Carolina Panthers in Sunday's NFL contest.
The Philadelphia Eagles's defense in recent years has had trouble stopping the run and we don't see that changing this year. The Carolina Panthers will be able to put together consistent drives and get the ball in the end zone.
The Philadelphia Eagles have added a couple weapons to their offense and we believe they will show them off. We expect QB McNabb to have a big day dumping the ball off to Westbrook and using Maclin and Jackson down field.
To say the least, this game has shootout written all over it!
Take the Philadelphia Eagles/Carolina Panthers Over 43!
Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers
Selection: Philadelphia/Carolina Over 43 (-110)
Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Philadelphia Eagles face-off aganast the Carolina Panthers in Sunday's NFL contest.
The Philadelphia Eagles's defense in recent years has had trouble stopping the run and we don't see that changing this year. The Carolina Panthers will be able to put together consistent drives and get the ball in the end zone.
The Philadelphia Eagles have added a couple weapons to their offense and we believe they will show them off. We expect QB McNabb to have a big day dumping the ball off to Westbrook and using Maclin and Jackson down field.
To say the least, this game has shootout written all over it!
Take the Philadelphia Eagles/Carolina Panthers Over 43!
figured this would go here under "chatter"
I am a bit of a service plays forum noob so, who is worth following?
Yes, I know I should do some research as well, and I plan to confirm any picks/writeups with my own research
Who is worth following or fading?
Are there any overwhelming plays for today?
Any other advice you would give me?
I am a bit of a service plays forum noob so, who is worth following?
Yes, I know I should do some research as well, and I plan to confirm any picks/writeups with my own research
Who is worth following or fading?
Are there any overwhelming plays for today?
Any other advice you would give me?
