Sunday 05/03/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Benton

St. Louis -130 at WASHINGTON

Now on a 23-14 roll with Bonus Plays after the Phillies squeaked one out against the Mets in 10 innings. For Sunday’s freebie in baseball, we’ll lay some chalk with the Cardinals at Washington.

St. Louis on Saturday got a look at what life is like without Albert Pujols in the lineup, and it wasn’t pretty. With baseball’s fiercest hitter and home-run leader enjoying a scheduled day off, the Cardinals lost 6-1 to the Nationals, managing just that one run on five hits against somebody named Shairon Martis, who entered yesterday with 6.20 ERA, then went out and tossed a complete game.

Prior to Saturday, with Pujols in the lineup, the Cardinals had scored 15 runs in two games against the Nationals (and Prince Albert went deep in each game). What’s more, prior to yesterday, the Cardinals had scored at least five runs in 12 of their past 16 games – and yes, Pujols played in every one of those. I think you get the picture.

Today, Pujols will be back in the lineup and facing lefty John Lannan, who has a 4.61 ERA in five starts (with the Nationals losing all five). Not only that, but Lannan has served up SEVEN gopher balls in 27 1/3 innings. On the other hand, Lannan’s mound opposition today is Kyle Lohse, who is off to a phenomenal start (3-0, 1.97 ERA). And in contrast to Lannan, Lohse has allowed just one home run in 32 innings.

Lastly, despite yesterday’s result, the Cardinals are still 7-2 against Washington since the start of last season, they’ve lost back-to-back games just once all season and the Nationals (6-17) have won consecutive contests just once this year. Pretty easy call here. Lay the price with Pujols and the Redbirds.

5? WASHINGTON

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

Dallas at DENVER

For Sunday in the NBA, I feel the total in this Dallas-Denver game is a little low.

Recent series numbers show 3 straight series UNDERS, but the G-Man is thinking OVER all the way today.

Dallas did finish their series with San Antonio with OVERS in the last 2 games, and 4 of the 5 games played overall.

Denver was UNDER in their final 3 in their series with the Hornets, but don't blame them, as the Nuggets did ring the bell for triple-digits in the last pair of games.

The Nuggets have gone OVER in 8 of their last 11 home games, and Denver has also been HIGH in 9 of their last 13 games when favored.

Both teams should be quite fresh, and ready to put some points on the board at the Pepsi Center on Sunday.

G-Man going HIGH in Game One.

1♦ OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Money Line
979 CWS (-130) vs 980 TEX
Analysis: Member Play: Some old faces were back in the Sox lineup on Friday, as well as the new ones, and both played big roles. With Chris Getz and Jim Thome recovered from injury, and 2005 hero Scott Podsednik called up from Class AAA, the Sox beat the Rangers courtesy of those three players. Thome hit a three-run homer, while Podsednik scored on a Getz triple to break the tie. Meanwhile, Mark Buehrle continued to show why he is the ace of the staff, going six innings and allowing three runs on seven hits to improve to 4-0 on the year. Bobby Jenks picked up save No. 6; I expect a similar effort today as the White Sox look to erase yesterday's 9-6 loss from their minds. Starting pitcher John Danks had an uncharacteristically bad outing his last time out as he has worked his way up to being a solid starter. His ERA only jumped up to 2.74 with this performance, a testament to his three other starts this season and I expect him to be sharp today. Look for CHICAGO to improve to 7-4 (+4.2 units) on the road this season!
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[Rivergold]

All over the Celts last nite cuz stu feiner and the rodfather were both on them. Today they are on opposite sides on both games Stu has ATL and DALLAS while rodfather has MIAMI and DENVER. Bummer!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Theerodfather of Sports

Sunday May 3rd

NBA Playoffs

Miami+5 15 unit hitt play !!!!!!

Denver-6 15 unit hitt play !!!!!




Monday May 4th

Lakers-8 15 unit hitt play !!!!!
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GameHunter

2009 Record: 95-73, +50.1450 Lemongellos
Saturday: 4-3, +2.055 units

METS 1ST 5 INNS -105 (1.5 UNITS)
METS EVEN (1 UNIT)

UNDER CLE/DET 1ST 5 INNS 5 RUNS (-110) (1.5 UNITS)
UNDER CLE/DET 9 RUNS (-104) (1 UNIT)

UNDER LAA/NYY 1ST 5 INNS 5.5 RUNS (-110) (1.5 UNITS)
UNDER LAA/NYY 10 RUNS (EVEN) (1 UNIT)

UNDER STL/WASH 1ST 5 INNS 5 RUNS (-116) (1.25 UNITS)
UNDER STL/WASH 9 RUNS (-110) (0.75 UNITS)

BALTIMORE +124 (2 UNITS)

SEATTLE -117 (2 UNITS)

SAN FRANCISCO -113 (1.5 UNITS)

OVER CIN/PITT 8.5 RUNS (+105) (1.5 UNITS)

FLORIDA +155 (1.25 UNITS)
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[johnrydizzle]

does anyone have dr bond or vegas runner when available.... they are both on fire

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LEE KOSTROSKI

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays

After a promising first week of the season Baltimore continues to slide, having lost five straight and 13 of the last 16. The top starter for the Orioles, Jeremy Guthrie takes the ball looking to avoid the sweep but the odds are stacked against him. Guthrie has allowed three or more runs in four of his five starts this season and he has walked eleven while posting just 16 strikeouts. Guthrie’s worst effort came in his only road start and he will give way to a terrible Orioles bullpen. Baltimore lost another game in the pen last night and Orioles relievers have combined for a 6.22 ERA.

Toronto’s bullpen has been very solid even with the injury to closer B.J. Ryan. Toronto owns a 2.98 bullpen ERA and today’s starter Scott Richmond may not need a lot of help. The Canadian native has pitched brilliantly in his first full season with the big league club and although he likely would not have got this chance without injuries in the rest of the rotation he has quickly made his mark. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in his starts and he has allowed just seven earned runs in over 23 innings this season. Richmond has a 2:1 strikeout to walk ratio and he pitched six innings of shutout ball the one time he faced the Orioles in his career.

Toronto is hitting .295 on the season as the offense continues to click and those numbers are even stronger over the last ten games to suggest some staying power for the Blue Jays. Baltimore owns above average offensive numbers but it has not been enough to counteract the lousy pitching results. The Orioles have lost 13 of the last 16 meetings between these teams and because Richmond is a lesser known pitcher this is a very reasonable price on a team with one of the best records in baseball playing at home against a greatly struggling Baltimore team.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Colorado at San Francisco

San Francisco starter Barry Zito is 5-2 with a 2.57 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Rockies. The Giants are 15-6 their 21 games vs. righty starters and they are 13-6 in Game 3 of a series. San Francisco is 7-3 with Zito vs. NL West teams. Colorado is 20-44 their last 64 games as road underdogs and they are 2-6 their last 8 road games overall. The Rockies are 2-8 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 1-4 vs. lefty starters. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO - (Zito vs. Hammel)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

The Rockies are 9-13 to start the season. On the road they are 5-8. The Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 road games. In their last 6 games following a win they are 1-5. They are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a lefty. The Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. in their last 10 overall they are 7-3. Zito has pitched a lot better so far this year and the Giants have won 2 of his last 3 starts, Play on the San Francisco Giants -.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets

This is a classic case of sell high, buy low. The Nuggets went 5-0 ATS in the 1st Round and beat Dallas in all four regular season meetings. However, two of those games were played when the Mavs didn't have Josh Howard and there's no doubt that Dallas came into the playoffs playing their best basketball of the season. Three of Denver's wins over Dallas this year came by three points or less. Kenyon Martin will have problems containing Dirk Nowitzki

Play on: Dallas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

New York Mets -105

We cashed a winning ticket on the Philadelphia Phillies vs. the New York Mets yesterday, but we now look for the Mets to take the rubber match of this series.

John Maine had been a major disappointment for the Mets, but it looks like he turned the corner in his last start and finally showed what he is capable of, when he limited the Florida Marlins to an unearned run and just one hit in six innings. More importantly, we look for him to carry over that success vs. a Phillies team that he has always pitched well against, as he has allowed three runs or less in all nine of his career starts against them, including three starts last season.

Conversely, Joe Blanton has still not quite figured things out this season. He is 0-2 with a horrendous 8.41 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 20.1 innings, and the most alarming part is that he is not really showing signs of improvement. Blanton was lit up for six earned runs and eight hits in only 4.1 innings by the light-hitting Washington Nationals last time out, and he also failed poorly the last time he faced the Mets, surrendering five earned runs and eight hits in six frames.

Finally, the Mets bullpen currently ranks fourth in the majors with a collective 3.12 ERA, while the Phillies are struggling along with a 4.05 pen ERA, so look for the Mets to take the series.

Pick: Mets -105

 

[Micha360]

Who is the M's????

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jake Timlin

Back to the NBA today and where I am 7-3-1 with playoff freebies.

Well making it 8-3-1 today I like the Hawks at home minus the game 7 points. Yes in what has been the less entertaining series out east I look for yet another blowout win for the home team here today. You see so far in the six games played not one game has been close as the winners in all six games has won by double digits, including the Hawks posting 15 point win in their last game in this series. In fact in the series it is the Hawks who have won and covered 2 of the last 3 games played and thanks now to being at home for a game 7 I look for Atlanta to make it 3 of 4 as they advance in the series with yet another double digit win. Flat out, I liked Atlanta to win this series a week ago and nothing has changed as thanks to being at home it will be Atlanta advancing to the next round.

PICK: Atlanta Hawks

 

[golfball]

GREG SHAKER'S 3 DIME MLB TOTAL HAMMER

MLB: Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves - Under 8 (Rodriguez/Reyes) -110
Game Date: 5/3/2009
Note: How do you have a 2-2 record with an ERA of 1.69? You play for the Astros, that's how. They are not hitting the ball well and especially verses lefties on the road this year at just .167. Wandy is likely to give us a nice start and Reyes is likely to have a decent outing as well. The Braves are OK at striking Southpaws but most recently they are not and over the last 10 are well below the .225 mark. Both Pens performing very well right now as well, and especially Atlanta's which has amassed a 1.29 ERA over the last 10 played. It is going to be tough to gather up 9 runs in this game today. Sometimes handicapping a baseball game is just plain common sense. This one makes a lot of that.
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This is NOT his 3 DIME MLB TOTAL PLAY. It is his free forum play.

 

[mp5070]

TheErodFather

miami+5 15 unit hitt play !!!!!!

Denver-6 15 unit hitt play !!!!!

Monday may 4th

lakers-8 15 unit hitt play !!!!!

 

[TheSaint]

TCovers is on fire, thanks for posting him every day

 

[mike viani]

genco

Burns NBA

Basketball (NBA)

ATLANTA

Game: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Game Time: 5/3/2009 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Atlanta Hawks *Opening Rd GOY
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oppening found

 

[mike viani]

genco

no halfbets

 

[smoke333]

All over the Celts last nite cuz stu feiner and the rodfather were both on them. Today they are on opposite sides on both games Stu has ATL and DALLAS while rodfather has MIAMI and DENVER. Bummer!

Go with the rodfather.. stu is a fat fuck no good piece of shit liar.