Shot,
I give you credit - you always have the most reasoned responses here from the Conservative side.
Again, he's predicting elections, not political preference, his credibility depends on it.
Yes, he has changed his opinion to reflect developments regarding the outcome, just like polls swung from favoring Kerry huge after Democratic convention to Bush after Republican convention.
This is his best estimate at the latest post in time. I would also argue that as you get closest to the date of the event that you have to start getting more accurate.
I give you credit - you always have the most reasoned responses here from the Conservative side.
Again, he's predicting elections, not political preference, his credibility depends on it.
Yes, he has changed his opinion to reflect developments regarding the outcome, just like polls swung from favoring Kerry huge after Democratic convention to Bush after Republican convention.
This is his best estimate at the latest post in time. I would also argue that as you get closest to the date of the event that you have to start getting more accurate.