Conclusions you mentioned, however, are just guesses, or in some cases, false positives. Sharp handicappers who are whales like me know that most teams are still finding themselves and will for the first month of the season. Once a team has four games under its belt, it's much safer to draw conclusions about any team's strengths or weaknesses with the lines. That does not mean there aren't good wagering opportunities out there for fans & social players who like to bet on the NFL. But at this point, it's more to your advantage to make small bets, and save the larger bets for later in the season. I use money management system from late Bob Martin[ Vegas ] Slow moves for 1st three weeks with my bets and I press bets a lot with short money on 1st 3 weeks of NFL season. You sir are only as strong as your bankroll/ Books have a bigger one. Getting even on your bankroll at the end of season is joke for me as a major player!!! Why because you were even at start of season with same jingle in your pocket minus the juice//LOL !!! My record speaks for it self from the Rx members & friends that follow my threads on my picks and bets that I post.I think three of these four cover or win this week.
But if you've bought into the jags and bet them to open a season the past few year; they've left you broke. I can speak for the Jags in particular. Every year they're "ready" and every year opening week, they're the same old Jaguars and don't cover, usually getting their butts blown off.
~Respectively HarryTheHat~