SSI's NBA Plays for March

[SSI]

guys im running short on time this morning, im posting the dall/hou game now and will post the remaining card in about 2.5 hrs.. this thing may be worth checking out, but do what you will...

system record: 26-12 (38 plays) (+$1380) at pinnacle for $100 per play.

39. Dal/Hou under 195 (-1.04)

 

[SSI]

before i step out for a couple of hours, id like to add one play now..

40. Det/Sac over 191 (-1.05) at pinnacle..

will list the other 7 plays in a short while.. all plays are system plays and are flat bet only for $100, while this system shapes up..

 

[quantumleap]

it seems to work that way but not always and the mid 190's could go either way. in developing this system, i wanted to come to what i called a TRUE number, i feel the book places a perceived number on a game and i want to develop a better number.. also i dont care about winning all the games only a 55-56% mark, then you can write your own check...

way too early for me to be discussing anything --in the way of what im doing.. im interested in seeing what this looks like in a month, when i have 225 bets behind me... tonight will be very interesting with 12 games on the board...

I believe the linesmakers don't put the line at what they think it will be, rather what they can get more of the public to bet the wrong side. If this is true then betting closer to what the actual game should be will net you winners.

I'm not sure this is what you are doing but the principle is still the same when you say you are trying to bet the TRUE number.

Good luck.

 

[SSI]

System Record: 26-12 (+$1380), all posted here and played at Pinnacle Sports for $100.

Sundays Entire Card:

39. Dal/Hou under 195 (-1.04)

40. Det/Sac over 191 (-1.05)

41. Minn/Bos over 196 (-1.02)

42. Utah/SA over 181 (-1.03)

43. Tor/NO over 189 (-1.10)

44. Mia/Clev under 197 (-1.06)

45. GST/NY under 202.5 (-1.05)

46. Phx/Sea under 224.5 (+1.00)

47. Ind/LA over 190 (-1.10).

in theroy what im doing is trying to set a better number than the books perceived number.. Im using a mathematical formula for about 80% of this process consisting of several stats and variables. The remaining 20% consists of things such as trends, series trends, injuries, travel... I am in no way claiming any kind of long term win % for this and feel about back testing almost like i feel about paper trading stocks and commodities, not very highly. My only goal is to maintain a very long win % of 55-56%, however the big difference lies in me playing all the totals... My best to everyone.

 

[SSI]

Looks like a 3-3-1 day working with the last 2 games on the board still pending.. going to need a little help to pull those in..

 

[SSI]

nice finish to another winning day, so far looks like ive had the better number.

Sundays Plays: 5-3-1 (+$180)

System Record: 31-15-1 (+$1560)

 

[oracleman]

Great job SSI!!!

I just started looking at your total thread and they are IMPRESSIVE!!! I like playing totals. Will follow you more closely.

Thanks for the picks.

 

[SSI]

Hope you guys enjoyed another winning day yesterday... My totals system has done better than i could have imagined, almost 68% winners over all the games listed for the first 6 days that ive posted it, dont know if you guys know how difficult it is to do that or not.... I do not expect this percentage to be maintained, i do however project a longterm percentage of 56% or better, claims much higher than this longterm are total BS, take it from someone who has been around the block for about 19yrs now.. I am also in the process of testing this, as it will apply to MLB totals as well. Can you imagine the profits on a 56% winning percentage for every MLB game (that 162 X 32) for the entire season..

Well on to the capping and enough of the talking crap, the proof is ALWAYS in the pudding...

Entire Posted Record for 2005: 59-40-1 (+19.73 units).

System Record: 31-15-1 (+$1560 or +15.60 units).

Mondays Plays:

48. Mia/Phil under 203 (-1.08)

49. Mil/Chi under 195 (-1.07)

50. Tor/Dal over 200.5 (-1.09)

51. Port/Den under 194 (-1.05)

52. Mem/Lac over 181 (-1.03)

all plays listed and played at pinnacle sports for $100.. all my best to everyone.

 

[SSI]

well guys it looks like a 2-2 night so far with the late game pending, i had a bad feeling about the port/den total.. Really need that late game to post another winning night.. Here in the south we have a saying.

"You can lead a horse to water but you cant make him drink."

continued to success to all..

 

[SSI]

3-2 (+$87) for monday, another winning night.

System record: 34-17-1 (+$1647)

well the first week wrapped up nicely. Lets see what week 2 brings. Big card tonight. Would also like to caution everyone by saying that --- the lofty winning percentage probably wont continue,,, yes ive enjoyed it this week but i came into this week with a desire to win 56% of ALL the games.. People making claims of anything much higher LONGTERM are mistaken.. Take that FWIW.

 

[GREENHEAD]

SSI,congratulations on your first week.Whats even more amazing is that you dont "shop" very hard either.Continued sucess the rest of the year.

 

[SSI]

Total Posted Record YTD (2005): 62-42-1 (+20.60 units)

System Record: 34-17-1 (+$1647 or +16.47 units)

System Plays for tuesday March 8

53. GST/Phil under 207 (+1.00)

54. Orl/Clev over 197 (-1.05)

55. Wash/NY under 204 (-1.05)

56. Atl/Mil under 194 (-1.01)

57. Char/Minn over 185.5 (+1.00)

58. NJ/SA over 181.5 (+1.02)

59. Ind/Utah over 182.5 (-1.07)

60. Mem/Sac over 193 (-1.08)

61. Hou/Sea under 195 (-1.07)

62. LAC/LAK under 197 (-1.02)

very large card for today, all bets were made at Pinnacle Sports for $100 each.

Greenhead: Unfortunately i dont have the time or desire to shop for lines throughout the day.. I enjoy spending about an hour working on my selections and simply turning in my plays at Pinny. The reduced juice is a big plus.. My best to all... Hoping that others have benefited from my nice run..

 

[MickyD]

well guys it looks like a 2-2 night so far with the late game pending, i had a bad feeling about the port/den total.. Really need that late game to post another winning night.. Here in the south we have a saying.

"You can lead a horse to water but you cant make him drink."

continued to success to all..

SSI I like to say

You can lead a horse to water but a pencil must be lead. GOOD LUCK

 

[SSI]

I say, 3 moles come out of a hole.

Mole 1 says, "i smell biscuits".

Mole 2 says, "i smell gravy".

Mole 3 says, "i smell mole-asses..

 

[SSI]

so nobody liked the joke?

Did anyone like the plays?

 

[duderinow]

Good job on your early picks, hopefully you will finish strong as well.

Keep up the good work SSI

Duder

 

[SSI]

you never know duder, this is the nba where anything can and does happen.. the run has been amazing, now 36-17-1 through all 54 games in march... with 8 more pending tonight...

 

[SSI]

currently 4-3 on the evening, with the final 3 late games pending, going to need a little help in those, will sort it out in the morning, hoping for the best..

 

[SSI]

5-5 (-$18) on the night, gotta love the reduced juice..

System record: 39-22-1 (+$1629)

 

[SSI]

retiring thread, will post plays in a daily thread..