Hey Milwaukee I like what you are doing. Since more people are going to start to follow your thread and plenty more questions are going to be asked lets try to work out any questions right now.
Looking at your Spreadsheet the first column lists the teams playing each other. The team in Blue is the odds favorite while the team in red is the odds underdog.
Next you give pitcher matchups, which for some days like today gets thrown out the window with changes like no Hernandez for the Mets, which should throw that games results out the window, correct?
Quote and H2H have to do with your "secret formula" and since it will remain secret doesn't matter if we understand them at all.
Value is what your formula comes up with, even though they are listed with a comma instead of a period they should read "5.5" not "5,5" for those that use American Odds/Stats. The comma instead of the period threw me off at first.
The value number then gives you the favorite or play. Todays numbers have the play as 7 odds favorites and 3 odds underdogs.
Now you list values between
Value > 10: 5-3
Value > 6: 16-24
Value > 4: 25-13
Dog > Value 0.1: 41-41
My understanding was that the plays of over 10.0 were the strongest and that would mean plays closer to 0.0 would be the weakest. Is this not the case? Early results would say so since values at <6 have been hitting the most and produced the best results while dogs have been big winners too.
Today's strongest value is 7.3 on Baltimore who is an odds dog.
While the weakest value is 0.1 on San Francisco who is an odds favorite followed by CA Angels at 0.7 who is also an odds favorite.
Ace-Ace what do you make of this?
Would seem the best plays are in the 4 to 6 and over 10 range. Yet dogs are still hitting decently.
-Brendan