Spreadproof - NCCAB - Season Long Thread

[roc18]

gl man.

 

[spreadproof]

I was reading my lines way to fast today, I mistakenly took Iona and Siena, those lines were actually leaning the opposit way by a point or two each. I am going to try and predict the entire board tomorrow.

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/10/09 YTD (14-14) +1.35 Units

Started late so here is the first batch, West Virginia and Tennessee look like the best two of this group. Sorry for formatting on these, no time to do it. Make all plays for .25 units, we are going to be turning over an entire 20 unit bankroll today. I intend to prove that these lines do win today, yesterday I worked too fast, should of been a 5-2 day as you can see from my wagerline selections.. http://www.wagerline.com/sportscontests/profile.aspx?user=361818&sportID=7&type=0

West Virginia - 12:00 PM ET West Virginia +1.5 500
Marquette -
N.C. State - 12:00 PM ET Clemson -11.5 500
Clemson -
Louisville - 12:00 PM ET Louisville +2 500
Villanova -
Tennessee - 12:00 PM ET Tennessee -9 500
Georgia -
Hofstra - 12:00 PM ET VCU -13.5 500

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/10/09 1:00-1:30PM

Providence - 1:00 PM ET Georgetown -11.5 500
Georgetown -
Kansas - 1:00 PM ET Kansas +6 500
Michigan St -
Dayton - 1:00 PM ET Dayton -5 500
Massachusetts -
Oklahoma - 1:30 PM ET Kansas St. +1 500
Kansas St. -
Texas Tech - 1:30 PM ET Baylor -13 500
Baylor -
Tennessee St. - 7:00 PM ET Tennessee St. +8.5 500

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/10/09 2:00PM
Rhode Island - 2:00 PM ET Rhode Island +1.5 .25
St. Joseph’s -
Detroit - 2:00 PM ET Butler -20 .25
Butler -
Old Dominion - 2:00 PM ET George Mason -5.5 .25
George Mason -
Buffalo - 2:00 PM ET Buffalo +3.5 .25
Bowling Green -
South Florida - 2:00 PM ET South Florida +7 .25
DePaul -
Oregon - 2:00 PM ET Arizona St. -16 .25
Arizona St. -
Duke - 2:00 PM ET Duke -9.5 .25
Florida St. -
Missouri - 2:00 PM ET Missouri -2.5 .25
Nebraska -

 

[spreadproof]

Tennessee St. pick in the 1pm games was an accident, I have not run the numbers on it yet.

 

[spreadproof]

1/10/09 Final Plays List 3:00PM+
Time Selection Units
3:00 PM ET Rice +6.5 0.25

3:00 PM ET Wofford +1 0.25

3:00 PM ET Nevada -5 0.25

3:00 PM ET Austin Peay +5.5 0.25

3:00 PM ET Illinois -17.5 0.25

3:00 PM ET East Carolina +9 0.25

3:00 PM ET Toledo +2 0.25

3:00 PM ET Brigham Young -10 0.25

3:00 PM ET Northeastern -13.5 0.25

3:30 PM ET Appalachian St. -13.5 0.25

4:00 PM ET Ball St. +2 0.25

4:00 PM ET Virginia +7 0.25

4:00 PM ET Georgia Southern +12 0.25

4:00 PM ET Arizona -15.5 0.25

4:00 PM ET Drexel +2 0.25

4:00 PM ET Duquesne -1 0.25

4:00 PM ET Akron +7 0.25

4:00 PM ET Utah +4 0.25

4:00 PM ET Tulsa +3 0.25

4:15 PM ET Jacksonville St. +3 0.25

4:30 PM ET Connecticut -8 0.25

5:00 PM ET Memphis -12.5 0.25

5:30 PM ET UNLV -3.5 0.25

6:00 PM ET California +6 0.25

6:00 PM ET Mississippi +14.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Richmond +1.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Illinois St. -9.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -3.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Delaware -5.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Auburn +6 0.25

7:00 PM ET Western Carolina -11 0.25

7:00 PM ET Eastern Kentucky -5.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Chattanooga -13.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Harvard -7.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Tennessee St. +8.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET Miami-Florida +2.5 0.25

7:00 PM ET James Madison +1.5 0.25

7:05 PM ET Loyola-Chicago +2 0.25

7:05 PM ET Davidson -17 0.25

7:30 PM ET Cleveland St. -9 0.25

7:30 PM ET Syracuse -7.5 0.25

8:00 PM ET Arkansas St. +3.5 0.25

8:00 PM ET Texas-El Paso -5.5 0.25

8:00 PM ET Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5 0.25

8:00 PM ET UAB +3 0.25

8:00 PM ET Gonzaga -21 0.25

8:05 PM ET Creighton -2 0.25

8:05 PM ET Missouri St. +6.5 0.25

8:05 PM ET Mississippi St. +6 0.25

8:05 PM ET Evansville +3.5 0.25

8:05 PM ET Wright St. -1.5 0.25

8:30 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. -16 0.25

8:30 PM ET Louisiana-Lafayette +2 0.25

8:45 PM ET Eastern Illinois -3 0.25

9:00 PM ET Oklahoma St. -6.5 0.25

9:00 PM ET Montana -17 0.25

9:05 PM ET Utah St. +1 0.25

9:05 PM ET Hawaii +9.5 0.25

9:05 PM ET Northern Arizona +3.5 0.25

9:30 PM ET Air Force +13.5 0.25

10:00 PM ET Long Beach St. -1 0.25

10:00 PM ET UC Riverside +8.5 0.25

10:00 PM ET San Jose St. +4.5 0.25

10:00 PM ET UC Irvine +4 0.25

10:00 PM ET Stanford +2.5 0.25

10:05 PM ET Idaho State +11 0.25

 

[spreadproof]

All Tracking for results on these picks can be seen here.
http://www.wagerline.com/sportscontests/recordsbydate.aspx?ur=361818

 

[roc18]

damn, behind you small today. gl

 

[spreadproof]

Lol not as much as I had hoped but still profitable.
01/10/09 43-39-2 52.44% +50

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/14/09

Basketball - 775 Nebraska +2 -110 for Game (1 Unit)
Basketball - 799 Baylor -1½ -110 for Game (1 Unit)
Basketball - 801 Cal State Northridge +1 -110 for Game (1 Unit)

Parlay all 3 for .5 unit, Take Nebraska and Northridge on the ML should be +105, and +110, then buy .5 pts on Baylor to get it to -1

I have done a lot of research into my lines and found the best performance possible. Including back testing for 2007. It came in at a 3-1 win rate and some very nice perfect days. I will suggest parlays when I see that you have a great chance to hit them.

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/15/2009 YTD (15-16) +.5 Units

1 Unit Each, Yesterday went 1-2, I expect a bounce back today.

Basketball - 571 The Citadel pk -110 for Game
Basketball - 575 Georgia Southern -1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 585 Murray State +2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 593 Eastern Kentucky -1 -110 for Game

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/17/09 YTD (18-17) +2.4 Units

1 Unit Each.

Basketball - 553 Cincinnati +1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 555 Idaho +1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 571 BYU -1½ -110 for Game
Basketball - 579 UC Davis pk -110 for Game
Basketball - 603 Kansas State pk -110 for Game
Basketball - 621 Central Florida -2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 633 Middle Tennessee State -1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 665 Marquette -2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 679 Pacific +1½ -110 for Game
Basketball - 701 Murray State +1½ -110 for Game

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/18/09 YTD (23-22) +1.9 Units

Basketball - 817 Minnesota U +1½ -110 for Game over Northwestern

This has been slow on making any progress but I am very confident it will take off from here on out.

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/20/09 YTD (23-23) +.8 Units

1 Unit Each.
Basketball - 717 Creighton -1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 719 Western Michigan -1½ -110 for Game
Basketball - 733 Michigan +2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 737 Tennessee -1½ -110 for Game

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/21/09 YTD (25-25) +.6 Units

I have had a lot of 50/50 action, I am hoping to break that streak with a strong 3 play day.

1 Unit Each.

Basketball - 537 Florida U. +1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 577 Drake +1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 587 Missouri +1½ -110 for Game

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/22/09 YTD (26-26) +.5 Units

Last night juiced again as Florida went from a Win to a push in the final seconds, 1-1-1

I am looking for some progress tonight with this large group of plays.

I also played a small parlay with Samford, Western Carolina, and Cincinnatti for .5 unit as those appear to be the best overall plays.

1 Unit Each.
Basketball - 705 North Texas +1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 709 Providence -2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 715 Purdue -1 -110 for Game
Basketball - 739 New Mexico State +1½ -110 for Game
Basketball - 741 Cincinnati pk -110 for Game
Basketball - 763 Western Carolina -1½ -110 for Game
Basketball - 767 Samford +2 -110 for Game
Basketball - 771 Wofford +1½ -110 for Game

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/24/09 YTD (31-29) +2.4 Units

1 Unit Each
Basketball - 601 Connecticut -2 -110 for Game **
Basketball - 627 New Mexico -1½ -110 for Game **
Basketball - 661 Samford -2 -110 for Game **
Basketball - 685 Tennessee Tech +2 -110 for Game ***

I have added a new * system for those of you that want a measurement of how high I rate each play, I play them for 1 unit each personally no matter how highly rated they are. The system goes 1 to 3 stars, most of the plays now will be 2 as I do not consider 1 star as a play any more.

 

[spreadproof]

Plays 1/25/09 YTD (35-29) +6.4 Units

Yesterday went a perfect 4-0.

1 Unit Each

Basketball - 825 Florida U. -1 -110 for Game *
Basketball - 839 Richmond +2 -110 for Game **
Basketball - 843 Pittsburgh +1 -110 for Game **
Basketball - 847 Northern Iowa +2 -110 for Game **

 

[spreadproof]

After reviewing the record, the *** plays are 18-5 since Jan 1, 2009. Given that information, I will start playing 3 star picks for 2 Units.