Sportgrinder 2009 Soccer Thread

[SportGrinder]

Heracles vs. AZ. Take AZ for -0,5 and -1 at 1.719.
3 unit game.

AZ will take this down. I am only really questioning if they will win by 1 or 2 goals... I took the 0,5 as an insurance so we atleast push the 1 and win the 0,5 when they win. Heracles has a terrible form, not 1 win in its 8 last games, whereas AZ goes like the train, with 21 wins in its last 24 games, where the other 3 where draws.

3 unit game

 

[SportGrinder]

1 unit game
KSV Roeselare vs. RAEC Mons. Take over 2,5 for 2,01.

Pretty much everytime says this will go over 2,5. Last 2 years meetings have ended 6-1, 3-4, 1-1, 1-0 in Mons favor. Since the break, KSV has an average of 2,75 scored each game while Mons average 2,8. While this is 2 bottom teams that face, KSV has been going on an upward form with home advantage after the break, winning 2 of 3, while drawing in the other one. Mons on the other hand has 1 win in 17 games. This game will end in a 2-1 favor for KSV.

 

[SportGrinder]

I am adding Man UTD - Blackburn. Take No for "Will Both Teams Score" at 1.60. Mostly because I think that Man UTD will get away with another clean sheet and taking over the european record for clean sheets. 1 unit.

 

[SportGrinder]

Nice evening

Wth did Man Utd do, playing their second keeper when a record is that really really close. Meh. Thought that was a nice bet but then I saw that Saar wont play. Ahwell, shit happens.

3unit 2-0-0
2unit 2-1-0
1unit 4-3-2

Total: 8-4-2 +8,6166 units

 

[SportGrinder]

I only have 4 quick 1 unit games so far. Will start scouting more heavily now for some golden games.

Red Bull Salzburg/Rapid Wien (O 2.5) for Game. 1.704
Anderlecht/Standard Liege (U 2.5) for Game 1.935
Parma (-0.5) vs Brescia for Game. 2.040 ((((This may be upgraded to 2 units)))
Basel vs FC Zurich (0 and +0.5) for Game 1.926

 

[SportGrinder]

Sampdoria vs Atalanta (0 and +0.5) for Game. 2040
Sampdoria/Atalanta (U 2 and 2.5) for Game 1.943

 

[SportGrinder]

Red Bull Salzburg/Rapid Wien (O 2.5) for Game. Won. +0,704
Basel vs FC Zurich (0 and +0.5) for Game. Lost. -1
Sampdoria vs Atalanta (0 and +0.5) for Game. Lost. -1
Sampdoria/Atalanta (U 2 and 2.5) for Game. Won. +0.943

So far, we are 2-2 and -0,353

Lets hope for a nice finish in the:
Parma (-0.5) vs Brescia for Game
Anderlecht/Standard Liege (U 2.5) for Game

Have a good feeling for both games

 

[SportGrinder]

Updated

3unit 2-0-0
2unit 2-1-0
1unit 4-3-2

Total: 11-7-2 +8,3036 units

 

[SportGrinder]

Going to try me new handicapping system based entirely on stats and my own skills. More focused on volume rather than pure pics. But the 2 units games are solid ones and the 1 unit games are plays with some value and 3 unit games are locks

Atlético Madrid vs. FC Porto. Take Porto +0,5 for 1,862. 2 units
Olympique Lyon vs. Barcelona. Take Lyon 0,5 for 1,909. 1 unit
Arsenal vs. AS Roma. Take AS Roma +0,5 for 1,87 for 2 units
Inter Milan vs. Manchester United. Take Inter Milan PK and -0,5 for 1,885 for 1 unit.

AS Beauvais Oise vs. AS Cherbourg. Take Cherbourg PK and +0,5 for 1,833 for 1 unit
Aviron Bayonnais FC vs. FC Istres. Take FC Istres -0,5 for 2,07 for 2 units.

BV Veendam vs. FC Omniworld. Take Omniworld +0,5 and +1 for 1,926 for 1 unit.

Fulham vs. Swansea City AFC. Take Fulham -0,5 for 1,847 for 2 units.
Coventry City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers. Take Coventry for PK for 2,15 for 1 unit.

Best of luck

 

[Frankinho]

You're doing good mate, applause!!

 

[SportGrinder]

CL is looking meh atm with 1-2½-1 at half time, reports saying Man UTD is dominating. Meh. Atleast, 1 game that has ended finished nicely. AS Beauvais Oise vs. AS Cherbourg. Cherbourg PK for a 0,833 unit win. Omniworld leading with 1-0 with 80 minutes played, guess I can lock that one Now go Istres. 10 minutes to go

 

[SportGrinder]

Today:
Atlético Madrid vs. FC Porto. WIN
Olympique Lyon vs. Barcelona. WIN
Arsenal vs. AS Roma. LOST
Inter Milan vs. Manchester United. LOST ½

AS Beauvais Oise vs. AS Cherbourg. WIN
Aviron Bayonnais FC vs. FC Istres. LOST

BV Veendam vs. FC Omniworld. WIN

Fulham vs. Swansea City AFC. WIN
Coventry City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers. WIN

3unit 2-0-0
2unit 4-3-0
1unit 8-5-2

Total: 14-8-2 +11,0396 units for a 2,7360 unit day

Disappointed that my 2 unit bets went 2-2

 

[SportGrinder]

Lets get another good day here.

Chelsea vs. Juventus. Take Juventus +0,5 for 2,16. 1 unit
Real Madrid vs. Liverpool. Take Real Madrid -0,5 for 2.06. 2 units.
Chelsea vs. Juventus. Take Under 2 for 1,971 for 1 unit.
Cefn Druids AFC vs. Caernarfon Town FC take home team for 1.9 for 1 unit

Not a big play day

 

[SportGrinder]

3unit 2-0-0
2unit 4-4-0
1unit 9-7-2

Total: 15-11-2 +8,0106 units.

Crappy crappy day.

 

[SportGrinder]

FC Metalist Kharkiv vs. Sampdoria. Take Under 2 and2,5 for 1.671.
-This will be a really low scoring game. Metalist average 0,33 home and 0,25 at away in conceding goals. They won with 1-0 away and is playing to secure a qualification to the next round so we can expect results in the neighborhoud of 1-1, 1-0 0-1 2-0 and the like.

Solid 2 unit game

CSKA Moskva vs. Aston Villa. Take Aston Villa +1 for 1.855.
I can definately see CSKA winning this but scoring 2 vs Aston Villa when they are already through on the away goal. 1-0 is a likely result but the +1 for Villa has some nice value to it.

1 unit

VfL Wolfsburg vs. PSG. Take Wolfsburg -0,5 for 1,862. Wolfsburg is a really strong home team with 12!!! straight home wins and vs a PSG that won the first leg with 2-0 that wont be really offensive. Wolfsburg will win this.

2 unit game

Deportivo La Coruña vs. Aalborg BK. Take Aalborg BK +1 and +1,5 for 1.87. Solid bet. Deportivo is a meh team atm with a lousy form, and winning this by 2 goals is going to be really hard. They will open up for all kinds of counterattacks having lost the first leg with 3-0. This is going to be a 2 unit bet for sure

 

[SportGrinder]

Christ. Metalist up by 2 already. I was close on betting this as 1. Should have known its hard to play in russia, atleast we can get a push/win in this for a half win

 

[SportGrinder]

Another bad night. Would have been kind of okay if CSKA wouldnt have scored in the 93 minute!

3unit 2-0-0
2unit 6-5-0
1unit 9-8-2

Total: 17-13-2 +7,4206 units.

 

[chelseafan1]

not a bad record

 

[SportGrinder]

ty

Chelsea vs. Wigan Athletic. Take Wigan +1,5 for 2,02. 1 unit.

Wigan has been really hard to get a goal on lately, on their last 15 premier league matches they have only conceded 2 goals once, and that was vs the crazy newcastle. I take Wigan +1,5 here and expect a 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Chelsea.

Arsenal vs. Fulham. Take Fulham +1 and +1,5 for 2.00. 1 unit.

Arsenal cant lose atm, but they also have a very hard time scoring. Fulham is on a nice streak with only 3 loses in 15 games, all had been away games to Man UTD, West Ham and Sunderland. They have played good lately and a derby here means they will rise even more and give Arsenal a good fight. I think 1-1 is a likely outcome so I go for Fulham.

Juventus vs. Napoli. Take Juventus -0,5 for 1.67 for 2 unit.

Juventus are really strong at home, facing a formwise really really bad Napoli who is 0-2-6 is their last 8 games and an even worse 0-0-8 in their last 8 away games. I take Juventus here thinking that they will win this one easily and a nice 2 unit investment

Sochaux vs. Nice. Take Nice PK and +0,5 for 2,05 for 1 unit.

These 2 teams last meetups have ended with a 2-7-1 favor to Sochaux (win/draw/losses). Add in that Sochaux likes to play alot draws lately vs a Nice that can perform well at times, but who's form is slumping a little bit. I think this will be a draw with a little little little edge to sochaux and thats why i take the +0,5 line aswell.

Auxerre vs. Toulouse. Take Toulouse PK and +0,5 for 1,78 for 1 unit

Toulouse is really strong atm with only 1 loss in its last 15 games while Auxerre only has shown 1 win in its last 5 home games. The thing that makes this not a 2 unit bet is that Toulouse hasnt won at away vs Auxerre in since 99... I still think there are some value and that this game will finish a draw alot of the time.

Hannover 96 vs. Bayer Leverkusen. Take Hannover 96 for +0,5 for 1,893. 1 unit

Hannover is a really really strong home team with an amazing 1 loss in its last 18 home games. The reason why they are so low in the table is because of their away playing. They are facing a strong Leverkusen but who has shown 2 wins in 7 games and a slumping form. They should have a hard time in Hannover.

Hertha BSC vs. Borussia M'gladbach. take Hertha for the win for 1.602. 2 units.

Top vs Bottom and a really nice odds for that. Hertha has shown down 8 straight home wins in the league and is 10-2-3 in its last 15 league games. They lost the last league game vs Wolfsburg at away and are after a revenge here. Borussia hasnt much to show and will likely be dropped down this year. Their away games read 1-2-7 so far this season. I think this is a solid 2 unit game that will end around the 2-0 3-0 mark

Thats all for now. GL

 

[SportGrinder]

5-1 so far today with 2 pending. Juve in the lead