Since 2005 at least 1 road underdog getting at least 4.5 points has won outright in divisional round

[Acebb]

I just dont understand the point of saying "4.5" when every game this weekend is 7.5 and up. Patriots chargers at 4.5 isnt even an upset. Its barely home field advantage.

I said 4.5, because that is the line of the upset that year. Again, this isn't complicated.

The Chargers were 14-2 that year and had homefield. The loss got Marty fired.

Just stop dude.

 

[Acebb]

My bet would be San Diego or the Colts.

.

On paper, it seems as if those are the best.

I have a funny feeling about the Saints game but with possible 50mph winds, not touching that one.

If I had to take a ML I think it would be Indy but I would also play San Diego

 

[bwhitey14]

My bet would be San Diego or the Colts.

I think New Orleans can cover, but not win. Colts have a small chance, but I could see them coming out flat after such an emotional game last week. San Diego is hot, playing well on both sides of the ball, and didn't need much to beat the Bengals, who flat out shit the bed.

I think this is the same trap that everyone falls into every year. There are (seemingly) more BIG road dogs in the playoffs. There shouldn't be near double-digit spreads in the 2nd round of the playoffs IMO. There shouldn't be such a disparity between the top and the bottom. Public will see Denver and all the records and easily lay 10 at home against the wild card team. Favorites to win the Super Bowl VERY RARELY do so, which means at least one of this upsets will hit this round or the next.

agreed on pretty much all counts

 

[Acebb]

1 down with 2 to go. The Saints game was a bit strange but they never really had a chance to win.
lets see if Luck can work some magic

 

[sendacash]

What's the sample size about 20 games?

 

[Acebb]

What's the sample size about 20 games?

32 games

 

[LCJJ]

Go Diego Go

 

[Acebb]

If you're a believer that this will hold BoloTie Money Line +300 is available.

Problem is, if it wins and you took $100 on the others you only break even.

 

[LCJJ]

Grabbed +325 yesterday when it was up for a little bit in the morning it has since been taking down local book.

 

[sendacash]

Unless I'm doing something wrong, I show there have been 21 games in week 19 whereby the road dog was getting at least 4.5 points since 2005. Did the NFL change the week number for the Divisional round in that time frame? You are correct though, there has been at least 1 SU away dog winner each year. If you change the line variable and make it a 7 point or greater dog you get at least 1 SU winner in every year since 2008. With the Saints and Colts already biting the dust, I guess its up to SD to keep the streak alive.

 

[Acebb]

Unless I'm doing something wrong, I show there have been 21 games in week 19 whereby the road dog was getting at least 4.5 points since 2005

hno:

You are correct. I was thinking sample size of all games played, which doesn't count. Yes, 21 games.