Week 2 plays (YTD: 10-14 -5.6345)
First two plays are bold as they were already played earlier this week
Week 2
2* Oregon -10 -105 (Greek)
2* LSU -14 -110 (Greek)
2.15* North Texas +3 -115 (Bodog)
.35* North Texas ML +125 (Greek)
2.35* UNLV +7 -103 (Matchbook)
.15* UNLV +7 +250 (Greek)
2.50* Arkansas State +21.5' -115 (BetJam)
2.25* Michigan +3 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Michigan ML +132 (Matchbook)
2* Duke ML -105 (Matchbook)
2* Boston College -21 +100 (Matchbook)
1.75* Idaho +21' -120 (Bodog)
1* Tenn Vols -10 -105 (BetJam)
1* Wyoming +23 -110 (Bodog)
.75* LA Tech +7.5 -105 (BetJam)
.75* San Jose State +14 -110 (Bodog)
.40* Stanford +3 -105 (BetJam)
.10* Stanford ML +134 (Matchbook)
.40* Air Force +3 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Air Force ML +130 (BetJam)
.50* East Carolina +7 115' (BetJam)
.35* UCONN +5 -110 (Bodog)
Rare write ups later tonight
First two plays are bold as they were already played earlier this week
Week 2
2* Oregon -10 -105 (Greek)
2* LSU -14 -110 (Greek)
2.15* North Texas +3 -115 (Bodog)
.35* North Texas ML +125 (Greek)
2.35* UNLV +7 -103 (Matchbook)
.15* UNLV +7 +250 (Greek)
2.50* Arkansas State +21.5' -115 (BetJam)
2.25* Michigan +3 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Michigan ML +132 (Matchbook)
2* Duke ML -105 (Matchbook)
2* Boston College -21 +100 (Matchbook)
1.75* Idaho +21' -120 (Bodog)
1* Tenn Vols -10 -105 (BetJam)
1* Wyoming +23 -110 (Bodog)
.75* LA Tech +7.5 -105 (BetJam)
.75* San Jose State +14 -110 (Bodog)
.40* Stanford +3 -105 (BetJam)
.10* Stanford ML +134 (Matchbook)
.40* Air Force +3 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Air Force ML +130 (BetJam)
.50* East Carolina +7 115' (BetJam)
.35* UCONN +5 -110 (Bodog)
Rare write ups later tonight
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First two plays are bold as they were already played earlier this week
Week 2
2* Oregon -10 -105 (Greek)
2* LSU -14 -110 (Greek)
2.15* North Texas +3 -115 (Bodog)
.35* North Texas ML +125 (Greek)
2.35* UNLV +7 -103 (Matchbook)
.15* UNLV +7 +250 (Greek)
2.50* Arkansas State +21.5' -115 (BetJam)
2.25* Michigan +3 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Michigan ML +132 (Matchbook)
2* Duke ML -105 (Matchbook)
2* Boston College -21 +100 (Matchbook)
1.75* Idaho +21' -120 (Bodog)
1* Tenn Vols -10 -105 (BetJam)
1* Wyoming +33 -110 (Bodog) (typo)
.75* LA Tech +7.5 -105 (BetJam)
.75* San Jose State +14 -110 (Bodog)
.40* Stanford +3 -105 (BetJam)
.10* Stanford ML +134 (Matchbook)
.40* Air Force +3 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Air Force ML +130 (BetJam)
.50* East Carolina +7 115' (BetJam)
.35* UCONN +5 -110 (Bodog)
A few friends (followers, etc.) wanted me to start doing write ups so here I am. They are very aware though that I'm not going to sit here and tell you what you already know. What I mean by that is you should know who the great players are on both sides, the coaching pedigrees, trends, stats, or any other elementary tools being used by 99% of the handicappers out there. If I do mention a player or coach is likely due to the fact that I think hes below the radar, etc. Anyways I'm not trying to distinguish myself by painting these games with glossy colors and adorning them with butterflies or juicy common knowledge information. We have guys on ABC/ESPN, CBS, FOX, and people all over the internet, etc. to do that for me. To me all that its important is spot, perception,value, and matchups. I'm going to do to my best in breaking these down simplistically without being pretentious.
Note: I'm only going to do write ups for games of 2* or higher.
Value: I'll post the line I have
Spots: I'll discuss why this game favors us in terms of home field, motivation, etc.
Perception: How the public perceives the teams
Match ups: Self explanatory
Oregon vs Purdue
Value: Oregon -13.5
Spot: Purdue having to travel, Kelly having to prove his worth as HC, moving on from Blount, etc.
Perception: Do I really need to elaborate here
Match ups: Purdue defense sucks-coaching and passing edge.
LSU vs Vandy
Value: LSU -15.5
Spot: LSU back home, Defense playing with a chip on their shoulder, etc.
Perception: LSU defense sucks, Washington almost beat them, etc.
Match ups: More talent in skill positions, better O/D line play, coaching.
North Texas vs Ohio
Value: NT +2
Spot: I believe this will be the 2nd largest crowd that Ohio sees behind Tennessee's. They better bring their road game because people are excited in Denton. 2-0? Not since 1994. K I'll stop now this is getting to festive
Perception: Both teams suck, NT has been a doormat since before I can crawl. Ohio at least has been a decent team a couple years ago, etc.
Machups: UNT has quite a few weapons this year with their pop pass attack along with their strong run game. Defense is improved some, little penalties translates into a win.
UNLV vs Oregon State
Value: +6
Spot: Hosting a PAC-10 team in 18 years enough said
Perception: Middle tier WAC team vs last years surprise Pac-10 team.
Match ups: Best wideouts and 2nd best QB (very accurate) in the Wac vs questionable Beaver pass defense.
Arkansas State vs Cornholes
Value: +20.5
Spot: Arkansas State super bowl
Perception: Sun belt vs Big 12, good running game vs superior run defense, spread offense vs piss poor defense
Match ups: this game out of all my big games is the most unique. Typically I stay away from strength against strength but in this game I think Arkansas State coach Steve Roberts will have some tricks up his sleeve .You see coach Roberts always schedules these early Big 12 teams to get his team ready for the Sun Belt conference games. His team should be at towards the top of those standings again this year and this game is one hes been working on all off season long for.
Michigan vs Notre Dame
Value: ND -1
Spot: Big House
Perception: Notre Dame getting more love, more experience offense, etc.
Match ups: Michigan defense, Rich Rod had extra time to put in offensive wrinkles tehe
Duke vs Army
Value: Duke -2
Spot: Duke avoiding 0-2 start
Perception: Losing against Richmond
Match ups: Army wasn't as good as last week and Duke wasn't as bad. Duke still has the better talent, etc.
Boston College vs Kent
Value BC -21.5 (waited too long here hence 2* instead of 2.5*)
Perception: Talking heads don't talk about BC. So why they're giving so many points?
Match ups: Will Kent score? Remember the name Montel Harris, I'll stop there
Week 2
2* Oregon -10 -105 (Greek)
2* LSU -14 -110 (Greek)
2.15* North Texas +3 -115 (Bodog)
.35* North Texas ML +125 (Greek)
2.35* UNLV +7 -103 (Matchbook)
.15* UNLV +7 +250 (Greek)
2.50* Arkansas State +21.5' -115 (BetJam)
2.25* Michigan +3 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Michigan ML +132 (Matchbook)
2* Duke ML -105 (Matchbook)
2* Boston College -21 +100 (Matchbook)
1.75* Idaho +21' -120 (Bodog)
1* Tenn Vols -10 -105 (BetJam)
1* Wyoming +33 -110 (Bodog) (typo)
.75* LA Tech +7.5 -105 (BetJam)
.75* San Jose State +14 -110 (Bodog)
.40* Stanford +3 -105 (BetJam)
.10* Stanford ML +134 (Matchbook)
.40* Air Force +3 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Air Force ML +130 (BetJam)
.50* East Carolina +7 115' (BetJam)
.35* UCONN +5 -110 (Bodog)
A few friends (followers, etc.) wanted me to start doing write ups so here I am. They are very aware though that I'm not going to sit here and tell you what you already know. What I mean by that is you should know who the great players are on both sides, the coaching pedigrees, trends, stats, or any other elementary tools being used by 99% of the handicappers out there. If I do mention a player or coach is likely due to the fact that I think hes below the radar, etc. Anyways I'm not trying to distinguish myself by painting these games with glossy colors and adorning them with butterflies or juicy common knowledge information. We have guys on ABC/ESPN, CBS, FOX, and people all over the internet, etc. to do that for me. To me all that its important is spot, perception,value, and matchups. I'm going to do to my best in breaking these down simplistically without being pretentious.
Note: I'm only going to do write ups for games of 2* or higher.
Value: I'll post the line I have
Spots: I'll discuss why this game favors us in terms of home field, motivation, etc.
Perception: How the public perceives the teams
Match ups: Self explanatory
Oregon vs Purdue
Value: Oregon -13.5
Spot: Purdue having to travel, Kelly having to prove his worth as HC, moving on from Blount, etc.
Perception: Do I really need to elaborate here
Match ups: Purdue defense sucks-coaching and passing edge.
LSU vs Vandy
Value: LSU -15.5
Spot: LSU back home, Defense playing with a chip on their shoulder, etc.
Perception: LSU defense sucks, Washington almost beat them, etc.
Match ups: More talent in skill positions, better O/D line play, coaching.
North Texas vs Ohio
Value: NT +2
Spot: I believe this will be the 2nd largest crowd that Ohio sees behind Tennessee's. They better bring their road game because people are excited in Denton. 2-0? Not since 1994. K I'll stop now this is getting to festive
Perception: Both teams suck, NT has been a doormat since before I can crawl. Ohio at least has been a decent team a couple years ago, etc.
Machups: UNT has quite a few weapons this year with their pop pass attack along with their strong run game. Defense is improved some, little penalties translates into a win.
UNLV vs Oregon State
Value: +6
Spot: Hosting a PAC-10 team in 18 years enough said
Perception: Middle tier WAC team vs last years surprise Pac-10 team.
Match ups: Best wideouts and 2nd best QB (very accurate) in the Wac vs questionable Beaver pass defense.
Arkansas State vs Cornholes
Value: +20.5
Spot: Arkansas State super bowl
Perception: Sun belt vs Big 12, good running game vs superior run defense, spread offense vs piss poor defense
Match ups: this game out of all my big games is the most unique. Typically I stay away from strength against strength but in this game I think Arkansas State coach Steve Roberts will have some tricks up his sleeve .You see coach Roberts always schedules these early Big 12 teams to get his team ready for the Sun Belt conference games. His team should be at towards the top of those standings again this year and this game is one hes been working on all off season long for.
Michigan vs Notre Dame
Value: ND -1
Spot: Big House
Perception: Notre Dame getting more love, more experience offense, etc.
Match ups: Michigan defense, Rich Rod had extra time to put in offensive wrinkles tehe
Duke vs Army
Value: Duke -2
Spot: Duke avoiding 0-2 start
Perception: Losing against Richmond
Match ups: Army wasn't as good as last week and Duke wasn't as bad. Duke still has the better talent, etc.
Boston College vs Kent
Value BC -21.5 (waited too long here hence 2* instead of 2.5*)
Perception: Talking heads don't talk about BC. So why they're giving so many points?
Match ups: Will Kent score? Remember the name Montel Harris, I'll stop there
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huego: quite right, it was a typo
curinator: thanks and GL to you
indiana: thanks my friend, GL
Week 2
2* Oregon -10 -105 (Greek)
2* LSU -14 -110 (Greek)
2.15* North Texas +3 -115 (Bodog)
.35* North Texas ML +125 (Greek)
2.35* UNLV +7 -103 (Matchbook)
.15* UNLV +7 +250 (Greek)
2.50* Arkansas State +21.5' -115 (BetJam)
2.25* Michigan +3 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Michigan ML +132 (Matchbook)
2* Duke ML -105 (Matchbook)
2* Boston College -21 +100 (Matchbook)
1.75* Idaho +21' -120 (Bodog)
1* Tenn Vols -10 -105 (BetJam)
1* Wyoming +33 -110 (Bodog) (typo)
.75* LA Tech +7.5 -105 (BetJam)
.75* San Jose State +14 -110 (Bodog)
.40* Stanford +3 -105 (BetJam)
.10* Stanford ML +134 (Matchbook)
.40* Air Force +3 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Air Force ML +130 (BetJam)
.50* East Carolina +7 115' (BetJam)
.35* UCONN +5 -110 (Bodog)
curinator: thanks and GL to you
indiana: thanks my friend, GL
Week 2
2* Oregon -10 -105 (Greek)
2* LSU -14 -110 (Greek)
2.15* North Texas +3 -115 (Bodog)
.35* North Texas ML +125 (Greek)
2.35* UNLV +7 -103 (Matchbook)
.15* UNLV +7 +250 (Greek)
2.50* Arkansas State +21.5' -115 (BetJam)
2.25* Michigan +3 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Michigan ML +132 (Matchbook)
2* Duke ML -105 (Matchbook)
2* Boston College -21 +100 (Matchbook)
1.75* Idaho +21' -120 (Bodog)
1* Tenn Vols -10 -105 (BetJam)
1* Wyoming +33 -110 (Bodog) (typo)
.75* LA Tech +7.5 -105 (BetJam)
.75* San Jose State +14 -110 (Bodog)
.40* Stanford +3 -105 (BetJam)
.10* Stanford ML +134 (Matchbook)
.40* Air Force +3 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Air Force ML +130 (BetJam)
.50* East Carolina +7 115' (BetJam)
.35* UCONN +5 -110 (Bodog)
A few friends (followers, etc.) wanted me to start doing write ups so here I am. They are very aware though that I'm not going to sit here and tell you what you already know. What I mean by that is you should know who the great players are on both sides, the coaching pedigrees, trends, stats, or any other elementary tools being used by 99% of the handicappers out there. If I do mention a player or coach is likely due to the fact that I think hes below the radar, etc. Anyways I'm not trying to distinguish myself by painting these games with glossy colors and adorning them with butterflies or juicy common knowledge information. We have guys on ABC/ESPN, CBS, FOX, and people all over the internet, etc. to do that for me. To me all that its important is spot, perception,value, and matchups. I'm going to do to my best in breaking these down simplistically without being pretentious.
Note: I'm only going to do write ups for games of 2* or higher.
Value: I'll post the line I have
Spots: I'll discuss why this game favors us in terms of home field, motivation, etc.
Perception: How the public perceives the teams
Match ups: Self explanatory
Oregon vs Purdue
Value: Oregon -13.5
Spot: Purdue having to travel, Kelly having to prove his worth as HC, moving on from Blount, etc.
Perception: Do I really need to elaborate here
Match ups: Purdue defense sucks-coaching and passing edge.
LSU vs Vandy
Value: LSU -15.5
Spot: LSU back home, Defense playing with a chip on their shoulder, etc.
Perception: LSU defense sucks, Washington almost beat them, etc.
Match ups: More talent in skill positions, better O/D line play, coaching.
North Texas vs Ohio
Value: NT +2
Spot: I believe this will be the 2nd largest crowd that Ohio sees behind Tennessee's. They better bring their road game because people are excited in Denton. 2-0? Not since 1994. K I'll stop now this is getting to festive
Perception: Both teams suck, NT has been a doormat since before I can crawl. Ohio at least has been a decent team a couple years ago, etc.
Machups: UNT has quite a few weapons this year with their pop pass attack along with their strong run game. Defense is improved some, little penalties translates into a win.
UNLV vs Oregon State
Value: +6
Spot: Hosting a PAC-10 team in 18 years enough said
Perception: Middle tier WAC team vs last years surprise Pac-10 team.
Match ups: Best wideouts and 2nd best QB (very accurate) in the Wac vs questionable Beaver pass defense.
Arkansas State vs Cornholes
Value: +20.5
Spot: Arkansas State super bowl
Perception: Sun belt vs Big 12, good running game vs superior run defense, spread offense vs piss poor defense
Match ups: this game out of all my big games is the most unique. Typically I stay away from strength against strength but in this game I think Arkansas State coach Steve Roberts will have some tricks up his sleeve .You see coach Roberts always schedules these early Big 12 teams to get his team ready for the Sun Belt conference games. His team should be at towards the top of those standings again this year and this game is one hes been working on all off season long for.
Michigan vs Notre Dame
Value: ND -1
Spot: Big House
Perception: Notre Dame getting more love, more experience offense, etc.
Match ups: Michigan defense, Rich Rod had extra time to put in offensive wrinkles tehe
Duke vs Army
Value: Duke -2
Spot: Duke avoiding 0-2 start
Perception: Losing against Richmond
Match ups: Army wasn't as good as last week and Duke wasn't as bad. Duke still has the better talent, etc.
Boston College vs Kent
Value BC -21.5 (waited too long here hence 2* instead of 2.5*)
Perception: Talking heads don't talk about BC. So why they're giving so many points?
Match ups: Will Kent score? Remember the name Montel Harris, I'll stop there
Honorable mention: USC by 3
Note: I'm only going to do write ups for games of 2* or higher.
Value: I'll post the line I have
Spots: I'll discuss why this game favors us in terms of home field, motivation, etc.
Perception: How the public perceives the teams
Match ups: Self explanatory
Oregon vs Purdue
Value: Oregon -13.5
Spot: Purdue having to travel, Kelly having to prove his worth as HC, moving on from Blount, etc.
Perception: Do I really need to elaborate here
Match ups: Purdue defense sucks-coaching and passing edge.
LSU vs Vandy
Value: LSU -15.5
Spot: LSU back home, Defense playing with a chip on their shoulder, etc.
Perception: LSU defense sucks, Washington almost beat them, etc.
Match ups: More talent in skill positions, better O/D line play, coaching.
North Texas vs Ohio
Value: NT +2
Spot: I believe this will be the 2nd largest crowd that Ohio sees behind Tennessee's. They better bring their road game because people are excited in Denton. 2-0? Not since 1994. K I'll stop now this is getting to festive
Perception: Both teams suck, NT has been a doormat since before I can crawl. Ohio at least has been a decent team a couple years ago, etc.
Machups: UNT has quite a few weapons this year with their pop pass attack along with their strong run game. Defense is improved some, little penalties translates into a win.
UNLV vs Oregon State
Value: +6
Spot: Hosting a PAC-10 team in 18 years enough said
Perception: Middle tier WAC team vs last years surprise Pac-10 team.
Match ups: Best wideouts and 2nd best QB (very accurate) in the Wac vs questionable Beaver pass defense.
Arkansas State vs Cornholes
Value: +20.5
Spot: Arkansas State super bowl
Perception: Sun belt vs Big 12, good running game vs superior run defense, spread offense vs piss poor defense
Match ups: this game out of all my big games is the most unique. Typically I stay away from strength against strength but in this game I think Arkansas State coach Steve Roberts will have some tricks up his sleeve .You see coach Roberts always schedules these early Big 12 teams to get his team ready for the Sun Belt conference games. His team should be at towards the top of those standings again this year and this game is one hes been working on all off season long for.
Michigan vs Notre Dame
Value: ND -1
Spot: Big House
Perception: Notre Dame getting more love, more experience offense, etc.
Match ups: Michigan defense, Rich Rod had extra time to put in offensive wrinkles tehe
Duke vs Army
Value: Duke -2
Spot: Duke avoiding 0-2 start
Perception: Losing against Richmond
Match ups: Army wasn't as good as last week and Duke wasn't as bad. Duke still has the better talent, etc.
Boston College vs Kent
Value BC -21.5 (waited too long here hence 2* instead of 2.5*)
Perception: Talking heads don't talk about BC. So why they're giving so many points?
Match ups: Will Kent score? Remember the name Montel Harris, I'll stop there
Honorable mention: USC by 3
VOR...I'm glad we agree on Oregon. I think the Oregon speed factor on the faster turf is what Purdue is going to have the most trouble with. Their biggest problem offensively is going to be a young QB going on the road for the first time playing in a very hostile enviornment. He had 3 int's last week at home. If he does that this week they'll get blown out. I also look for Chip Kelly to throw some new wrinkles at them on offense. I don't think it's going to be a real high scoring game so we might be biting our nails in this one. But I think Purdue is going to have some problems on offense in this game compared to what they had last week..
I thought seriously about taking Arky St against the Children Of The Corn. But the only problem I have with them is an inexperienced O-Line going up against a very good Husker defensive front. Plus Pelini is really preaching defense this week because he wasn't happy with their performance against FAU. I still think you have a decent chance to hit this. But Arky's defense is going to need to step up. I like the under in that game. And have already played it for just a half a unit. Not a big enough play for me to put it in my thread.
I like San Jose. And am still thinking about playing it. I know Pags likes East Carolina too. I'm just not sure they are going to be able to deal with WV's speed in this game. Except for last season WV has owned this team in the past. I kind of like your LSU play. This is another one on my radar. I talked to SoonerBS and he likes Vandy because he thinks they might be a little underpriced this season. Personally, I'm not sure exactly what to do with this team. I don't know if last season was a fluke year for them or they are the real deal this year. I know I really like their coach Johnson. He's one of the best around. If LSU should jump out to a couple TD lead in that game they can turn out the lights. Vandy probably won't have a good enough offense to come back. I'm glad we agree on La Tech. They would have been a Best Bet play for me if the team hadn't been dealing with a flu outbreak this week. I could be wrong, but i think they are the best bet on the board this week. UNLV is another one that I'm considering. I'm trying to limit my plays to 8 every week. So I'll just play one more game if any. And maybe a few in-game plays for a half a unit.
I think I still have your number. I'll try to call you the week of the Miami/OU game to see if we can get a feel for it. But without Bradford/Greshman I don't have a lot of hope for OU this year. GL tomorrow.:toast:
Excellent work my friend, you are a great asset to the RX, good luck & have a proseperous football season!
