Game of the Day: Braves at Nationals
Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-180, 7)
Stephen Strasburg has spent the past six weeks re-establishing himself as one of the National League’s top pitchers, and the Washington Nationals’ right-hander looks for his fourth consecutive victory Wednesday as the NL East leaders host the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg has allowed one or zero runs in six of his past eight outings, helping propel Washington’s second-half surge. The Nationals have taken the first two games of the series from Atlanta and lead the Braves by nine games in the East.
Atlanta’s hopes of repeating as division champions have all but evaporated, as the Braves have dropped seven of 10 and sit 1 ½ games behind Pittsburgh for the NL's second wild card. Atlanta first baseman Freddie Freeman has three homers in 22 career at-bats against Strasburg, and is 29-for-59 against Washington pitching this season. Justin Upton hit a two-run blast in Tuesday’s 6-4 loss, his first homer and first two RBIs this month after blasting seven homers with 28 RBIs in August.
TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, SportSouth (Atlanta), MASN2 (Washington)
LINE HISTORY: Online book SportsInteraction opened the Nats as -210 faves, but are now -195. The total has held at 7.
INJURY REPORT: Braves - 2B Tommy La Strella (Questionable, migraine), C Evan Gattis (Doubtful, throat). Nationals - SS Ian Desmond (Questionable, back).
POWER RANKINGS: Braves (-166), Nationals (-195)
WEATHER REPORT: Partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low-70s. Wind will blow in from centerfield at 9 mph.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Aaron Harang (10-10, 3.87 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (11-10, 3.43)
Harang gave the Braves an outstanding first four months, but has struggled mightily since mid-August while going 1-4 with a 6.91 ERA and a .350 opponents batting average in his past five stars. The 36-year-old lasted just 3 2/3 innings Friday at Miami, giving up six runs on 10 hits. Harang, who gave up one run on seven hits over seven innings against Washington on Aug. 9, is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Nationals in 2014.
Strasburg gave up seven runs in five innings to the Braves on Aug. 8 and five runs to San Francisco in four innings on Aug. 24, but has allowed only four earned runs in the other 42 2/3 innings pitched since July 29. He got a no-decision Friday against Philadelphia despite giving up one run on four hits in six innings, and sports a 0.92 WHIP in his past eight outings. Strasburg, who leads the NL with 215 strikeouts, is 3-6 with a 4.62 ERA lifetime against Atlanta.
TRENDS:
* Over is 4-0 in Strasburg's last four starts vs. Braves.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in umpire Marty Foster's last four games behind home plate.
* Braves are 1-9 in Harang's last 10 starts.
CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 61.91 percent of wagers are backing the Nationals.
Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-180, 7)
Stephen Strasburg has spent the past six weeks re-establishing himself as one of the National League’s top pitchers, and the Washington Nationals’ right-hander looks for his fourth consecutive victory Wednesday as the NL East leaders host the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg has allowed one or zero runs in six of his past eight outings, helping propel Washington’s second-half surge. The Nationals have taken the first two games of the series from Atlanta and lead the Braves by nine games in the East.
Atlanta’s hopes of repeating as division champions have all but evaporated, as the Braves have dropped seven of 10 and sit 1 ½ games behind Pittsburgh for the NL's second wild card. Atlanta first baseman Freddie Freeman has three homers in 22 career at-bats against Strasburg, and is 29-for-59 against Washington pitching this season. Justin Upton hit a two-run blast in Tuesday’s 6-4 loss, his first homer and first two RBIs this month after blasting seven homers with 28 RBIs in August.
TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, SportSouth (Atlanta), MASN2 (Washington)
LINE HISTORY: Online book SportsInteraction opened the Nats as -210 faves, but are now -195. The total has held at 7.
INJURY REPORT: Braves - 2B Tommy La Strella (Questionable, migraine), C Evan Gattis (Doubtful, throat). Nationals - SS Ian Desmond (Questionable, back).
POWER RANKINGS: Braves (-166), Nationals (-195)
WEATHER REPORT: Partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low-70s. Wind will blow in from centerfield at 9 mph.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Aaron Harang (10-10, 3.87 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (11-10, 3.43)
Harang gave the Braves an outstanding first four months, but has struggled mightily since mid-August while going 1-4 with a 6.91 ERA and a .350 opponents batting average in his past five stars. The 36-year-old lasted just 3 2/3 innings Friday at Miami, giving up six runs on 10 hits. Harang, who gave up one run on seven hits over seven innings against Washington on Aug. 9, is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Nationals in 2014.
Strasburg gave up seven runs in five innings to the Braves on Aug. 8 and five runs to San Francisco in four innings on Aug. 24, but has allowed only four earned runs in the other 42 2/3 innings pitched since July 29. He got a no-decision Friday against Philadelphia despite giving up one run on four hits in six innings, and sports a 0.92 WHIP in his past eight outings. Strasburg, who leads the NL with 215 strikeouts, is 3-6 with a 4.62 ERA lifetime against Atlanta.
TRENDS:
* Over is 4-0 in Strasburg's last four starts vs. Braves.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in umpire Marty Foster's last four games behind home plate.
* Braves are 1-9 in Harang's last 10 starts.
CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 61.91 percent of wagers are backing the Nationals.
XpertPicks
WEDNESDAY BASEBALL
Washington has won 52 of the last 74 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September. Washington has won 46 of the last 73 home games and they have won 99 of the last 143 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher.
Chicago has lost 42 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have lost 44 of the last 70 games when playing on a Wednesday. Chicago has lost 80 of the last 124 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 45 of the last 74 road games.
WEDNESDAY BASEBALL
- Play Washington -170 over Atlanta---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
Washington has won 52 of the last 74 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September. Washington has won 46 of the last 73 home games and they have won 99 of the last 143 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher.
- Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
7:10 PM EST
Chicago has lost 42 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have lost 44 of the last 70 games when playing on a Wednesday. Chicago has lost 80 of the last 124 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 45 of the last 74 road games.
BeatYourBookie
WEDNESDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Washington -170 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)
Washington is 52-22 when playing on a Wednesday
Washington is 39-24 when playing in the month of September
Washington is 46-27 in home games this season
10* Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)
Chicago is 21-42 when playing in the month of September
Chicago is 26-44 when playing on a Wednesday
Chicago is 44-80 when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher
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5* Play Kansas City +115 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Miami +125 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)
WEDNESDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Washington -170 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)
Washington is 52-22 when playing on a Wednesday
Washington is 39-24 when playing in the month of September
Washington is 46-27 in home games this season
10* Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)
Chicago is 21-42 when playing in the month of September
Chicago is 26-44 when playing on a Wednesday
Chicago is 44-80 when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher
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5* Play Kansas City +115 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Miami +125 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball
1000* Play Oakland -170 over Chicago White So (TOP MLB PLAY)
Oakland has won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have won 97 of the last 151 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.Oakland has won 83 of the last 118 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 66 of the last 117 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.
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50* Play Seattle -230 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Los Angeles Angels -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
MLB Baseball
1000* Play Oakland -170 over Chicago White So (TOP MLB PLAY)
Oakland has won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have won 97 of the last 151 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.Oakland has won 83 of the last 118 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 66 of the last 117 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.
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50* Play Seattle -230 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Los Angeles Angels -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Kevin's Pick(s):
Well at least Kyle continues to provide the winners lately. We had a 2-1 game going into the bottom of the 7th and then a 4-2 game in the bottom of the 8th, but the Cubs bullpen blew up and the total soared over the total late. Three system plays today...
2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+130)
Listed Pitchers: Hendricks vs Hutchison
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.60 units)
2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers - RANGERS TO WIN (+164)
Listed Pitchers: Shoemaker vs Tepesch
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.28 units)
2 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Indians - TWINS TO WIN (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Gibson vs House
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.68 units)
Well at least Kyle continues to provide the winners lately. We had a 2-1 game going into the bottom of the 7th and then a 4-2 game in the bottom of the 8th, but the Cubs bullpen blew up and the total soared over the total late. Three system plays today...
2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+130)
Listed Pitchers: Hendricks vs Hutchison
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.60 units)
2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers - RANGERS TO WIN (+164)
Listed Pitchers: Shoemaker vs Tepesch
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.28 units)
2 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Indians - TWINS TO WIN (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Gibson vs House
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.68 units)
GC: MLB Total
On Wednesday the free MLB Play is on the Under in the Arizona at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 963/964 at 10:15 eastern. Arizona has struggled at the plate of late averaging just 2.6 runs the past week. They have played under in 10 of 12 games as a road dog from +150 to +175. This game also fits a nice league wide system that has gone under in 16 of 20 games for home favorites at -140 or higher with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 5 or more runs on 10 or more hits with no errors and are playing an opponent like Arizona that lost as a road dog and scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits. Arizona has Collmenter pitching and he has been solid of late with a 0.83 era in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 starts vs the Giants he has allowed 2 runs in 10 innings. Vogelsong for San Francisco has pitched under in 10 of 14 starts and has a solid 2.97 home era. So based on the system and angles we will back the one to stay under the total. On Hump day we bring the bang in bases and the lead play is the MLB Total Of The Week from an amazing totals system that averages 12 runs. Last night we nailed the MLB Top play. Tonight get on the "Giving End" Hump day. For the Bonus Play take the Diamondbacks and Giants to play under the posted total. GC
Hump day card led by the MLB Total Of the Week backed with a Powerful League Wide totals system that averages over 12 runs. Top N.L. Play cashed out on Tuesday. Free MLB Play below.
On Wednesday the free MLB Play is on the Under in the Arizona at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 963/964 at 10:15 eastern. Arizona has struggled at the plate of late averaging just 2.6 runs the past week. They have played under in 10 of 12 games as a road dog from +150 to +175. This game also fits a nice league wide system that has gone under in 16 of 20 games for home favorites at -140 or higher with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 5 or more runs on 10 or more hits with no errors and are playing an opponent like Arizona that lost as a road dog and scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits. Arizona has Collmenter pitching and he has been solid of late with a 0.83 era in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 starts vs the Giants he has allowed 2 runs in 10 innings. Vogelsong for San Francisco has pitched under in 10 of 14 starts and has a solid 2.97 home era. So based on the system and angles we will back the one to stay under the total. On Hump day we bring the bang in bases and the lead play is the MLB Total Of The Week from an amazing totals system that averages 12 runs. Last night we nailed the MLB Top play. Tonight get on the "Giving End" Hump day. For the Bonus Play take the Diamondbacks and Giants to play under the posted total. GC
site mod please help: can you take down this post... the phone number is getting spammed.. It was a bad idea to post. http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=995123&p=10659780#post10659780
Wunderdog Sports Free Pick
MLB Game: Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Time: Wednesday 09/10 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Kansas City +102 (moneyline)
The Detroit Tigers have gotten a lot more mileage out of Ricky Porcello than they ever imagined. Porcello, now in his sixth season with the Tigers has recorded a career high 15 wins. That comes with a lot of innings and his 183 innings on the season are also a career high, and you have to wonder how much is left in the tank. The Tigers are just 4-8 in his last 12 starts after going 12-4 in his first 16 on the season. James Shields is 13-7 on the season and has pitched his best over his last 12 starts where he has allowed more than 3 runs in just one of them. The Royals have hung with the Tigers all season, and a win tonight will even the teams up for the stretch drive. The Royals are playing better baseball than almost everyone right now at 31-14 in their last 45 games, and are 11-1 in their last 12 on the road behind Shields. The Royals get the call here.
MLB Game: Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Time: Wednesday 09/10 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Kansas City +102 (moneyline)
The Detroit Tigers have gotten a lot more mileage out of Ricky Porcello than they ever imagined. Porcello, now in his sixth season with the Tigers has recorded a career high 15 wins. That comes with a lot of innings and his 183 innings on the season are also a career high, and you have to wonder how much is left in the tank. The Tigers are just 4-8 in his last 12 starts after going 12-4 in his first 16 on the season. James Shields is 13-7 on the season and has pitched his best over his last 12 starts where he has allowed more than 3 runs in just one of them. The Royals have hung with the Tigers all season, and a win tonight will even the teams up for the stretch drive. The Royals are playing better baseball than almost everyone right now at 31-14 in their last 45 games, and are 11-1 in their last 12 on the road behind Shields. The Royals get the call here.
MLB betting cheat sheet: Samardzija struggling
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major-league games:
Strong Stretch for Away Faves
Away favorites are enjoying a good stretch, having gone 21-11 SU over the past seven days. That includes a 3-2 SU mark in Tuesday’s games, with the Baltimore Orioles (-127), Los Angeles Angels (-144) and Oakland Athletics (-191) all prevailing away from home.
Strasburg Sensational at Home
Washington ace Stephen Strasburg looks to continue his hot home track record Wednesday as he leads the Nationals (-185, 7) against the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg is 8-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 16 starts in Washington this season, with an 11-4-1 O/U mark over that span.
Peavy Providing Value
San Francisco Giants right-hander Jake Peavy is on his hottest stretch of the season entering Thursday’s home tilt with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Peavy is 4-1 over his last five starts while allowing just four earned runs over that span; he ranked last in the majors in value with the Giants before the hot run.
Pitching Notes
* Oakland right-hander Jeff Samardzija is struggling as he leads the Athletics (-191, 8.5) into a Wednesday showdown with the host Chicago White Sox. Samardzija is 1-4 SU over his last five starts and sits a lowly 136th in value (-$18) since being acquired from the Chicago Cubs.
* Cleveland Indians ace Corey Kluber continues to be one of the league’s strongest second-half Under plays entering Thursday’s encounter with the visiting Minnesota Twins. Kluber is 2-8 O/U in 10 starts the all-star break, a stretch that includes a 4-1 loss to the Twins on Aug. 21.
Hitting Notes
* Washington Nationals outfielder Adam LaRoche is the hottest hitter in the majors over the past week. The 34-year-old is batting a sizzling .474 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and a 1.647 OPS over the past seven days; the Nationals are 4-2 SU and 3-3 O/U over that stretch.
* St. Louis outfielder Jon Jay has dominated his career matchup with Cincinnati ace Johnny Cueto entering Thursday’s game between the Cardinals and the host Reds. Jay is batting 12-for-23 lifetime versus Cueto, with a double, three home runs, seven RBIs and just two strikeouts.
Totals Streak
Seattle Mariners (0-4 O/U): The Mariners are back in a familiar position after putting together a stretch in which it recorded four consecutive totals of six or under, going 2-2 SU over that span. The Mariners are now the strongest Under bet in the AL for the season, going 57-80-7 O/U.
Prop of the Day
Bettors should consider taking a chance on the New York Yankees’ -1.5 run line (+170) against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays. Members of the New York lineup are hitting a robust .353 with three home runs in 34 at-bats against Tampa Bay right-hander Jake Odorizzi.
Injury Notes.
* New York Yankees right-hander Masahiro Tanaka may pitch for the team again this season despite being on the shelf with a partially torn UCL. Tanaka is 12-4 with a 2.51 ERA, a 13-5 SU mark and a 9-9 O/U record in 18 starts in his rookie season.
* Seattle Mariners outfielder Dustin Ackley is expected to miss at least a couple of games with bone spurs in his left ankle. Ackley is mired in a 1-for-19 slump that has dropped his average to .251; the Mariners haven’t missed a beat over that span, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 O/U.
Weather Watch
* Fans at Progressive Field will be treated to wind blowing out to centre field at 16 mph for Wednesday’s game between the host Indians (-152, 8) and the Twins. Teams averaged 9.91 runs and 2.36 homers in 11 games under similar conditions in 2013 – well above the stadium averages.
Umpire Note of the Day
Under is 36-15-1 in umpire Hunter Wendelstedt’s last 52 Wednesday games behind home plate. Wendelstedt will call the balls and strikes as the Toronto Blue Jays (-173, 8) welcome the Chicago Cubs in their interleague finale.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:20 a.m. ET Wednesday.
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major-league games:
Strong Stretch for Away Faves
Away favorites are enjoying a good stretch, having gone 21-11 SU over the past seven days. That includes a 3-2 SU mark in Tuesday’s games, with the Baltimore Orioles (-127), Los Angeles Angels (-144) and Oakland Athletics (-191) all prevailing away from home.
Strasburg Sensational at Home
Washington ace Stephen Strasburg looks to continue his hot home track record Wednesday as he leads the Nationals (-185, 7) against the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg is 8-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 16 starts in Washington this season, with an 11-4-1 O/U mark over that span.
Peavy Providing Value
San Francisco Giants right-hander Jake Peavy is on his hottest stretch of the season entering Thursday’s home tilt with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Peavy is 4-1 over his last five starts while allowing just four earned runs over that span; he ranked last in the majors in value with the Giants before the hot run.
Pitching Notes
* Oakland right-hander Jeff Samardzija is struggling as he leads the Athletics (-191, 8.5) into a Wednesday showdown with the host Chicago White Sox. Samardzija is 1-4 SU over his last five starts and sits a lowly 136th in value (-$18) since being acquired from the Chicago Cubs.
* Cleveland Indians ace Corey Kluber continues to be one of the league’s strongest second-half Under plays entering Thursday’s encounter with the visiting Minnesota Twins. Kluber is 2-8 O/U in 10 starts the all-star break, a stretch that includes a 4-1 loss to the Twins on Aug. 21.
Hitting Notes
* Washington Nationals outfielder Adam LaRoche is the hottest hitter in the majors over the past week. The 34-year-old is batting a sizzling .474 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and a 1.647 OPS over the past seven days; the Nationals are 4-2 SU and 3-3 O/U over that stretch.
* St. Louis outfielder Jon Jay has dominated his career matchup with Cincinnati ace Johnny Cueto entering Thursday’s game between the Cardinals and the host Reds. Jay is batting 12-for-23 lifetime versus Cueto, with a double, three home runs, seven RBIs and just two strikeouts.
Totals Streak
Seattle Mariners (0-4 O/U): The Mariners are back in a familiar position after putting together a stretch in which it recorded four consecutive totals of six or under, going 2-2 SU over that span. The Mariners are now the strongest Under bet in the AL for the season, going 57-80-7 O/U.
Prop of the Day
Bettors should consider taking a chance on the New York Yankees’ -1.5 run line (+170) against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays. Members of the New York lineup are hitting a robust .353 with three home runs in 34 at-bats against Tampa Bay right-hander Jake Odorizzi.
Injury Notes.
* New York Yankees right-hander Masahiro Tanaka may pitch for the team again this season despite being on the shelf with a partially torn UCL. Tanaka is 12-4 with a 2.51 ERA, a 13-5 SU mark and a 9-9 O/U record in 18 starts in his rookie season.
* Seattle Mariners outfielder Dustin Ackley is expected to miss at least a couple of games with bone spurs in his left ankle. Ackley is mired in a 1-for-19 slump that has dropped his average to .251; the Mariners haven’t missed a beat over that span, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 O/U.
Weather Watch
* Fans at Progressive Field will be treated to wind blowing out to centre field at 16 mph for Wednesday’s game between the host Indians (-152, 8) and the Twins. Teams averaged 9.91 runs and 2.36 homers in 11 games under similar conditions in 2013 – well above the stadium averages.
Umpire Note of the Day
Under is 36-15-1 in umpire Hunter Wendelstedt’s last 52 Wednesday games behind home plate. Wendelstedt will call the balls and strikes as the Toronto Blue Jays (-173, 8) welcome the Chicago Cubs in their interleague finale.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:20 a.m. ET Wednesday.
