MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews
LAS VEGAS -- There’s a good betting situation tonight in Toronto, where the Blue Jays, reeling with a four-game losing streak, take on the red-hot Orioles, who have won three straight. After last night’s 9-3 win in the series opener between the top two teams in the AL East, Baltimore now has a commanding five-game lead in the division and should be able to make it six after tonight.
The main reason for backing Baltimore as a slight -110 favorite, beyond the opposing streaks, is that Orioles left-hander Wei-Yin Chen (12-3, 3.76 ERA) has been mowing down opponents over his past five starts – four of which as the underdog. In his last two outings, during a home-and-away series with Seattle, Chen allowed only one run in 15 1/3 innings of work. He looks to set a career high in wins tonight.
The Orioles have mystified me for being able to stay so consistently good with a starting rotation that appears to be average. They keep winning and getting stronger, and their starting pitching, in fact, has been a big reason why. At a key juncture in the season, they have turned their game up a notch by winning 22 of their last 31 games. They are the real deal, and it would be a surprise if anyone in the AL East catches them, including second-place Toronto.
The Blue Jays didn’t do anything at last Thursday’s trade deadline to improve their chances of walking down Baltimore, and Jose Bautista telling the media how disappointed he was that the team stood pat was an indication that something needed to be done. It's a mood-changer in the locker room – and kind of a a crutch now for bad play. Since Bautista made the comments, the Blue jays have been outscored 26-7 and lost all four games. If they lose tonight, they’ll match a season-high losing streak of five games.
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Toronto has won its last two games behind tonight’s starter Drew Hutchison (7-9, 4.62), but he’s been very hittable lately, compiling a 1-3 record with an 8.10 ERA over his last five starts. However, he has been his best against Baltimore over his career. In five starts, he’s 2-0 with a 1.16 ERA, by far his lowest ERA against any team he’s faced at least twice.
So what looks more attractive? Riding Hutchison’s past history against Baltimore, or going against him based on current form and a team behind him that's slumping – and sulking? Then mix into the equation how well Chen has been pitching.
The better bet looks to be against Hutchison.
Wednesday’s selections:
Orioles (Chen) -110 at Blue Jays, 7:07 p.m. ET
Giants (Vogelsong) +127 at Brewers, 8:10 p.m. ET
Dodgers/Angels OVER 8.5 (-115), 10:05 p.m. ET