Wunderdog Final Card
Game: Texas at New York Yankees (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Texas +155 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.7)
This Yankees team is quite puzzling. The lineup is so deep, but they often find themselves in offensive slumps, and they are deep within one right now. The Yankees have scored just 7 runs in their last four games, and last night broke an 0-18 mark hitting with runners in scoring position. The bats have all gone cold. They opened the season with seven of nine games scoring 3 runs or less. They hit another streak of scoring 2 or less in six of seven games, and here we go again. While this Yankee offense should be very good and consistent, it simply is not. This is an extremely valued line on a Rangers team that does one thing well, and that's score.
Game: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Boston +130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.2)
We will take the Red Sox all day long with Dice K, as the Sox have won 11 of his 13 starts. Yes, Scott Kazmir can match him pitch for pitch, but if that makes this matchup even, then the Sox back end of the bullpen is much more solid, and gives them the edge here. The Sox got to Kazmir already this year, and his 6-6 mark lifetime against them says the Sox can win this one. We will back them as a live dog.
Game: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Cincinnati -141 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.1)
These teams are fighting each other to keep out of the basement in the NL Central. Nothin has yet been decided as they have split the first two games of this series. This looks to be a tough spot for the Pirates. Since taking their opening road series of the season two games to one in Atlanta, they have managed to win just one other series on the road all season. Although they have been tough at home, their road woes continue at 14-25. John Van Benschoten has not supplied much hope for a struggling team on the road, as his only start vs Atlanta he was gone after four innings and seven runs. He has allowed 20 baserunners in just 8.2 innings of work. This is a excellent spot for the Reds, who have played winning baseball at home to grab the win in this one.
Game: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Chicago White Sox -101 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4)
The White Sox have not only won six in a row, but in their last 19 home games they have been a sizzling 17-2. The pitchers that took losses in this stretch are Dempster, Lee and Lackey - three likely All-Stars. The 19 games has shown the Sox outscore the opponent by a 139-68 margin, more than doubling them up. The offense has been as good as their is in baseball, as that run total equals 7.3 per game, very significant for a 19 game stretch. The Indians actually have a losing overall record with Sabathia on the mound and are just 2-4 in his road starts. These teams have traded places from a year ago, and the Sox get the call here.
Game: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +126 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)
The Cubs remain atop the NL Central, but certainly that has nothing to do with their road play, nor play of late. The Cubs have been horrible over the past few weeks, and are just 5-9 in their last 14 games and just 1-7 in their last eight on the road. The Giants looked awful at the start of the year quickly falling to a 17-29 record, but over the last six weeks have become a much different team. THey have gone 20-18 in their last 38. You also have to remember that Ryan Dempster was pitching way over his head. He is a career 10 games below .500 pitcher, with close to a 5 ERA. He has pitched more like his career numbers of late, and with the Cubs struggling, particularly on the road, we have to grab the value on the improved Giants as a home dog.
Game: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +1.5 runs -137 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.2)
We like the Giants to win this one straight up, so it's hard to ignore the value on the run line as well. The Giants have also had their way over the years vs good pitchers. They have amassed a run line record of 236-172 good for +50.8 units vs. a pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or less.
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