Service Plays Wednesday 7/2/08

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12:00 cst

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Fla-5 Over -1
Wash-3 Under-2

Pit Over
Cin-6 Under

Phi-5 Over
Atl-5 Under-2

Lad - 1 Over -1
Hou -4 Under

Mets- 1 Over-1
Stl -2 Under-2

Sd -1 Over-2
Col -3 Under

Mil -2 Over
Az-4 Under -2

Cubs-2 Over
Sf-1 Under

Det-2 Over
Min-9 Under

Oak-1 Over
Laa -5 Under-3

Kc-4 Over
Bal-7 Under-1

Tex -1 Over-3
Nyy-2 Under

Bos-9 Over
Tb-5 Under-2

Clev-8 Over
W.sox-3 Under-2

Tor Over
Sea Under-2
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Hockey man is back w/avengeance w/b-ball totals

For those of reading on Sun. I explained that my totals system only works properly after all the ML teams have had atleast about 10 A & 10 H gms. before you could gauge them. I started keeping track for my own purposes 2 wks. ago but put up my plays for the first time Mon., hit my 3* pod, was 5-1, +6 units, only loss when BoSox got 2 in 9th to go over by 1/2. Last night was 7-1 hitting 2* pod & netting 6.5 units. Only loss was Col. ov which in my analysis I said iffy 1* because of anemic SD offense. For all of my friends out there who followed my 17-3-2 record through the hockey playoffs, remember the analysis is more important than the pick, if you don't agree, take smaller or lay off completely. 2 dimes, hope you had a nice vacation & are back, lionman, bgh, & the others who went to the bank with me during hockey, take note. I was not going public until I test drove it for long enough to make sure it would produce 65% winners, my idea of acceptable with gms. @ even $$. Came out of the shoot 12-2 +12.5 units (lots of smaller plays last night). Gms. range between 1* & 3* (rare pod) units w/an ocassional .5 which is usually a gm. that fits the system partially but line is bookmakers error like last night Oak-LAA where pitching tended to keep the total down put they overadjusted from 8 the previous nt. in Oak. to 6.5 in Anaheim. Some shops had it 7, still a W, & going from 1/2 to whole may get you a push, never go from a whole to the next 1/2 as that push turns into a loss unless it is highly rated & you notch it down. BOL as always, be back tonight, not going to cash every night; if you're a gambler you already know that, but for the newbees remember that; our goal is 65+% over the long haul. RDS
:toast:
 

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For those of reading on Sun. I explained that my totals system only works properly after all the ML teams have had atleast about 10 A & 10 H gms. before you could gauge them. I started keeping track for my own purposes 2 wks. ago but put up my plays for the first time Mon., hit my 3* pod, was 5-1, +6 units, only loss when BoSox got 2 in 9th to go over by 1/2. Last night was 7-1 hitting 2* pod & netting 6.5 units. Only loss was Col. ov which in my analysis I said iffy 1* because of anemic SD offense. For all of my friends out there who followed my 17-3-2 record through the hockey playoffs, remember the analysis is more important than the pick, if you don't agree, take smaller or lay off completely. 2 dimes, hope you had a nice vacation & are back, lionman, bgh, & the others who went to the bank with me during hockey, take note. I was not going public until I test drove it for long enough to make sure it would produce 65% winners, my idea of acceptable with gms. @ even $$. Came out of the shoot 12-2 +12.5 units (lots of smaller plays last night). Gms. range between 1* & 3* (rare pod) units w/an ocassional .5 which is usually a gm. that fits the system partially but line is bookmakers error like last night Oak-LAA where pitching tended to keep the total down put they overadjusted from 8 the previous nt. in Oak. to 6.5 in Anaheim. Some shops had it 7, still a W, & going from 1/2 to whole may get you a push, never go from a whole to the next 1/2 as that push turns into a loss unless it is highly rated & you notch it down. BOL as always, be back tonight, not going to cash every night; if you're a gambler you already know that, but for the newbees remember that; our goal is 65+% over the long haul. RDS
:toast:
thanks rd.smith i always enjoy reading your post. I hope you crush the man with your totals
 
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The Gr8 1
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Apr 30, 2008
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For those of reading on Sun. I explained that my totals system only works properly after all the ML teams have had atleast about 10 A & 10 H gms. before you could gauge them. I started keeping track for my own purposes 2 wks. ago but put up my plays for the first time Mon., hit my 3* pod, was 5-1, +6 units, only loss when BoSox got 2 in 9th to go over by 1/2. Last night was 7-1 hitting 2* pod & netting 6.5 units. Only loss was Col. ov which in my analysis I said iffy 1* because of anemic SD offense. For all of my friends out there who followed my 17-3-2 record through the hockey playoffs, remember the analysis is more important than the pick, if you don\'t agree, take smaller or lay off completely. 2 dimes, hope you had a nice vacation & are back, lionman, bgh, & the others who went to the bank with me during hockey, take note. I was not going public until I test drove it for long enough to make sure it would produce 65% winners, my idea of acceptable with gms. @ even $$. Came out of the shoot 12-2 +12.5 units (lots of smaller plays last night). Gms. range between 1* & 3* (rare pod) units w/an ocassional .5 which is usually a gm. that fits the system partially but line is bookmakers error like last night Oak-LAA where pitching tended to keep the total down put they overadjusted from 8 the previous nt. in Oak. to 6.5 in Anaheim. Some shops had it 7, still a W, & going from 1/2 to whole may get you a push, never go from a whole to the next 1/2 as that push turns into a loss unless it is highly rated & you notch it down. BOL as always, be back tonight, not going to cash every night; if you\'re a gambler you already know that, but for the newbees remember that; our goal is 65+% over the long haul. RDS

Your hockey picks helped me out in a major way. Looking forward to your picks tonight. When would we be expecting these?
 
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ROCKDEMAN: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES vs ATLANTA BRAVES


Play: ROCKDEMAN 10* SELECTION: PHILLIES / BRAVES UNDER 9.5
Comments: ROCKDEMAN 10* SELECTION: PHILLIES / BRAVES UNDER 9.5
ROCKDEMAN: TEXAS RANGERS vs NY YANKEES


Play: NY YANKEES
Comments: ROCKDEMAN DAILY SELECTION: NY YANKEES
ROCKDEMAN: OAKLAND A's vs LA ANGELS


Play: A's / ANGELS UNDER 8
Comments: ROCKDEMAN DAILY SELECTION: A's / ANGELS UNDER 8
<!-- / message -->
 
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Andre Gomes WNBA

WNBA - 651 Chicago Sky @ 652 Indiana Fever

Chicago caused one of the major upsets of the day by winning outright at Minnesota, but for me it wasn't an upset at all, as I knew the Sky would be competitive and that's why I took them plus the points yesterday. Chicago is a young team and those players need confidence to compete at their best. With two wins in a row and against teams with winning records, the best that can happen to a young team in this kind of situation is to play on the next day.

However Indiana comes to this game with a bad mood, as they have lost 4 of their last 5 games, all road games. They had 3 days to rest and prepare this game. Their last defeat was at Houston by 61-75 in a terrible offensive game, not only for the 61 points scored but also due to the 25 TO committed. The team had a terrible spot for that game, as they had a triple overtime game at NY two days before. So, come to this I expect an offensive bounce back of the team, starting in the attack. This season, everytime the team didn't score more than 70 points in the game, they are 4-1 Over in the following game, as when the team has lost by more than 10 points, the team at home has exploded offensively, having a 2-0 Over record until now.

I expect a bounce back of Indiana in this game and against a young team with confidence, which can be an active dog today, I expect a game reaching the mark of the 150 points. Take the over in here.

Pick 3 units (Regular Play) on 651/652 Over 144,5 @1.962 on Pinnacle
 
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Robert Ferringo

3-Unit Play. Take #968 Minnesota (-125) over Detroit (1 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Cincinnati (-140) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)
Note: Originally misposted as a 2-Unit play.

2-Unit Play. Take #954 Atlanta (-130) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)

2-Unit Play. Take #965 Chicago Cubs (-135) over San Francisco (10 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)

2-Unit Play. Take #960 St. Louis (-110) over New York Mets (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #970 Los Angeles Angels (-130) over Oakland (3:30 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)

Today's Totals
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Milwaukee at Arizona (9 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 San Diego at Colorado (9 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Toronto at Seattle (10 p.m., Wednesday, July 3)
<!-- / message -->
 
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Wunderdog Final Card


Game: Texas at New York Yankees (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Texas +155 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.7)

This Yankees team is quite puzzling. The lineup is so deep, but they often find themselves in offensive slumps, and they are deep within one right now. The Yankees have scored just 7 runs in their last four games, and last night broke an 0-18 mark hitting with runners in scoring position. The bats have all gone cold. They opened the season with seven of nine games scoring 3 runs or less. They hit another streak of scoring 2 or less in six of seven games, and here we go again. While this Yankee offense should be very good and consistent, it simply is not. This is an extremely valued line on a Rangers team that does one thing well, and that's score.


Game: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Boston +130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.2)

We will take the Red Sox all day long with Dice K, as the Sox have won 11 of his 13 starts. Yes, Scott Kazmir can match him pitch for pitch, but if that makes this matchup even, then the Sox back end of the bullpen is much more solid, and gives them the edge here. The Sox got to Kazmir already this year, and his 6-6 mark lifetime against them says the Sox can win this one. We will back them as a live dog.


Game: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Cincinnati -141 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.1)

These teams are fighting each other to keep out of the basement in the NL Central. Nothin has yet been decided as they have split the first two games of this series. This looks to be a tough spot for the Pirates. Since taking their opening road series of the season two games to one in Atlanta, they have managed to win just one other series on the road all season. Although they have been tough at home, their road woes continue at 14-25. John Van Benschoten has not supplied much hope for a struggling team on the road, as his only start vs Atlanta he was gone after four innings and seven runs. He has allowed 20 baserunners in just 8.2 innings of work. This is a excellent spot for the Reds, who have played winning baseball at home to grab the win in this one.


Game: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Chicago White Sox -101 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4)

The White Sox have not only won six in a row, but in their last 19 home games they have been a sizzling 17-2. The pitchers that took losses in this stretch are Dempster, Lee and Lackey - three likely All-Stars. The 19 games has shown the Sox outscore the opponent by a 139-68 margin, more than doubling them up. The offense has been as good as their is in baseball, as that run total equals 7.3 per game, very significant for a 19 game stretch. The Indians actually have a losing overall record with Sabathia on the mound and are just 2-4 in his road starts. These teams have traded places from a year ago, and the Sox get the call here.


Game: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +126 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)

The Cubs remain atop the NL Central, but certainly that has nothing to do with their road play, nor play of late. The Cubs have been horrible over the past few weeks, and are just 5-9 in their last 14 games and just 1-7 in their last eight on the road. The Giants looked awful at the start of the year quickly falling to a 17-29 record, but over the last six weeks have become a much different team. THey have gone 20-18 in their last 38. You also have to remember that Ryan Dempster was pitching way over his head. He is a career 10 games below .500 pitcher, with close to a 5 ERA. He has pitched more like his career numbers of late, and with the Cubs struggling, particularly on the road, we have to grab the value on the improved Giants as a home dog.


Game: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +1.5 runs -137 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.2)

We like the Giants to win this one straight up, so it's hard to ignore the value on the run line as well. The Giants have also had their way over the years vs good pitchers. They have amassed a run line record of 236-172 good for +50.8 units vs. a pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or less.
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For those of reading on Sun. I explained that my totals system only works properly after all the ML teams have had atleast about 10 A & 10 H gms. before you could gauge them. I started keeping track for my own purposes 2 wks. ago but put up my plays for the first time Mon., hit my 3* pod, was 5-1, +6 units, only loss when BoSox got 2 in 9th to go over by 1/2. Last night was 7-1 hitting 2* pod & netting 6.5 units. Only loss was Col. ov which in my analysis I said iffy 1* because of anemic SD offense. For all of my friends out there who followed my 17-3-2 record through the hockey playoffs, remember the analysis is more important than the pick, if you don't agree, take smaller or lay off completely. 2 dimes, hope you had a nice vacation & are back, lionman, bgh, & the others who went to the bank with me during hockey, take note. I was not going public until I test drove it for long enough to make sure it would produce 65% winners, my idea of acceptable with gms. @ even $$. Came out of the shoot 12-2 +12.5 units (lots of smaller plays last night). Gms. range between 1* & 3* (rare pod) units w/an ocassional .5 which is usually a gm. that fits the system partially but line is bookmakers error like last night Oak-LAA where pitching tended to keep the total down put they overadjusted from 8 the previous nt. in Oak. to 6.5 in Anaheim. Some shops had it 7, still a W, & going from 1/2 to whole may get you a push, never go from a whole to the next 1/2 as that push turns into a loss unless it is highly rated & you notch it down. BOL as always, be back tonight, not going to cash every night; if you're a gambler you already know that, but for the newbees remember that; our goal is 65+% over the long haul. RDS
:toast:
be nice to find a solid totals guy.
best of luck
 
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DSETHI

3 units:

Rockies (-140)...Really like Jimenez, especially at home vs. weak-hitting Padres, Cook ate innings as expected, Bucholz, Fuentes ready in pen for this one. Rockies hitting almost .280 vs. lefties and lineup is almost healthy now.

2 units:

Dbacks (-120)...McClung on the road is a huge question mark, Owings was looking fine vs. Marlins before injury, their important bullpen relief didn't go yesterday, bats starting to come alive at home as well, Brewers' pen big if considering McClung doesn't figure to go more than 6 if that.

Angels (-130)...Battle between 2 lefties, will take the better one with the better lineup behind him, and the better bullpen. Saunders good at home and will be tough on A's good left-handed bats. Eveland will have to face some pretty damn good RH bats in order to get through this one.

Dsethi<!-- / message -->
 

RX Local
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Jul 10, 2007
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TOUT TALLY

_________________________
Fla-5 Over -1
Wash-3 Under-2

Pit- Over
Cin-9 Under

Phi-6 Over
Atl-7 Under-3

Lad - 1 Over -2
Hou -4 Under

Mets- 2 Over-1
Stl -3 Under-2

Sd -1 Over-3
Col -4 Under

Mil -2 Over
Az-5 Under -3

Cubs-3 Over
Sf-3 Under

Det-2 Over
Min-10 Under

Oak-3 Over
Laa -9 Under-4

Kc-4 Over
Bal-7 Under-1

Tex -2 Over-3
Nyy-5 Under

Bos-11 Over
Tb-5 Under-2

Clev-8 Over
W.sox-5 Under-2

Tor Over
Sea Under-3
 

RX Local
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Lenny Del NINO

15* AL Game of the Week

TAM (-140) vs BOS

Following Tuesday's 3-1 by the Rays, home sides are a perfect 11-0 when Tampa and Boston hook up this season. With the victory, the Rays have now won seven of their last eight and own Major League Baseball's best record at 51-32. To further illustrate how far this formerly moribund franchise has come, consider that it was just Tim Wakefield's fourth loss in 23 decisions against Tampa. Needless to say, this is no longer your "older brother's Rays." They are now 19 games above .500 at Tropicana Field this season, where they have obviously downed Boston in all five meetings in 2008. We might be able to look past the "home dominance" of this series for just a game, but take note that the Red Sox are now 1-11 on artificial turf this season. While Daisuke Matsuzaka does boast a tremendous 9-1 record on the year, including 4-0 on the road, one needs to take a further look inside the numbers. Over his last three starts, the Japaneese superstar has an ERA of 8.10. He hasn't thrown more than five innings in any of those outings. Compare that to the Rays's Scott Kazmir, who has been lights out at home this year (4-1, 1.24 ERA). Tampa is 20-5 as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Tampa Bay is our 15* AL Game of the Week.
 

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